Failure of Abenomics


Abe Prime Minister Shinzo

Abenomics (アベノミクス Abenomikusu ?) in Japan are the economic policies advocated by Shinzō Abe since the December 2012 general election, which elected Abe to his second term as Prime Minister of Japan. Abenomics is based upon “three arrows” of fiscal stimulus, monetary easing and structural reforms. This has been a complete failure as the economy continue to implode. The Bank of Japan hinted possible proposals to take rates even further negative and the likelihood banks passing these levels on to the general public.

IBJYVJ-Y 4-23-2016

The dollar rallied against the yen right on target for 43 months (8.6 / 2), and has declined about 8.6 months from the high in June of 2015. It appears to be on target and the latest suggestion of further negative rates being passed on by the banks will most likely cause a flight from the yen besides admitting Abenomics has failed. This has also contributed to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising and holding last year’s low distinct from the S&P500 and NASDAQ.

The Fate of Office: Last-In Gets All the Blame


Hoover_inaugeration

 

Herbert Clark Hoover (1874 – 1964) was the 31st President of the United States (1929–33). He was elected on Tuesday, November 6, 1928, and took office in 1929. He was blamed for 1929 although he was not its cause. Whoever wins this year’s Presidential election will be blamed for what the establishment has caused. People have asked if I support Trump. From a realistic perspective, if we were not facing what we face, I would prefer someone in there as a check and balance against the establishment. From a practical perspective, I would prefer Hillary for she deserves the legacy of what lies ahead.

California Poll: Trump Winning State and Holds Strong Primary Leads In All Regional Districts…


I hope it holds here for without California Trump can’t win.

Pat Buchanan Points Out The Absurdity of Continued GOPe Attempts To Deny The Voter…


Pat Buchanan is 100% right if Trump is denied the nomination the Party itself is done. The people will not stand for being denied and a new party will form I would guess it will be part Republican party blue dog Democrats and part Libertarian. Further its possible that this collation could win some states and deny the election to the R’s and D’s and throwing it into the House.

BREXIT


BREXIT On Schedule

 

BREXITThere is talk that Obama may go to Britain to express support for Cameron’s position on Britain remaining in the EU, even though it will surrender its sovereignty to do so. The USA would NEVER agree to such terms itself. How could anyone tell Britain to surrender its very soul to the insanity of Brussels, as if they have done such a wonderful job? The EU is being eaten alive from the inside and now 66% of Germans are against Merkel. Yet, Britain should surrender everything to this madness? It has been 43 years since Britain entered the EU. It did quite well before 1973. If Britain remains in the EU, well, these people have already passed laws against short-selling. They will destroy London as a financial hub and reduce it to a third world status.

We will be issuing a special report on Britain given the serious of what is at stake.

Since the issue is sovereignty being surrendered, the queen should rightfully say yes or no as well.

The Bankers will Back Hillary Against Trump


Hillary-Blankfein

The bankers will be backing Hillary with unlimited money. If Trump becomes the nominee, you will see a major effort to put Hillary in the White House. If the bankers do not own the White House, they will be at serious risk between 2017-2020. Right now, they have been hit with big fines for clipping people in just about every market from metals to currencies. There is no possible way Hillary will release the transcripts of those speeches because they would reveal how much she is in their corner. Hillary’s response is simply that she does not believe the people are interested in those transcripts. Like her illegal server, she is the most secretive person in Washington circles in many many years.

What Are Tangible Assets


Assets Tangibile

QUESTION: Hi Martin,

In your April 20 blog post, you stated “You are better off with tangible assets for the transition when it comes.”

Please explain what “tangible” assets are, and what “non-tangible” assets are, assuming these also exist.

Thanks for the wonderful education,
M.

ANSWER: Tangible Assets are non debt related – fixed assets in general. This includes commodities, equities, and real estate. The commodities include non-perishable such as gold, silver, platinum, copper, etc.. The agricultural commodities are not really sustainable on a long-term basis. The primary advantage to silver and gold is that they are the same commodity in different nations where as you have even difference between Texas and Brent crude oil. Real estate varies depending upon location. You definitely have two problems. First, there is the risk of tax increases, and Second, there is the geopolitical risk in some areas. Equities (shares in public corporations), serve well and blue chips have never defaulted. Even if a company goes bust, you get something back. When government debt goes bust, you get nothing.

Delaware Poll: “Ceilings”? Donald Trump Crushes Kasich and Cruz Combined…


Assuming the RNC/GOPe doesn’t pull any more crap than it already is e.g. throwing him out of the party then he will be over 1237 delegates come the Convention in Cleveland.

Post Election Night Debrief – Trump Towers and Cruz Mathematically Knocked Out…


My prediction for trump  in New York was 80 delegates and 10 for Cruz and 5 for Kasich so Trump is ahead of plan and should be able secure 1000 plus by the end of the month. That almost guarantees him the nomination. So we need to keep the pressure on and ignore the BS that Trump can beat Hillary — that is totally ridiculous Hillary can’t even beat Bernie who really isn’t even trying!

Central Banks Are Trapped – Higher Interest Rates the Only Answer?


Reserve Bank Australia Glenn Stevens

COMMENT: Marty, well it looks like you have done it. The central banks are going to start raising interest rates right in line with your model. It is interesting how your computer puts the entire world before you to see. Keep up the good work. They obviously are starting to follow you.

SS

REPLY: I do not think that the central banks are simply beginning to follow us. Yes, they all probably read us no doubt. But make no mistake about it, they are going to raise rates not because of our model, but because they have no choice. Low interest rates have wiped out pension funds and destroyed the living standards of the elderly. These people are clueless and should never have followed Larry Summers down this path of absolute hell. The comments of Glenn Stevens, the meeting between Yellen and Obama, and the criticism starting to surface against Draghi at the ECB is the realization that interest rates must be “normalized” (raised) but they have created a nightmare for governments are addicted to low interest rates and their budget will explode and we will see a sharp rising in taxes from 2017 onward.

We will be putting out a very important special report. What is going on behind the curtain right now is state pensions are lobbying Congress to make it MANDATORY that everyone (not just government employees) contribute to state pension systems. They want to takeover your 401K and manage everything robbing your saving to pay for unfunded liabilities to state workers. This is how they are looking to bail themselves out. This is the dark side post-2017. This is going on right now and it is still all hush hush.

CBDUSA-Y 2015

All the markets from metals to equities and oil, have pushed right to the limits. Almost all markets are approaching their key target resistance and reversals. Even silver has rallied to the Weekly Bullish at 1719 followed by 1775 just below last year’s high of 1850.5 causing the silver/gold ratio to bounce from resistance. The Dow has done almost the exact same type of move reaching the Bullish Reversals just beneath last year’s high. Gold has done the same thing stopping just 30 cents from the Weekly Bullish Reversal at 1287.50 shy of last year’s high of 1307.80. Of course oil has not come close to last year’s high of 62.58.

The point is, when we extract the emotion and opinion which is incompatible with forecasting, the entire purpose of our model is to provide a very black and white perspective without the hype and emotion that causes losses. We know when to get excited and when to hold back. Nearly 90% of people investing lose money because they are victims of their own emotion. Let the markets show you the trend. They are never wrong, only people. Over the years I have personally noticed that when it is the MOST difficult even for me to stand firm and I begin to question will it break through, that is precisely when it does not. So if the markets can move to such an extreme that even I get that feeling inside OMG, is this correct, that is when it is right in spades. This is an emotional game and people trade emotionally to their own demise.

So step back, we have the time and numbers. Just let the markets do what they do best. Never ANTICIPATE for that is how you buy the high or sell the low.