ECB Will Lend to Banks Long-Term in Hopes They Will in Turn Lend Again


Come September, Draghi at the ECB will make loans to Eurozone banks on a long-term basis at rates less than the short-term lending window. The objective is to encourage banks to lend money to businesses. Nobody thinks about letting businesses bypass the banks mainly because the banks are in such a vulnerable state because Europe never took the toxic assets out of the banks as did the USA. To do that would have meant that some countries would have been bailed out more than others so they cut rates and hoped for the best which never happened.

The world economy is crashing BECAUSE of negative interest rates. These insane people have REFUSED to consider that this entire idea of lowering interest rates to stimulate the economy will NEVER work. You are wiping out pension funds and the elderly who are a vital part of the economic base. They keep using the same theories that are decades old and have ALWAYS failed each and every time.

Just look at the Great Depression. Lowering interest rates FAILED to reverse the decline. The market rallied when the rumors proved correct that Roosevelt would devalue the dollar creating currency inflation. Lowering interest rates has NEVER worked even once, yet they keep trying the same theory over and over again because they cannot think of anything else to try.

Why the Remain Politicians Only Speak their Own Self Interest


COMMENT FROM UK: On the subject of Phillip Hammond and Brexit, this is just the latest in a long list of pro-elite politicians who are looking to protect their career interests by aligning with the globalist system.

Blair made hundreds of millions, Brown and Darling bailed out the banks and then went to work in the financial sector and failure that is Nick Clegg is now an exec at Facebook. Theresa May will no doubt have her payday coming. These politicians are selling out their country but seem to think they have morality on their side.

K

REPLY: All of these politicians who are for the REMAIN side, which included Theresa May, all have a self-interest which is counter-trend to their own country. They like the establishment of the political class to be left alone.

This is a chart that speaks 1,000 times that Britain has NEVER received a fair deal since joining the EU. This is data from your own government which I have not altered. The peak in GDP took place in 1973 just before Britain joined the EU. There was a major faction that believed joining the EU would create a global economy that would surpass the USA. That never happened because each member state can veto what any other state tries to do. There are 50 states in the USA. They have no say if Washington wishes to do a trade deal. If every state had a seat at the negotiation table as they do in the Eurozone, nothing would ever get done.

All I can say is the EU is a dictatorship for nobody at the Commission level ever stands for an election. As such, this is a politician’s greatest wish – power without accountability. And then they have the audacity to criticize China or Russia for a lack of Democracy?

The recent polls in Britain show that the people are MORE AFRAID of Labour and Jeremy Bernard Corbyn than they are about BREXIT!

BREXIT & the Yellow Hammer Propaganda Pretend Leak


The report that paints the darkest possible scenario for Britain without ever mentioning that 60% of its trade is outside the EU and that any attempt by the EU to punish Britain will destroy the German economy which is preparing for a very deep recession since Britain is its #1 trading partner in the EU particularly for autos.

This Yellow Hammer report leak is clearly a scaremongering edition and not serious research. It is just a propaganda piece for that purpose. It claims that transport disruption will be 50%-85% of lorries travelling across the Channel may not be ready for French customs. The EU is likely to harass Brits with immigration checks at border posts. Medicine supply chain may be disrupted for up to six months across the Channel. The supply of certain types of fresh food will decrease.

The EU will slap tariffs on British fuel imports so they forecast financial losses and the closure of two refineries resulting in about 2,000 direct job losses. And as far as Northern Ireland is concerned, the UK would impose the “no new checks with limited exceptions” but they report claim this will be unsustainable.

There is no mention that trade negotiations with the rest of the world cannot take place inside the EU because any member can veto a UK trade deal with anyone.

The British pound is still under pressure as the propaganda machine is in full force. A further decline in the pound into October will far outweigh any tariffs the EU could possibly impose. Everyone looks at the dire future for Europe while they fail to look at the EU. Germany is imploding economically. The German economic philosophy has always been the old-school Mercantilist view to sell more stuff to everybody else than you buy.

While Germany is all about austerity, it has over-taxed its people and has declined to create a domestic consumer market preferring the export model which has resulted in the German people having almost the lowest net worth in Europe. While the economy is #1 inside the EU, the wealth does not pass to the people. A no-deal BREXIT will hurt the EU far more than it will hurt Britain and that is the absolute TRUTH!!!!!!!!

Asia 2019 Crisis


COMMENT: when you showed FX and stock markets of Asia in Rome, the computer did forecast quite some panic cycles for this summer – here we go !

JO

REPLY: I know. That’s why I am here.

The Deep State Reality


QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong
Isn’t the FBI a government agency?
In this case, they are paid with “the people” tax money?
Aren’t they supposed to be neutral, I mean, they should be “incorruptible”?
They should not take a position for the left or the right. They should be there for “Justice”?
Can you explain?
Many Thanks to you and your team for all your teachings.
Have a beautiful day
MF

ANSWER: What you say is the theory of a perfect world. Unfortunately, I believe that ever since Bush Jr was elected, the power shifted from the president to the bureaucracy. I have stated before that I use to meet with people who wanted to run for president for the Republicans as a vetting process. They were told I was there to inform them of the global economy and how it functioned, but in reality, I was told to determine if I believed they could handle the job. Then I was asked to run to Texas to meet with Bush Jr, but I was told this was different. I was told he was really “stupid” and they asked me if I would accept the position of Chief Economic Advisor to the president. I was shocked. I asked, “Why would you make someone stupid president?” Particularly since it was exactly opposite of what I had been asked to do for years. I was told he had the “name” to win.

I was told at that time they needed to surround him with “good people” and that is how Cheney became the de facto president. Naturally, I declined for I could not continue my business. Ever since that point in time, the bureaucracy rose to power. They took on a mantle of authority that no one has been able to challenge. Trump has tried, but look at what they have done to him. This is what people are calling the Deep State. The idea that we are free is only an illusion. We have no rights.

Coxey & His ArmyThe first march upon Washington emerged at this time from the Panic of 1893 known as Coxley’s Army. This was a group of unemployed men who marched during the depression year of 1894. Jacob S. Coxley (1854-1951) was a businessman in Ohio whose idea was that government should provide employment through creating public works. His ideas were eventually incorporated in Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal and became the WPA in 1935. Coxley set out for Washington on March 25, 1894, with about 100 men and arrived there on May 1st with about 500 more who had joined. Coxley’s First Amendment rights were, of course, violated for they arrested him for walking on the grass and pretended it had nothing to do with his march.


Baum-3

YellowBrickRoadNevertheless, it was this event that became the “Wizard of Oz.” Lyman Frank Baum (1856-1919) was impressed by this movement. Off to see the Wizard was Washington. The Tin Man was industry, the Scarecrow agriculture, and the Cowardly Lion was William Jennings Bryan. The Yellow Brick Road was the gold standard. It was hoped to persuade Congress to authorize a vast program of public works, and restore the repealed Sherman Silver Purchase Act to increase the money supply – the 19th Century version of Quantitative Easing that virtually bankrupted the USA. This movement was all about financing a substantial increase in the money in circulation to provide jobs for the unemployed.

Sen. Warren Math: 30% Gun Tax + 50% Ammo Tax = 80% Drop in Gun Deaths


Published on Aug 14, 2019

Leading Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren proposes a 30% gun tax plus a 50% ammo tax which she says will add up to an 80% drop in gun deaths. Of course, there’s more to it than that, including an end to the filibuster in the Senate. Can Betsy Warren ride her sensible gun math to the White House, and if so, why doesn’t she stay in the Senate so she can help pass it? Bill Whittle Now comes to you five times weekly thanks to the Members at BillWhittle.com. If you like what you hear here, join them now at https://BillWhittle.com/register/

Death Penalty is Never a Punishment – it is an Escape from Punishment


QUESTION: The US will start the death penalty again. What is your view on the death penalty?

HRW

ANSWER: It is far worse to live in prison for life the way the government will torture you without remorse. They are beginning executions once again since 2003. Their allegations against people are always exaggerated and they are cold-hearted. I never met anyone who ever did everything the government claimed and there is a risk that the people they intend to execute are innocent or never intended to do such a crime. The real professional criminals know the system and immediately start testifying against others to get a reduced sentence. So the people they want to execute had nothing to deal with, which tends to imply they were not necessarily career criminals and if they were nuts, that is never a defense anyway. In the famous case of Adamson, he pled guilty waiving a jury trial with the understanding he would get a life sentence and then in 1988 the judge ordered him to be killed. That was eventually overturned that his plea was contrived by the courts themselves promising him one thing and then ordering him to be executed. There is no honor in the Justice System – none whatsoever!!!!!

I personally think the death penalty should be VOLUNTARY for there are people who would take that option rather than being imprisoned for life. If I were in such a position, I would certainly volunteer in a second. To live the rest of your life being tormented by guards for fun and sport is no way to live and no judge will EVER listen to a complaint from an inmate. I simply asked to be given medical treatment and I was denied by two judges and had to wait until my release to seek medical attention. As a result, the vision in my left eye remains partially blurry because they refused me my basic human needs.

Death is an escape; it is not a punishment for it is over fast compared to incarceration that remains for your entire life.

Will Governments ever Listen Before there is Blood in the Streets?


COMMENT: Thank you for ‘Why Private Blogs’. You should get goose bumps once in a while about your work~, the project is massive in scale, certainly worthy of my respect and everyone else in readerville and your employ as well. This piece is well written and also lays out a good mission statement reminder to all. So, feel free Martin to frame it, re post it once a year, and continue to knick knack patty whack away at the world and toss us bones …. it is a worthy and respected endeavor that is already making the world a better place, especially for those to come rolling home here in the future!!! Stay fired up my friend I have not yet met……. for BETTER DAYS ARE COMING.

REPLY: I do think people tend to think this is just about forecasting the ups and downs in markets.  I have probably met with more central banks and governments than anyone over the years. I was called in by China during the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis and the Commission forming the Euro. I was called in at the formation of the G5 and by the Brady Commission for the 1987 Crash. All of these things and many more ONLY took place NOT because my opinion is worth something someone else does not have.

All of this has been because we forecast absolutely every country in the world and people even at the upper levels understand what we are doing and this is about demonstrating that absolutely EVERYTHING is connected on a global scale.

I see war as absolutely pointless for the days of empire building are long gone. War is now more like two drunks in a bar fighting because of one side something or looked at the other in an intimidating way. This nation-building nonsense is just that – NONSENSE! We pretend that Democracy is so great, yet we really live in Republics that are prone to massive corruption until they inevitably collapse as did Rome. When Caesar crossed the Rubicon, the people cheered and the Senate all fled to Asia. If they had the support of the people, they would have never fled.

It pains me deeply that our systems are so corrupt. I will never believe that Jeffrey Epstein committed suicide. He had so many bargaining chips on people he would never be allowed to testify. This touched people like Bill Clinton, no surprise, Al Gore to Buckingham Palace. Maybe the prosecutor had no idea and when he started this the weight of the political world came crashing down.

The system will self-correct as did Rome. Who will be our Caesar today who knows? But it will come. That is why I say my concern is not Trump, it is who comes after Trump. All I can do is show there is a better way to manage things and we are all connected in this mess. I know the game. They will not listen until there is blood on the streets. Then and only then will they listen out of fear it might be their turn next.

Difference Between Hyperinflation and Currency Inflation


QUESTION: What is the difference between asset inflation and hyperinflation? I believe you are saying that from Jan 2020 we will see inflation which I understand to be asset inflation?
Thanks
FL

ANSWER: Asset inflation is typically a reflection of a decline in the value of the currency, but this can be 50% over the course of one to two years. Hyperinflation typically occurs when confidence in the government itself completely collapses. This is usually in a peripheral economy or often in times of war or major domestic revolution, as was the case with the Continental Currency in the United States and the Assignats of the Revolutionary government in France. Asset inflation can be also caused by an investment boom concentrated within a single sector such as the Dot.com Bubble. The typical definition of hyperinflation is when prices rise by more than 50% per month over a period of time.

Then there is DEMAND inflation, which is typically one of two aspects. It can come in the form of a hot item like Pet Rocks, Cabbage Patch Dolls, etc. The second aspect is a shortage of something such as wheat or corn and the demand forces the price to rise.

World Crisis Coming Soon


The world is in a complete midlife crisis or some may say an end of life crisis. I am overseas as the world is simply going nuts. At times, I feel more like a shrink having to reassure people that it will all be OK. Both Europe and Asia are having a very bad string of days.

Asia is concerned that China will intervene in Hong Kong. Protesters in Hong Kong seem undeterred by China’s thinly veiled threat of sending in the armed forces. But Beijing would pay a steep price if it were to send in troops politically. Trump has stated that he regards it as an internal matter for China, while even Mitch McConnell said sanctions would be appropriate. Footage has surfaced on the Chinese internet showing columns of armored vehicles heading south and converging on the city of Shenzhen. The videos seem to suggest that the Chinese People’s Armed Police Force, a heavily armed paramilitary unit, is gathering on the Hong Kong border.

Meanwhile, back in the old world, the EU seems more intent on preserving their power than any rational review of economics. They seem to be doing whatever they can to bury the European economy under this crazy idea of federalizing Europe in a half-ass way that still leaves the individual states in an impossible position to ever reach a unified agreement about anything.

Meanwhile, the former Chancellor Philip Hammond has accused the PM of trying to wreck the chance of a new Brexit deal, by making demands the EU could never accept. He seems to be more on Brussel’s side than his own country. Mr. Hammond said a no-deal Brexit would be “a betrayal” of the 2016 referendum result and that he vowed that Parliament would “make its voice heard,” adding that a no-deal “must not happen.” There is no question that Germany will be the biggest loser and then there is Ireland who does not want an EU version of the Berlin Wall. More than 50% of trade for Britain lies outside of the EU, but a no-deal is far better for it will be able to negotiate trade with the rest of the world not subject to French supervision.

Additionally, with the chaos in Asia and in Europe, the US is still the safe-haven. This could push the dollar into record highs by creating a panic of vertigo that may force the world to sit back down and renegotiate how the world monetary system will survive. Alternatively, we all just all shoot it out and build walls to retain domestic absolute control.

The problem with the collapse of socialism is that the promises made to retain power cannot be supported. The Pension Crisis will explode and at the currency projection, by 2032, we will be looking at a $400 trillion unfunded catastrophic liability. There is no way we could even make it that far. We will be looking at this during the WEC in October (tickets are still available).