Why War is Inevitable & the Outcome is as well


Posted originally on Mar 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Diplomacy 2

One of the basic rules of war is that you always keep two fronts going simultaneously. The first is the obvious battlefield. However, the second is communication. Suppose you DO NOT keep communication open through the back channels. In that case, there is NEVER the possibility of PEACE, and the war then becomes concluded only when one side is obliterated. This is what has taken place, and the demonizing of Putin is HIGHLY dangerous, for it shows there is no intention of peace. You cannot keep calling someone a piece of shit publicly and then expect the people to accept a reversal of that policy.

Goring Herman on War

Demonizing an opponent is to create hatred that leads your troops to be willing to die for some greater good. Field Marshall Goring explained it well when he was on trial at Nuremberg. You always denounce the peacemakers as conspiracy theorists, or as Nuland is calling the anti-war Republicans – “Putin’s wing of the Republican Party.” Victoria Nuland is the real Commander & Chief, not Biden, who is directing this war. She has made clear that she has absolutely no intention of stopping the war. The Neocons have spent their entire lives drooling at the thought of conquering Russia and China. When Communism fell, they never changed their view. When Ronald Reagan wanted to meet with Gorbachev, sensing that Russia wanted to end Communism, the Neocons objected, and I can tell you they told him, “You can never trust a Russian.” Reagan refused to listen and met with Gorbachev, and the Berlin Wall collapsed.

Zelenskyy Johnson

There was a peace deal that this war would have been over in 6 weeks. Putin withdrew his troops from the outskirts of Kiev as a sign of good faith that the deal would be that Zelensky would have secured the rights of the people in the Donbas and agreed not to join NATO. Putin agreed to withdraw all his troops from the occupied region in return for that agreement.

The Neocons sent Boris Johnson to kill that peace deal, proving that the West, from the outset, wanted this war they spent time to create. Since then, 500,000 Ukrainians have died, countless millions have fled Ukraine, and now sending more arms will not matter if there is nobody there left standing to fight.

Ukraine_Zelensky_fires_General_Valerii_Zaluzhnyi

This is why Zelensky fired Ukraine’s top commander, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, over his objection to the offensive and the astronomical health toll. Zelensky told the truth and initiated a draft for 500,000 fresh troops. Zaluzhnyi warned that Ukraine could not defeat Russia. The conflict with Russia had become a stalemate for months. Zaluzhnyi was very popular with the troops, and firing him was a major mistake that Zelensky, lacking any military experience, thought a general could just order people to die with no repercussions. Zelenskyy appointed the commander of Ukraine’s ground forces, Col. Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi, to lead the army, which was a sharp blow to the morale of the troops.

Khruschev Brezinski

Syrskyi has been instrumental in Ukraine’s biggest successes during the war, including overseeing the defense of the capital in the early days of the invasion. Syrskyi was born in 1965 in the village of Novinki, Vladimir Oblast, Russian SFSR, then in the Soviet Union, into a military family of ethnic Russians. As of 2023, his parents and brother live in Russia. This demonstrates how intermixed the entire Ukraine is with ethnic Russians as Ukrainians today. I have reported previously that Kruschev grew up there and rebuilt Kiev after World War II. He merely reassigned Crimea to be administered by Kiev when it was part of Russia. Then, his successor, Brezhnev, was born in the Donbas.

The geopolitical situation concerning the Ukraine war will catalyze World War III. Historians said Europe, with its alliances, stumbled into World War I. The same is unfolding here in the 21st century. Political leaders make decisions on the immediate event without ever even thinking about what will be the next step.

This Ukrainian War is very much intertwined with the rise of China as an economic and Military superpower. Ukraine has become the stomping ground concerning the rivalry of the three great powers: the United States, Russia, and China.

China on the Rise

The Ukraine war has triggered a completely new dynamic in the relationship between these great powers with respect to this rivalry. What is being overlooked here is that China, and not Russia, is capable of replacing the United States as the leading world economic and military power, as we warned several years ago, back in 2011 and 2018. Our model projected that China would eventually replace the United States as the leading economic power.

CUGUSA Y Chart Array 1 1 23

A number of people did not like that forecast, but my job was to present the UNBIASED projections of the computer. I have grandkids. I hate to see the future we are leaving behind. This is the data from the Federal Reserve. The differential peak occurred in 2006 with a premium of $1.3 trillion.  Even since then, China has been growing in leaps and bounds, and it may even surpass the US in the 2025/2026 period and reach a peak by 2032.

Alaska_Secession_2 16 24
2024 1 18 Jamie_Dimon_tells_Dems_to_be_respectful_of_MAGA_supporters

All I can do is show the trend and provide the timing as to when this will unfold. This war that the Neocons are hell-bent on launching will destroy the United States in the process. The risk of dissent and even a separatist movement because of their demonizing Trump and everyone who voted for him is causing a major divide. Even Jamie Dimon has warned the Democrats this hatred they hurl at Trump is dividing the country and our model shows the separatist movement is rising. Even more than one-third of Alaskans want to separate from the USA now.

The immediate American National Security Strategy confirms the forecast we made back in 2011 and 2018 that the People’s Republic of China is the only competitor that intends to reshape the international order economically while its political government increasingly possesses the diplomatic, military, and technological power to propel and fulfill Beijing’s ambitions to create an extended sphere of influence in the Indo-Pacific region. Eventually, China will become the world’s leading economic and military power.

This is why, in the Ukraine War, the United States Neocons aimed to weaken Russia, its second geopolitical rival, politically, economically, and militarily. Then, they intend to focus on the confrontation with China, their formidable and biggest adversary. To achieve their strategic goal, the Neocons have sought close cooperation with Europe and pushed NATO to expand to Asia.

Under this new Chancellor of Germany, his visit to Washington demonstrated that Germany was apparently ready to take on a leadership role in the Ukrainian Proxy War. However, NATO intends to bring the European allies involved in a future conflict with China together with Australia, Japan, New Zealand, and South Korea. This is the planned Indo-Pacific network of partners and allies against China. There is reason to infer that Macron’s recent statement to send Troops into Ukraine may be more of a rivalry with Germany for the lead role.

This may seem a wise move on the surface by the Neocons first to take down Russia, which they perceive to be the weaker of the two geopolitical rivals. Secondly, they will launch another Proxy War using Taiwan for canon fodder rather than directly confront China, which is clearly the stronger opponent.

I believe that the Neocons are making a huge mistake by opening a strategic military two-front confrontation against China and Russia, which is a ticking nuclear time bomb that will engulf the entire world. North Korea is producing arms for Russia, and it has instructed its army to “grid for war.” North Korea has a deal manufacturing ammunition for Russia. In return, Russia is providing the desperately needed food for North Korea.

This Proxy War in Ukraine was a turning point for Europe as a whole, for everyone behind the curtain knew it was foolish to think that Ukraine would defeat Russia. This was merely a propaganda pitch the mainstream press was fed and ran with to the detriment of the Ukrainian people. As I have pointed out, it is a psychological tactic to demonize your opponent to get the people to then hate them and apply that image to all people associated with them being in a country or politicos. It is working when you see CNN claimed journalists using hate language to describe Putin.

Zelensky has routinely lied about the casualties to keep up the propaganda. This demonstrates the determination behind this propaganda over the last two years, rendering it understandable when one knows that Germany plays a particularly important role on the geopolitical chessboard of the United States. For years, the unspoken fear was the union of Germany and Russia, which would be a formidable match of industrial production with Russia’s limitless raw materials resources. A union of Russia and Germany would represent the only power that could threaten the United States economically in that sphere comparable to China’s.

This places Macron’s shocking proposition to send NATO troops into Ukraine to appear to be taking the lead from Germany, but also because Ukraine cannot survive. The fall of Ukraine undermines this entire strategy and exposes the flaws in the goals of the Neocons. Russia never intended to conquer Ukraine. Putin only sent in 190,000 troops when Ukraine had nearly 500,000 trained by the West. The fact that Putin’s troops reached Kiev in the first weeks demonstrated the superiority of the Russian military. Sending Western troops into Ukraine, as Macron proposed, would be insane, for then it is a direct confrontation without any communication for peace.

Macron even said, Nothing should be excluded. He also added: “There is no consensus at this stage.” However, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico suggested that “a number of NATO and EU member states are considering that they will send their troops to Ukraine on a bilateral basis.” He did not offer many details, saying he could not specify why the troops would be sent and their mission.

Putin wars of nuclear war thanks to Macron

As I warned, sending in NATO troops to Ukraine will be a Declaration of War. Putin came out and warned that Western nations “must realize that we also have weapons that can hit targets on their territory.” He added: “All this really threatens a conflict with the use of nuclear weapons and the destruction of civilization. Don’t they get that?” Putin has been criticized at home by the hardliners that he has been a fool and that this has been a war really with the USA and NATO.

The Mask has Dropped

I have been warning for the past two years that the prospect of creating World War III BEFORE the 2024 election was a reality. The Belarusian President, Alexander Lukashenko, has called it like it is. He is warning that the West is on the ” edge of the abyss ” of World War Three.  Lukashenko has made it clear that he has “legitimate concerns” about the likelihood of a global conflict and accused the West of fuelling war tensions and pushing the world towards disaster. I cannot disagree. The F16s were for defense, and now NATO has lifted all restrictions.

“We are literally covered with an information wave of the so-called premonition of the third world war, which just a lazy one still hasn’t mentioned. And there are grounds for these fears,” Lukashenko said, according to Sky News.

NATO F16s 2024

Besides Macron, NATO is pushing for war, altering the terms of handing Ukraine weapons for defense to outright invasion of Russia. The head of NATO approved Ukraine to to use the F16s to fly into Russia and start bombing their cities as a deliberate provocation, praying Russia would attack so they could call them the aggressor. All they have to do is honor the Minsk Agreement, and the war will end in 24 hours. These people are filled with such hatred it is beyond description.

May 2 2014 Odessa Trade Unions House

Let’s make it very clear. Ukraine has been destroyed, and Zelensky has so much blood on his hands it will never wash off. Ukraine cannot launch any offensive. They are pulling back and now seeking to defend themselves. They have surrendered, and they hope to retake the Donbas; and Russia is likely to take Odesa – where the Ukrainians started the civil war and the whole separatist movement by slaughtering and Russian speaking Ukrainians burning them alive in the Trade Union Building in 2014, pushing their old Nazi position of ethnic cleansing.

Janus

The Neocons should take a lesson from the Romans, who knew that war’s outcome was never 100% assured. Their god, Janus, represented the beginning and ending of conflict – war and peace. In ancient Rome, the Temple of Janus stood in the Roman Forum with doors on both ends and inside was a statue of Janus, who is always represented as the two-faced god after whom January is named. So when we celebrate New Year’s Eve, we say goodbye to the past and hello to the future, which is a concept stemming from Janus.

Nero Dupondius RIC 338 Temple Janus

The Gates of the Temple of Janus were the main purpose behind the Temple itself, for it tied together warfare and religious tradition. The opening and closing of the gates were to symbolize either wartime or peace. The historian Virgil said the gates held in Discord and Fury inside the Temple during peace. When the Gates were open, this let the discord free, whereby the historian Horace inferred that if Janus himself was kept locked in the temple, then there was peace. During the reign of Augustus, it was said that the doors were shut three times – Pax Romana.

Nuland Victoria 5

These Neocons should ponder the question: What if I am wrong? They, like Zelensky, will destroy the West and render it subservient to China in the end.

Financial Capital World Economy

After the fall of Rome, Byzantium became the major power. When they fell in 1453, the power shifted to India, the source of all the Spice Trade. Their main rival was China, and they eventually overtook India as the Financial Capital of the World. Europe undermined them as the British conquered India and then China. But World War I and II shifted that laurel wreath to the United States. The Neocons have invited war and opened the Gates to let Discord and Flury run freely to engulf the world. This time, the laurel wreath will pass to China. Nothing ever lasts forever.

World Economic Forum is Greatest Threat to Humanity


Posted originally on Jan 17, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Schwab WEF Control Everything

Klaus Schwab is a notorious control freak. He is applying that trait to the entire world. His World Economic Forum has issued its 2024 “Global Risks Report,” where he has now declared that the NUMBER ONE threat to humanity is no longer war and Russia’s invasion of a pretend sovereign state, terrorism, or even disease after pushing that the entire world had to be vaccinated in the last fake pandemic.

Schwab UN

Schwab has even now reduced his prior NUMBER ONE threat to humanity and climate change to NUMBER TWO to promote his one-world government with the head of the United Nations in charge, eliminating democracy and any right of the people to vote.

WEF_The_Global_Risks_Report_2024 Chart
WEF_The_Global_Risks_Report_2024

No, now the NUMBER ONE threat to humanity is any disagreement with this WEF agenda, which he has now classified as “misinformation and disinformation.” It is this misinformation and disinformation that is polarizing society. As they write in their report:

“Emerging as the most severe global risk anticipated
over the next two years, foreign and domestic
actors alike will leverage Misinformation and
disinformation to further widen societal and
political divides.”

Naturally, that means the only hope for humanity is now CENSORSHIP and the end of free speech. The report shows just how, step by step, we are losing all of our freedoms. As the WEF report states:

“Persistent false information (deliberate or otherwise) widely spread through media networks, shifting public opinion in a significant way towards distrust in facts and authority. Includes, but is not limited to: false, imposter, manipulated and fabricated content.”

Download WEF Report

WEF_The_Global_Risks_Report_2024

Meanwhile, the U.S. Census Bureau has been attempting to expand its personal information on every person and their property through its mandatory American Community Survey (ACS). They also sought to expand the questions to include sexual orientation, gender identity, and the mental health of individuals in each household, in addition to any disabilities whatsoever. Many see this as another assault on our personal freedom and privacy that these additional questions amount to intimidation tactics to force people to respond by compelling speech in violation of the First Amendment and violates the right to privacy from government intrusion under the Fourth Amendment.

CBDC Cover

Add to this the elimination of paper money and forcing upon society these Central Bank Digital Currencies denied any right to vote if the people want this or not. Governments will implement total control, and this is all because, in 1913, they passed the 13th Amendment that allowed direct taxation, which the Founding Fathers prohibited. This has now evolved to their desperate quest to know everything about everyone, and if we found a $10 bill in the parking lot and did not notify them, here is your 50%.

A former board member of the WEF, then the head of the IMF, and now the head of the European Central Bank, admits there will be controls on CBDCs. I reported back in 2021 that the Bank of England proposed that digital currency should be programmable. A mother should be able to block her child from spending money on candy. If mom can do that, then Big Brother can do it on a grand scale.

Marx Revolution

Nixon Kitchen Debate 1959 1959

Anyone who has read Marx can feel the hatred between the lines of anyone who had more than he did. He never understands humanity, and once you remove the human quality of curiosity, all advancement ceases to exist. This is what brought down communism. It was perhaps best illustrated by Nixon’s famous Kitchen Debate with Khruschev, showing how American living standards advance only because of private innovation.

I was one of the top three market makers in gold going into 1980. The IRS walked into my operations and arbitrarily declared me to be a bank. They said because the constitution had said that gold was money, I was a bank, and the fine would be $50,000 per transaction of $10,000 or more. I asked if they just wanted the keys to my business. They said no; they realized I did not know I was a bank. They came in and began auditing every transaction. I saw them pulling out names of even $3,000. When I asked, I thought this was $10,000 and up; they said if I did not want any trouble, “keep your mouth shut!” The next day, they came in with trucks and took all my records. I sent in money for my taxes in 1980, guessing what I probably made because I had no records. When I said I could not file my income tax, I was told they were auditing over 3,000 of my clients, and that took precedence. When I finally got my records back, they fined me $500,000 as a late filing fee. When I objected, they said I never asked if my account could come to their office.

I retired from the business. I did not want to be harassed every year, and the risks were far too high once they declared me to be a bank totally arbitrarily. That would NEVER have occurred under the Constitution, which prohibited direct taxation. They keep expanding their demand and power. I received a refund check from the IRS for about $100,000 one year. I deposited it. A year later, they charged me interest and penalties because I should have known it was their mistake. They are NEVER accountable for their mistakes. If you call the IRS and they tell you whatever and you follow it, if it was a mistake, that is still your fault, and you will be charged interest and penalties.

Einstein Curiosity

The income tax will destroy Western Society just as direct control killed Communism. This is what 2032 is all about. A friend who grew up in East Germany thought his father was going mad after the Berlin Wall fell in 1989. His father got his Stasi File and learned everyone he thought was his friend was rating him to the government. He came home and started punching holes in the wall and pulling out hidden microphones. Until he died from there on, he refused to speak to anyone other than his immediate family.

End of the World

There is a light at the end of the tunnel that inspires hope. Yes, the next eight years will be chaotic – sorry about that. But ALL GOVERNMENTS FALL often by their own corruption – suicide. The more draconian they become in this desperate question to retain power, the higher the probability this will all come crashing down.

Germany Farmer Protest at the Brandenburg Gate

What is taking place in Europe is the direct result of Marxism since it also embraces total control of society in every aspect with regulations. When these morons imposed sanctions against Russia, they never realized that they would be not just cutting off their own economic growth. Still, they would permanently divide the world economy between US vs THEM.

Germany Scholz extremists farmers

Not only did the sanction backfire on especially Germany, but then they embraced Ukraine, the most corrupt government on the face of the Earth, and then stood by while the Neocons instructed the Ukraiunians to blow up Nord Strem. Oh, how they were going to bring Russia to its knees. The problem was it brought Germany and Europe to their knees. The German government headed into recession and lost almost 20 billion in euro revenues, and then they listened to the WEF and pushed at full speed into Climate Change. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called the farmers extremists, unleashing wider discontent. Again, because of the sanction on Russia, the government was moving to end the fuel subsidies for farmers all because Germany has supported Ukraine.

Those in government are career politicians, so they will always see the world through their own self-interest. As long as there are career politicians, we will never have a government of the people by the people. The farmers have no right to protest as far as those in power see it behind closed doors. They should just shut up and obey whatever they command.

These absolute morons have turned against agriculture, and the farmers have brought Germany to a standstill as in the Netherlands. This will only become a major issue as the stupidity of those in power is hurling Western Society to the brink of its own doom, just as Communism fell because of its own inability to function rationally or efficiently.

The Year from Political Hell


Posted originally on Jan 8, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Political Hell

QUESTION: Can you elaborate on 2024 being the year from hell with elections everywhere? We all know about Trump and Putin. Is the rest of the world going nuts as well?

Jeff

Pakistan_ex_PM_Imran_Khan_moved_to_another_jail

ANSWER: Oh, I would say that is a fair statement about the entire world. Pakistan is perhaps the role model for Biden. The general election has been postponed until February – or perhaps later. Imran Khan, a former president they put in prison, has warned that the election risk there is just another political farce. Of course, the champion of freedom fighting for Democracy, the totally corrupt President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine, was trying to imprison his opponent and his predecessor, Petro O. Poroshenko, and had the ultimate excuse – postponing all elections until he defeated Russia, which is not even possible.

viktor orban

It will be interesting to see if the EU starts to collapse. European Council President Charles Michel will run as a candidate for the European election in 2024. This will present a bit of  CRISIS to fill a top diplomatic position. EU leaders must then quickly appoint a successor for his vacated Council post or face a dilemma. Hungary takes over the rotating presidency of the Council in July. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has been fighting against creating World War III and this endless support of Ukraine, which is losing badly. Orban could fulfill the role of Council president if EU members do not quickly agree on a candidate. Given the conflict they have with Hungary, this is going to be a real test of the EU. February has been showing as a Panic Cycle, and May remains the big target.  This may be the real conflict for the EU.

Bangladesh is going through its tyranny as well. The voting took place amid a boycott by the main opposition. When we look at the country, the same tyranny is unfolding. Bangladesh is becoming a one-party state dominated by Sheikh Hasina for the 5th term. They are starting to call her the Iron Lady.

aiwan_Taiwanese_Stock_Index Array Y 1 7 24

One of the key elections will be in Taiwan. Beware, January 13th could prove to be an unlucky day for an election that could impact the world. Lai Ching-te is the deputy to President Tsai Ing-wen and a fellow member of the independence-minded Democratic Progressive Party. He is leading in the polls right now. Lai is the candidate most likely to provoke tension with China, and the people seem to think the US will send troops to defend them at all costs. Indeed, China has named him the “destroyer of peace.” Looking at the Array, we had a double-Directional Change for 2024, and it appears to be a reversal of the uptrend into 2026.

South_Africa_FTSE Y Array 1 7 24

In South Africa, the African National Congress will most likely lose its majority for the first time since apartheid ended. There have been rolling blackouts since 2007, which has increased ever since 2020.  This has boosted support for various movements proposing Cape independence since 2009.

Download List of Elections Worldwide

The 2024 Elections Appendix

How to Gain Control Over the Most Intelligent Species on the Planet (video)


Armstrong Economics Blog/Great Reset Re-Posted Jul 15, 2023 by Martin Armstrong