Apr 30 2025

Carney in Favor of Debanking Practices

Posted originally on Apr 30, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

Countless truckers gathered for the 2022 Freedom Convoy in Ottawa, forming a gridlock, with a clear agenda and request to repeal all COVID mandates. The protest was peaceful and no one was injured. They fought on behalf of the world at a time when the global population was imprisoned by mandates that were later revealed to be falsified without any scientific backing. Then Prime Minister Justin Trudeau evoked the 1988 Emergencies Act, which is intended for an “urgent and critical situation” that “seriously endangers the lives, health or safety of Canadians.” Deeming a peaceful protest an act of terrorism is an act of free speech oppression is something that fellow World Economic Forum member Mark Carney fully supported. As a reminder, Mark Carney was in complete support of freezing the bank accounts of protestors and ignoring the Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Credit card companies were required to report any activity that could be intended to help the protestors to Canada’s anti-money laundering agency. All vehicles involved had their insurance suspended. Fundraising sites were not allowed to raise money to support the cause. Anyone can be accused of conspiring with the protestors, and their funds will be frozen. Ottawa law enforcement even began to confiscate the pets of those protesting. There is no low that these men will not stoop to in order to firm their authoritarian grip.

Carney called the protest an “insurrection” and claimed that the freedom convoy was intended to remove power from the Canadian government. ‘This is sedition. That’s a word I never thought I’d use in Canada. It means “incitement of resistance to or insurrection against lawful authority,’” Carney wrote in an opinion piece, praising Trudeau for declaring a state of emergency. “They are not patriots. This is not about “restoring freedom” but beginning anarchy. This isn’t getting carried away at a rally. It’s not a rush of blood to the head. It’s deliberate and calculated, and because of that, they must know that from now on, there will be consequences for their actions.”

He acknowledged that Canadian law enforcement officers were hesitant to arrest protestors, because they agreed with them. Carney went for the throat by demanding that the banks comply with the federal government to debank the protestors. In his own words:

“Drawing the line means choking off the money that financed this occupation. Again, many Canadians who were amongst the initial donors were likely well meaning. Perhaps they were unaware of the convoy’s stated objectives, or – like many in positions of authority in Ottawa – they didn’t take them seriously. Perhaps all they wanted was a new COVID-19 policy with fewer restrictions.

But by now anyone sending money to the convoy should be in no doubt: You are funding sedition. Foreign funders of an insurrection interfered in our domestic affairs from the start. Canadian authorities should take every step within the law to identify and thoroughly punish them. The involvement of foreign governments and any officials connected to them should be identified, exposed and addressed.”

The government froze bank accounts and credit cards without a court order or due process. These politicians have no idea how much freezing accounts undermined the confidence in the Canadian banking system. A staggering amount of money began to pour into US banks as money fled Canada. Canadians began withdrawing all of their money from their bank accounts, with most turning to cash, others to gold, and some to Bitcoin. The demand for US dollars more than tripled in the first week of this policy. Trudeau and Carney were unconcerned for their loyalty lies with globalist organizations and not Canada.

Increased banking regulations are discussed in the World Economic Forum’s Agenda 2030, primarily in regard to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which provide a framework for climate initiatives that corporations must follow. Carney is an outspoken climate advocate who has admitted that there is money to be made through the climate agenda. The ruling elite consistently let it slip that the climate change agenda is another fear tactic to grasp money and power. Still, the masses listen to the mainstream media and believe it is a virtuous cause.

This video is essential as it reveals what these politicians have in mind for Canada. In 2013, a reporter asked Justin Trudeau which country he most admired. “There is a level of admiration I actually have for China because their basic dictatorship is allowing them to turn their economy around on a dime,” Trudeau smiled and stated with seriousness. He went on to say how he admired (i.e., envied) how dictators could simply implement laws on a whim without the consent of the people, and added a nod to climate change policies, as the left does not see that as a problem yet. Carney has the same mentality when it comes to ruling Canada.

Canada had an opportunity to implement change. Instead, the masses voted for the next Trudeau, who is another indoctrinated WEF puppet who will step on the neck of the Canadian economy to achieve these globalist goals.

Apr 30 2025

Russia Expels Ukraine/EU Vanguard from Kursk

Posted originally on Apr 30, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

Russia has finally ejected all Ukrainian troops from the Kursk region who invaded on orders of NATO/EU last August 6th, ending the most significant incursion into Russian territory since World War II. This has certainly removed Kursk as a pawn in peace negotiations, which Zelensky refused to accept when he met at the White House in a desperate effort to embarrass Trump into keeping the funding for Ukraine’s war against Russia.

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Reuters reported that Zelensky said the world did not want to wait until May 8 for Putin’s announced ceasefire in the more than three-year-old war, only for it to be in effect for a few days.

“For some reason, everyone is supposed to wait for May 8 and only then have a cease-fire to ensure calm for Putin during the parade,” Zelensky said in his nightly video address.

Yet in that same address to Ukraine, he hinted at an attack in Moscow on the Victory Day Parade. He said that his Ukrainian generals were choosing “Russia’s pain points.” And then he makes a frank allusion to the attack on Red Square on May 9th. Now they are worried that their parade is in question, and they are right to worry. But we must worry that this war continues. They must end the war, Zelensky declared.

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We definitely see volatility rising the week of May 5th and from the week of May 12th into the end of the month remain as key targets. Our computer has warned that Ukraine would NEVER win this war with Russia, and NATO has played them for fools, sacrificing them to reduce the military strength of Russia so they can move in for the kill.

Boris Johnson flew to Kiev 3 days before the signing of the rare minerals deal was supposed to take place in Liev. Johnson told Zelensky to go to the White House to try to embarrass Trump into funding the war. Zelensky refused a ceasefire, claiming that the Ukrainian people did not want one. That is not what I have heard from sources in Ukraine. Now Zelensky suddenly claims that, after his troops lost in Kursk, the world does not want to wait until May 8th for a ceasefire because he is losing?

“It’s amazing what comes out through emotion, and I have determined that President Zelenskyy [sic] is not ready for Peace if America is involved.”

Trump wrote on Truth Social.

Zelensky knows nothing about war and has been a Neocon plant to order Ukraine to fight to the last Ukrainian. His arrogance has cost over 1 million lives among Ukrainians, and over 8 million have fled to Europe, and most will never return.

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The day after Moscow announced the completion of the Kursk operation, President Vladimir Putin declared a unilateral three-day ceasefire to mark the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s and its allies’ victory in World War II, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov emphasized that international recognition of Crimea, the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics, as well as the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions as part of Russia, is a non-negotiable condition for any settlement. There was the Minsk Agreement that Europe signed in bad faith, only to allow Ukraine time to raise an army. They now have 1.1 million dead Ukrainians’ blood on their hands, and they do not have a problem sleeping at night.

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made it clear on Monday, April 28, that Moscow would accept nothing less than a total victory. Lavrov insisted that the Russian Federation will not negotiate unless Ukraine recognizes that the original regions that were supposed to be allowed to separate under the Minsk Agreement after a vote, including Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia, now belong to Russia. “The international recognition of Crimea, Sevastopol, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia regions as part of Russia is an imperative,” Lavrov said, emphasizing that Ukraine must legally acknowledge these regions as Russian territory. This seems to be reasonable after the false negotiations by Europe over the Minsk Agreement. But Russia must now realize that Europe cannot be trusted, and any peace deal would NEVER mean that there will still not be war after Europe builds its European army.

NATO’s INVOLVEMENT IN UKRAINE

NATO conducted military exercises in Ukraine between 2000 and 2010 in advance of the start of the civil war as part of its partnership programs aimed at enhancing cooperation and interoperability with non-member states. Key exercises and initiatives during this period include:

1. Partnership for Peace (PfP) Program

Ukraine joined NATO’s PfP program in 1994, which facilitated joint training and exercises. These activities continued into the 2000s, focusing on peacekeeping, disaster response, and military interoperability.

2. Exercise Sea Breeze

- An annual naval exercise co-hosted by the U.S. and Ukraine in the Black Sea since 1997.
- Conducted throughout the 2000–2010 period, involving NATO allies and regional partners to enhance maritime security and coordination.

3. Exercise Rapid Trident

- A land-based exercise focused on peacekeeping and interoperability.
- While later iterations became more prominent post-2010, initial drills began in the mid-2000s as part of the PfP framework.

4. Exercise Cooperative Partner

- Air force exercises aimed at improving compatibility with NATO standards.
- Held in Ukraine during the mid-2000s, involving aerial maneuvers and joint training.

5. NATO-Ukraine Action Plan (2002)

- This formalized deeper cooperation, leading to increased joint exercises and defense reforms in Ukraine.
- Exercises often emphasized peacekeeping, counterterrorism, and crisis management.

6. Annual National Program (ANP)

- Under the NATO-Ukraine Commission (established 1997), Ukraine implemented defense reforms and hosted NATO-linked training events.

These exercises were part of NATO’s broader effort to build trust and capability with Ukraine, though full membership was not on the table at the time. The 2008 Bucharest Summit later affirmed Ukraine’s eventual NATO membership prospects. In summary, NATO-Ukraine military exercises during this decade were regular and multifaceted, reinforcing Ukraine’s gradual alignment with Western defense structures in preparation for war with Russia.

Finland’s Prime Minister has shown herself to be a staunch supporter of Zelensky to the detriment of her people.

Now that Sweden has surrendered its neutrality, which protected its people through two world wars, they have joined NATO and even sent planes to Poland. This has led the Kremlin to expand its military bases along the Finnish border in response to Sweden and Finland’s decision to join NATO. As you can see from the map, it’s not very far from Finland to St. Petersburg in Russia. Sweden and Finland have now placed their populations in the Kremlin’s crosshairs for joining the NATO alliance.

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Russia is reportedly expanding its army bases on the border with Finland and rapidly expanding its military as it prepares for a potential clash with NATO. Russia’s kill chain, defined as how quickly the army moves from finding a target to firing on it, is now far more responsive than that of NATO’s capability.

Then, on the other side of the world, the risk of war during May also exists between Pakistan and India, two lifelong enemies. On top of all of this, Pakistan says India is preparing to strike in 36 hours, if not days.

Apr 30 2025

Carney’s Victory Speech – Relationship with US is OverCarney’s Victory Speech – Relationship with US is OverCarney’s Victory Speech – Relationship with US is Over

Posted originally on Apr 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |

Carney’s Victory Speech was an acknowledgement that what we are witnessing is truly more than just a hate fest against Trump. Carney is saying the relationship between USA and Canada is over. This is not about tariffs. This is about power. Just as the media has been 92%+ anti-Trump, this is the FAR LEFT and their WOKE Agenda fighting to take over the world because their economics is failing. They refuse to reform and expect to keep borrowing for their endless promises of free gifts. This is by no means simply Carney and Canada. This is the agenda in Europe, and it is why there was a coup against Schwab at the World Economic Forum.

Schwab’s bold statements, which did not hide their Agenda 2030, were to have total control of everything, all because their economic system is collapsing. You cannot borrow forever without any intention of ever paying it off. A three-year-old with a pocket calculator could probably figure out this is not going to end well – i.e., 2032.

Monitoring everything you say on social media is becoming a reality. It used to be that only Santa Claus knew who was naughty or nice. Now it’s the NSA and the rest of the government. They have the right to search your social media to get a visa for a vacation or even for an American to return home.

Schwab took the position that if you have nothing to hide, then you should not be afraid. He obviously knows nothing about law and how a word can have different interpretations. I went to mail some Roman coins to a client, and the Post Office refused to accept them, saying it was illegal to send money through the mail. I tried to explain that these were ancient coins and were no longer in use as money. I was rejected and told it was still money. I had to go home and redo the paperwork and call the coins antiquities to mail them.

This very issue sparked the American Revolution. Schwab obviously does not know his history. There was a legal case that became the seminal beginning of the American Revolution known as Entick v. Carrington and Three Other King’s Messengers (1765), reported at length in 19 Howell’s State Trials 1029. This case was the start of the American Revolution and was also based on the abuse of the king’s agents. The action, dated November 1762, was for trespassing and interfering with the plaintiff’s dwelling by breaking open his desks and boxes and searching and examining his papers.

After George III became king in 1760, by February 1761, Parliament enacted the Writs of Assistance, that was challenged in court in Boston, Massachusetts. These were writs that empowered the king’s agents to search anything they suspected, like the NSA today, at their discretion. The defending lawyer James Otis (1725-1783) pronounced these writs as “the worst instrument of arbitrary power, the most destructive of English liberty, and the fundamental principles of law, that ever was found in an Englishlaw book.” Otis warned that the king placed discretion in the hands of every agent to act as he desired. Nothing has changed, for our current government can do whatever it desires today, and it is always the citizen’s burden to prove they have any rights whatsoever.

John Adams (1735–1826; 2^nd President 1797–1801) was in the audience at that hearing that day, and the four-hour speech of James Otis so moved him that he declared:

“Then and there was the first scene of the first act of opposition to the arbitrary claims of Great Britain. Then and there, the child independence was born.”

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Reliable sources confirm that Carney has aligned with the Globalists of the EU and will attempt to shift Canada. He is purposely making his first foreign trip to the capital cities of the two countries that shaped Canada’s early existence. He will seek to link the Canadaian economy to that of the EU and he has won an election all on the hatred of Donald Trump and this was an intentional ploy instigated by the Neocons and the EU who will collapse from a sovereign debt crisis so they are desperate to creat World War III to retain power and use that as the excuse for the 80 years of a failed socialist agenda which has produced debt that is never paid off and the interest is escalating crowding out all other spending.

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Carney is the ultimate WEF insider who was a leading force in creating the whole Net ZERO climate agenda that has undermined Europe’s economy and that of Canada.

As I had warned, the computer was showing that this would be the typical split, EAST vs WEST. Eventually, British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba will break from the EAST out of pure economic survival. Europe will break up as well, and eventually the same will unfold in the United States. CENTRALIZED dictatorial government has always failed, and what they have engaged in since World War II is socialism, where they still have their nose into personal lives.

A simple comparison of quarterly GDP growth between Canada and the United States demonstrates the utter failure of Canada’s socialistic policies that are indeed akin to those of Europe. Carney ran on the hate fest against Trump because he could not run on the economic track record of managing the economy of Canada under Trudeau.

Even the economic growth of Germany, the best within the EU, cannot compare to that of the USA, with less regulation and less socialism. The more any government tries to intervene and control aspects of the economy, the greater its failure, just like Marxism took down communism in China, Russia, and much of South America, especially Cuba.

Apr 29 2025

The New Federal Reserve HQ

Posted Apr 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

The Federal Reserve is nearly done completing its revamp of its Washington, DC, headquarters with a price tag of $2.5 billion. The luxurious facility has come under intense scrutiny as many believe they are borrowing from public funds while already operating in a deficit. Yet, these funds will not be added to national debt calculations.

The Federal Reserve operates on a self-funding mechanism, allegedly, using revenue it generates from interest on government securities and other services such as payment processing. Yet, that interest is generated from public funds. However, the Federal Reserve does not need approval from Congress to finance internal costs as it manages to bypass the federal budget.

The national debt is calculated based on congressionally authorized borrowing. Since no Treasury securities were issued, these costs remain off-budget and outside final calculations. The Federal Reserve operated independently, and as such, it can build a massive new facility equipped with garden terraces, elaborate water sculptures, ceiling skylights, and a private elevator system to transport board members to the newly designed VIP dining suite.

“The Federal Reserve is building the Palace of Versailles on the National Mall,” said Andrew T. Levin, professor of economics at Dartmouth College in New Hampshire, who then urged Congress to evaluate the Federal Reserve’s spending.

There are several special lending programs budgeted through the Fed that will not be included in the national debt. For example, the central bank purchased $500 billion in short-term debt from local and state governments during COVID to push cash into the system. Loans provided through the Main Street Lending Program and the Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility (MMLF) are not factored. The Fed maintains some monetary policy tools absent of congressional approval, like discount window loans and overnight reverse repurchase agreements.

Foreign central banks may exchange their treasuries for dollars, which does not pull from public funds. The FedNow Instant Payment system for banks also operates independently, as does the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) that funds around $630 million annually.

The Fed has a $7.4 trillion asset portfolio that is not congressional appropriations. Any losses are considered deferred assets on the central bank’s balance sheet. Now, the Fed differs from other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank, which rely more on shareholder capital and government-backed reserves. The 12 regional Federal Reserve banks operate as quasi-private institutions with elected board members, whereas the ECB and BoJ operate as public entities.

The Fed returns around 90% of its net income to the US Treasury despite the current negative press. The new headquarters may be excessive, but it is paramount for the Fed to remain independent from the federal government. Politicians should not drive fiscal policy, as all confidence in the system would be lost. A central bank like Turkey’s, which is completely politically controlled, faces ongoing currency crises and inflation because politicians only want to patch up the short term to ensure they win the next election. Congress should have no say in the Fed’s budget – period.

Apr 29 2025

Germany Seeks Loophole to Increase EU Funding to Ukraine

Posted originally on Apr 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

German Finance Minister Jörg Kukies is urging the European Union to force nations to drastically increase aid to Ukraine under an emergency clause. This emergency clause acts as a loophole that could allow Brussels to surpass defense investment parameters.

Kukies penned a letter on April 24, 2025, to Brussels to state that the “changing environment in Ukraine “requires a significant build-up of defense capabilities with a major impact on its public finances.” This clause would force EU members to spend up to 1.5% of GDP on Ukraine for the next four years. Kukies also would like the European Commission to consider expanding what constitute as “defense” spending, as it “adequately reflects the multiple threats to security in Europe” and considering “in particular dual-use expenditure.”

Incoming chancellor Friedrich Merz has already agreed to spend €1 trillion on Ukraine’s military and infrastructure. Germany is not “leading” Europe as many believe. Rather, it is dragging the entire continent into the grave. This is not about helping Ukraine. This is about creating the next perpetual conflict to justify more government power, more taxation, and the further erosion of individual liberty.

The German government believes it has the funds to shell out. Yet, other EU members have not masked their hesitancy to sink into debt at the expense of Ukraine. When Foreign Policy Chief Neocon Kaja Kallas attempted to bend the bloc’s hand to increase spending, a few southern European nations like Italy and Spain shouted that they did not want to excessively increase their debt. Spanish Finance Minister Carlos Cuerpo touched on a point that caused Brussels to shudder. If Europe believes it is acting as a solid consolatory force, then why not consolidate the debt?

Spain proposed a temporary special purpose vehicle (SPV) that would restructure defense debt from national balance sheets by issuing joint European debts through bonds or a similar vehicle. EU and non-EU nations could fund the SPV with a shared repayment obligation. Brussels is still considering the proposal, but rest assured that the top economies in the EU will not want to share the debt obligation. The entire premise of the euro robbed lower GDP nations through a failure to consolidate debt, and nations like Germany refused to forgive their multiplied debt after they adopted the euro because every nation will put itself first. It was a fantasy to believe that a continent could erase its borders and operate as one.

The computer has warned that Europe is at risk of a depression. The EU is collapsing under its own weight. The unelected authoritarian regime in the EU is working to destabilize Europe to fight Russia, and member nations must stand idle and watch their nations spiral into debt to spur on a war that was never their battle to fight.

Apr 29 2025

Media Demonizes Trump in First 100 Days

Posted originally on Apr 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

Legacy media will continue to spur anti-Trump propaganda until his dying breath. Even then, they likely would not permit him to rest in peace. We recently saw the media broadcast Donald Trump wearing a navy blue suit at Pope Francis’ funeral, claiming he is disrespecting an entire Christian denomination with his wardrobe selection. The Media Research Center (MRC) recently conducted a poll to see how the media has painted the president during his first 100 days, and to the surprise of no one, coverage was 92.2% negative.

MRC looked at national news programs from CBS, NBC, and ABC from January 20 through April 9. An astounding 899 stories discussing the Trump Administration were negative, compared to 7.8% of positive coverage. “Just 100 days into President Donald Trump’s second term, the broadcast evening news landscape is even more lopsided than it was eight years ago, when Trump was besieged with relentlessly hostile coverage,” researcher Rich Noyes wrote. During his first term, the media’s negativity was at 89%. In contrast, Joe Biden received 59% positive coverage from these media networks during his first 100 days.

“Yet despite the overwhelming negativity of their coverage, the networks found Trump irresistible as a news subject, at least compared with Biden. From January 20 through April 9, 2017, the networks saturated their newscasts with 1,900 minutes of Trump news; during the same time period this year, we tallied a massive 1,716 minutes of coverage. But in 2021, evening news viewers saw only 726 minutes of Biden coverage during these same weeks, less than half of the airtime devoted to either of the new Trump administrations,” Noyes wrote.

Tariffs received the most airtime with 361 minutes. As I have stated, the press is attempting to erode confidence in the American economy. DOGE received 301 minutes or airtime, with immigration policies coming in at third with 233 minutes. The news covered tariffs negatively 93% of the time, covering immigration policies with an equal amount of animosity. DOGE government cutbacks were aired an astounding 97% with a negative spin. “Out of nearly four hours of evening news airtime devoted to immigration, these newscasts spent just 3.5 minutes letting viewers know just how much Trump has reduced border crossings,” Noyes commented.

The entire Trump Administration is seen as a threat by the left, who control the mainstream media, hence why they have also painted his cabinet in a bad light. All three major networks portrayed Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in a negative way 100% of the time. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., despite his efforts that should be seen as neutral, received 89% negative coverage. Unsurprisingly, Elon Musk’s airtime was 96% negative.

“The mainstream media continues to portray President Trump’s historic accomplishments negatively, even though 77 million Americans voted for his policies. Americans know the President is doing what is best for the country, which is why the legacy media’s ratings continue to drop and people are finding new ways to consume the news,” a White House spokesperson told Fox News Digital.

The media fails to realize that the people voted for Trump because he is the anti-establishment candidate. His supporters know that the media conglomerates hate him AND his supporters, which only made him an increasingly popular underdog. Trump wears it as a badge of honor, even displaying his mugshot outside the Oval Office. Journalism died long ago. These are the same people who helped to orchestrate the COVID narrative, who hid Biden’s mental health, and who insist that they should have the final say on what constitutes misinformation. The primary, if not only, purpose of legacy media is to disseminate propaganda and manipulate the masses.

Apr 29 2025

Carney Wins Canada & the Recession into 2027 Begins

Posted originally on Apr 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

I have never witnessed such outright lies by a candidate as Carney. But hey, it has worked. With the votes in from the East, giving the Liberals 150 seats out of 343 so far, there is no way the Conservatives will get a majority. Our model provided three numbers for the Liberals: 41.25, 45.40, and 59.93. They are at 45.5 currently. His entire campaign has been about hatred of Trump.

Carney is a globalist, and he will sign up with the losing team, all for this agenda from the World Economic Forum, of which he has been indoctrinated as a key player. Mark Carney will remain Canada’s prime minister. There is no question about that. Even if the Conservatives took every seat in the West, they would still not have a majority and Carney will form a coalition if he didn’t get 172 seats.

As one reader just wrote in: “To be honest with you, I don’t care anymore, today Canadians have sealed their fate .” Our computer has been showing that Canada’s economy will take a nosedive over the next two years, into 2027. Of course, Carney will blame Trump. He has carried out this agenda from the Neocons to try to isolate Trump. Still, in the process, Carney has undermined trade relations with the United States far beyond Trump, and sources say he will try to shift to the EU, which can’t seem to get out of its own way when it comes to economics. EU consumer consumption is $1.29 out of $10 globally, with 450 million people, compared to 25% for the USA, with only 330 million people. The EU will likely move into a depression, so this won’t work out well for Canada.

Apr 29 2025

Canadian Election

Posted originally on Apr 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty, Socrates seems to be pointing to a C$ bounce. Does this imply that Carney will lose, or does it mean the bounce will be brief on his nonsense and then turn south?

ANSWER: The only hope that Carney has is a coalition. Comparing the Conservatives to the Liberals in Canada provides an interesting picture. Trudeau was able to be the leader of Canada with 32% of the vote. The computer clearly shows that Carney will beat Justin Trudeau, who was first elected as Prime Minister of Canada on October 19, 2015, and served until his recent resignation in January 2025. He led the Liberal Party to victory in three federal elections during his tenure. In 2015, he had 39.47% of the vote. Then in 2019, he won with 33.1%. Then in 2021, he won with 32.6% while the Conservatives beat him with 33.7%. This is the problem with a Parliamentary system – it allows fragmentation and coalitions.

2025_04_28 Truth_Social Trump on Canadian Election

Trump threw his 2 cents into the ring on Truth Social. That could help Carney. Canada would never become the 51st state. Each province would become a separate state, and that would mean each gets two senators, and they could join the Democrats and kill the US economy with their EQUALITY that has killed Canadian productivity. Canada’s once-thriving economy is now facing severe challenges, from a housing bubble that has pushed debt beyond GDP to a massive brain drain of skilled workers. With real estate prices climbing over 300% in two decades while wages lag far behind, homeownership is slipping further out of reach for most Canadians. At the same time, Canada’s productivity is declining, with the average worker producing 30% less than their U.S. counterpart. With rising discontent, increasing financial strain, and a lack of strong leadership. This has led to the question of how much longer Canada can hold on before a major economic crisis?

In the last election, the Conservatives beat Trudeau with 33.7% vs 32.6%. To get a majority, they need 172 seats. The Liberals will most likely carry the East – Newfoundland, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick, Quebec, and Ontario. This election could ignite the separation fires burning beneath the surface in the West. Our model warns that it was the completion of a 72-year cycle in the 2021 election for the Liberals, and that should be the low point. They have a fighting chance this time and will beat Trudeau’s numbers.

We still have the risk of war in May. Germany has just instructed Zelensky not to agree to any peace deal with Trump. The key level will become 7225 in the future, going into May.

Apr 28 2025

US Customs Can Search Social Media History

Posted originally onApr 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

Countless nations have increased their customs requirements as the freedom of movement slowly becomes restricted. The European Union now requires ETIAS for entry. The United Kingdom now requires an Electronic Travel Authorization (ETA). The United States has recently made headlines for enforcing stricter border patrol, but the stories are extremely misleading and intended to paint the United States as increasingly authoritarian under the Trump Administration.

The US Embassy in Tokyo announced that Japanese individuals applying for a DS-160 or nonimmigrant visa may need to submit their social media accounts. Travelers may be asked to submit any form of social media they’ve used during the past five years. The US government can deny entry to anyone who fails to comply with the requirements. This has produced misleading reports that the US government is specifically targeting Japanese travelers, but the government has the authority to search anyone from any nation, including US citizens.

The US Department of State (DOS) and the US Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) began conducting limited social media account reviews for visa applicants and immigrants in 2019, although these searches are rare. Border Patrol has the right to inspect the electronic devices of any traveler. However, this was not a requirement for entry.

“We are looking solely for social media identifiers. Consular officers will not request user passwords. The information will be used, as all information provided during a visa interview and on the visa application, to determine if the applicant is eligible for a visa under existing U.S. law. Collecting this additional information from visa applicants will strengthen our process for vetting applicants and confirming their identity,” the FAQ’s on the updated 2019 guidelines stated. “Consular officers cannot deny visas based on applicants’ race, religion, ethnicity, national origin, political views, gender, or sexual orientation,” the original guidelines state. One must question whether political views will be ignored in 2025.

“Any traveler entering the U.S. is subject to CBP inspection,” CBP Assistant Commissioner Hilton Beckham said in a statement to USA TODAY. “CBP follows strict policies and directives when it comes to searching electronic media. These searches are rare, highly regulated, and have been used in identifying and combating serious crimes, including terrorism, smuggling, human trafficking, and visa fraud. Any claims of politically motivated searches are completely unfounded.”

Additionally, the United States is NOT the only nation that can search through social media accounts. The European Travel Information and Authorization System (ETIAS) outright asks travelers to submit their social media history. Social media information is now required for visa-free travel authorization under ETIAS. Actual searches at the border are thought to be less common because the governments already have that information.

The Tokyo embassy’s report led to numerous Japanese travelers angrily taking to the internet to claim that they will never travel to the United States, as they are being specifically targeted. It is fake news. The media is keen to run any story regarding travelers turned away at the US border, but nearly all of those cases are the result of improper documentation. We never hear stories of Americans turned away at foreign borders, but it happens every day. You cannot enter a foreign nation without proper documentation — end of story. Legacy media is attempting to mislead the world into believing the United States is a dangerous nation under a fascist dictator who is eager to deport anyone without a red MAGA hat to El Salvador. It is all absolute nonsense. There should be far more concern regarding the new ETIAS and ETA programs if anything.

Apr 28 2025

California Becomes World’s Fourth Largest Economy

Posted originally on Apr 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

California recently surpassed Japan to become the World’s fourth-largest economy behind the United States, China, and Germany. The International Monetary Fund believes California’s nominal GDP is $4.1 trillion, surpassing Japan’s $4.01 trillion.

While many businesses have fled California due to excessive taxation and regulation, it remains the home of 57 Fortune 500 companies, which is more than any other state in the US. Apple, Alphabet (Google), Chevron, Meta, Nvidia, Netflix, Molina, Qualcomm, Intel, and others have headquarters in the Golden State. While five Fortune 500 companies departed from California last year, it gained 9 new entrants.

California has attracted over 40% of US venture capital, becoming the home of many startups in AI and biotech. In Q1 of 2024, 59.25% of all new US venture capital was raised in California, up from 37.9% on an annual basis. Startups in California generated $20.9 billion in Q1 of 2024, the highest quarterly total on record. For 2024 as a whole, California claimed 48.79% of the nation’s venture capital, raising over $43 billion.

Tourism is another money maker for the state, raking in $156.7 billion in 2024, a 4% annual increase and an all-time high. International spending on tourism generated $27.8 billion as the state has finally recovered from the post-pandemic dip in travel. Domestic spending accounted for $129 billion in tourism last year, a 4% annual uptick. California’s tourism sector alone provides 1.15 million jobs.

Agriculture is a major cornerstone of the state’s economy as well. Over 40% of the state’s land is used for farming, totaling 40 million acres, including 8.5 million irrigated acres. The state heavily relies on migrant workers to maintain these farmlands, leading to political differences with Washington. California produces 75% of America’s fruits and nuts, and 40% of vegetables. The Golden State generated $59.4 billion from agriculture in 2023. The state directs 40% of its water usage to farmlands, and water usage will become a key item to consider going forward.

“California isn’t just keeping pace with the world — we’re setting the pace. Our economy is thriving because we invest in people, prioritize sustainability, and believe in the power of innovation,” Governor Gavin Newsom said in a statement. “While we celebrate this success, we recognize that our progress is threatened by the reckless tariff policies of the current federal administration. California’s economy powers the nation, and it must be protected,” he added.

Newsom believes the US economy will shrink by $100 billion annually as a result of tariffs. California is suing the Trump administration to overturn tariffs, along with Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Minnesota, New York, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, and Vermont. Newsome is suing the Trump Administration for its deportation efforts as well, as his state’s economy needs migrants for its agriculture sector. California has launched its own tourism marketing campaign geared toward Canadians to separate the state from the federal government.

California also hosts the largest deficit of all US states. It relies heavily on Washington for financial support. If California were to secede, it would not be a utopia. It would be a fragmented region with massive capital flight, internal divisions (North vs. South California). Not to mention, the state does not have a military or currency of its own. Still, California’s strengthening economy and desire to separate itself from Washington will result in louder chants for succession and independence.

Centinel2012

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