COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; there are just people who refuse to believe that global warming is wrong. When there are cold spells like that here in Australia, they argue there are equally a number of warm spots. They are leading us down the tubes. They will not yield and even consider that they are wrong and if so, what is the consequence of such a mistake.

PG

ANSWER: Yes, when something is against Global Warming that rebuts saying cold spots are not science. Some of these cold snaps have been very strange indeed. Yet when it is warm, suddenly it is science. It even got warm in Siberia. There are placed that are normally a dessert that has suddenly burst with life. They refuse to consider the historical evidence that there have even been ice ages which implies that had to have also been warming periods way before the Industrial Age. The completely ignore the science of how ice ages are even created which takes place WHEN the ice at the North Pole melts and that allows water to evaporate and return as snow. They portray that when the ice melts, the oceans will rise and New York and Miami will be under water. They spin that as science which is just sophistry. In essence, they refuse to believe in the cyclical nature of everything. I suppose they also assume they will live forever since their denial of cycles must mean they too will never die.

The Poles flip. Ask anyone in geology and they will tell you that rocks are magnetized in the direction of the North Pole when they are formed from an erupting volcano. We are watching a number of volcanos erupting not just in the Pacific, but also in Siberia. We know that the North Pole has been all over the place and it is moving more rapidly today than ever before in recent years when we have tracked it. The last time it flipped was over 700,000 years ago so we do not have recorded history to understand what actually happens. The poles flip about every 11 years on the Sun. But nobody lives there so they can’s tell us what to expect.

I have written about the suddenly frozen animal in Siberia. Effectively, there have been two schools of thought – (1)  Chaotic and (2) Linear Progression. We do NOT want to believe you can just wake up one day and freeze to death at the kitchen table. Hence, we do not WANT to believe in abrupt change even being possible. This is also why you will find that people prefer to believe in gradual global warming and will immediately call pointing out any cold spell is not science – only global warming is science. They PREFER to believe that humans can alter the entire cyclical nature of the earth just as they prefer to believe in Keynesianism and government will smooth out the business cycle and make life perfect for you just in case you live forever.

Julius Caesar said it best. People just will believe what they WANT to believe. The people who call Global Warming science and everything else is not-science, there is no point in trying to argue. It is like investments. There has to be someone who buys the high when it is time to sell. You cannot change the mind of those who believe in Global Warming because it is their religion. Al Gore will die frozen and be blaming the cold on CO2. This is a question of the cyclical nature of the universe and stops trying to blame someone for there just may be something bigger to take notice of.

The winter Downunder has already been the coldest in 26 years. Temperatures plummeted on the East Coast at Marangaroo to a low of -11.1C. It is amazing that the amount of money on the table to justify global warming which is all about raising taxes for carbon emissions is placing us at a greater risk for it is distracting everyone from the real threat – global cooling. Meanwhile, ski fans are rejoicing calling it an Epic Winter in New Zealand.

Meanwhile, between volcanoes erupting in the Pacific, extreme cold in the southern hemisphere, we also have Typhoon Prapiroon which has devasted Japan, which is more prepared for earthquakes than typhoons. Most people do not know in the West why they even call pilots during World War II a Kamikaze pilot. The word “Kamikaze” really means “Divine Wind” and it was the attempt by the Mongold to invaded Japan TWICE when a typhoon destroyed their fleets. It was then said that Japan was protected by the “Divine Wind” and that is why the pilots were named Kamikaze. Right now, the typhoons are hitting Japan killing at what may be more than 200 people while forcing millions to evacuate. This has been the WORST disaster from a typhoon is 36 years.

Meanwhile, there has been ZERO evidence put forth that atmospheric CO2 levels actually will warm anything. In fact, it has been pointed out that the analysis that has been used for the entire theory of Global Warming makes no sense whatsoever. The basis for this entire theory claims that somehow nature treats human CO2 emissions differently than it treats nature’s CO2 emissions. Besides that, CO2 levels have been historically much higher in the past long before humans began the Industrial Revolution.

The coldest place on earth many believe is Washington DC who really could care less about the country of the people. That certainly is one definition of cold, but the other is in Mother Nature. Scientists have determined that it is Antarctic where temperatures can get down to a -100 degrees Celsius. Now that pretty cold. Let’s just pray the pole down flip in the middle of the night we we do not win the lottery and get that distinction.

It is still snowing across the border in Newfoundland, Canada in June. In Wisconsin, there was so much snow during April, it is still there in huge piles in June. Believe it or not, snowfall has still been reported this week in EIGHT states. This is California, Nevada, Washington, Oregon, Montana, Wyoming, New Hampshire (Mount Washington), and at Mullen Pass, Idaho. This is alarmingly curious. Granted, our computer was forecasting this would be a colder winter than the previous. But this is getting insane. I had to run over to Brussels for meetings in May and I encountered snow in Chicago trying to catch a connecting flight. Even the old Farmers Almanac forecast for 2017–2018 showed generally colder temperatures than last winter for the U.S. and Canada. They too are cyclical based. We have not yet crossed that line of alarming cold weather just yet.

Unfortunately, our computer is forecasting that the winter of 2018-2019 will be much colder than 2017-2018, but it will still not be dramatically colder on a dangerous scale just yet. A large part of the northern United States will experience colder temperatures again so buy some long underwear and keep an emergency supply on-hand. Regrettably, even the South and West should expect to feel cooler than normal weather and that means Florida and the Southeast will also feel a bit chilly with milder-than-average temperatures once again.

We are certainly headed into climate change. Sadly, even if we leave our cars running in the driveway all night, we will not reverse this trend of Global Cooling. We better start looking at reality for the next cycle will be a rise in Agricultural prices due to weather cycles.

The Wall Street Journal just published a review of the Global Warming Forecasts for the past 30 years. They have not even come close to the scenarios they put forth back in 1988. On June 23, 1988, the then NASA scientist James E. Hansen who helped to start all this nonsense testified before the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. He stated that he expressed had a “high degree of confidence” in “a cause-and-effect relationship between the claimed CO2 induced “greenhouse effect and observed warming.” That is how government characterizes something when they are guessing – “high degree of confidence” which was the same words used to invade Iraq who had weapons of mass destruction. He later came out and said: “Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction.” (August 25, 2002). The CIA Director testified before Congress and said: “We said in the estimate with high confidence that Iraq had them.” see Transcript Washington Post). Why does anyone EVER believe those in government? They cannot even forecast GDP accurately when they fudge the numbers.

Here is Hansen’s forecast. The dark red overlay is actual surface temperatures reported and there is even a controversy surrounding them that they have been constantly skewed higher to not look like complete idiots.  Even the models devised by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, are at least twice the actual temperature by now even with fudged numbers. So why are all these model so exaggerated?

These models are completely VOID of cyclical models and they do not even understand that this is a cycle. They are constructed with same idiotic bases that whatever trend is in motion will remain in motion. The Dow Jones Industrials closed 1932 at 60.26 and 1933 at 98.67. That was a 63.7% gain year over year. By assuming that trend will remain in motion, which was his dire forecast, the Dow would have reach 96,433,885,025.00 by 1975. That makes 50,000 look cheap.

Even averaging a 5-year advance VOID of understanding cycles, fails to provide a valid forecast ever. If I take the closing in the Dow of 2009 and the closing of 2014, the average advance was 1479 points per year. Now take the 2014 closing of 17823.07, that gives me 25,218.09. That is fine because we have been in a bull market. We all know the cycle will change. That is what is wrong with the global warming forecasts.

What actually happened, they got $1 billion for research by scaring the HELL out of everyone. I wonder what kind of chart I should make to get $1 billion handed to me from Congress with no performance requirements. What a deal

The leaked UN climate report is very alarming. They are using linear analysis as always and disregard any nonlinear cyclical data. They are urging that a major crisis will take place by 2040 and that countries must clamp down on emissions virtually IMMEDIATELY.  They are arguing to increased taxation and Europe will eagerly follow because they are going broke anyhow. So get ready. We already have declining economic growth. These people will send the world economy into a deep recession and this will only lead to even more tensions.