US Deficit Surpassed $1 Trillion in February


Posted originally on Mar 14, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

US Treasury Bldg

According to the Treasury Department, America’s deficit surpassed the $1 trillion mark this February. The deficit reached $307 billion for the month, marking a 2.5X increase on a monthly basis and 3.7% higher on an annual basis.

The deficit for the first five months of FY25 hit $1.15 trillion, a $318 billion increase (+38%) from the same period last year. America is paying $74 billion simply to finance this debt, with interest payments over the FY rising to $396 billion.

The deficit under the last three years of Biden-Harris grew from $1.38 trillion to $1.83 trillion as the public sector and government spending multiplied. Trump is attempting to make a dent in government spending through DOGE, but he is hitting America’s revenue with these tariffs. Both measures have only just begun and have not made a major impact on the economy yet.

Deficits no longer create economic growth; instead, they now consume it. Each additional dollar of debt generates diminishing returns, meaning the cost of servicing this debt will soon exceed the nation’s ability to function without radical restructuring.

Investors and global capital are beginning to take notice. Foreign demand for US debt has waned, with China and Japan significantly reducing their Treasury holdings. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is trapped. If it raises rates to combat inflation, it exacerbates the debt crisis. If it lowers rates, it risks unleashing another speculative bubble, but central banks tend to lower rates when they see a recession looming. There is no way out without structural reform.

Monetary History ofCanada


Posted originally by Martin Armstrong on March 12


Early 1600s: Beaver pelts are the one universally accepted medium of exchange, though wheat and moose skins are also legal tender

Mid 1600s: Wampum, or strings and belts made from shell beads, becomes legal tender in colonial New England. Eight white beads or four purple beads buy one penny.

Canada Playcard Money - 3

June 8, 1685: The first issue of card money occurs, which is printed on playing cards. The practice is criticized because it’s easy to counterfeit.

1722: Copper coins are introduced, though merchants didn’t like them; they continued to let people buy goods based on their own credit standing.

Eighteenth century: The lack of a standard currency and the differences in ratings given to the many coins in circulation in the colonies, “undoubtedly hindered trade and was a major source of economic inefficiency.”

Canada 1819 First Bank Note

1817: The Montreal Bank (subsequently the Bank of Montreal) issued the first bank notes in Canada after its establishment in 1817. Other banks soon followed suit. The notes were well received and became the main means of payment in British North America.

Canada 1911 $500

1854 – 1914: The Dominion of Canada is under the gold standard. The value of the Canadian dollar was fixed in terms of gold and valued at par with the U.S. currency. Both U.S. and British gold coins are legal tender in Canada.

July 11, 1864: The greenback sinks to less than 36 cents (Canadian), an all-time peak for the Canadian dollar, from close to parity in early 1862. It subsequently recovers through the decade and the currencies trade around par until the outbreak of the First World War.

Canada 1954 $1000

Mid-1950: Canadian dollar depreciates. The federal government cancels fixed parity, putting it at odds with the International Monetary Fund, and the Canadian currency appreciates.

Aug. 20, 1957: The Canadian dollar hits a peak of $1.06 (U.S.).

May 2, 1962: The government establishes a new par for the Canadian dollar, fixing it at 92.50 cents (U.S.) with a fluctuation band of 1 per cent.

May 31, 1970: The government floats the Canadian dollar amid a growing budget surplus and rising inflation.

April 25, 1974: The dollar hits a high of $1.04 (U.S.) against the greenback as global demand boosts the price of raw materials. The strength sparked fear about Canada’s export industries at a time when the unemployment rate was already high.

Nov. 15, 1976: The Parti Québécois is elected, causing markets to “make a major reassessment of the Canadian dollar’s prospects.” At the same time, commodity prices start to soften, inflation picks up. By 1979, the currency slides to 84 cents (U.S.).

August, 1981: The Bank of Canada’s key rate hits 21.2 per cent. By 1982, the dollar traded below 77 cents (U.S.).

Feb. 4, 1986: The Canadian dollar hits a record low of 69.13 cents (U.S.) as falling commodity prices hurt the economy.

1988-1989: The currency rebounds somewhat to close the decade at 86 cents (U.S.).

1990s: The currency weakens again, closing the decade at 69.29 cents (U.S.). Inflation and interest rates fall and commodity prices soften.

1998: The international crisis in emerging markets such as Russia and Latin America causes the dollar to slide as low as 63.11 cents (U.S.).

2002: The currency hits a record low of 61.98 cents (U.S.) on Jan. 18, 2002.

2006: The loonie tops 90 cents (U.S.), prompting calls for parity. It then weakens for much of the balance of the year.

2007: The loonie takes flight again. On May 31, it topped 94 cents (U.S.) – the highest level in 30 years. Later that year it hit parity in September. That fall the loonie hit its modern-day intra-day high of $1.10 (U.S.), and hit its highest closing price of $1.08 (U.S.) on Nov. 6, 2007.

2008: The loonie continued to trade near parity until it dipped below that level on July 21, 2008.

2009: The Canadian dollar closed at a recent low of 76 cents U.S. on March 9, 2009, before restarting a rapid ascent higher against a basket of international currencies.

2010: The loonie touches parity for the first time in 20 months on April 6, 2010.

Brazil Clears Section of the Amazon Ahead of the COP30


Posted originally on Mar 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Climate Change Tree

Over 50,000 people are expected to attend the COP30 climate summit this November in Belém, Brazil, where world leaders will concoct new ways to weaponize carbon usage against the people. Brazil’s president touted that it is historical since it is “a COP in the Amazon, not a COP about the Amazon.” Not only will the event be held in the Amazon, but the government has begun clearing tens of thousands of preserved acres within the Amazon ahead of the event.

The government states it needs to clear a section of the forest to build a new road to accommodate the expected 50,000 attendees. “Everything was destroyed,” one farmer told BBC. “Our harvest has already been cut down. We no longer have that income to support our family.” He is currently living off savings as the government has not compensated him for the loss.

Scientists have voiced concerns that the measure will disrupt the ecosystem and lead to a loss of wildlife. “Land animals will no longer be able to cross to the other side too, reducing the areas where they can live and breed,” one scientist stated.

Adler Silveira, the state government’s infrastructure secretary, admitted the measure is not about providing infrastructure to locals, as “more importantly, serve people for COP30 in the best possible way.”

Kerry Climate Czar

The federal government will invest over $81 million to expand the nearby airport from “seven to 14 million passengers.” As we know, the climate elite prefer to fly privately, although they believe you should drive an EV or take public transportation. The globalists are the “polluter elites” who want to implement prohibitions on consumption for the masses. The Guardian reported that the top 1% produce more carbon emissions than the poorest 66%. The climate change agenda is purely a control tactic, control over our tax spending, energy and food consumption, and freedom of movement. The very people preaching that we must abandon our way of life to save the world KNOW that it is a hoax.

The conference will mark the 10th anniversary of the Paris Agreement that put nations on a path of economic suicide by suffocating the entire energy sector. It is hard to understand how anyone supports these climate zealots who NEVER follow the rules they impose on the public.

How Can We Apply the Teachings of Winston Churchill to America’s Approach to the Russia/Ukraine War?


Posted originally on Rumble By Charlie Kirk show on: Mar 11, 2025 at 2:00 pm EST

Former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte Arrested on ICC Warrant for Alleged Crimes Against Humanity Related to His Anti-Drug Campaign


Published originally on Rumble By The Gateway Pundit on Mar 11, 2025 at 6:00 am EST

Gold the Confusion & Risk of a High


Posted originally on Mar 11, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

GCNYNF M Tech 3 10 25

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, we all know you have sources beyond what everyone else has. My question concerns is there anything else that is moving the gold from Europe to the USA besides the prospect of war?

DS

ANSWER: Yes, what I have been warning about is the coming capital controls. You may see a high even here in March. Be very careful because of the upcoming elections in Poland. The first round of the presidential election will be held in Poland on 18 May 2025, and, if necessary, the second round will be held on 1 June 2025. The fear is that, like Romania, they are desperate to keep the power in play. They may start a false flag to influence that election. I’m not sure they can annul it like Romania.

It looks like capital controls will be in place for at least 2026. Without permission, you will not be able to move gold or cash out of Europe.

Then Trump may revalue gold from its official price of $42 to market value to improve the US balance sheet. This would also impact moving gold to the USA. From a market perspective, it really does not matter what value they place on gold. We will not likely see a return to a gold standard with a fixed value, which would be highly deflationary.

Markets Crash On Cue & Trump Refuses to Rule Out Recession


Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

ECM Wave 2020 2028 Pi
DJIND W Array 3 4 25

COMMENT: Marty, it looks like Trump is aware of the ECM. The markets crashed right on cue with Socrates, and he refused to rule out a recession. What is most curious is that you had a Panic Cycle for this week of the 10th. I heard you prevent Google from searching your private blog. If you are not advising him, they must be following Socrates.

Kirk

REPLY: The ECM turned May 7th. That was the day of the attempted assassination of Zelensky. Within weeks, the central banks started lowering rates. I believe Canada was the first to cut rates. Look, most subscribe to Socrates; they would be fools if they didn’t. Even those who hate my guts subscribe just as I subscribe to the Washington Post and the New York Times to see what propaganda they are pushing this week.

This is NOT my personal opinion. This is the only fully functioning Artificial Intelligence Computer with more than a 40-year track record. I cannot reveal who our clients are. We respect the client’s privacy. As I have said, Socrates calculates the timing by itself. There are not enough analysts in the world collectively to write and forecast as many markets and instruments as Socrates does every day. As one of the top ten institutional funds in the world commented, I never want to be on the opposite side of Socrates.

Recession Global

We are headed into a Global RECESSION no matter what Trump thinks or does. It will be a depression in some regions, primarily Europe. One country alone does not dictate the trend globally. Trump cannot create an economic boom when the rest of the world is imploding.

Armstrong on Alex Jones


Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Armstrong Alex Jones 3 2025 Rumble

Secretary Rubio: Minerals Deal Not Important, Finding Out if Ukraine Truly wants Peace is Goal of Saudi Meeting


Posted originally on CTH on March 11, 2025 | Sundance

The information from Secretary of State Marco Rubio looks good.  During his flight to Saudi Arabia, Secretary Rubio answered a few questions about the U.S. delegation expectations of the meeting with Ukraine officials.

Rubio notes the aforementioned “minerals deal” is not an important part of the larger objective.  Secretary Rubio says that finding out if Ukraine’s desire for peace with Russia is true, in good faith or not, is the key objective.  A pragmatic Rubio also notes that Ukraine is likely going to have to give up lost territory to achieve peace.

FOX NEWS – […] “”The minerals deal is on the table that’s continuing to be worked on – it’s not part of this conversation, per se,” he said, noting that Tuesday’s meeting in Jeddah can be considered successful even without securing such an agreement.

[…] “The important point in this meeting is to establish clearly their intentions, their desire, as they’ve said publicly now, numerous times, to reach a point where peace is possible,” Rubio said, adding that he will need to be assured that Kyiv is prepared to make some hard decisions, like giving up territory seized by Russia, in order to end the three-year war. 

“Both sides need to come to an understanding,” he said. “The Russians can’t conquer all of Ukraine, and obviously it will be very difficult for Ukraine, in any reasonable time period, to sort of force the Russians back all the way to where they were in 2014. So the only solution to this war is diplomacy and getting them to a table where that’s possible.

 “Then we’ll have to determine how far they are from the Russian position, which we don’t know yet either. And then once you understand where both sides truly are, it gives you a sense of how big the divide is and how hard it’s going to be,” Rubio explained. “I’m hoping it’ll be a positive interaction along those lines.” (more)

Rubio also seems to indicate that if the U.S delegation senses this is all just lies and disinformation from the Ukraine side, then President Trump’s approach to providing financial support will moderate accordingly.  “The pause in aid broadly is something I hope we can resolve,” Rubio said. “I think what happens tomorrow will be key to that.”

Secretary Marco Rubio continues to surprise us in the way he has totally stopped pretending about geopolitical matters.  There is no sunlight between the continually expressed and defined positions of Marco Rubio and the identical positions, perspectives and policies expressed by President Trump.

This is quite a remarkable change in Rubio’s political persona.  Is it real?

UK, EU and NATO Partners Launch Massive Wave of Drone Attacks Against Moscow


Posted originally on CTH on March 11, 2025 | Sundance

Approximately 60 drones were launched from Ukraine overnight to attack the Russian capital city of Moscow.  This is the largest escalation of drone/missile attacks into Russia so far.

The attack comes, predictably, as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Nat Sec Advisor Mike Waltz and President Trump envoy Steve Witkoff arrive in Saudi Arabia for preliminary face-to-face talks with Ukraine officials. The pattern repeats.

Each time President Trump’s diplomatic team are scheduled to meet with Russia or Ukraine officials in their quest to stop the bloodshed, the intelligence apparatus in control of the NATO proxy war triggers an escalating disruption targeting Russia.

Hitting Moscow with a wave of 60 drones is a major escalation, because face-to-face meetings with U.S and Ukraine officials are at a critical inflection point.  Each uptick in the offensive action from Ukraine is directly proportional to the increased seriousness of the peace talks.

(VIA AP) – A total of 69 Ukrainian drones targeting the Russian capital were shot down in a massive attack on Tuesday morning, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said.

The attack, the biggest targeting Moscow in months, came as a Ukrainian delegation was set to meet with America’s top diplomat in Saudi Arabia about ending the three-year war with Russia.

At least 11 of the drones were shot down in the Ramensky and Domodedovo districts of the Moscow region surrounding the Russian capital, Sobyanin said on the messaging app Telegram. He didn’t specify where the other drones were shot down, noting only that they were “flying towards Moscow.”

The governor of the Moscow region, Andrei Vorobyov, said that one person was killed and three more wounded as the result of the drone attack. The attack damaged seven apartments in a residential building in the Ramensky district, he said.

Sobyanin said the roof of a building in Moscow also sustained damage, which he described as “insignificant.”

Flights have been restricted in and out of three Moscow airports, including Domodedovo and Zhukovsky to the south and southeast of the city and Sheremetyevo to the north, according to Russian civil aviation authority Rosaviatsia.

Train traffic through the Domodedovo railway station also has been halted, local officials reported. (link)

At first review it seems like the terrain mapping component of the targeting system was not accurate or in place. Hence, unless NATO was intentionally targeting residential buildings, just like the attacks in Kazan some of the drones hit civilian high-rise buildings on the way to Moscow airport.

However, don’t get lost in the weeds on this.  60+ drones launched against Russia’s largest city is intended to draw a major retaliation from Russian President Vladimir Putin, that is what the UK/EU and NATO apparatus want.  The Zelenskyy people want Russia to attack Kiev so they can enlarge the scale and scope of U.S. involvement.

I sincerely hope President Trump is on the phone with President Putin, and I hope Trump’s instructions to Rubio, Waltz and Witkoff are to put fierce pressure on Ukraine at the meeting in Saudi Arabia.

Only through strong, extreme and even perhaps vicious diplomacy, is Ukraine going to be brought to heel.  The EU and NATO must also suffer strong geopolitical consequences for their efforts to disrupt any effort at peace.

The pretending must stop.  Each time the UK/EU/NATO team use Ukraine to escalate the fight, the EU and NATO must pay a price.  The American people need to understand what the dynamic really is here, even if it eventually means President Trump calling it out directly.