Posted originally on Oct 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

COMMENT #1: Hi Martin,

Macron is totally cornered tonight, and 62% of the French people are now demanding his resignation. With all the panic cycles showing up in multiple markets in 3 weeks only, may God help us if the petit Napoleon doesn’t take us into war with his other European parasite friends to avoid losing power after their failed policies, and humiliation as the most hated president in history. Unbearable for such a narcissistic character.

Best wishes from France.

PH

COMMENT#2: Mr. Armstrong,

Thank you for doing podcasts in Croatia and Serbia. You are being heard. The president, Milorad Dodik, a Bosnian Serb, who is the 8th President of the Republika Srpska, is now publicly saying what you have been warning about: that this war with Russia is because the EU is in trouble. I know if I ask, you cannot confirm or deny. But it appears that you may be advising countries in the Balkans. I certainly hope so. Dodik has publicly stated that the political situation in European countries is deteriorating, and their economies are in recession. Dodik warned that the EU is a trap. “The Balkan countries should not join the EU. It’s a trap. By the time we join the European Union, it will disappear, and it is already disappearing.” 

Thank you so much for your efforts. You are the only person who truly deserves a Peace Prize.

VR

REPLY: If you are blind, you can still see that once the EU was created, like a small businessman seeks to expand his business, that same human instinct takes place among politicians, but the difference is they constantly seek more and more power directed against the people. Even German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for “putting sticks in the wheels of Brussels” in order to regain Berlin’s influence. Merz wants to give part of the EU’s powers to national governments. He has stressed that it is necessary to stop Brussels’ interference “in people’s daily lives” in the person of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

“Now we have to put a stick in the wheels of this machine in Brussels,” the German chancellor said, addressing business leaders.

Merz also criticizes von der Leyen for proposals to expand the EU budget, introduce new taxes, and for the protracted negotiations on trade agreements. He has insisted on reviewing the role of Brussels in defense planning. Merz has actually said that the EU has “gone too far” and that this situation “can no longer continue.”

Poland has also expressed similar problems with Ursula’s administration of the EU. She has really wiped out the European economy by using insane climate control to the migrant crisis. A mere glance at the GDP of Europe in comparison to that of the United States reveals how it has significantly suppressed economic growth, pushing the EU to the brink of collapse.

This is the official data taken from the Federal Reserve. This is why we even have a NO-CONFIDENCE VOTE on Ursula this week. I was in a meeting in Berlin and had to run to the next meeting in Rome. These climate change policies have led to the cancellation of short-term flights. There was only one direct flight in the morning. I had to rent a private jet to make the next meeting. I have NEVER in over 40 years been compelled to do that.

Since the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement, Bosnia and Herzegovina has functioned as a decentralized, multiethnic state divided into two entities: the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Republika Srpska. Ukraine should have been divided along ethnic lines. But NATO and the NEOCONS have been using Ukraine as their sacrifice on their Neocon altar to bring down Russia.

The Balkans can’t look to the future because they are forever hostages to the past. Even the Baltic states face the same issue with Kallas of Estonia, who insists that Russia is too large and must be broken up. The EU hates Dodik because he is pro-Russia.

This week, the European Parliament is scheduled to hold two no-confidence votes against European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Thursday, October 9, 2025, at 12:00 PM CEST. These votes follow a joint debate held on Monday, October 6, 2025, at 5:00 PM CEST. What is fascinating is how the computer picks up these events from the economic patterns. He had a Panic Cycle for the 9th – the day of the vote.

The motions have been introduced by two political groups: the anti-leftist “Patriots for Europe” and the left-wing group “The Left.” The Patriots for Europe criticize Ursula von der Leyen’s green policies and response to illegal migration, while The Left condemns the EU’s inaction on Gaza. Both groups also oppose Ursula’s trade policies, particularly a tariff deal with the U.S. and a proposed EU-Mercosur agreement, which they argue harms farmers and the environment.

Most expect the motions will fail and Ursula will maintain the European tyranny. A two-thirds majority is required to pass a no-confidence motion in the European Parliament, and such a majority is not anticipated. Centrist parties, including the European People’s Party (EPP), Socialists and Democrats (S&D), and Renew Europe, are expected to support Ursula to the detriment of Europe. They will ensure that Ursula von der Leyen will retain her position and allow Europe to fulill is destiny.

Despite the expected outcome, these motions highlight growing political polarization within the European Parliament and reflect broader dissatisfaction with von der Leyen’s leadership. However, the computer does NOT show such clear sailing. This week was to be a Directional Change, and we have a Panic Cycle that is showing up around the world in various markets, especially during the Week of October 27th.

Posted originally on Sep 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Albania has adopted the world’s first AI “minister” in an attempt to combat corruption. Diella, the female-voiced AI entity, will be a “member of the Cabinet who is not present physically but has been created virtually,” Prime Minister Edi Rama stated, adding that the robot would ensure that “public tenders will be 100% free of corruption” since current government employees cannot be trusted.

Microsoft helped to assemble Dinella—red flag number one. The robot will receive access to 1 million digital documents, including sensitive government information. The advancements in AI are ingenious but not sentient. Dinella has been programmed and, therefore, is prone to biases.

The irony is that in turning to artificial intelligence, the people are acknowledging that human government has completely failed. I have said before that many have proposed replacing judges, regulators, and even politicians with AI, as if a machine will somehow be impartial. The problem, of course, is not the hardware but the software. Who writes the code? Who programs the “ethics”? If government controls the AI, then it is nothing more than an automated extension of the same corruption. AI becomes a weaponized bureaucracy, enforcing whatever the ruling elite rules.

Rama’s Socialist Party has its eyes set on European Union membership, believing it can rid its nation of corruption ahead of negotiations in 2027. It is unclear if lawmakers will have the ability to vote on Diella’s post as minister, or whether the public will have an opportunity to vote for AI-driven politicians.

Society has fallen to the point that robots are trusted more than human beings. Do people believe that a robot can properly represent them or lead? “[The] Prime Minister’s buffoonery cannot be turned into legal acts of the Albanian state,” said Gazmend Bardhi, parliamentary group leader of the Democrats.

AI is only as honest as its programmer, and if Microsoft is involved, I have little hope of Dinella’s moral coding. Appointing a robot as minister is an extremely desperate move by the Albanian government to restore public trust. This is not a technological milestone but a glaring warning of lost confidence in a failing political system.

Posted originally on Sep 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Business flees when it feels it is unwanted, and the Labour Party has created an environment that repels capital. A wave of pharmaceutical companies are pulling out of the United Kingdom due to a climate that has become “uninvestable.”

AstraZeneca has become one of the latest companies to pull back on investments due to excessive regulation and taxation. “We constantly reassess the investment needs of our company and can confirm our expansion in Cambridge is paused. We have no further comment to make,” a spokesperson said. The company decided to pause a 200 million pound ($271.26 million) investment in Cambridge that was slated to created 1,000 new jobs. The company first terminated a 450 million pound investment in northern England back in January, citing a lack of support from the UK government.

Merck Pharmaceuticals terminated a £1bn (US$1.35bn) research and development project in London and called the UK “uninvestable.” The drugmaker plans to abandon its London Bioscience Innovation Centre and the Francis Crick Institute by the end of the year due to the lack of investment in the life science industry and the overall undervaluation of innovative medicines and vaccines by successive UK governments.”

“Simply put, the UK is not internationally competitive,” a Merck spokesperson stated.

The NHS tightly regulates drug prices, yet spends only 9% of its budget on medicines compared to other OECD nations that spend between 14-20%. Only 37% of new drugs are fully reimbursed for their licensed use, whereas the figure is 90% in Germany and likely higher in the US. The government expects businesses to pay them a large portion of their revenue. Drugmakers face a 23.5% levy on new drugs as of 2025. Why would a pharmaceutical company research and develop new products in a nation that demands nearly a quarter of the profits?

Foreign investment in life sciences is down 58% since 2017 across the UK. Comparatively, investment in research and development (R&D) fell 1.9% on a global basis. Tight price controls, high government levies, and regulatory red tape have caused multi-billion-dollar investments to flee. Drugmakers are beginning to pour investments into the US instead, where they receive generous incentives and lower taxes.