Tag Archives: Free Market

Mar 2 2016

The Unfolding Pension Crisis


Armstrong Economics Blog

Re- Posted Mar 2, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

Pension-Crisis

Part of the collapse in confidence we are experiencing with government stems directly from the fact that politicians engage in far more criminal behavior than anyone in the corporate world. While bankers may manipulate markets to trade against clients, politicians just lie to keep their jobs. The fact that they are incapable of managing the country, no less the economy, is coming to a head. The pension crisis we face emerges from all the promises of socialism. The crisis sprung from the fact that they don’t fund much of their promises and just assume there are enough schmucks to tax.

What played out in Detroit was critical but they ignored the problem. Pensions exceeded 50% of the budget and the city could not raise taxes because people just left town. Now in Kansas, workers are discovering that after 33 years they are facing a 51% cut to their pensions. The Central States Pension Fund that covers 400,000 participants (220,000 of them are retired) will go completely bust within 10 years.

934-ECM 2011 - 2020

This story will replay over and over again throughout the country on the other side of 2017.9 (Nov 24/25, 2017). We should begin to read more and more about this problem when we pass 2016.825 (October 28, 2016).

Mar 1 2016

The coming Collapse of the EU


Armstrong Economics Blog

Re-Posted Mar 1, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

EU Flag 300

Our long-term projection models targeted March 13/14th, 2016 for when the confidence in the EU would begin to crack much more profoundly among the average community. Indeed, the general view about the EU’s future has begun to to just plummet as reported in every member state (28 in total) with the exception of just three: member states, most strikingly in the Netherlands and Germany, where people are now overwhelmingly negative about the outlook for the union. Where the EU remains with the smallest amount of pessimists is actually Ireland coming in at 20% with Greece leading the pack at 63%. The pessimism has increased by 20% in the past year alone. It appears the computer has again successfully targeted the correct period but this feat is accomplished by looking at the business cycle. It is very clear that once the cycle turns down, confidence collapses.

UK - Euro Flags

BREXITIn Britain, 44% of the population are now against staying in the EU. Clearly, the number one issue has been the wholesale migration ushered in by Merkel or Islamic hordes. David Cameron announced the referendum would take place June 23rd. He initially agreed to such a vote because he never thought in a million years the British would vote to get out. Now the polls have narrowed and despite the media supporting Cameron and the EU, they seem unlikely to with their brainwashing campaign to stay in Europe. Despite the fact that Cameron has been trying to use scare-tactics against his pwn people to stay in the EU, he has also said that his authority rests on holding the vote on British membership, and that does not mean winning it. Cameron has no plans on stepping down if the people vote to for BREXIT. The likelihood of the British votes being rigged is EXTREMELY HIGH, because Brussels fear a contagion and since 25 out of 28 member states have seen extremely high pessimistic view of Brussels, you are looking at a massive loss of government jobs so it is unlikely Brussels will simply go quietly into the light.

EU-Poll

Mar 1 2016

TTIP will fail more taxes do not stimulate growth!


Armstrong Economics Blog

Re-Posted Mar 1, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

1-ECM 2032

QUESTION: 

Dear Mr. Armstrong,

Your article on the trend set in motion with reference to Trump was fantastic. The world and how it ticks is truly fascinating, your work in investigating how it does so is worthy of any prize and will surely go down in history as the greatest investigation into humanity of all time. Always building on the work done by previous great minds and expanding on it.

Globalisation is a feature you predicted with the ECM you developed. Recently I came across the TTIP program – Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. I was wondering if this is a feature of the trend towards globalisation which you saw possible? Is it possible that we could see a massive trade and investment peak before the crash and burn? Or is it crash and burn first with a spike in gold and then start a fresh? The “crash and burn” event you spoke of. Is this crash and burn of government ?
(the drop after 2030 looks pretty serious on the ECM) It seems that the degree of corruption “behind the curtain” is a webbed network around the globe…..people I think are waking up to the level of totalitarianism enforced upon them by powerful government circles, unknown names, unknown faces……the pot seems ready boil over
A

WorldEconomy

ANSWER: The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) will be a failure. There is nothing governments can do to stimulate the world economy. To encourage trade, you do not support the reporting among nations that will begin in 2017. You do not impose a global tax on companies, as proposed by the IMF. You do not keep increasing enforcement on taxes while claiming that you are expanding the world economy. So do not expect some surge in global trade.

There is nothing we can do to alter the business cycle. The West will crash and burn, and the global economy will rise from the ashes in Asia — not Europe or the U.S. Gold and tangible assets will make the transition from one monetary system to the next. It has nothing to do with the quantity of money. It has to do with a collapse in confidence in the state. That is what we are witnessing with Trump right now. The pundits are fools. They think they can attack Trump to hold on to their elite status and power. Sorry, that is just not the way this works. They will never reform because they will not admit that they have ever done anything wrong.

Feb 28 2016

Trump is our Knight and is doing battle for us against those that wish to rule us!


Donald J. Trump has tapped into the anger of the American people, the vulgarians, who know and feel that all they have fought and died for will soon be gone if the current crop of corrupt DC politicians have their way. A true Grassroots movement by the vulgarians has taken root and signs of protest are now appearing in public in support of Trump and the vulgarians show up in mass at his rallies. This is the way that non-violent change is made — the people will be allowed to have their say or there will be hell to pay.

Trump-the-Knight

Now that we have found a champion a Knight to fight for us and that is Donald J. Trump — some have said that he is not perfect, no of course not he is human just like the rest of us that carry the original sin. But he is a Christian and he is a strong leader and his heart is in the right place. Further he wants to fix the wrongs that have been done to all of us and to the Constitution. The GOPe and most of the rest of the Washington elite have, in essence, signed on with the dark one and sold their souls to the devil himself knowingly or not their actions tell us they have. We are in the fight to the end and we will not be turned from our goal of making Washington work for us not for them.

Therefore in the spirit of the Declaration of Independence which started us down this path we rededicate ourselves to the founding principles … “and for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.”

Feb 28 2016

Trump is the only one that is for the people!


Donald J. Trump has tapped into the anger of the American people, the vulgarians, who know and feel that all they have fought and died for will soon be gone if the current crop of corrupt DC politicians have their way. A true Grassroots movement by the vulgarians has taken root and signs of protest are now appearing in public in support of Trump and the vulgarians show up in mass at his rallies. This is the way that non-violent change is made — the people will be allowed to have their say or there will be hell to pay.

Trump on Dragon

Now that we have found a champion to fight for us and that is Donald J. Trump — some have said that he is not perfect, no of course not he is human just like the rest of us that carry the original sin. But he is a Christian and he is a strong leader and his heart is in the right place. Further he wants to fix the wrongs that have been done to all of us and to the Constitution. The GOPe and most of the rest of the Washington elite have, in essence, signed on with the dark one and sold their souls to the devil himself knowingly or not their actions tell us they have. We are in the fight to the end and we will not be turned from our goal of making Washington work for us not for them.

Therefore in the spirit of the Declaration of Independence which started us down this path we rededicate ourselves to the founding principles … “and for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.”

Feb 28 2016

We Want the Truth!


ruth

It’s amazing that it is a Brit that has to be the one to elucidate the truth, because we are hamstrung by political correctness in the Land of the free.  Trump has shown us that he is the only one that tries to tell us of the dangers that we face if we continue on this path of destruction.  We love him for this as we know in our hearts that he is right!

Feb 28 2016

Bombshell Expose’ – Conservative Radio: Limbaugh, Ingraham, Hannity and Levin Were All Part of Gang-of-Eight “Gaslighting”…


So it would seem that some of our “friends” may not really be our friends — and that the deceit goes much deeper than most of us thought.

Feb 28 2016

Dow Outlook – Month End February 2016


 

Armstrong Economics Blog

Re-Posted Feb 28, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

DJIND-M 2-27-2016

 

Technically, the Dow Jones Industrials was almost set up to make a “Channel Move” between two channels. But they interestingly over-lapped instead with no gap between. This is one reason the SP500 could break last years low but not the Dow. We made a new high for the month on Friday closing at 16639.97. We elected a minor Monthly Bullish Reversal in the Dow last month at 16175. Here the low remains the week of January 20th. We really need a monthly closing above 17800 to signal a breakout to the upside is likely. We have a Directional Change in March and the target for a turning point comes in April and then June.

Keep in mind that is the Euro starts to give way, more and more capital will flee Europe into the USA. The smart money will buy the equity rather than government bonds.

A month-end closing ABOVE 16934 will be bullish. A closing beneath this level is will still bearish near-term.

Feb 27 2016

Story Time: Bill Reads a Hillary Clinton Children’s Book!


Published on Feb 26, 2016

Hey kiddos, it’s time for Uncle Bill to read a story– its a charming tale about a super breed of woman, a true leader from birth, Hilary Clinton! Gather round!!

Feb 27 2016

Is There a Way Out of this Mess?


 

Armstrong Economics Blog

Re-Posted Feb 27, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

Thinking ProcessQUESTION: Marty

Thanks to bring such clear view of what is happening, but please, come to us with an “ideal solution”. I fully agree with your complaints, I am laughing with you sometime for silly questions, but you have not brought a little light so far showing the right direction. If at least we knew what to do, then your knowledge will become something concrete. As our “Pilgrim”, million of people are now expecting more from you. Thanks for all
 S
Einsteing-thinking
ANSWER: I have provided the Solution Conference and the DVD is available for purchase. I have signed a contract and they will be making a Hollywood feature film out of the Forecaster Movie. The character will be based on me, but they will present the goal which was to to provide the solution. Hopefully, this will help provide the idea to a broader audience. But understand this; we cannot reverse the trend. The best we can do is mitigate the fall. We are destined to fail and the Financial Capital of the World will move to Asia following 2032. We cannot alter the cycle because those in power will never alter their thinking. They see only their self-interest and therein is why no empire, nation, or city state has ever lasted indefinitely. No doubt some will argue I am wrong. I think given the odds that not a single society has EVER beaten the business cycle, I think you can bet on our outcome without any risk.