Video Zelensky’s Victory Plan is World War III. He wants unrestricted access to long-range missiles and to attack Russia on a major scale. He is telling everyone that peace talks are out of the question. This is the time to destroy Russia. Everything he says has been just a lie. There were peace negotiations, and both sides were ready to sign. His Victory Plan depends entirely on the West handing him long-range missiles.
If Putin does not respond forcefully, he will be overthrown, and the Russian Neocons will seize control, and our computer shows a flatline on Ukraine until 2027. It will be wiped out. I have never seen this pattern show up in any country in our modern era.
Borris Johnson flew to Kiev and told Zelensky he was NOT ALLOWED to have peace with Russia. This has been about creating World War III so they can default on all debts, institute the new central bank digital currency, impose Biometric ID, and restrict travel worldwide.
Ukraine signed the Minsk Agreement. The Donbas were to be allowed to hold their elections and separate from Ukraine. It was to split according to ethnic lines, the same way Yugoslavia broke up. The Neocons wanted war, and the Donbas were not to be allowed to split, so they lied and negotiated a treaty to only allow Ukraine time to build an army and then refused to honor the treaty.
These people will take us into World War III no matter what. Zelensky is just an actor, and what he is doing is a crime against all humanity. How many millions will die for what he is proposing?
Here is the Neocon Lyndsey Grachm. He told the truth. This is not about democracy, the sovereignty of Ukraine, or the Ukrainian people. This is about a huge gas field under Crimea that he admits is $10 to $12 trillion, and they do not want Russia and China to get their hand on it.
Here is the Neocon Lyndsey Grachm. He told the truth. This is not about democracy, the sovereignty of Ukraine, or the Ukrainian people. This is about a huge gas field under Crimea that he admits is $10 to $12 trillion, and they do not want Russia and China to get their hand on it.
Lyndsey could care less if any Ukrainian is still alive when this is done. His personal hatred of Russians is famous.
Posted originally on Sep 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
History is written by the victor. In the case of Russa and Ukraine, both sides are indoctrinating the next generation to believe in an extremely biased view of past results. The United States is injecting itself into Ukrainian history by overseeing the production of three million educational textbooks.
The US Agency for International Development (USAID) and European Union had begun printing textbooks from Ukraine in 2023 under the “New Ukrainian School” program. US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, a known Neocon, said that the next batch of textbooks will be delivered to over 12,000 schools across Ukraine before the start of the school year.
Russia allegedly attacked printing house Factor-Druk which supplied “a significant percentage of all books in Ukraine, including textbooks for Ukrainian children,” according to Sullivan, Yet, the West had already begun printing textbooks for Ukrainian children before the attack that occurred in May 2024.
“A key change for students concerns approaches to learning and educational content. At the Ministry of Education and Science, we are confident that this is the most important thing because the goal of the New Ukrainian School is to raise an innovator and citizen who is capable of making responsible decisions and respects human rights,” Ukraine’s government stated in regards to the “New Ukrainian School” curriculum that first circulated in 2017. “Instead of memorizing facts and definitions, students will acquire competencies. This is a dynamic combination of knowledge, skills, ways of thinking, opinions, values, and other personal qualities that determine a person’s ability to socialize well and to engage in professional and/or further learning activities. In other words, core knowledge is formed that will be supplemented with the ability to use this knowledge, with values and skills that Ukrainian school leavers will need in their professional and personal life.”
In other words, the school is focusing on shaping the next generation’s morals and values based on the government’s ideals. We see the same thing across the West, with students in the United States learning about non-educational topics such as gender identity at a young age.
I reported that Russia had also modified its textbooks to portray history as the government sees fit.
On (masked) Biden from the same Russian school textbook "His entire political career has been accompanied by corruption scandals. He and his family have commercial interests in Ukraine." https://t.co/hTJVctaMDKpic.twitter.com/WFm9ogsgAI
Russian schools are teaching the youth that America rigged its own election in 2020. Students in the 11th grade have posted excerpts from their revised textbooks to the internet. Newsweek requested a copy from the publisher, Sonin, who declared that everything published is factual and approved by Sergei Kravstov, Russia’s minister of education.
Hence the tension and fighting continues to permeate into the lives of future generations and soldiers who are taught from a young age that their nation was the victim. Despite the age of the internet, the truth has become more difficult than before to decipher. One must actively seek out the truth as it will not be clearly presented to them.
Posted originally on Aug 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
From all my sources, Zelensky is just an absolute piece of shit, and that gives a shit a bad name. He responded to criticism that Ukraine shot down its own F16 by firing the head of the Ukrainian Air Force. How dare he blame Ukraine and criticize Ukraine’s air defense for shooting down their F16 in “friendly fire.” Zelensky has refused to admit anything. All the sources say it was a friendly fire. The Russians would have made a big deal out of it if they shot it down. So the F16 just crashed for no reason? Zelensky refused even to explain his reasoning.
He also fired his major military commander for criticizing him. This is a character pattern that Zelensky displays. He is always trying to project himself as a great military leader.
As I have said before, if he is assassinated, it will be by Ukrainians. That’s why his real bodyguards are Americans – he does not trust Ukrainians, who, I have been told, if he were on fire, would not urinate on him until he was dead. He has created his own dictatorship prohibiting elections as long as the war continues. Yet, he is fighting for democracy and freedom? Zelensky cheers the destruction of Ukraine. He is pitching to spend trillions to rebuild Ukraine, telling everyone this will be the greatest European Investment of the century. The smart Ukrainians have opened their eyes to the fact that he is just a profiteer.
He instigated the war. The day before, to ensure that Putin would cross the border, he stood up and declared that Ukraine would rearm with nuclear weapons. He knew that would force Putin to come in just as the US had to respond to Cuba.
Worse still, he had the intelligence from the Americans and knew when Putin would enter. He admitted to the Washington Post that he did NOT warn the people because it would have cost him $7 billion. He wanted as many civilians to be killed as possible so he could claim Russia is evil and the invasion was UNPROVOKED, which the left-wing press keeps reporting because they love war and will cheer when Americans come back in body bags. CNN will return to the ratings they once had with the Gulf War.
Zelensky is all about the show. How dare the head of the Air Force admit the truth? How will Zelensky keep the billions flowing if the West realizes it is not competent to handle the weapons we provide?
The fools on Capitol Hill wanted to put a marble bust of Zelensky alongside George Washington. At least they would not throw Washington in the garbage – not yet, maybe after the election. The conservatives were outraged over this promotion.
Posted originally on Jun 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
The US dollar continues to soar against the Ukrainian Hryvnia despite all the propaganda desperately trying to pretend Ukraine can win and survive. The entire purpose of the Ukraine proxy war against Russia has been to kill as many Russians as possible to further expand the U.S. and NATO’s conventional superiority over Russia. This has been the strategy in play that the West can conquer Russia and divide it up and that Putin will never fire a nuclear weapon. Ukraine has been the vanguard viewed as expendable.
Anyone with Ukrainian debt should sell before it is worthless. It is already in crash mode. This will all be defaulted on in the end.
Our computer clearly shows that Ukraine will not survive this as a nation-state. This has not by any means benefited the Ukrainian people. This is why Zelensky suspended any election, for he knew he would be removed from office. Look at the Yearly Array. Ukraine is flat-lining. They are EXPENDABLE no matter what the propaganda of the Western press puts out on command from a central office, just as PRAVDA did for the USSR. This is NOT my personal opinion.
This was the Forecast Array for the Euro from 2016. Note that 2018 was the reaction high, while 2019 was the lowest yearly closing, and 2020 was the intraday COVID low, with the bounce into 2021, which was a turning point with a Panic Cycle. The Euro reaction high was 1.235 in 2021, and it crashed in 2022, bottoming at 0.941. Note that the volatility would rise in 2024, and 2025 is a turning point, with the next target being 2027.
The West has threatened Russia that just one nuke in Ukraine would unleash all nuclear weapons pointed at Russia. Their rhetoric is unbelievable. They present to the media that they out-finance, out-gun, and out-man Russia in a direct confrontation with NATO. They act that they alone can wipe Russia off the face of the earth without a single shot from Russia. These world leaders no longer represent the people. No one even wants to de-escalate this march toward World War III.
Russia has made it clear that it is prepared for a Nuclear War, which the West is constantly crossing every red line Putin has drawn. Based on my sources, Russia has about 1,710 deployed nuclear warheads. These are based on a triad of strategic delivery vehicles roughly consisting of 326 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), 12 ballistic-missile submarines (SSBNs) with 192 submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and 58 strategic bombers.
Russia has not exchanged official data with the United States about the structure of its strategic nuclear forces since 2023. Those same nongovernmental sources put the United States nuclear forces at around 1,770 deployed nuclear warheads. China has been building and modernizing its nuclear arsenal at an unprecedented pace. Reasonable estimates place that with a minimum of 500 warheads, it is expected to grow to 1,000 by 2030. The combination of China and Russia clearly outnumbers the USA and Europe.
That said, the number of warheads is only one measure. Russia has developed both space weapons that can take out the targeting satellites and its advanced hypersonic missiles that most experts say are virtually impossible to shoot down. Back in 2022, Putin made it clear that Russia would start to deploy more hypersonic weapons, noting that the first warship equipped with state-of-the-art Zircon hypersonic missiles was commissioned in 2022.
The USA is exploring how to defend itself against hypersonic missiles. One theory is the exploration of “boundary layer phenomenology,” which is the idea that disrupting the airflow surrounding a hypersonic projectile may throw it off course. Disrupting the airflow may send it off course, but it will still hit something. The other hope is to deploy lower-flying networked satellites in an effort to establish a continuous targeting track of an approaching hypersonic weapon. This can be seriously compromised by taking out the US targeting satellites.As of now, there is no defense is that a hypersonic projectile that will travel much too fast to track them because it will move from one radar aperture to another, making it virtually impossible to establish a consistent targeting track or lock.
Then Russia tested a new supersonic version of a nuclear-capable intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) on April 12th, 2024. This is capable of attacking NATO and the USA undetected. The Russian Ministry of Defence only claimed this was part of “state testing of prospective missile systems, as well as confirmation of the stability of missiles in service.” This has caused chatter down the line when the Neocons are pushing for war.
Then there is the BrahMos missile, a two-stage supersonic cruise missile with a range of 290 kilometers that was developed jointly by India and Russia. India has been leaning also more in the direction of Russia rather than the US/British/NATO direction. China has developed supersonic spy drones that have been gathering intelligence on US positions in the Asian arena.
The USA has been testing hypersonic missiles as it tries to catch up with Russia, India, and China. However, the USA is well behind Russia in supersonic defense and offense. This is the REAL story behind the propaganda that makes great headlines that the West can turn Russia to ashes before they even launch a single missile.
This Ukrainian Proxy War has introduced drone warfare. This is different altogether. Ukraine targeted with drones Russia’s strategic air defense radar system that has NOTHING to do with Ukraine. It was part of the Russian nuclear defense system, just as the USA has NORAD to detect Russian missiles that would launched at the USA. WHY did Ukraine do this when it had nothing to do with Ukraine? Was this to try to open a window for the USA/NATO to launch a sneak nuclear attack on Russia?
Ukraine has used new AI software called Eagle Eyes that allows drones to fly without GPS, limiting the impact of Russian jamming. The software allows unmanned drones to travel using sight rather than satellite-based GPS navigation. Additionally, drones fly at low altitudes and slow speeds. The radar systems used by the USA and Russia can be defeated with slow-moving drones that follow a program of the terrane and use AI technology to see, thereby correcting its course if needed. The successful attack using drones to destroy the early warning system of Russia opens yet another attack path. You can create a nuclear-capable drone to defeat all the radar systems, rendering everyone vulnerable.
Add to this a kamikaze robot that will kill anything that moves. This Ukraine War is a petri dish for advancing warfare. We are getting closer and closer to the potential for the likes of Terminator.
I have never witnessed such arrogance and stupidity merge. The rest of the world is watching, and they know very well that the West is the greatest threat to world peace – that is what the BRICS countries are all about. They will NOT stand by and watch the West annihilate Russia and then turn on their next target until they have wiped out everyone who has ever disagreed with them. Only a fool can not see that China, North Korea, Iran, and many others will stand by Russia because their enemy, the West, is their enemy as well. While the NEOCONs this a victory will be 33% of the USA surviving, our computer does NOT see a victory for the USA and indeed Europe.
The European People’s Party (EPP) is leading in the polls for the election on June 6 – 9, and they are the warmongers of Europe. In fact, the head of the EPP has gone as far as to state that the EU must be ready for war without US. They have stated that they stand with Ukraine and are prepared to sacrifice all of Europe for Ukraine.
The West, at the direction of the Neocons, has blown up Nord Stream and launched every possible sanction to destroy Russia financially.
The West has tried for more than two years to cripple Moscow’s finances by way of sanctions.
The strategy is to try to intimidate Russia into allowing NATO to destroy them without nuclear war. They are insane. If you had a gun and someone busts into your house unarmed, will you do nothing?
Posted originally on Feb 10, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
I paid very close attention to Tucker’s interview with Putin. I found Putin honest but curiously restrained. He could have easily gone off on the interference in the Russian 2000 election, his request to interrogate Bill Browder and the fake dossier manufactured for Hillary Clinton and her co-conspirator, the grandfather of the Neocons, John McCain. When Tucker was pressed about talking to American presidents, he explained that they really do not make the decisions – it is the Deep State where he carefully avoids naming anyone.
Then, I have seen people claiming everything Putin said was propaganda. Sorry – he was very honest. I have the declassified documents from the Clinton Administration, and Russia was offered the chance to join NATO. That was why the old hardline Communists, who saw that as Russia’s surrender to America, attempted a coup against Gorbachev. That is when Yeltsin stood on the tank and pleaded with the military not to fire on the people. The military stood down, the coup collapsed, and Yeltsin became the new head of state. These are facts that cannot be disputed. The West has perpetually sought to take over Russia since the days of Napoleon because it is perhaps the richest country on the planet insofar as natural resources are concerned.
People have no idea how they are being manipulated. Ruth Bader Ginsberg was a woman’s activist. She explained that Roe v Wade had NOTHING to do with women’s rights. It was all about reducing the population. Bill Gates’ father was the head of Planned Parenthood, and they were set up in minority areas to reduce the population of predominantly blacks. To hide the racism and reduce popularity, they called it women’s rights, and then all the female groups got behind it when they had no idea they were being played for fools.
Then, take climate change. There is NO WAY we could ever get to Net Zero. This all started by the Neocons to replace fossil fuels with nuclear power, and this was to undermine the Russian economy. McCain did not care about the environment. These people are masters at SWITCHING LABELS TO HIDE THEIR REAL AGENDA. Remember when Obama wanted to invade Syria? He could care less about the people of Syria, it was all about running a pipeline through Syria to cut off the income for Russia on selling fuel to Europe.
The US orchestrated the blowing up of Nordstream, and in return, they promised Germany to keep their mouth shut, and the US taxpayer would pay for a pipeline from Nigeria to Europe. Nigeria would also be the first test for CBDCs, and everything was going well until there was a coup in Niger where the pipeline had to go through. Victoria Nuland jumped on a plane because this was messing up the Neocon scheme to cut off the energy income for Russia again. This has always been an economic war to destroy Russia. Putin was a gentlemen and did not want to get into a blame game.
Mainstream media refused to air the interview with Putin. When I read the review by the Economist, which was unsigned by the author, hate and bias seethed through every line. I thought I was reading Karl Marx. The Economist did not present a review of the interview; it was a typical propaganda piece that did nothing but insult Tucker and Putin and never dealt with any facts.
Perhaps they were upset that their former Prime Minister Johnson went to Ukraine to tell Zelensky he was not allowed to sign a peace deal and fight until the last Ukrainian died. That was not fiction. The Ukrainian Press even reported it. Britain was interfering in the politics of Ukraine and had sentenced countless Ukrainians to their death. I was shocked by the Economist’s unprofessional review; there was just hatred in every line. They seemed to be trying to distract their readers from the raw truth about Johnson.
“A Trumpist provocateur and host on Fox News until he was sacked last year, Mr Carlson gave Mr Putin lots of chances to stir up American politics. For a supposed sorcerer of electoral interference, the president did a poor job. Might a different administration in Washington help mend relations with Russia? “It is not about the leader,” Mr Putin said disobligingly. Invited, more than once, to blame nato for the war—a bogus explanation favoured by American isolationists—he repeatedly blathered about history. Mr Carlson looked, now and then, like a man who has drifted into a reverie over whether he left the oven on.”
The response to the interview by the White House and NATO confirms what Putin has said. He is willing to talk, but they refuse. There is no risk to national security by a peace deal and simply honoring the Minak Agreement, and the Russians who have lived in the Donbas for centuries decide their fate.
The West lied about everything. They negotiated the Minsk Agreement in bad faith only to buy time for Ukraine to raise an army and take on Russia directly. We will spend $1 trillion on this war because this is all about destroying Russia from the outset. I was asked to put in $10 billion in 1998 to fund this takeover of Russia. I refused.
The day before, Zelensky stood up and announced he would seek to rearm Ukraine with nuclear weapons pointed at Russia. If I recall, the US had the Cuba Missile Crisis over Kruschev’s attempt to put nukes in Cuba. Putin mentioned that in a speech to the people that night as one of the reasons to justify entering the Donbas.
Zelensky claimed he did not warn the people about an invasion when he knew when it would take place, claiming it would have cost him $7 billion, but he was told not to inform the people. The Neocons wanted as many civilians killed as possible to paint Russia as ruthless. They needed that to sell the war to Congress, which they started.
I have said from the start that Putin was a historian. He rejected the idea that he should conquer Ukraine and take out Kiev, just as the US did to Iraq. When Putin launched the move to protect the Donbas, he told the Ukrainian people not to fight; we are brothers. Ukraine was never a country. They joined Hitler, who promised them he would create a country for them. Ukraine was the first to push for the demise of the Soviet Union. Kruschev assigned Crimea to Ukraine because he grew up there and was in charge of rebuilding Kiev during World War II. His successor, Brezhnev who was born in the Donbas.
Stalin’s right-hand man who proposed and took the food from Ukraine was Lazar Kaganovich (1893-1991), a Ukrainian. Even the New York Times reported quoting a Ukrainian woman: “I am from the Ukraine, and I know the ‘order’ Kaganovich enforced there — it was genocide.” He killed millions of Ukrainians and thought it was retaliation for prejudice against Jews.
Even NPR stooped to new low levels. They preferred to slander Tucker and denigrate Putin rather than listen to anything and preferred sending millions of people to die for their propaganda. They wrote:
“The right-wing television provocateur Tucker Carlson interviewed Vladimir Putin in Moscow in an exchange fueling both the Russian president’s anti-Ukrainian rhetoric and Carlson’s drive for renewed relevance in his post-Fox career.”
The New York Times was more restrained than the Economist. Perhaps because there was no American who told the Ukrainians that they should keep fighting until there were no Ukrainians left. Still, those of us who have access behind the curtain know that the US Neocons ordered Johnson to kill the peace deal. The NY Times had a political slant suggesting that Putin was adopting Trump’s talking points. wrote:
“President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia has worked for decades to win allies in the West, using his spy agencies to interfere in elections and deploying diplomats to build links with Kremlin-friendly politicians.
On Thursday, the world witnessed a new, verbose chapter in those efforts: Mr. Putin’s two-hour interview, taped in a gilded hall at the Kremlin, with one of America’s most prominent and most divisive conservative commentators.
Speaking to Tucker Carlson, the former Fox News host, Mr. Putin called on the United States to “make an agreement” to cede Ukrainian territory to Russia in order to end the war. He sought to appeal directly to American conservatives just as Republican lawmakers are holding up aid to Ukraine on Capitol Hill, echoing the talking points of politicians like former President Donald J. Trump who say that the United States has more pressing priorities than a war thousands of miles away.”
Variety Magazine was at least balanced. They did not degrade themselves by calling Tucker a failed journalist or Putin a madman. CNBC could not help themselves and just had to comment: “Carlson has consistently repeated falsehoods, misinformation and conspiracy theories, and he has been a vocal critic of U.S. support of Ukraine.”
Reuterswas at least professional, which is very hard to find these days. They reported that “Putin devoted a substantial part of the interview to complaining that Ukraine had been on the verge of agreeing a deal to end hostilities at talks in Istanbul in April 2022, but backed away, he said, once Russian troops withdrew from near Kyiv.” I had contacts there in Kyiv, and I was concerned for their safety. There was a column of tanks parked outside the city, and I asked daily, “What are they doing? ” I was told they were just sitting there as a show of force. They reported that he had no interest in invading Poland or Latvia. I have heard that from my sources, and it appears to be propaganda from NATO to keep their funding flowing to remain relevant. Politico was not as biased as many. Still, they tried to paint Putin in a dark light rather than to encourage some negotiation. Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians are dying for a territory grab that Russians have occupied for hundreds of years. If Kiyv had a right to independence from Russians, then why does Donbas, who are Russians, have the same right to freedom?
Aljazeera was the only one who seemed to focus on Russia being invited to join NATO. They reported fairly without calling people names, pointing out Putin’s claims Clinton flip-flopped on Russia joining NATO. Most of the Western Press ignored that because it did not suit their predetermined agenda.
I got my hands on all the declassified documents from the Clinton Administration. NOTHING that Putin said was propaganda or a lie. All of the documents from the Clinton Administration form his version. The Western Media is so intent on putting out the propaganda from the Neocons that they are pushing us into World War III. There is no Western leader who is even interested in peace. They are all pushing for war ASAP because they will (1) get to default on all their debts, at least held by enemies, and (2) they can use a population reduction to reduce the unfunded liabilities. Nobody seems interested anymore in honest investigative journalism.
They see their job to drag the common people into war, telling them they will be attacked any day now. The common people in the US, EU, Canada, China, and Russia do not want war. That is always the scheme of leaders – not the average person who stands nothing to gain and everything to lose. Yet, mainstream media keep the propaganda preaching war with every article they write, often quoting Victoria Nuland’s sister-in-law, who runs the Institute for the Study of War.
The former Prosecutor General and ex-head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, Yuriy Lutsenko, has publicly come out and said that Ukraine lost 500,000 soldiers, killed or seriously wounded, since the beginning of the Russian special military operation/invasion. When I reported this months ago, of course, I got the hate mail accusing me of pushing Russian propaganda. That number has since exceeded 1 million. Zelensky will not seek peace because the Neocons and NATO say, “NO WAY!” They are sacrificing Ukrainians on this Neocon Altar of Hatred. NATO is using Ukrainians as cannon fodder to kill as many Russians as possible.
The West needs this war to provide the excuse to default on their debts, and they then intend to usher in Bretton Woods II with the end goal of total control, introducing CBDCs
Yevgeny Dickii, former commander of the Ukrainian ground forces ‘Aidar’ battalion, has come out warning if Zelensky’s draft of another 500,000 Ukrainians fails, the country could disappear.
“Ukraine could quickly disappear if people on the home front do not understand that conscription is a necessary measure.”
Posted originally on Jan 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
NATO announced that has purchased 1,000 Patriot missiles to prolong the war in Ukraine. The total purchase amounts to $5.5 billion as each missile costs around $4 million (batteries not included). NATO is bypassing the wishes of independent nations who wished to cease funding the war.
Defense contractors are celebrating this endless war. Raytheon, a US defense contractor, designed these surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems in 1969. The first missile was produced in 1976, deployed in 1984, but there was a lack of demand during times of peace. Boeing and Lockheed Martin have helped Raytheon redesign these weapons into undetectable killing machines. The US Army only has 1,100 Patriot launchers, and the production rate has been about 500 annually. One thousand Patriot missiles is a tall order.
(Sebastian Apel/U.S. Department of Defense, via AP)
It is such a tall order that they are now opening a new manufacturing plant in Germany. “Europe will produce 1,000 Patriot air defence missiles itself. This shows that European cooperation ensures concrete successes,” Dutch Defense Minister Kajsa Ollongren touted. NATO realizes that there will be an increased need for these weapons in the coming years. Moving production to Germany eliminates the reliance on American manufacturing, especially in the event of a Trump victory this November.
NATO has done everything possible to trigger Russia and escalate the war in favor of the Neocons and the military-industrial complex. The Neocons simply want to see the demise of Russia and China for their Communist pasts, and the military-industrial complex is bankrolling on mass murder. Building a facility in Germany is NATO’s way of telling Russia that they have not given up on their dreams for World War III even if independent national governments wish to cease funding the war.
Posted originally on Dec 13, 2023 By Martin Armstrong
The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) executive board has approved a $900 million disbursement for Ukraine from its $15.6 billion loan program. This decision was made just hours before IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The approval follows a staff agreement reached last month with Ukrainian authorities after the second review of Kyiv’s progress on a four-year Extended Fund Facility loan.
The IMF called for an “ambitious” external commercial debt restructuring in the first half of 2024, and JPMorgan Chase and BlackRock are happy to oblige. The IMF raised Ukraine’s growth forecast for 2023 to 4.5% and expected growth of 3% to 4% in 2024, citing the “remarkable resilience” of the economy. “Looking ahead, whereas the recovery is expected to continue, the outlook has significant risks stemming mainly from the exceptionally high war-related uncertainty,” Georgieva said in a statement. “It is also critical that external financing on concessional terms continue on a timely and predictable basis.”
The IMF has already spent $4.5 billion on Ukraine in 2023. America alone has sent over $100 billion and the president is threatening to send American troops to die if his latest $60+ billion spending package is not approved — $61 BILLION! Ukraine is anticipating a budget deficit of $43 billion for 2024 and needs America to foot the bill. Reuters called it “international donor fatigue” after reprimanding countries for not sending all of their reserves to Ukraine. The people are tired of these expensive war games and most are waking up and realizing that we cannot continue funding a losing battle.
Posted originally on Dec 10, 2023 By Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: It first seemed you were just a Russian supporter. The more I read, the more I became shocked that we have instigated this conflict with Russia and all the conspiracy theories are being proven true. The person who referred me to your site said you had the best sources because everyone wanted to know what Socrates was forecasting. Your post today about Boris Johnson telling Zelensky there is no peace with Russia truly hit home. These people have no qualms about letting millions die for nothing. It makes me wonder if these people want power and enjoy hurting others. I cannot comprehend their thinking, let alone their moral character. Johnson has the blood of many on his hands, and he cannot wash them clean like Pontus Pilate.
MW
REPLY: The West wants this war. Zelensky was told to keep fighting to kill as many Russians as possible. Lindsey Graham said it was the best money he ever spent to kill Russians. The problem is that 500,000 Ukrainians are now dead and still counting. Not a single leader in the West gave 2-seconds of thought about all the Ukrainian deaths and that 8 to 10 million have fled their homes. They have destroyed Ukraine because of their hatred of Russians. It was the unelected interim government installed by the US, EU, and Britain that started this civil war, attacking the Donbas on their instructions. The people voted for Zelensky because he promised peace. Johnson interfered and said no way.
McCain was at Maidan encouraging a revolution and that the United States would stand behind them. Can you imagine if a Russian addressed the crowd on January 6th, encouraging them to overthrow the government? The Neocons have used Ukraine for their purpose to wage war against Russia, and they never cared about the Ukrainian people or their country.
Khruschev arbitrarily drew the Ukraine border for administrative purposes. He grew up there and was responsible for rebuilding Kiev after World War II. His successor, Brezhnev, was also born there in the Donbas. Does that mean the Cuban Missle Crisis was not with Russia, but with Ukraine since they claim the Donbas? From the beginning, before the US started this civil war, I had employees on both sides in Donetsk and Kyiv and warned on February 20, 2014, that Ukraine should have been divided based on language. I stressed that point again in 2022. I also warned back on December 3rd, 2013, before the Maidan Revolution, that “Ukraine Maybe The Most Important Country To Watch.” This has NEVER been my personal opinion or wish. Our computer pinpointed Ukraine before anything even took place.
Our computer pinpointed Ukraine as the place where World War III would begin.
Posted originally on the CTH on December 3, 2023 | Sundance
If you were a curious and nationalist minded European person who wanted to better understand the dynamic of American politics, such an intentioned person would likely visit Washington DC to meet, understand and absorb the reality of USA politics. However, that approach, while familiar, would be a mistake.
A visit to the DC beltway would generate opinions and insights from the perspective of the federal government apparatus. Additionally, the U.S. politicians are going to repeat the policy agenda points that are debated and discussed. But does that approach really inform the curious visitor about how Americans feel, engage and interact with the government? The answer is no; the visitor would get the official skewed perspective, but leave without any understanding of how the policies described are actually considered by the American people.
To really understand the nature of how Americans view the political dynamic inside the U.S, as well as discover how the people would be reacting to policy or possible workarounds therein, the curious visitor would need to go to where the boots on the ground are – to the actual people who are engaging in American life.
The reverse of this scenario is also true. Traveling from the USA to visit Spain, Holland, Hungary or Belarus, and spending time with their political leadership, will only gain you a top-level policy outline of what those officials and politicians are trying to achieve. If there is a conflict between the official position and the actual reality on the ground, the curious visitor would never see it.
This dichotomy is the fatal flaw within the process of gathering information. Tucker Carlson or (fill_in_blank) cannot understand how/if the political policy transfers to the citizens by talking to the known leadership. What is happening on the ground could be entirely different, and that begins the conversation to a larger awakening.
My curiosity revolved around Western global sanctions against Russia. It has been almost two years since massive sanctions against Russia were implemented. The goal of the sanctions was to hurt Russia economically, weaken Putin domestically, and ultimately change the outcome in Ukraine. However, the Russian economy is larger than before the sanctions; the Ruble is stronger against the US Dollar than before; Vladimir Putin is more supported inside Russia than before, and most of the financial and economic systems under sanction have failed to yield a substantive difference on the ground in Russia.
How is this possible, when we are told the sanctions delivered hardship to Russia? The answer is simple; the sanctions didn’t work. Why not? What is happening? These were the questions I had in mind as I went to where the economic systems are actually being engaged by the people. I can say with certainty what I found is nowhere in any Western media presentation.
I will describe tomorrow the granular details of why the claims of the west do not match the reality of what is taking place. On the ground, the sanctions are invisible because ordinary people in Europe, (a) are not in alignment with the expressed government intent, and (b) therefore have no issue constructing ways around them.
The US, UK, France and bureaucrats in Brussels are the tip of the spear against Russia, but behind that face there are EU mechanisms that do not align. Things are not what they seem.
Before getting to those details, some of which have to be shared carefully due to the sensitivity of the information and process (sand in the machine), let’s start by looking at the subtle indications which will validate what we discuss next.
WASHINGTON DC – Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán regularly pushes the EU to the cliff edge, but diplomats are panicking that his hostility to Ukraine is now about to finally kick the bloc over the precipice.
A brewing political crisis is set to boil over at a summit in mid-December when EU leaders are due to make a historic decision on bringing Ukraine into the 27-nation club and seal a key budget deal to throw a €50 billion lifeline to Kyiv’s flailing war economy. The meeting is supposed to signal to the U.S. that, despite the political distraction over the war in the Middle East, the EU is fully committed to Ukraine.
Those hopes look likely to be knocked off course by Orbán, a strongman who cultivates close ties with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin and who is widely seen as having undermined democracy and rule of law at home. He is demanding the whole political and financial process should be put on ice until leaders agree to a wholesale review of EU support for Kyiv.
[…] Previous peacemakers such as former German Chancellor Angela Merkel or other Orbán-whisperers from the so-called Visegrád Four — Slovakia, Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic — are no longer there. The expected comeback of Donald Tusk for Poland, a pro-EU and anti-Russian leader, will only heighten Orbán’s status as the lonely, defiant hold-out.
“There is no one left to talk sense into Orbán,” a third EU official said. “He is now undermining the EU from within.”
[…] In theory, Brussels could come out with the big guns and use the EU’s so-called Article 7 procedure against Hungary, used when a country is considered at risk of breaching the bloc’s core values. The procedure is sometimes called the EU’s “nuclear option” as it provides for the most serious political sanction the bloc can impose on a member country — the suspension of the right to vote on EU decisions.
Because of those far-reaching consequences, there is reticence to roll out this option against Hungary. When EU leaders brought in “diplomatic sanctions” against Austria in 2000, the day after the party of Austrian far-right leader Jörg Haider entered the coalition, it backfired. Many Austrians were angry at EU interference and anti-EU sentiment soared. Sanctions were lifted later that year.
There is now a widespread feeling in Brussels that Article 7 could create a similar backlash in Budapest, fueling populism and in the longer term potentially even trigger a snowball effect leading to an unintended Hungarian exit of the bloc.
Given those fears, diplomats are doubling down on ways to work around a Hungarian veto. (read more)
Now you know why I went to Budapest.
What I can tell you is the nationalist outlook, a sentiment against the interests of Brussels, is not only an Orban perspective. The Hungarian people, and the institutions therein, have no issue with Russia. This extends to the reality within the Russian consulate in Budapest; you’ll specifically see how this all manifests tomorrow.
(Washington DC) – […] Instead of targeting flagship exports like oil and gas, Ukraine’s European allies will focus on restricting trade in diamonds, iron and copper, which are of relatively little value to the Russian state. When it comes to energy, “we’ve reached the capacity of what we can do without shooting [ourselves] in the foot and harming our competitiveness,” one EU diplomat claimed.
The biggest omission is liquefied natural gas, the all-important fossil fuel that netted President Vladimir Putin’s regime an estimated $6.6 billion in sales in the EU this year alone. Countries like Spain and Belgium have actually even boosted their LNG imports by a massive 50 percent in 2023, compared to 2022.
Meanwhile, hopes that Europe could agree to shut the door on Russia’s atomic energy sector given its dangerous occupation of Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant — the continent’s largest — have failed to materialize. Hungary is expanding one of its own atomic power stations with Moscow’s help and populist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has vowed to veto any sanctions that would hurt the industry, despite criticism from EU and Ukrainian officials alike. Unanimous support from all 27 member states is needed to impose new restrictions, meaning talks on the subject are now deadlocked. (read more)
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