The rally in Bitcoin has come out of China, which has accounted for 98% of bitcoin trading in the past six months. China is also home to about two-thirds of the world’s bitcoin mining power. The Phase Transition spike in Bitcoin is very alarming for it flies right in the face of government’s worldwide and what they are trying to accomplish by eliminating currency.

The Chinese have been buying bitcoin onshore, selling it offshore for another currency and then moving the money to a bank account. This is how the Chinese individuals can taken cash out of the country circumventing all regulation. The Chinese  government has been strengthening requirements for citizens converting their yuan and with Trump coming into office, China fears that lower values for the yuan will become a trade war even if the government is not activity trying to depreciate the yuan for trade. Conversions of yuan are already subject to a quota or currency controls in an effort to curb capital outflows.

Bitcoin has been the escape method for capital fleeing China. With the looming trade war on the horizon, the Chinese government will have absolutely NO CHOICE but to come in and regulate Bitcoin when it’s citizens now account for 98% of all trading. From a regulatory perspective, the days of passive treatment of Bitcoin may come to an end. Bitcoin has soared only because it has been the mechanism to obtain foreign exchange and take capital out of China. This can easily be called illegal operations such as money laundering to justify closing that window.

Of course you have the zealots who preach Bitcoin as the alternative to the dollar they cannot shut down. All they need to do is declare it to be illegal and the PRESUMPTION of being in Bitcoin is a PRESUMPTION of being a criminal. They are already using terms like CASH IS FOR CRIMINALS and if you have a few thousand in cash, they just confiscate it presuming you are criminal under Civil Asset Forfeiture and never have to prove you committed a crime or charge you. Keep in mind we are dancing with the devil. There are no rules – just ruthless self-interest. They will do whatever it takes to survive. They will not relinquish power willing.

Because Australia has convened a commission to terminate the $100 bill, in the wake of the currency being cancelled overnight in India, there is a growing distrust of high denomination euros and Australian bills. What is interesting is A$100 notes are nonnegotiable now in India. The same is happening in Europe with the €500 bills. There is a growing distrust of paper currency after Modi’s cancellation of high denomination notes in India. The word is getting out that this is a G20 trend that is being introduced in 2017. The last currency would be the US dollar and that would require Trump’s approval by 2018. Dollars in the streets overseas are starting to be the ONLY currency of choice.

QUESTION: Dear Marty,

What could be the true intentions of Prime Minister Narendra Damodardas Modi in India cancelling the currency overnight. I have been suspecting some foul in his demonetisation move but cannot correctly understand why he did it? Counterfeit currency, Black money, prevent terrorism all his publicised motives have been shown false. If this move is any kind of scandal and he has tarnished India image in long run or short run. Almost 90% analysts in India are saying it is a good move in the long run ( 2-3 years) and pain in short term. Is this correct?

Is Modi setting up a bounce back 2-3 years down the lane in time for his election? Or is the some other sinster motivated power center behind the official move to demonetise? With your vast experience dealing with governments and contacts behind the curtain, could you kindly throw some light on future of India?

Appreciate your work a lot.

Your blog is a must read.

Kind Regards

Aj

ANSWER: At the G20 meetings, there were discussions behind the curtain about eliminating currency. This cannot begin in the USA because the dollar is the world currency even physically. We are looking at 2017 being the year for the start of electronic money in some countries. They are adapting a new banking system by September 2017 to provide instant transfers. The fraud is already moving away into that area and less on the credit card issue. If they can tap into the electronic instant transfers, they will hit a gold mine.

Modi is pushing India against the wall to move into this new world of electronic money, which they hope to have running by 2018. Everything will change. The big question is whether Trump will go along with this agenda that Obama began and raise taxes even more.

Modi is not doing this in isolation. He is trying to get India up to par with the other countries moving electronic. There are ongoing discussions and India is being watched very closely. If this works in India, they will adopt this forced measure by 2018 in many countries. Europe will probably be nex

The only thing about international trade is that someone cannot have a trade surplus without another experiencing a trade deficit. We all cannot have trade surpluses simultaneously and we have to begin understanding this reality. The net capital movements around the world are showing clear signs that things will be intensifying and the net capital movement is headed for the dollar – but that does not mean day one. Sure, many will point the finger at Trump and blame him for a trade war etc., but in reality, the net capital movements are intensifying for reasons that have nothing to do with trade. Ushering in Trump will also have a profound impact upon Europe and now Merkel’s greatest challenge will be to hold the EU together for its core design was to enhance German trade by eliminating currency risk.

The insane policies of Angela Merkel combined with Mario Draghi in the ECB punish healthy companies with negative interest rates and reward companies that should be bankrupt by buying their junk bonds while trying to maintain this bail-in policy for the banks in the face of Quantitative Easing that helps bankers not the average person. This leaves one wondering whatever happened to common sense. Draghi thinks bailing out banks (depositors) is bad and buying junk bonds is a stimulus, which is beyond rational thinking even when totally drunk on New Year’s Eve. Undermining the people and allowing their money to vanish is exactly opposite of Quantitative Easing. His policy should be the exact opposite. The whole idea of insuring banks came from the Great Depression because people lost confidence in banks. Once the people lose that confidence, the entire economy will collapse and people hoard their money causing the velocity to collapse. This QE policy is only matched by the insanity of Prime Minister Narendra Damodardas Modi in India cancelling the currency overnight when India is an 80% cash economy. He never even asked the opinion of the central bank. Unbelievable! The lesson from the Great Depression was people hoarded their cash and refused to deposit into banks because they failed. The whole idea of insurance was to give the public confidence to use banks. With bail-in becoming law, from Canada to Switzerland, you really have to wonder how politicians cannot see what they are doing. The bottom-line is clear – it’s all about them and not the people.

The markets are the best indicator of the future for it is the only place people get to really vote without political shenanigans. Net capital movement is showing that the big money is starting to wake up. The capital movements are showing that there is a growing realization that Merkel will be defeated in 2017, and Le Pen may actually win in France while her conservative opponent is openly saying that the refugee policy of Angela Merkel was “absurd” and a “tragedy.” The French conservatives will now oppose Merkel’s refugee policy, and have begun to adopt Le Pen’s position. In Italy, there is a growing movement to follow Britain and the elections will bring in a sweeping anti-euro movement followed by a referendum to exit the Eurozone.

Meanwhile, under the pretense of fighting crime, the EU intensifies its hunt for cash focusing, among other things, on the cross-border transport of cash. The epicenter of capitalism is passing in its despair and in the absence of solutions to fiscal management. The quest to end the use of banknotes is just one more step toward their goal — totalitarianism. Instead of admitting this system is broke and incapable of being sustained, these people will not reverse their policy because the solution is terminating much of their power. They will be kicking and screaming as they are dragged into the light.

The trading of stocks of the Italian bank Monte Paschi had to be suspended from trading. The planned capital increase failed to raise the cash from the public and it is clear that it will take a lot more cash than expected. The ECB will have to blink. If they let the oldest bank in the world fail as a bail-in, there will be a run of the banks throughout Europe. They will not be able to stop the hoarding of cash unless they take the same measure as India — just cancel the currency overnight (which you can bet is being considered when faced with a major bank run in Europe). However, the anti-cash agenda of the Indian government is causing serious damage to the economy. The forced digitization of payment transactions does not work in many places and India is one of them when its economy is 80% cash. This was really a stupid move by the Prime Minister.

Meanwhile, gold held the support, the Dow elected two Daily Bearish Reversals, Crude elected two Minor Yearly Bullish Reversals warning of a test of $60, and the Euro fell to bounce off of its Yearly Bearish Reversal at 10365 reaching 10352 and then failed to elect it. With the US share market up for 7 years in 2015, a pause in trend seems likely failing to elect some critical numbers in various markets. Of course, the long-term remains unchanged. The markets are reflecting something far bigger at stake. Trump is bringing in hope of repairing the economy with consumer confidence at a 13 year high. Optimism is in the air, but this cannot alter the long-term trend without reforming the debt crisis as we have laid out. Only then can we postpone disaster a little while longer.

So strap yourself in tight. This is going to be a wild ride. We are still facing the total collapse of socialistic systems. So cheer up, this might be the best day of your life if you open your eyes and comprehend the global trend. We will be doing a special report reviewing the year-end closings and what the forecasts will be for 2017.

COMMENT: Hi Martin,

Not everyone hates the rich, for without them the lower class would have nothing.

What people are angry about are the disgusting bonuses to bankers after they failed everyone whilst hard working people with small businesses were the ones robbed and still being robbed via taxation.

Some wealthy people deserve what they earned, the bankers who sank everything through feeding this greed mentality during the housing market crisis however deserve nothing.

If a company or an individual goes bankrupt, they lose everything, but the bankers were rewarded for their foolishness and that’s where the hatred really began in this current time.

Regards
A

REPLY: You are correct. Unfortunately, the assault in Germany upon the Jews began after people directed their anger at the Jewish bankers. That anger then spread to Jewish business owners, and then, what the hell, get all the Jews.

The bankers are a special class today because the big boys are the primary dealers who the government needs to sell their debt. If we stopped borrowing, then the bankers would lose their clout. Absolutely everything is wrong with how the New York bankers have taken the reigns of power in Washington.

My concern is the very loose way we deal with terms as a society. The Occupy Wall Street movement targeted stock brokers — not bankers. I myself walked out of our office, at the time in Philadelphia, and was off to a meeting in a suit and tie. The Occupy Wall Street protest was at City Hall right in front of my office. When I walked out, one protester yelled at me, “You corporate liberal!” I just looked totally amazed. What was that supposed to even mean? I was a corporate businessman who gave the company’s money away? I just laughed. They yell slogans but they do not understand what they are protesting or that they are yelling at the wrong people. That can easily turn very ugly.