Posted originally on Oct 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Trump is clearly listening to the NEOCONS, and he may believe their BS that Russia’s economy is collapsing, so Russia can be defeated in three days, as Kinzinger was claiming. Mark Rubio is a Neocon. I believe Trump hired him as a compromise to the Neocons. But he is taking us into World War III in slow motion. Trump is listening to the wrong people, and he had better look unbiased at why Putin is being put into a precarious position. He has insulted the dignity of Russia and reduced it to a meaningless 4th-world country. If Putin is replaced one way or in November, sorry, Europe will not recover. Germany fought against Russia in both World War I and World War II and lost both conflicts. A third time will NOT be the charm.
The Wall Street Journal and other outlets reported that President Trump signed off on providing U.S. intelligence agencies to supply targeting data to Ukraine for strikes on Russian energy infrastructure (oil refineries, pipelines, power plants). This suggests that now the US will select the target for Ukraine to attack. That is waging DIRECT WAR against Russia. They certainly can provide missiles to Venezuela and provide them targets for Washington, D.C., and put one right up Trump’s ass. I guess that would not be declaring war either.
However, it is not clear that “providing targeting” means full battlefield coordination, command & control, or direction of operations — most media accounts frame it as sharing intelligence, not taking over targeting decisions.
According to multiple sources, Trump authorized the sharing of targeting intelligence with Zelensky/Ukraine for strikes on specific energy infrastructure. This is the NECON argument: stop the energy sales of Russia, the country will collapse, and they can walk in and carve up Russia like a piece of pie. SO let’s see, Putin could strike and take our Wall Street, the US cannot borrow any more money, the economy would collapse since it is dependent on debt, and he could do the same to the USA.
NOBODY seems ever to consider that whatever they do to Russia, they could do the same to the USA and Europe. I am concerned that Putin has been restrained. He cannot agree to peace KNOWING that these Neocons want the destruction of Russia and will NEVER accept them into the world economy. They have already divided the world economy between SWIFT and BRICS, and this division is expected to remain unchanged until after 2032. NEOCONS are braindead assholes who NEVER think one step ahead and only act emotionally to what is in front of their nose with myopic vision.
The NY Post pushed an opinion advocating sending Tomahawk missiles to wipe out Russia. They said:
“Trump should now follow through by supplying Ukraine with long-range missiles to do the job — and ratcheting up the economic pressure on Russia.”
Again, this attitude assumes that Russia is incapable of launching any retaliation against the United States. Putin might as well just launch everything because there is NO POINT to any peace agreement, for Trump is a fool if he really believes this is just about Ukraine. This is about the destruction of Russia, and if he does not get rid of these advisers who have him isolated, we are sleepwalking into the end of Western Civilization.
There is NO WAY China will allow Russia to fall. These Neocons pushed Russia and China together. They will stand together with North Korea and Iran. These NEOCONS are really stupid. They will never be able to defend Europe, the Middle East, Taiwan, and Korea/Japan all simultaneously.
Venezuela’s International Support
Cuba has been a longstanding ally of Venezuela. Recently, Cuban diplomats in Angola reaffirmed their support for Venezuela against perceived U.S. aggressions. Russia has continued to support the Maduro government, sending troops to Venezuela in March 2019 and helping the government evade sanctions on the oil industry. China has continued to back the Maduro government, offering to help rebuild the national power grid. Iran has also expressed support for Venezuela, especially in the context of U.S. sanctions and military threats. The two countries have engaged in economic and diplomatic cooperation over the years. Both could also provide long-range missiles to Venezuela, just as Zelensky is demanding, so he can level the Kremlin. Russia could do that with Venezuela and target Washington, DC. Trump obviously never heard = what goes around, comes around.
Turkey has maintained a neutral stance but has occasionally criticized U.S. sanctions and expressed support for Venezuela’s sovereignty. Syria has been a vocal supporter of Venezuela, condemning U.S. actions and emphasizing the importance of respecting Venezuela’s sovereignty. Colombia has shown solidarity with Venezuela, especially in the context of U.S. sanctions and military threats. The country’s foreign minister recently renounced her U.S. visa in protest of U.S. actions against Venezuela.
Brazil has refrained from taking sides in the U.S.–Venezuela conflict. While President Lula has expressed concern over the U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean, describing it as a source of regional tension, he has not indicated any intention to intervene militarily on Venezuela’s behalf. However,
Left-leaning / socialist governments (currently or recently): Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador (varies over time), and sometimes Argentina and Chile, depending on elections. This is why Trump is supporting Argentina. If they flipped back to the LEFT mainly because of Trump’s war against Venezuela, then we can see turmoil in South America. Focusing strictly on war between South American states, the last significant one was the Colombia–Peru War of 1932–1933, which involved a territorial dispute over the Amazonian town of Leticia. It was resolved through mediation by the League of Nations.
Since then, South America has experienced chiefly internal conflicts (civil wars, insurgencies, and guerrilla movements) rather than interstate wars. Border disputes existed (like between Ecuador and Peru in 1995), but these were short-lived skirmishes rather than prolonged wars. However, Trump’s war with Venezuela runs the risk that, as the economy turns down, we can see a rise in anti-Americanism, and this will impact not just militarily, but also economically, with outstanding debt issues. Specifically, U.S. dollar-denominated debt accounts for approximately 92.6% of South America’s total public debt.
In August 1982, Mexico announced that it could no longer service its debt. This is often considered the official start of the Latin American debt crisis.
Other major South American countries quickly followed this:
Argentina (1982) Brazil (1983) Chile (1983) Venezuela (1983) Peru (1984) Bolivia (1984) Uruguay (1983)
This is the unspoken risk with a conflict with Venezuela, which does have the #1 largest oil reserve of any country on the planet.
These Neocons are BRAINDEAD, for they never consider not just the next step, like taking out Saddam, with no comprehension of what comes next. Still, they fail to feel that they are pushing Putin like he is meaningless, and what if he steps aside in November and hands it to their Neocons, for Russia is NOT going down without a fight. Putin has warned that they have bombs that will get these Neocons in their bunkers.
Demand Elections in Ukraine
Cut Off All Contact With Ukraine. They are a Patsy for NATO
Nobody cares that even one Ukrainian is still alive. Boris Johnson is running the show, instructing Zelensky that he is NOT allowed to have peace. He has already announced that Britain is at war with Russia and Trump expects Putin to surrender? Trump better open his damn eyes, he is being played like a fiddle by the Neocons.
Posted originally on CTH on October 3, 2025 | Sundance
The heart of the European industrial economy is Germany, and there’s major trouble afoot within the largest industrial sector within Germany.
Following the “Build Back Better” agenda, the EU went all in for green energy proposals. EU banking and finance followed suit, funding investment capital for electric vehicles (EVs) to replace combustion engines. Unfortunately, this put the EU, specifically Germany, in the position of competing against the largest EV industrial base in the world, China.
The second major flaw was capital only flowing to the EV sector, and Europeans -along with the majority of the industrial west- are just not buying EVs at a production capacity to match prior investment.
Put it all together and Germany is trying to compete with China to produce a product their consumer base doesn’t want.
GERMANY – ZF Friedrichshafen’s announcement that it is cutting 7,600 positions adds to the German supplier industry’s troubles as parts makers struggle to manage the shift to EVs, along with falling demand for combustion engine components and increased competition from Chinese suppliers.
Including job losses at Volkswagen, Audi, and Porsche, the German auto industry is expected to eliminate nearly 100,000 jobs by 2030, according to an analysis by Bloomberg.
Bankruptcies among German suppliers are climbing sharply, with 30 percent more expected in 2025 compared with last year, according to a report from consultancy Falkensteg.
Between January and August, Falkensteg recorded 36 supplier bankruptcies, up from 33 the previous year. The report tracked suppliers with revenue of at least €20 million ($23.5 million) until 2024.
In the second quarter, the automotive supply and electrical engineering industries each recorded 11 corporate insolvencies, the highest number across all sectors, according to the survey, which was reported in Automotive News Europe’s sibling publication Automobilwoche. In the first quarter, 18 supplier bankruptcies were registered. (read more)
Against the simultaneous backdrop of major European countries banging Ukraine/Russia war drums, and against historic reference points, it is a little unnerving to hear about severe contraction within the German economy.
Posted originally on Oct 2, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The US government shut down once again as our public servants refused to work in a partisan fashion. Over 2.1 million civilian federal employees will be affected, with 750,000 furloughed without pay. Naturally, Congress will still receive a paycheck and their lobbying checks. The duration of the shutdown is unknown, but estimates state the bickering could cost the US economy up to $2 billion per week.
Non-essential offices, websites, and services are unavailable. National parks and museums are closed to visitors. Passport processing will be delayed. The daily cost of compensating the furloughed workers is $400 million. Military members may face delayed pay, while contractors face layoffs.
Most concerning is the data blackout—the Bureau of Labor Statistics will be unable to release its September non-farm payroll report slated for October 4. Data regarding the consumer price index and producer price index will be delayed. Retail sales, housing starts, every piece of data compiled by the federal government will be delayed and amplify uncertainty. The key information the Federal Reserve and investors rely on will be unavailable, and if the shutdown carries on for more than two weeks, there will be a massive spike in volatility and a potential delay in rate cuts. The Fed will be forced to rely on private estimates like the ADP jobs report that are less reliable.
The Democrats insist on expanding COVID-era funding for Obamacare, and insist the GOP reverse the decision to cut the Medicaid budget. Neither side is willing to compromise. Leaders are begging Congress to simply stay in Washington until a decision is reached.
“There isn’t any substantive reason why there ought to be a government shutdown. This is something that has been done routinely, as I said, 13 different times when the Democrats had the majority. But we are not going to be held hostage for over $1 trillion in new spending on a continuing resolution,” Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., said ahead of the vote.
The Medicaid cuts alone are expected to save the government $840 billion over the next decade. Cutting the premium tax credit extension could save $350 billion over the same period, and work and eligibility restrictions could save another $344 billion. Additional recessions and funding cuts to government agencies are expected to save up to $9 billion in 2025 alone.
Non-citizens without access to other coverage DO benefit from these extensions. US taxpayers have spent billions on providing health coverage to migrants. Those earning between 100% to 400% of the federal poverty level will also benefit, as will anyone earning 400% above the threshold if their premiums exceed 8.5%.
“It is unclear how long Democrats will maintain their untenable posture, making the duration of the shutdown difficult to predict,” Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Director Russ Vought penned in a memo. “Regardless, employees should report to work for their next regularly scheduled tour of duty to undertake orderly shutdown activities.”
“We can do things during the shutdown that are irreversible, that are bad for them and irreversible by them, like cutting vast numbers of people out, cutting things that they like, cutting programs that they like,” President Trump warned.
Trump could possibly lay off more federal employees in non-essential roles, and a hiring freeze is already in place. The president has the authority to cut funding to programs favored by the Democrats such as social services and environmental programs. Sanctuary cities or jurisdictions could see funding withheld. The federal government will not spend on non-essentials during this shutdown, but that will only anger Democrats who refuse to budge.
Congress serves no purpose. They represent private lobbying interest groups and serve the invisible hand rather than the people of the United States. A private company would never shutter its office over a fiscal budget disagreement. Our public servants must reach a resolution immediately, and I see no reason why they deserve pay during a deadlock. These individuals are on taxpayer-funded vacation for the majority of the year and refuse to perform the minimal work they are expected to do. It seems they are unfit for the job. Fire everyone and start fresh.
Posted originally on Sep 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
I sent this email to members of Congress. This is what I warned:
(1) We should get out of NATO, they will do a false flag in Poland and they intend to invoke Article 5 to force Trump into World War III because this has NOTHING to do with Ukraine, this is the NEOCONS manipulation of everyone to conquer Russia and China told Kallas to her face China is not prepared to allow Russia to lose for they “know we will be next.”
(2) Sanctions have NEVER worked. They have been in Cuba since 1960 and on IRAN since 1979. This is a stupid NEOCON theory that sanctions will force the people to rise up and overthrow Putin.
(3) We have the worst group of world leaders in history. Complete idiots. When Khrushchev had to back down on the Cuban Missile Crisis, there was a coup, and Brezhnev replaced him. These idiots think they can embarrass Putin. If he did back down to Trump’s insanity, he would be overthrown by November and you will get what you desire – a Russian Neocon who will put a missile right up your ass.
Never in my 50 years of dealing with governments all over the world, from Reagan and Thatcher to Nigel Farage, have I witnessed such arrogant stupidity. My computer says the US will break up and Europe will be destroyed, and my computer, the CIA wanted, has never been wrong. It’s time to just turn out the light because nobody is home.
Because nobody will dare listen, that is what makes my computer so infallible.
Posted originally on Sep 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
A new report by Eurostat has found that Croatians feel safer than people in any other European Union nation, with only 1.4% of the population reporting anti-social activity. Lithuania and Poland ranked close behind Croatia. In contrast, Greeks feared the most for their safety with over 20% of citizens reporting crime. What is the common denominator?
Citizens in EU nations with stricter immigration policies feel safer than those with open borders or whose nations are situated as a landing point. Croatia cracked down on immigration policies this year, leading to a 70% decline in work permit approvals. Yet, that is not the population in question. Over 26,000 migrants passed through Croatia in 2024, but most continued on to other EU nations. The border with Bosnia is monitored with drones and an active police force. “Only 3.6% of the people who declared their intention to apply for international protection in the Republic of Croatia actually make a formal application,” the Interior Ministry in Zagreb told DW. “We have no information about the countries to which these people went.”
Then you have Greece, unfortunately, a landing spot for migrants arriving by boat. The EU Pact was intended to provide safeguards to migrants to streamline the process. Brussels provided Greece with over 5 billion euros in funding over the past decade to manage migration, but the off is no longer worth the risk. Greece finally took a hardline on migration in 2025 and began implementing harsh penalties including imprisonment and ankle tag monitoring for those awaiting deportation. The EU has accused Greece of violating international law by returning migrants to Turkish waters and operating detention centers. Yet, due to the extreme nature of open border policies, these measures were crucial to regain control over the nation.
The nations who openly welcomed migrants are facing the highest rates of migrant-related crime. Migrants tend to be lone males who do not integrate well into European society. Take Germany, for example, the hub for migrants thanks to Angela Merkel’s policies some ten years ago. Violent crime peaked to a 15-year high in 2023, and migrants were responsible for 40% of all violent crimes. Nationalist sentiments are growing throughout Europe because the people are experiencing the repercussions of open borders.
Posted originally on Sep 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The entire English Legal System has abandoned everything that once made Britain the beacon of human rights and liberty in the world. There is absolutely nothing left for Britain even to hold its head upright. This man, pretending to be a judge, ASSUMES what he said is racist, without acknowledging that the immigrants are NOT all of a particular race. Then he PRESUMES that those words instigated someone else to violence with ZERO evidence of that being the case at all. This is NOT the rule of law, and when that crumbles, the ONLY solution becomes revolution and violence, for there is no court of law that can ensure that society remains civilized.
Perhaps this “judge” who is obviously violating the English Bill of Rights should turn to Confusus. His legal doctrines are far better than this nonsense. Even Jesus Christ addressed a gathering of Jews and told them: “And you shall know the truth and the truth shall make you free.” Not in Britain. The truth will get you tax-free living in prison for 7 years.
The most famous trial where a jury stood up refusing to find the defendant guilty in the face of a corrupt government was that of William Penn (1644-1718), the founder of Pennsylvania. Penn was the leader of the Quakers in London, and you can see why people fled to America. The sect was not recognized by the government and was forbidden to meet in any building for the purpose of worship. In 1670, William Penn held a worship service on a quiet street, which a peaceful group of fellow Quakers attended. Penn and another Quaker, William Mead, were arrested for disturbing the king’s peace and summoned to stand trial.
As the two men entered the courtroom, a bailiff ordered them to put their hats, which they had removed, back on their heads. When they complied, they were called forward and held in contempt of court for being in the courtroom with their hats on. Penn discovered that contempt of court is a personal prerogative of the judge and an infliction of punishment by a judge who becomes the legislator, jury, and sentencing judge.
Penn demanded to know what crime he was being charged with preaching – the cornerstone of Due Process. The judge refused to supply any information as to his crime and instead referred vaguely to common law. When Penn protested that he was entitled to a specific indictment (NOTICE), he was removed from the presence of the judge and jury and confined in an enclosed corner of the room known as the bale dock.
Penn could neither confront the witnesses who accused him of preaching to the Quakers nor ask them questions about their charges against him. Several witnesses testified that Penn had preached to a gathering, which included Mead, but one showed some hesitancy as to whether Mead had been present. The judge turned to Mead and questioned him directly. In effect, the judge became the prosecutor, as he asked Mead if he was guilty. Mead invoked the common-law privilege against self-incrimination, which provoked hostile comments from the judge. The court then sent Mead to join Penn in the bale dock out of the sight of the jury and witnesses.
Finally, after the testimony, the court concluded that the judge had instructed the jury to find the defendants guilty as charged, dictating what verdict he had expected. Penn tried to protest but was silenced and again sent out of the courtroom. The jury, for its part, proved sympathetic to the two defendants and refused the judge’s command to find the defendants guilty.
At this point, the judge became so enraged, as I would expect from Judge Juan Merchan, and sent the jury back to reconsider their verdict. When they returned with the same verdict, the court criticized the jury’s leader, Bushnell, and demanded “a verdict that the court will accept, and you shall be locked up without meat, drink, fire, and tobacco…We will have a verdict by the help of God or you will starve for it.”
After that, the jury was sent back three more times but returned with the same verdict. Finally, the jury refused to reconsider. The judge then fined each jury member forty marks and ordered them imprisoned until the fine was paid. Penn and Mead went to prison anyway, held in contempt for obeying the bailiff’s order that they put on their hats.
Later, the jury members won a writ of habeas corpus and were released from prison. Penn and Mead left England after their release from prison, having a taste of English justice, and sailed to America. (Earl Warren, “A Republic, If You Can Keep It”, p. 113-115). Thus, Pennsylvania was founded. This was the Bushel’s Case(1670) 124 E.R. 1006, a famous English decision on the role of juries and that they possessed the independence to decide the validity of the law being prosecuted.
Where is the Magna Carta Right to a Trial by Jury of Your Peers?
This guy is forced to plead guilty to a non-crime because if he dares go to trial and the Judge refuses to allow the jury to nullify this insane Starmmer law, then he will be given the maximum time of 7 years+ for demanding a fair trial.
Posted originally on CTH on September 29, 2025 | Sundance
Ukraine is not a member of NATO. The United States is the leading force within NATO. Most recently President Trump has repeatedly said that he is brokering missile sales to NATO for transfer to, and use from, Ukraine against Russia.
To wit, President Donald Trump has authorized NATO member states to deploy offensive missile systems into non-NATO Ukraine, provided by the U.S. In the latest development, U.S. Special Envoy for Ukraine General Keith Kellogg has announced Ukraine has the authority to launch those missile systems deep into Russia, including Moscow.
According to General Kellogg, President Trump is authorizing NATO to strike Moscow with U.S. missiles, launched from Ukraine. How is Ukraine not a proxy war between NATO and Russia? WATCH (prompted):
This is escalating madness. We are reasonably intelligent and pragmatic people. We have the objective capability to look at the issues from both sides of the equation. Look at this issue from the perspective of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
The U.S. provides the missiles. The U.S. approves the missile locations in Ukraine. The U.S. authorizes the targets of the missiles from their location. NATO provides the satellite guidance system. Ukraine targets Moscow and launches the missiles.
How is President Trump not directly responsible for a NATO proxy war against Russia?
The only way for President Trump to make the ‘accountability monkey’ jump now, is to exit NATO.
The reason why the EU member states of NATO want escalated war with Russia is financial and economic. Through policy and ideology, the EU/NATO members have walked themselves into an economic dead end. They are out of assets to leverage. The only way out for the EU/NATO leadership is to create a war to erase debt, expand assets and reset the economics.
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