70% of American Cities in Debt – Pension Crisis will Cause Taxes to RISE


Posted Feb 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Pension Crisis

A study by Truth in Accounting (TIA) revealed that 70% of America’s largest cities fell into a deficit in fiscal year 2022. Out of the 75 cities studied, 53 simply did not have the funds to pay their bills. The study found that the total debt among the 75 cities had reached $288 billion, and despite the $307.4 billion of assets shared among them, the cities held $595.3 billion in unfunded pension plans.

US law requires cities to maintain a balanced budget, yet no one is holding the representative accountable. Mind you, this data was collected BEFORE the migrant crisis toppled city budgets. Cities have been overreporting their revenue and incorporating borrowed funds into their total revenue calculations. These cities push off bills until the beginning of the next fiscal year to alter calculations.

Pensions and health care were the major issues burdening American cities long before Washington required taxpayers to bankroll the 7+ million new illegal residents. As the report notes: “The most common accounting trick cities use to understate government costs is not including true compensation costs. Cities provide employees with salaries and employee benefits, such as healthcare, life insurance, and pensions. While pension and other post-employment costs, such as health care, will not be paid until the employees retire, they still represent current compensation costs earned and incurred throughout their tenure.”

Cover Pension Crisis

I have been warned for many years that the government pension plans operate like a Ponzi scheme and have been waiting to implode. Government employees have the defined-benefit (DB) while we get the defined-contribution (DC) plans. Most state and local government employees, actually 87% of those working full time, participate in a defined benefit (DB) pension plan. They contribute NOTHING but are guaranteed a pension on top of what they earned, plus free healthcare for life. Under these promises, these employees have never been required to save for the future and will demand that the public be taxed on anything and everything to keep to this Ponzi scheme on life support.

UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCE should you allow your pension fund to be managed by any government-related entity. They cannot pay government employees so they have sought to suck in everybody else to cover up their losses. Before 2032, there will be more people on retirement from government than actual employed workers. The government must continue to raise our taxes because they are incapable of creating reform.

The reason I highlight the migrant crisis is that we are now shelling out billions of dollars every month to support a new influx of people who have also never contributed to the system. They are providing them with “free” shelter, food, debit cards, and more. Then, they decided to prevent these very people from obtaining working permits to ensure the select few with good intentions cannot ween off government/taxpayers.

Look at history to see how this situation plays out—warning: the pension crisis will not end nicely. When the government could no longer afford to pay the army, it began sacking Roman cities that opposed their general. They turned inward and cannibalized their own cities, weakening the entire empire, thereby allowing the barbarians to come through the gates. We have followed the very same mistakes as Rome. This is just how empires always end. We are no different.

NYC Bonds Are in Sell Mode


Posted originally on Feb 22, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Engoron Hocjul Letitia James

COMMENT: Hi Martin.

Thanks for the “astute lawyer” compliment. That was very nice, and coming from you, it is very meaningful to me.

The Epoch Times headline in your “NYC Out of Control” post calls the dollar part of the verdict against the Trumps a “penalty.” It has also been called a “fine,” but I haven’t yet seen it called “damages” in a headline. I think Hochul, Engoron, and James know that the amount was based on a damage assessment and calculation that may not hold up. New York Executive Law § 63(12) clearly reads that the attorney general “may apply…for an order…directing restitution and damages…”. [Emphasis mine.]

New York proved math calculations, not actual damages, where the damaged party had to be made whole. Had the statute recited a list of fines, they’d probably be in a more sound position, but their position now is what I would call “too dicey for comfort.” I would seize nothing in this situation because there are too many cases of improper seizures to worry about. The verdicts against those who seize property in error or improperly or hastily in a flawed or tainted case are many times larger than the amount of the money judgment used to seize and sell the property of the defendant.

Furthermore, if New York has someone running the Trump businesses, and should he or she destroy or damage the businesses, the state could be liable for many, many times the amount of the verdict/judgment against the Trump family. Trump could wind up seizing the state capitol, the governor’s residence, etc., plus having his property returned to him. I’ve seen this happen. Once, the State of Louisiana overreached, and once, the U.S. government was a litigant against a billionaire oil man, banker, and friend who could not get the IRS to return his multi-million dollar overpayment of taxes. He finally had enough, and he seized the Hale Boggs Federal Court Building. He got his money a day later.

Perhaps by dancing around exactly what legal principle the amount of the money verdict/judgment is based on (i.e., damages, fines, penalties [i.e., a payment imposed as punishment], whatever), the Hochul, Engoron, James enterprise has walked into a trap. The Eighth Amendment prohibits excessive fines. If they maintain the amount is absolutely based on the principle of damages, how can they show a diminution of the state being “whole” (or “wholeness” if you will) owing to Trump’s actions with third parties. If they maintain the amount of the verdict/judgment is based on a properly enacted and published fine or penalty, then they must face the Eighth Amendment.

In my opinion, Hochul, Engoron, and James are whistling past the graveyard. They have put their careers on the line, and the dice are tumbling.

Best regards, and thanks again.

EGM

Docket Sheet Sealed

REPLY: This is so political it smells, and just because this Judge, who is not qualified to judge a turtle race, simply decrees, they think they are God, and everyone must bow down to them and kiss their ring. It is so rare to find a decent judge in New York. Judge Lawrence McKenna saw what they were doing and tried to protect me. The government went to the Chief Judge to remove him and then sealed the record.

Civil Unrest 2023

The DA belongs in prison with the governor and this disgusting judge. This DA is bragging that she will now seize Trump Tower. When the computer projected that the 2024 election would be intermixed with serious civil unrest and that neither side would ever accept the outcome, as we draw closer and closer to this date with destiny, it is looking very, very dark indeed.

DJIND M Array 2 15 24

The computer is projecting a panic cycle in September, rising volatility in October, and October will be a critical turning point heading into the 2024 election. We should no longer have the motto – Gold Bless America – it should be changed to – God Save America. These LEFTIST are destroying the very foundation of law; without that, civilization can no longer exist. That is the testimony of history – not my opinion.

NEW YORK IS DOOMED

Bond investors have piled into New York City’s tax-exempt bonds, lured by their relatively high yields. However, with a $7 billion budget deficit spiraling costs of sheltering asylum seekers and other migrants that have sought refuge in New York on top of this collapse in the rule of law, NYC is a sell – not a buy. Wall Street profits are declining, and with them, there are looming job cuts at major investment banks. Many are migrating to Florida, which puts pressure on city tax revenue. New York’s fiscal outlook is a disaster. That suggests the city’s general obligation bonds aren’t particularly attractive at current valuations – they are a sell.

2.21.24: Censorship, 2020 still alive, Red Cross, RFK Jr, Truckers, NY Pray!


Posted originally on Rumble By And We Know on: Feb 21, 2024 at 12:45 pm EST

Ep 3288b – [DS] Building War Narrative Against Russia,Satellites Destroyed,Trump’s Revenge, Success


Posted originally on Rumble By X 22 Report on: Feb 21, 2024 at 7:00 pm EST

Inflation Dropped in Canada – So Why is the Cost of Living Unaffordable?


Posted originally on Feb 22, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

canadian dollar C

Statistics Canada reported that inflation slowed in January to 2.9%, beating expectations of 3.3%. So why are Canadians still struggling to afford basic necessities like rent and food?

Mortgage interest costs remain the top noted driver of inflation after rising 27.4% YoY, while rentals increased 7.9% during the same period. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem explained that the central bank cannot fix the housing crisis through cuts. “Housing affordability is a significant problem in Canada but not one that can be fixed by raising or lowering interest rates,” he noted at the beginning of February. The Bank of Canada has voted to raise interest rates 10 times since March 2022, with little to no impact on inflation.

The central bank cannot manage supply and demand. Rentals.ca noted that rentals have been rising by C$373 per month since COVID restrictions and lockdowns decimated the global economy. Demand far outweighs supply, and Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. noted that vacancies are at their lowest level since they began reviewing the data in 1988.

The Bank of Canada building

Trudeau’s government only cares about the rising debt-to-GDP ratio, and analysts cling to their failed theories of Keynesian economics. What percentage of interest costs are in that deficit, and what happens when they can no longer sell the debt? These are questions entirely overlooked.

The Canadian dollar is simply worth less than it was before the COVID lockdowns, and the Canadian dollar’s decline is contributing to the rising cost of imports.

The Bank of Canada has the same issue with its central bank as many other nations – the government will not stop spending. Total government spending for the 2023 fiscal year through the end of March 2024 is estimated to be C$488.7 billion.

Yet, the Trudeau Administration announced this week that they will be spending another C$300+ million on ammunition for Ukraine as Canada, like all other NATO nations, has been prioritizing spending on foreign wars while ignoring its growing deficit.

Canada’s deficit is expected to hit C$38.4 billion in 2024/25 and C$38.3 billion in 2025/26. Who is the largest buyer of Canadian debt? Foreign investors from the United States who purchased around $13.1 billion of Canadian debt securities. Canada saw a high in foreign share acquisitions in December 2023 to the tune of C$29.4 billion, with non-US foreign share investment reaching C$6.3 billion.

Investors are mainly seeking instruments denominated in USD that are issued by Canadian banks. Now, Canada must make investment opportunities more lucrative for the US buyer compared to domestic investments. Hence, the BoC is moving in line with the Federal Reserve, but both are utterly helpless as they cannot control fiscal policies.

Get the Hell Out of NY ASAP!


Posted originally on Feb 20, 2024 By Martin Armstrong

The Ruse of Bitcoin & Crypto


Posted originally on Feb 21, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Fink Larry

BlackRock CEO & World Economic Forum Trustee Board Member

Larry Fink Turns Bullish on Bitcoin

Larry Fink has changed his tune on crypto, saying suddenly it could “revolutionize finance,” endorsing an industry he once viewed with skepticism. Of course, as a board member of Scwab’s WEF, the crypto zealots cheered. Still, they think that Bitcoin can replace the dollar and end inflation, which they think is the result of paper money. That only reveals their own ignorance of what money is and the role it has played since the dawn of civilization.

Private Assets Government Assets

Worse still, they are telling people Bitcoin is going to be $60,000+ and fail to comprehend that even assuming that the dollar was replaced with Bitcoin, a rally then in the currency would subject the country to a Depression as took place during the 1930s.

1900 20 40

What made the depression so great was that private assets collapsed, and there was a flight to quality being cash. If Bitcoin replaced the dollar, the country would collapse, the debt would be unpayable or serviced, and private assets would decline, including gold. Democrats would no longer be able to run for office, for they could not promise gifts if you vote for them in the spirit of Marx. This is far more complicated than simply replacing the dollar. Even the people constantly calling for the collapse in the dollar do not comprehend that you are really talking about the collapse of the entire government, its debt, and the political system that would most likely fuel the divorce between the Blue & Red States. It was the dramatic rise in the dollar that compelled FDR to confiscate gold and devalue the dollar. It was the high price of the dollar that resulted in protectionism because the politicians did not understand the currency.

CBDC

They seem oblivious to the fact that the coming Central Bank Digital Currency in the USA would be unconstitutional, and the Federal Reserve will NOT issue one. Instead, the top banks are all moving to create their own and pitch for their version that will be programmable and traceable. The rumor is Fink would love to take over Bitcoin. WHY? Because all the tracing and reporting will be done by the private sector and under CURRENT law, banks MUST report suspicious behavior. So it is the COVID Model where the private sector did the censoring of free speech that the First Amendment ONLY restricts the government – not Facebook, YouTube, et al.

The Bitcoin zealots seem to overlook that the very nature of an ETF is at odds with the original ideals of Bitcoin. ETFs are an investment vehicle that’s categorically different from the original ideals of digital assets and will push the industry in the precise wrong direction into the ultimate way the government can trace everything you do and make sure they tax everything.

US Govt Targets Private Enterprise – Eminent Domain – Private Property and Patents at Risk


Posted originally on Feb 21, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

EminentDomainCartoon

A recent measure from the Biden Administration touted as a solution to lower prescription drug costs has a more sinister motive. The Bayh–Dole Act or Patent and Trademark Law Amendments Act of 1980 permitted researchers to own the patents of their products developed through government funds. The legislation permitted “march-in” rights that enabled these agencies to grant a license on their patents to third parties. For the first time in four decades, the federal government wants to invoke this measure as they are losing both money and power amid this private wave.

Codified by 35 U.S.C. S 203, the march-in rights permit the federal government to require contractors to hand over “nonexclusive, partially exclusive, or exclusive license” to a “responsible applicant or applicants.” Around 5% of patents were licensed out before the Bayh-Dole Act compared to around 69% today. On the surface, one may view this as an effective way to push back against prescription price gouging but this is an outright attack on private enterprise.

This measure is not limited to prescription medications as it expands to ever patent created through government funds, meaning every single industry could be usurped by Washington. Had the government actually wanted to lower prescription prices, there are countless measures and legislations that they could pass to do so. Instead, they are directly targeting private enterprises, no different from any communist nation.

Unconstitutional

Seizing private property has never benefitted the people of any nation. It has been attempted and tried countless times and always results in disaster. The Founding Fathers deliberately forbid this from happening in the Fifth Amendment of the US Constitution.

Amendment V

No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a grand jury, except in cases arising in the land or naval forces, or in the militia, when in actual service in time of war or public danger; nor shall any person be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb; nor shall be compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself, nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor shall private property be taken for public use, without just compensation.

Most know the right to remain silent provided by the Fifth Amendment. There is a “takings clause” clearly written in the Constitution that forbids the government from seizing private property.

The US Supreme Court misconstrued this clause in KOHL v. US , 91 U.S. 367 (1875). The government decided to seize private property from landowners in Cincinnati to create public infrastructure. This case is largely cited as the beginning of eminent domain discussions and the US Supreme Court ruled in favor of the Federal government, so long as they provided “just compensation.” The court ruled that the government may asses the value and pay whatever they wish.

JamieDimon

The government and globalists have been searching for ways to use to ruling to seize private property. Most cases surrounded public infrastructure until recently. In 2023, JPMorgan Chase CEO and World Economic Forum member Jamie Dimon told shareholders that  “governments, businesses and non-governmental organizations” may need to invoke “eminent domain” in order to get the “adequate investments fast enough for grid, solar, wind and pipeline initiatives.”

The power provided by the pandemic tipped the scales in favor of the government over the people. Implementing socialism would be the fast-track way to achieve the World Economic Forum’s objective—YOU WILL OWN NOTHING AND BE HAPPY. Dimon suggested using the excuse of climate change to usher in the Great Reset. “The need to provide energy affordably and reliably for today, as well as make the necessary investments to decarbonize for tomorrow, underscores the inextricable links between economic growth, energy security and climate change. We need to do more, and we need to do so immediately,” Dimon added in his message to shareholders.

Then, the US government began quietly seizing farmland, particularly in South Dakota. Summit Carbon Solutions invoked eminent domain to seize private property to build a clean energy solution pipeline. Farmers reported receiving unannounced visits from surveyors who, at times, entered their personal residences without notice. The farmers were threatened and warned not to interfere in the plans to destroy their businesses. Over 80 farmers attempted to sue the company, but many were placed in contempt of court for speaking out. The US government ruled that it was legal and acceptable for Summit Carbon Solutions to seize property in the name of climate change.

Maximinus AE Denominations

History repeats as human nature NEVER changes. Look back at the Roman emperor Maximinus I (235-238 AD) who effectively declared all wealth in the country belonged to the state. He paid bribes to anyone who turned in their neighbor for hiding wealth. Once Maximinus wiped out small businesses in this manner, it led to a collapse in confidence in the economy. Commerce rapidly declined from there on out commerce and businesses did not restart. There was no Great Reset. In that instance, one Pi Cycle marked the bottom of the Roman economy from 237 AD to 268 AD (31 years).

The US government will seize more than just land in this most recent abuse of power. Our liberty is on the line and the government is seizing our rights at a rapid pace. We are entering a period of COMPLETE TOTALITARIANISM as we move toward 2032. Governments are losing control in this private wave, and the old methods of controlling the masses are not working; they are laying out the groundwork to take the utmost extreme measures to force the people to become entirely subservient to the system.

NYC Sanctuary for Non-Americans – All Others Pay Up


Posted originally on Feb 20, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

The Investment Boycot Against NYC Has Begun


Posted originally on Feb 20, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

2024_02_20_18_28_13_Businessmen_Say_They_Will_No_Longer_Invest_in_New_York

The reaction to this bogus decision against Trump is just overwhelming. I cannot even tell you how many emails have come in, all getting the point and confirming it is time to get the hell out of New York. They have shown the entire world that no rule of law is left standing.

Country Risk

As an international hedge fund manager, the #1 assessment you need to make is COUNTRY RISK. Is it safe to invest there, and is there a robust rule of law that you can count on to secure your investment? That is why you do not invest in countries like Iran, for they had their revolution and nationalized all private assets. Russia did the same during the Communist Revolution of 1917.

Georgia 1778 Tory Confiscation Note

Even during the American Revolution, they confiscated the assets of anyone who supported the king. Those confiscated assets became the backing for currency.

City State Risk

Now we have City & State Risk. There is already a mass migration underway from Blue States to Red States. This will only accelerate this advance. I am warning clients that the longer they wait to have property to sell in NYC, the greater the loss they will face. Sell now before there is no bid.

Rule of Law Justice

The Rule of Law has completely collapsed in New York City. It is no longer investment grade for there is no possible way to secure your property. One lawyer who wrote in, and here are his comments, which need to be reviewed carefully:


Hi Martin.

I have three things to pass on to you:

First, you are absolutely correct. Does the majority of the New York business community really know what Judge Engoron did? …  Engoron and Hochul confirmed that New York is a “connection-based society” not a “contract-based society,” or, as you say “corrupt to its core.” All the assurances by the Governor Hochul that businesses should not fear the civil action the state filed against Trump and the money judgment Engoron rendered, and that there’s nothing to worry about, is just another confirmation that New York is now completely a “connection-based society.” The governor even confirmed that she could, but won’t, overrule Engoron proving that in New York the branches of government are intermixed. … Hochul does not realize that her comments were damaging not reassuring. What fool will trust her and New York now. My solution: Sell all equities of companies that have their headquarters or domicile where they could be subject to the jurisdiction of New York and can be sued under the same laws Trump was.

Second, it is a correct move to challenge the definition of “fraud.” In the mid-1980s I was lead plaintiff’s counsel in the first civil RICO suit filed against a financial institution in … . The case was allotted to a judge like Engoron. That judge ran me through the ringer, but I kept the case alive. At one point the court was toying with the question “What is fraud?” The court was trying to find yet another way to dismiss the case and require me to re-plead it. I did a massive study of fraud. I even read John T Nonan’s book entitled Bribes. The definitions of fraud in our state and federal courts are too many to count, but I finally boiled it down to the essential elements, i.e., all those that absolutely MUST be present or there is no fraud.

This is the definition I found that applies to ALL cases no matter how the elements are worded is this: FRAUD IS THE VOLUNTARY TRANSFER OF SOMETHING OF VALUE BY DECEIT. The occurrence sued on and alleged to be fraud MUST be (1) VOLUNTARY, (2) A TRANSFER, (3) OF SOMETHING OF VALUE, (4) BY DECEIT. If any of these four elements are missing, it’s not fraud. Obviously, New York is missing the transfer element which, I think, makes each of the other elements a non sequitur and meaningless.

Third, cities and states have found new ways to increase revenue by twisting laws and our basic societal framework of separate branches of government. As you have long maintained, they are on a hunt for taxes. From 2000 to 2005 I was a Deputy City Attorney for the City …. We handled the civil legal affairs of the city, not the criminal cases. After I left, … , a lawyer contacted me and asked me to analyze the facts of a case he thought he had. I found that … had changed its procedures regarding blighted property to avoid the courts of the judicial branch. The city established a list of huge fines for properties that were cited with code violations. The fines accrued interest after a certain time period passed, and the property owner did not correct the violations.

The procedure was unconstitutional because no judge EVER reviewed or had ANY role in the proceedings to collect the fines and interest. A hearing officer (executive branch) would assess a fine and give the property owner a specific amount of time to correct the violations. He would prepare and sign an “administrative” judgment setting forth his findings, rulings and assessing the fine plus interest. If the time elapsed and the violations were not remedied by the property owner, the Clerk of Court (executive branch, ministerial powers only, no judicial powers) of the state court in … would issue a request for seizure and sale to the … Civil Sheriff (executive branch, ministerial powers only, no judicial powers).

The Civil Sheriff would issue an order of seizure and sale and the property would be auctioned off to the highest bidder. The fines plus interest were always high enough that the property owner could not pay same, but low enough that someone with capital could pick up the properties at a very, very cheap price. The “laws” that established this procedure were mostly ordinances passed by the … City Council, which was the wrong authority to approve a seizure and sale that was not reviewed and signed by a duly elected or appointed state court judge. Cities are not separate sovereigns with the right to enact general laws, like causes of action and shifting judicial powers to authorities that have only ministerial executive duties.

So, intermixing branches of government and shifting and assuming powers that states and cities cannot exercise are not the only scams being used to collect money. States and cities are doing end runs around Constitutional principles. New York did it by giving the court the power to calculate general damages rather than enacting legislation reciting a list of fines that the state may impose for business improprieties. The state courts would then just include the fine that applies under the circumstances that was set by the state legislature. That would be Constitutional, but having the freedom to assess unspecified damages that the state does not suffer is absurd.

To summarize, no transfer = no fraud, and no fines set by the legislature to assess replaced by the power to impose general damages = a sham system that is a blurred mixture of the executive branch and the judicial branch.

Hope all is well.

Regards,

EGM