Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Marty, it looks like Trump is aware of the ECM. The markets crashed right on cue with Socrates, and he refused to rule out a recession. What is most curious is that you had a Panic Cycle for this week of the 10th. I heard you prevent Google from searching your private blog. If you are not advising him, they must be following Socrates.
Kirk
REPLY: The ECM turned May 7th. That was the day of the attempted assassination of Zelensky. Within weeks, the central banks started lowering rates. I believe Canada was the first to cut rates. Look, most subscribe to Socrates; they would be fools if they didn’t. Even those who hate my guts subscribe just as I subscribe to the Washington Post and the New York Times to see what propaganda they are pushing this week.
This is NOT my personal opinion. This is the only fully functioning Artificial Intelligence Computer with more than a 40-year track record. I cannot reveal who our clients are. We respect the client’s privacy. As I have said, Socrates calculates the timing by itself. There are not enough analysts in the world collectively to write and forecast as many markets and instruments as Socrates does every day. As one of the top ten institutional funds in the world commented, I never want to be on the opposite side of Socrates.
We are headed into a Global RECESSION no matter what Trump thinks or does. It will be a depression in some regions, primarily Europe. One country alone does not dictate the trend globally. Trump cannot create an economic boom when the rest of the world is imploding.
Posted originally on CTH on March 11, 2025 | Sundance
The information from Secretary of State Marco Rubio looks good. During his flight to Saudi Arabia, Secretary Rubio answered a few questions about the U.S. delegation expectations of the meeting with Ukraine officials.
Rubio notes the aforementioned “minerals deal” is not an important part of the larger objective. Secretary Rubio says that finding out if Ukraine’s desire for peace with Russia is true, in good faith or not, is the key objective. A pragmatic Rubio also notes that Ukraine is likely going to have to give up lost territory to achieve peace.
FOX NEWS – […] “”The minerals deal is on the table that’s continuing to be worked on – it’s not part of this conversation, per se,” he said, noting that Tuesday’s meeting in Jeddah can be considered successful even without securing such an agreement.
[…] “The important point in this meeting is to establish clearly their intentions, their desire, as they’ve said publicly now, numerous times, to reach a point where peace is possible,” Rubio said, adding that he will need to be assured that Kyiv is prepared to make some hard decisions, like giving up territory seized by Russia, in order to end the three-year war.
“Both sides need to come to an understanding,” he said. “The Russians can’t conquer all of Ukraine, and obviously it will be very difficult for Ukraine, in any reasonable time period, to sort of force the Russians back all the way to where they were in 2014. So the only solution to this war is diplomacy and getting them to a table where that’s possible.
“Then we’ll have to determine how far they are from the Russian position, which we don’t know yet either. And then once you understand where both sides truly are, it gives you a sense of how big the divide is and how hard it’s going to be,” Rubio explained. “I’m hoping it’ll be a positive interaction along those lines.” (more)
Rubio also seems to indicate that if the U.S delegation senses this is all just lies and disinformation from the Ukraine side, then President Trump’s approach to providing financial support will moderate accordingly. “The pause in aid broadly is something I hope we can resolve,” Rubio said. “I think what happens tomorrow will be key to that.”
Secretary Marco Rubio continues to surprise us in the way he has totally stopped pretending about geopolitical matters. There is no sunlight between the continually expressed and defined positions of Marco Rubio and the identical positions, perspectives and policies expressed by President Trump.
This is quite a remarkable change in Rubio’s political persona. Is it real?
Posted originally on CTH on March 11, 2025 | Sundance
Approximately 60 drones were launched from Ukraine overnight to attack the Russian capital city of Moscow. This is the largest escalation of drone/missile attacks into Russia so far.
The attack comes, predictably, as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Nat Sec Advisor Mike Waltz and President Trump envoy Steve Witkoff arrive in Saudi Arabia for preliminary face-to-face talks with Ukraine officials. The pattern repeats.
Each time President Trump’s diplomatic team are scheduled to meet with Russia or Ukraine officials in their quest to stop the bloodshed, the intelligence apparatus in control of the NATO proxy war triggers an escalating disruption targeting Russia.
Hitting Moscow with a wave of 60 drones is a major escalation, because face-to-face meetings with U.S and Ukraine officials are at a critical inflection point. Each uptick in the offensive action from Ukraine is directly proportional to the increased seriousness of the peace talks.
(VIA AP) – A total of 69 Ukrainian drones targeting the Russian capital were shot down in a massive attack on Tuesday morning, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said.
The attack, the biggest targeting Moscow in months, came as a Ukrainian delegation was set to meet with America’s top diplomat in Saudi Arabia about ending the three-year war with Russia.
At least 11 of the drones were shot down in the Ramensky and Domodedovo districts of the Moscow region surrounding the Russian capital, Sobyanin said on the messaging app Telegram. He didn’t specify where the other drones were shot down, noting only that they were “flying towards Moscow.”
The governor of the Moscow region, Andrei Vorobyov, said that one person was killed and three more wounded as the result of the drone attack. The attack damaged seven apartments in a residential building in the Ramensky district, he said.
Sobyanin said the roof of a building in Moscow also sustained damage, which he described as “insignificant.”
Flights have been restricted in and out of three Moscow airports, including Domodedovo and Zhukovsky to the south and southeast of the city and Sheremetyevo to the north, according to Russian civil aviation authority Rosaviatsia.
Train traffic through the Domodedovo railway station also has been halted, local officials reported. (link)
At first review it seems like the terrain mapping component of the targeting system was not accurate or in place. Hence, unless NATO was intentionally targeting residential buildings, just like the attacks in Kazan some of the drones hit civilian high-rise buildings on the way to Moscow airport.
However, don’t get lost in the weeds on this. 60+ drones launched against Russia’s largest city is intended to draw a major retaliation from Russian President Vladimir Putin, that is what the UK/EU and NATO apparatus want. The Zelenskyy people want Russia to attack Kiev so they can enlarge the scale and scope of U.S. involvement.
I sincerely hope President Trump is on the phone with President Putin, and I hope Trump’s instructions to Rubio, Waltz and Witkoff are to put fierce pressure on Ukraine at the meeting in Saudi Arabia.
Only through strong, extreme and even perhaps vicious diplomacy, is Ukraine going to be brought to heel. The EU and NATO must also suffer strong geopolitical consequences for their efforts to disrupt any effort at peace.
The pretending must stop. Each time the UK/EU/NATO team use Ukraine to escalate the fight, the EU and NATO must pay a price. The American people need to understand what the dynamic really is here, even if it eventually means President Trump calling it out directly.
Posted originally on CTH on March 10, 2025 | Sundance
Canadian leftists have selected Mark Carney as their replacement for Justin Trudeau, Carney will be sworn in as Prime Minister shortly and complete the remaining segment of Trudeau’s term before new Canadian elections.
The only issue on the mind of voters in Canada is which candidate will fight U.S. President Donald Trump the hardest. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has vowed to fight Trump harder than Mark Carney, but the leftists in Canada are now back on the ascendency and will dispatch the pontificating Poilievere shortly.
During his acceptance speech at the Liberal Party convention, a beaming Mark Carney promised to defeat President Trump and the Americans in the upcoming trade war. Carney noted, a sense of national pride has swept across Canada as the people unite in their hatred for everything Trump and everything American associated with him. WATCH:
In addition to tariffs against Canadian goods and services, U.S. President Trump has massive economic arrows in his quiver that can be deployed against the Canadian economy. Measures including larger tariffs (tariff reciprocity), financial sanctions, restrictions on Canadian investment in the USA, revocation of visa-free border crossing, forced divestiture of American asset holdings for the Canadian people (banking reciprocity), all the way to a full-throated embargo of all goods and travel from Canada are potential.
If that sequence of events ever happened, the Canadian government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney has vowed to respond in kind to Trump with identical action blocking any/all USA products, services and American citizens from entry into Canada. This approach would enable us to finally determine which nationalistic outlook will survive, Canada or the USA.
(Via Politico) – […] One of Carney’s first decisions will be whether or not to call a snap election in the middle of a trade war. He has identified Trump’s rolling tariff threats as an “economic and sovereign crisis.”
“The Americans want our resources, our water, our land, our country,” Carney said. “Think about it. If they succeed, they will destroy our way of life.”
Carney campaigned for the top job on his reputation as a disaster manager, arguing that he is the right person to take on Trump. He ran for the leadership against former Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland, who has warned that how Canada deals with the president “will define us for a generation, and perhaps longer.”
Trump now tops the list of things Canadians are worried about, followed by jobs, inflation and the economy. About 90 percent of Canadians live within 150 miles of the U.S. border, and polls show the country of 40 million is increasingly angry at the U.S. president, who can’t seem to stop talking about annexing Canada. (read more)
These next few weeks and months could be very interesting.
Posted originally on CTH on March 10, 2025 | Sundance
There is a long and incredible backstory {GO DEEP} However, a Romanian “constitutional court” has now rejected the leading presidential candidate calin Georgescu from running for President.
As outlined by Reuters, “Romania’s central election authority said on Sunday it had decided to bar Georgescu’s candidacy, saying it was inadmissible after the Constitutional Court’s annulment of the December vote.”
Georgescu won the majority of the vote in December; however, after certifying the first round of the election, the court in Romania then heard a secret report from the EU intelligence system that claimed the candidate received some mysterious election support from Russia (never disclosed or validated), thereby establishing a predicate to annul the election outcome.
The court annulled the election outcome, set up a new election in May and now bans Georgescu from participating. Georgescu is a nationalist, and his ideological outlook is the exact opposite of what the EU want to see. As a consequence, appeals were made to Brussels to intervene and simultaneously inside Romania the election results were thrown out.
BUCHAREST (Reuters) -Romanian far-right presidential contender Calin Georgescu said on Monday he would challenge a decision to bar him from taking part in an election rerun in May, but analysts said his chances of standing were slim amid fears of Russian meddling.
The dispute over Georgescu’s candidacy is firing up tensions both at home and abroad. A small group of his supporters smashed pavements and set rubbish bins ablaze in Bucharest on Sunday, while Elon Musk, a key adviser to U.S. President Donald Trump, branded the decision to bar Georgescu “crazy”.
[…] “It’s a disgrace to the leadership of this country. You see that Mr Georgescu has different opinions and that’s why they didn’t accept him,” said Bucharest resident Victoria who declined to give her last name.
Challenges to decisions by Romania’s central election authority must be filed within 24 hours. The Constitutional Court should rule on Georgescu’s appeal by Wednesday.
Analysts have said it is unlikely that the top court will allow Georgescu to run again for the presidency.
The court set a precedent in October when it blocked the candidacy of another far-right candidate, arguing that her anti-European, pro-Russian views made her unfit for office. (read more)
Vice-President JD Vance previously drew attention to the Romanian “democracy” decrying the ridiculous decision to throw out the election result just because a candidate the court deemed did not express the right thinking won the election.
“There is no security if you are afraid of the voices of your own people,” Vance said. Continuing, “if you are running in fear of your own voters, there is nothing the American people can do to assist you.”
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