Canada Accepts They’re Not Going to Get a Trade Deal Before 35% Tariffs Kick In


Posted originally on CTH on July 22, 2025 | Sundance 

I’ll repeat it as much as needed, until it sinks in.

The U.S-Canada trade deal status is simply a no-brainer. President Trump will answer questions about Canada and tariffs, he’ll put people into seats to discuss trade with the Canadian delegation, and he’ll give every outward appearance of being favorable to Prime Minister Mark Carney…. BUT…

In the background, Trump is simply waiting for the USMCA timeline to trigger a renegotiation. President Donald Trump is ambivalent to the trade partnership with Canada. This moot-status reality is why there’s no substantive engagement.

‘No deal’ -until USMCA redo- is a win for President Trump.

For some bizarre reason that I simply cannot fathom, almost every Canadian politician seems entirely oblivious to this reality. Instead, Canadian Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc and Mark Carney’s chief-of-staff, Marc-André Blanchard are once again coming to DC to ride their bicycles in slow circles at the bottom of the White House driveway while staring in the windows.

An article in Politico notes the Canadian premiers are now accepting the August 1st deadline will pass without any agreement, and the 35% reciprocal tariffs on non-USMCA products (meaning a lot of stuff) is going to trigger.

Literally, everything from Canada that has a non-USMCA component is going to be tariffed. Think about all the stuff from China, Asia (writ large) and Europe that Canada assembles for finished goods. All of that stuff will be subject to the tariffs.

That said, there’s good news coming from the recent meeting between Prime Minister Carney and the Premiers. Within their statement they use the term “developing large infrastructure projects.” That’s Canadian political codespeak for them realizing they are going to have to get back to regular energy development, raw material use/refinement and ACTUAL MANUFACTURING.

Canada is going to have to bring back their ‘dirty’ industrial jobs.

For our Treehouse friends in Canada, this is very good news. The Canadian assembly economic model has to change in order to get compliant with U.S. trade rules. THAT’S TRUMP’S ENTIRE POINT!

The environmentalists within Canada will not like this, but economically they will have no choice; it’s the only way to avoid a complete economic depression.

HUNTSVILLE, Ontario — Prime Minister Mark Carney and Canada’s premiers are tempering expectations that they’ll strike a new economic and security deal with Donald Trump by the end of the month.

“We would like to have the ideal deal, as fast as possible. But what can we get?” Quebec Premier François Legault said Tuesday. “You almost need to ask Donald Trump, and I’m not even sure he knows himself what he wants.”

It’s a shift in tone from the premiers and Carney, who ran for election on his economic record, arguing he’d be the best person to negotiate with the president. But Canada is finding it harder than it looks.

Carney met the premiers in Muskoka, cottage country north of Toronto, to update them on Canada-U.S. negotiations.

As the leaders emerged from a three-hour meeting, they downplayed hopes of an Aug. 1 deal, arguing that achieving a “good deal” is more important than hitting a deadline.

[…] As the negotiations continue, the premiers spent Tuesday carving out a strategy to offset the economic impact of Trump’s tariffs on the aluminum, steel, auto and lumber sector. They spoke about developing large infrastructure projects, breaking down trade barriers between provinces and encouraging a “buy Canadian” approach. (READ MORE)

Canada is going to go into a deep economic recession; there’s no way to avoid it.  However, if they restart their industrial base, drop the ridiculous ‘green’ energy stuff, start exploiting their own natural resources and train an apprentice generation -just like we are trying to do- then Canada can bounce back stronger than ever.

We know there are Canadian wolverines who understand this concept; we saw thousands of them in the Truckers’ vaccine strike.  Make Canada Great Again, by Making Dirty Jobs Great Again, eh?

Joe Allen On Geneva U.N. Conference: “None Of The Frontier Labs Were Represented”


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: July 21, 2025

Trudeau Redux – Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney Huddles with U.S. Senators


Posted originally on CTH on July 21, 2025 | Sundance 

In 2018, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau relied heavily on House Speaker Nancy Pelosi for assistance when the U.S. and Mexico constructed the majority of the USMCA trade pact.  Today, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney takes the same approach.

[SOURCE]

PRESS RELEASE – “Today, the Prime Minister, Mark Carney, met with a bipartisan delegation of United States senators in Ottawa. The Senator for Oregon, Ron Wyden, the Senator for Alaska, Lisa Murkowski, the Senator for New Hampshire, Maggie Hassan, and the Senator for Nevada, Catherine Cortez Masto, were present.” (more)

The 35% tariffs against Canada are scheduled to go into effect on August 1st.

As noted by President Trump in his remarks during Prime Minister Mark Carney’s visit to the White House, Trump plans to renegotiate the USMCA and end the trilateral agreement in favor of two bilateral trade deals.

During the Oval Office meeting President Trump said, “As you know [USMCA] terminates fairly shortly. It gets renegotiated fairly shortly.” Then the biggest statement, “This was a transitional deal, and we’ll see what happens, we’re going to start renegotiating that”… “I don’t know if it serves a purpose anymore.”  …. “And the biggest purpose it served was, we got rid of NAFTA.” 

President Trump is going to exit the trilateral USMCA in favor of two distinctly different bilateral trade agreements between the U.S and Mexico, and the U.S and Canada.  The only consideration now is the timing.  President Trump is 100% focused on the BIG ECONOMIC PICTURE; it’s not about the politics, it’s all about the economics.

Interview: An Independent Alberta Matters


Posted originally on Jul 20, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Will the EU last beyond 2026?


Posted originally on Jul 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong   

2025_07_18_21_28_22_Merz_says_Ukraine_will_receive_long_range_missile_systems_very_soon_

Merz is putting all of Germany in the crosshairs. His thirst for war with Russia makes him unfit to be in charge of parking meters for the government. Ask yourself if Germany were at war with Ukraine and Putin said Here are long-range missiles so that you can attack Berlin and Frankfurt, would Germany look to just Ukraine or to Russia orchestrating the whole war?

The tension will escalate starting next week. They will become more open by the week of 08/04, and then the week of 08/18.

2022 Intl War Index

To put this mildly, the Euro also has a Panic Cycle in 2026, as does our Cycle of War. Model. Merz is a traitor to the German people. The FIRST DUTY of any head of state is to protect his own people, not throw them into war on the directions of NATO and other warmongers. He should be dragged out of his office in chains. People often wondered if they could have stopped World War II if someone had assassinated Hitler. I fear they will one day hypothetically wonder the same about Merz.

Treaty_of_Rome

Europe is pushing DESPERATELY for war. This is not going to end well. The third time will NOT be the charm for an attempted conquest of Russia. The EU will lose, and it will no longer exist. The target of 2026.03 will be the culmination of the 8th 8.6-year wave from the Treaty of Rome, signed in 1957.23. The final capitulation of the EU is expected by 2030.

Suddenly, For Some Mysterious Reason, Canada Wants to Put Limits on Chinese Steel Imports


Posted originally on CTH on July 16, 2025 | Sundance 

Well, what do you know?   An interesting article about Canada suddenly proposing to put limits on the amount of Chinese steel and aluminum they import.  Although missing in the article is a reference to what this means about the prior process that did not have such limits.

Essentially, if you drop the pretending within the Wall Street Journal/MSM narrative, the decision by Mark Carney to limit Chinese Steel is a direct admission of their knowledge to a preexisting level of imports that violated the USMCA and all previous demands to block imports of Chinese steel.

Trump always said Canada was a transnational shipper and entry into the USA.  Trudeau and Carney previously denied this was the reality.  Well, if that wasn’t the reality, then why the need to change? I digress.

OTTAWA—Canada introduced limits on how much foreign steel produced in countries other than the U.S. and Mexico can be imported, as the Liberal government tries to help a domestic sector reeling from President Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canadian steel.

Prime Minister Mark Carney said Wednesday that the series of import limits and the tariffs targeting steel products with Chinese links are required because the Canadian economy has been too reliant on foreign steel to meet the needs of the construction and manufacturing sectors. He cited data indicating that two-thirds of total steel consumption in Canada comes from abroad, compared with one-third for the U.S. and one-sixth in Europe.

Carney added that the changes would also guard against foreign steel entering Canada to bypass Trump’s tariffs. Canada has had a “disproportionately open import market” when it comes to steel, Carney said at a steel factory in Hamilton, Ontario.

He added that he wouldn’t allow the current trade conflict with the U.S.—combined with unfair trade practices elsewhere—to gut the nation’s steel industry at a time when Ottawa will require the metal to embark on trade-infrastructure projects such as ports, energy corridors and pipelines.

“We must diversify our trade relationships, and above all we must rely more on Canadian steel for Canadian projects. Those shifts start today,” he said. (read more)

We have awesome Canadian Treepers; however, I would like to ask the Canadians who are stuck in denial of the steel transnational shipping issue, why Canada needed to change?

{Non-Pretending Background Here}

Green Energy Isn’t Really Green, GO NUCLEAR!


Posted originally on Rumble on Bright Bart News Network on: July 13, at 1:00 pm EST

Ancient Rome’s Migrant Crisis


Posted originally on Jul 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

GothMigration

The globalists refuse to declare the migrant crisis an “invasion,” but we have history’s guidance to show us what happens when an unsustainable number of people enter a nation. The Goths, a non-military group considered migrants, are a perfect example. These men, women, and children sought refuge within the Roman Empire. This was not an invading army but rather a fleeing population seeking safety from the Huns. The Goths, long-time foes of the Romans, appealed to be admitted to Roman territory due to the threat they faced and needed to seek asylum. This event led to significant consequences and marked a turning point in the history of the Roman Empire.

The great Gothic migration involved hundreds of thousands of men, women, and children. While, to some degree, the growing unrest in the East pushed them southward, there is also little doubt that the border defenses of the Roman Empire had also been seriously weakened by the political instability and economic pressures that were building within Rome itself. Of course, the rumor of great plunder and riches available in Roman territory acted like a magnet much in the same way as the rumors of streets paved in gold in America prompted great European migrations during the 19th and early 20th centuries or the outdated stereotype of the American Dream.

Maximinus I 235 238AD AE Sesterius R

By 238 AD, the Gothic position was so threatening to the Roman Empire that Emperor Maximinus was forced to pay them vast amounts of tribute, similar to how countries currently pay all expenses for migrants. While his aim may have been to buy time, this demonstrated weakness on the part of the Romans, who were still in the middle of internal political struggles for power. Internal imperial rivalries ultimately defeated Maximinis. Within less than four years thereafter, the Goths began a series of raids along the Danube.

PHILIP I AR Antoniniany Aequitas

A decade later and Philip I attempted to quell the influx of migrants, but died while battling his successor, Trajan Decius. Rome was simply decaying gradually from internal struggles, which weakened the economy and constantly pitted one legion against another in a struggle for power. We see internal struggles today throughout the West as politics continue to divide the people. The Romans did not consider the Goths to be a force that would threaten the entire Empire, but rather more as a barbarian force looking for plunder rather than power.

Dacia Map

Trajanus Decius declared the Goths an enemy and attempted to force them out of the empire, only for the masses to return a year later. The Goths were prepared this time and formed several strategic alliances with enemies, such as the Dacian Carpi. This led to a full-scale invasion, and the Roman Empire suddenly found itself besieged as war raged on in Moesia, Dacia, and even in Thrace, while the main body of the Gothic invasion was preparing a descent into the region of the Black Sea.

After many battles, the Goths emerged as the new masters of the entire Danube territory, all the way to the Black Sea. Trebonianus Gallus emerged as the new Emperor who could do nothing to reverse the Empire’s humiliating defeat. The Goths now turned to Illyricum and Thrace, burning and plundering their way across the region. By 253 AD, the Goths set sail along the Black Sea, headed straight for Asia Minor, which was wide open and waiting to be plundered.

Aurelian Walls 2

The Roman Empire was declining until Emperor Aurelian came to power and began restorative efforts, including anti-immigration policies. He not merely launched defensive measures, he moved on the offensive against the Goths and demolished them through a series of battles. The Goths were driven out of the Balkans and into Dacia. Aurelian also greatly restored the Black Sea defenses, which helped those regions rebuild their economies as well. However, Aurelian failed to pursue the barbarians into the Roman province of Dacia, pulling back and establishing the new border once again along the natural border as originally defined by Augustus – the Danube.

Aurelian Gold Bust

Aurelian’s decision to redraw the borders left Dacia in the hands of the Carpi and the Goths. Once the Goths were contained, they began to divide into two distinct groups – Ostrogothic and Visigothic kingdoms. These groups would evolve into powerful states that would ultimately bring down the Roman Empire in the West.

Those in favor of the Gothic migration stated that the newcomers would increase tax revenue and benefit the Roman economy. It was a humanitarian crisis and Rome’s responsibility to solve. Instead, the unsustainable influx of Gothic refugees contributed to the eventual fall of the Western Roman Empire. The event marked a turning point in Roman history and was part of a period in which the Roman Empire nearly collapsed under the combined pressures of invasion, civil war, plague, and economic depression. History always repeats.

Canadian Government Rescinds Digital Services Tax, Requests to Resume Trade Talks Again


Posted originally on CTH on June 29, 2025 | Sundance 

“Elbows up” and knees bent. As expected given the nature of their dependency, the Canadian government has rescinded the digital services tax against U.S. tech companies.

The June 30th collection is halted and the Canadian government led by Mark Carney will be bringing legislation to rescind the tax entirely.

CANADA – […] Minister of Finance and National Revenue, the Honourable François-Philippe Champagne, announced today that Canada would rescind the Digital Services Tax (DST) in anticipation of a mutually beneficial comprehensive trade arrangement with the United States. Consistent with this action, Prime Minister Carney and President Trump have agreed that parties will resume negotiations with a view towards agreeing on a deal by July 21, 2025.

The DST was announced in 2020 to address the fact that many large technology companies operating in Canada may not otherwise pay tax on revenues generated from Canadians. Canada’s preference has always been a multilateral agreement related to digital services taxation. While Canada was working with international partners, including the United States, on a multilateral agreement that would replace national digital services taxes, the DST was enacted to address the aforementioned taxation gap.

The June 30, 2025 collection will be halted, and Minister Champagne will soon bring forward legislation to rescind the Digital Services Tax Act. (LINK)

In the bigger picture Canada has a serious problem.

Canada is entirely dependent on the USA; there is no part of the Canadian economic system that can survive without total dependence on the USA.  The Canadian economy is currently stagnant and their leftist government is desperate to find a way to collect revenue somehow, any way possible.   Additionally, President Trump is going to end the USMCA trade agreement and shut down a majority of the benefits Canada has been extracting.

The most remarkable aspect to this reality is the denial within Canada.  There are maybe a handful of honest Canadian economists, financial types and/or pundits who understand economic matters that are willing to outline and explain the details of Canada’s vulnerability…..

…. The rest are in denial, shouting ‘elbows up’ as if that is going to change the inevitable.  The pretending is strong amid the snow Mexicans. Their denial is a mass formation psychosis. Stunningly so.

[Background Context]

A Note of Caution – Kevin O’Leary Talks About U.S-Canada Trade With a Massive Blind Spot


Posted originally on CTH on June 28, 2025 | Sundance 

CTH has continually said that almost no one in Canada has any grasp of what is about to happen within their economy, specifically because only a handful of people realize what President Trump intends to do.

This interview with Kevin O’Leary is a case study in what I have been warning about.  If you have any financial affiliation with O’Leary Ventures or ancillary investments that touch on a dependency therein, be forewarned.

O’Leary is only a few months away from exploding against President Trump in a manner that will make the Elon Musk statements about Epstein and Trump seem small by comparison.  As yet another Canadian financial voice that just doesn’t get it, O’Leary has no idea the USMCA is about to end. And when it does, oh boy… he will go bananas.

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[BACKGOUND STORY]