Armstrong Economics Blog
Re-Posted Jun 25, 2016 by Martin Armstrong
The Dow has been bouncing off the Reversals as well. Despite being above 17800, it would fail to close above that. The question becomes WHEN will the Dow breakout to test new highs with the next target zone in the 21,000 to 23,000 area? With the closing on Friday below the first Minor Weekly Bearish at 17434, the Dow should move a bit lower now to test the 17120 level. We have a serious gap there after both technically and on our Reversal system. We can yet see a thrust to test the 15000 zone before turning back up again. The numbers tell us when the big moves will come. But we need not move down that far. We can hold technically the 16900 level, fail to elect any reversals, and the flip back up.
The key to all the markets is CONFIDENCE. We are witnessing a global revolution against career politicians. BREXIT is the first of four critical elections we have been warning about. There is no real chance of a major stock market crash because retail participation (both domestic and foreign) is at historic lows. There is no retail market that would panic. The “professionals” are baffled trying to figure this mess out watching the Fed and reading headlines. More hedge funds are closing because performance is collapsing. Opinion really drives the bulk of investment and nobody is getting this right because there is nobody who has ever lived during such a period. Those in search of guru will lost everything. The ONLY way to trade this mess is DISPASSIONATELY and just go by the numbers. The market is the only one that is never wrong.
The slingshot is coming. These four elections will change the perspective of government for the next few decades. Those in power will fight back tooth and nail. You can see it. Republican Elite hate Trump just as the Democratic Elite hated Bernie. Both represented upsetting the apple cart. Nevertheless, we are looking at a serious issue here. The slingshot comes WHEN everyone realizes the future will not be anything they dreamed of. The negative interest rates are destroying pension funds, Central banks have lost control and credibility, and socialism is dying very hard because government is consuming the bulk to fund its own pensions. The slingshot comes when people realize governments are collapsing. Then there will be the mad rush into all private assets.











We have two incredible important numbers coming into focus for the closing of June – 13660 and we also have a Quarterly Bearish at 13680 and 14280. Obviously, if we close June below 13660, we should expect the pound to decline sharply in the months ahead.


Nigel Farage told supporters that June 23 should now go down as “our independence day” for Britain. The said statement of the Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said Scotland contributed significantly to the Remain vote across the UK and the Scottish people “see their future as part of the EU” so going forward, we can yet see Scotland leave the UK but this time it will quickly discover that the EU is crumbling. The Act of Union that formed the UK was under Queen Ann in 1707. Applying the 309.6 year cycle brings us to 2016.6. Therefore, we may see indeed an independent Scotland, but it will soon find out it joined the sinking ship. Meanwhile, in Ireland, Sinn Fein said Britain’s vote to leave the EU has “very significant implications” for Ireland, and it called for a referendum on a united Ireland.