Weekly Reminder, She’s Running


Posted originally on the conservative tree house April 22, 2021 | Sundance | 246 Comments

In the annals of modern political history the one constant in an ever-changing universe is the entrenched tone-deafness of the establishment republican class.  Actually, it is not so much they are tone-deaf, as it is they just don’t care.  The reminder this week is that Nikki Haley intends to run for President in 2024. {Go Deep}

(Via The Hill) Nikki Haley will headline the Iowa Republican Party’s most prominent gathering of the year, a move that’s likely to fuel speculation about a potential 2024 presidential bid.

The former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations will head to the first-in-the-nation caucus state in June to host the Iowa GOP’s annual Lincoln Dinner, the party announced on Thursday. The dinner is a major fundraising event for the state party and one with a history of drawing Republican presidential hopefuls. (Read More)

…”“I don’t think [Trump’s] going to be in the picture,” she said, matter-of-factly. “I don’t think he can. He’s fallen so far.” […] “We need to acknowledge he let us down,” she said. “He went down a path he shouldn’t have, and we shouldn’t have followed him, and we shouldn’t have listened to him. And we can’t let that ever happen again.”  (link)

I would drive railroad spikes through my kneecaps before I would vote for Nikki Haley, the Mitt Romney of John McCains’.  However, that said, the professional political class don’t give a tinker’s hoot what the base voter wants.  They will pull every trick out of their DeceptiCon hat to help her.  Watch, you’ll see.

If we don’t fight her off now, she will scheme and connive her way into position for the republican primary.  You can see the library of information we have about all her moves HERE.

Right now the most likely top four candidates appear to be: President Trump (if he runs), Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (will be #1 without Trump and will likely get the Trump endorsement), South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem (Maga-lite with twist of Koch and open border Wall Street support), and Nikki Haley (full throated establishment class with zero authenticity for MAGA policy)…..

The strategic primary splitter(s) will likely be lyin’ Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem if Trump doesn’t get rid of RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel.

Guilty!


Posted originally on GrrrGraphics.com APR 20, 2021 AT 7:16 PM

Police Officer Derek Chauvin was found guilty on all charges today. I am not an expert in legal matters, but being convicted of 2nd and 3rd degree murder as well as manslaughter all at once…well, aren’t these mutually exclusive? Why not convict him of assault and battery as well? I thought the three charges were arranged so the jury could pick and choose. They chose all three.

Did the jury convict out of fear? Did cultural Marxism and political correctness trump justice in this case? I think it did. The jury had been doxxed. Perhaps they feared their homes would be burned down. Perhaps they didn’t want resulting mass riots and possible death to weigh on their collective conscience. Maybe they saw the civil case in which the city awarded the family of George Floyd tens of millions of dollars. Usually civil cases come after criminal cases, but the city was eager to assuage the riotous anger. Officer Chauvin got caught in the middle.

I too thought Chauvin was guilty at first. The video was horrific. Yet he was doing a police maneuver taught by the city police department. Floyd resisted arrest and had 4x the toxic limit of Fentanyl in his system, along with other drugs. He had an enlarged heart. He complained he couldn’t breathe while in the squad car. The police officers didn’t know how doped up the very big and muscular Floyd was or how he might be suffering a genuine health emergency.

Then we had Mad Maxine Waters disgracefully yelling for violence if the verdict was not guilty. Biden joined in with Waters in a shameful manner that should at very least cause a mistrial. Instead we got a kangaroo court. Political correctness triumphed over justice.

—Ben Garrison

Fourth Industrial Revolution Failure


Armstrong Economics Blog/AI Computers Re-Posted Apr 22, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: As a programmer and a client of Socrates, I can tell this is not some neural net or deep learning AI program. What you have created goes far beyond that. Do you care to share your design?

HS

ANSWER: No. I fooled around with neural nets back in the 80s. I could see they would never accomplish what was necessary for global analysis. The same was true about Deep Learning. Those are solutions for one-dimensional objectives, in my opinion. IBM spent untold amounts on its Watson. They thought it would be able to cure cancer. It failed.

What makes Socrates unique is that I had to TEACH it how I would analyze. It is not as simple as throwing in all the data and hoping something will create itself, as in neural nets. You can do that with a simple problem like creating an AI program to determine if making a loan will have a higher probability of default or not. You feed in all the past history and sort according to income, purpose, etc. That will work most of the time. However, what happens if there is an economic shock such as shutting down businesses due to COVID? Or perhaps a war emerges. No program created in such a manner will ever be able to forecast those external factors.

Even all the high-frequency trading programs are one-dimensional. The collapse of Archegos Capital is indicative of what happens with a one-dimensional program which inevitably will be used with personal opinion. Even the Long-Term Capital Management collapse was the same problem. They even wrote a book about that – “When Genius Failed.” These one-dimensional programs will work nicely until there is an outside external force that they can not see coming.

To accomplish what Socrates does is far beyond anything you can imagine. The variables are off the charts, and seeing the future even with the arrays involved 72 separate models. We must understand that most AI programs that people write are still very one-dimensional and lack nonlinear concepts.

Unfortunately, 99% of all programs that people claim are Artificial Intelligence are really just expert systems. For example, you could take every disease and list its symptoms. Then you add a query and the program would simply look up the disease based upon the symptom. This would probably be better than seeing most doctors for that is why they always say get a second opinion. This type of program is not AI, for there is no true independent thinking process taking place. Nevertheless, this is what is typically marketed as AI. This has created in and of itself a false impression of what Schwab calls the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Even facial recognition is simply a pattern comparison. Nothing is truly taking place other than a lookup system with a database.

What is online is a small fraction of what Socrates does. We intend to provide a desktop program that will be able to tap into language and voice capabilities. We can deliver voice via the internet, but trying to accept voice input from the client over the internet is a different problem altogether.

When Schwab boasts about the Fourth Industrial Revolution, he is clueless as to what that would even entail. You will not find even one mainstream media outlet that would dare to write a story that Socrates even exists. The analysis would change everything, for it is not based upon “opinion,” which they love to provide. Additionally, Schwab would block any press on Socrates because it also forecasts that this cabal of his fails in the end. Everything Schwab envisions is still one-dimensional. He has no idea of the complexity of the nonlinear design necessary to really provide a valid methodology for forecasting.

DeSantis Extends Sales Tax Online in Florida for Unemployment


Armstrong Economics Blog/The Hunt for Taxes Re-Posted Apr 22, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

The Democrats are twisting the facts as always by claiming DeSantis is raising taxes on consumers and cutting taxes for business. The bill he just signed is estimated to tax consumers $1 billion a year, with the money first earmarked for the unemployment trust fund, which became depleted because of massive job losses during the COVID-19 pandemic. Businesses pay taxes that go into the trust fund and, without another source of money, would have faced higher taxes to replenish the fund. But what they do not tell the people is that pushing higher unemployment taxes on business actually means that comes out of your paycheck.

The Democrats just cannot bring themselves to ever tell the truth. While I am not in favor of raising sales taxes on everything I buy online, the net effect is that those with jobs would be paying the tax for those who lost their jobs thanks to lockdowns and COVID. Let’s call this what it really is — a COVID Tax.

U.S. Postal Service Running Covert Surveillance Operation to Monitor Social Media Posts, The Program Sounds Identical to DHS Surveillance Program


Posted originally on the conservative tree house April 21, 2021 | Sundance | 112 Comments

Again it is important to repeat, this type of activity is one long continuum.  The IRS was previously used; federal contractors for the FBI have previously been used, and now the United States Postal Service is running a covert surveillance program against Americans that sounds suspiciously like the prior DHS announcement.

The Yahoo news article is filled with people saying they don’t know why.  But that’s only because they have not been paying attention.  The USPS has the systems in place to record every single package (sender and recipient), of every single piece of mail, sent anywhere at all times.  They have a massive database of information on every single American.

So when you put the USPS statutory authority together with their technical capability, and then consider they operate their own police force… and then tie it together with “DHS Preparing to Use Private Contractors to “Scour Public Data and Social Media” To Compile Dissident Citizens for Watch List and No Fly Lists“…. what is described in the Yahoo article is almost identical to what we previously outlined.

Yahoo –  The law enforcement arm of the U.S. Postal Service has been quietly running a program that tracks and collects Americans’ social media posts, including those about planned protests, according to a document obtained by Yahoo News.

The details of the surveillance effort, known as iCOP, or Internet Covert Operations Program, have not previously been made public. The work involves having analysts trawl through social media sites to look for what the document describes as “inflammatory” postings and then sharing that information across government agencies.  (read more)

Now compare that description to what we previously outlined:

Treehouse – The U.S. Department of Homeland Security is now getting ready to hire public companies, individual contractors outside government, to scour public data and social media in order to provide information for the new “domestic terror watch lists.”  From the description it appears DHS is going to pay “big tech” (Google, Facebook, YouTube, Instagram, SnapChat, Twitter, etc.), via contracts, to hire and organize internal monitoring teams to assist the government by sending information on citizens they deem “dangerous.”  (read more)

The Treehouse citation included the following NBC article.

[…] DHS is planning to expand its relationships with companies that scour public data for intelligence, one of the senior officials said, and also to better harness the vast trove of data it already collects on Americans, including travel and commercial data through Customs and Border Protection, Immigration and Customs Enforcement, the Coast Guard, the Secret Service and other DHS components. (read more)

…It’s the same program.

Eric Holder 2.0 – Merrick Garland Announces DOJ Investigation of Minneapolis Police Department to Initiate Another Federal Consent Decree


Posted originally on the conservative tree house April 21, 2021 | Sundance | 95 Comments

The term “JoeBama” is not a meme… It is a REALITY.

Those behind the scene are using the Biden administration as an extension of the third term of Barack Obama.  Same people; same policies; same agenda, and same exact goals.   As a consequence U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland is duplicating the exact same policy directives as former DOJ Attorney General Eric Holder.  The people in place are identical; the actions they take are identical; the purpose of their activity is identical.  The DOJ is politically weaponized to achieve ideological goals.

The most recent example of the synergy happens today with AG Garland announcing a DOJ civil rights investigation into the Minneapolis police department.  Cut to the chase, the result of the investigation will be another municipal authority placed under a federal consent decree.  THAT will happen, the investigation to justify the consent decree is a farse.  This is JoeBama and the Chicago team replicating the same process.

“Attorney General Merrick Garland today announced a new investigation into the Minneapolis Police Department and City of Minneapolis for possible pattern and practice unconstitutional actions. This investigation is not related to the already announced investigation into the murder of George Floyd, but is instead examining the entire department for continuous misconduct.”

.

Maricopa County, Arizona, Hand Count Ballot Audit Begins Friday – Tabulation Machines Arrived Today, Ballots Tomorrow, Livestream Security Activated


Posted originally on the conservative tree house April 21, 2021 | Sundance | 149 Comments

[Full Backstory Here] The physical hand count of the Maricopa county ballots in Arizona will start Friday.  Today the tabulation machines were transferred, under custody and with support of sheriffs department, to the Arizona Exposition and State Fairgrounds.  The physical ballots arrive tomorrow following a similar chain of custody and security transport.

The auditors are trying to be as transparent as possible knowing the outcome, if it turns out as predicted to find significant fraud, will be legally challenged. [Twitter Account Here]  The Auditors have even set up a 24/7 livestream of the CCTV system for public review and transparency. [Livestream Link Here]  Here’s the update:

The link to the CCTV system livestream is below:

FBI labeled Steve Scalise and GOP Assassination Attempt as ‘suicide by cop’ Not Domestic Terrorism or Political Violence


Posted originally on the conservative tree house April 21, 2021 | Sundance | 160 Comments

Remember all those Democrat demands for the FBI to enhance their statistics and record-keeping to quantify threats?  Remember FBI Director Chris Wray using those FBI compiled statistics to say that “white nationalists” are the greatest threat?   Put those two issues together and consider….

….What value are statistical records when those who compile the records are politically motivated to mislabel the true origin of any attack?

Think about it.

Cue the visual demonstration:

WASHINGTON – A congressman who was on the baseball field during the 2017 shooting that nearly killed GOP Whip Steve Scalise says the FBI privately informed lawmakers it ruled the attack a “suicide by cop,” a designation he said downplayed the shooter’s apparently political motivation.

Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-Ohio) revealed the previously undisclosed determination during a hearing of the House Intelligence Committee on Thursday, upbraiding FBI Director Christopher Wray and prompting several colleagues of both parties to pile on. He said FBI agents privately briefed the baseball team on Nov. 16, 2017 to deliver the controversial determination. (read more)

It doesn’t take much more than common sense to see the motives and agenda of a politically intent FBI at work here. A politically aligned bureaucratic system within the institution can downplay, and label things they do not like to see discussed, according to their own agenda.

It facilitates the leftist political agenda and objectives of the narrative engineers to downplay actual violence against their opposition.  Conversely, the statistical manipulation assists in advancing narratives that are based on overly exaggerated false claims.   Who benefits?… the real threats.

Real threats are downplayed because the institutions are structurally chasing priorities that don’t exist.  They are creating a false impression of risks and the result is the institution expends resources to… well, NASCAR racetracks where 13 FBI agents are dispatched to investigate a garage pull-down rope.

The FBI chases the invisible ghosts of ‘white supremists’ on NASCAR tracks; meanwhile, actual threats from Islamic extremists and Antifa are ignored because the manipulated statistics quantify the threat as “low risk”.

See how that works?

Broward County School Superintendent Robert Runcie Arrested for Perjury During Questioning About “Promise Program”


Posted originally on the Conservative tree House April 21, 2021 | Sundance | 127 Comments

This is actually one of those small stories with BIG, very big potential.   Broward County School Superintendent Robert Runcie was arrested this morning on a charge of perjury in an official proceeding. Broward School Board attorney Barbara Myrick was also arrested.

According to local news {LINK} Runcie gave testimony about how official school district programs were being implemented (aka “The Promise Program“) and whether any of the financial incentives were used by district officials for personal gain.

The details are vague as the media reporting on the arrest are slight; however, the backstory is something CTH has some strong information about due to our years of research into Miami-Dade and Broward County school systems – going all the way back to Trayvon Martin and the corrupt internal school administration practices we helped expose.   First, the current events:

FLORIDA – […] Runcie, 59, was taken into custody by the Florida Department of Law Enforcement and has since been released from the Broward County Main Jail. According to his indictment, Runcie lied under oath between the dates of March 31 and April 1 while testifying under oath to a state grand jury.

The grand jury was investigating the following, according to the indictment:

    • Whether refusal or failure to follow the mandates of school-related safety laws, such as the Marjory Stoneman Douglas Public Safety Act, results in unnecessary and avoidable risk to students across the state;
    • Whether public entities committed and continue to commit fraud and deceit by accepting state funds conditioned on implementation of certain safety measures while knowingly failing to act.
    • Whether school officials committed and continue to commit fraud and deceit by mismanaging, failing to use, and diverting funds from multimillion dollar bonds specifically solicited for school safety initiatives; and
    • Whether school officials violated and continue to violate systematically underreporting incidents of criminal activity to the Department of Education.

How exactly the superintendent allegedly perjured himself during the investigation is not known at this time.

Myrick, meanwhile, was arrested on a charge of unlawful disclosure of statewide grand jury proceedings for the “knowingly and unlawfully public, broadcast, disclose or communicate to another person outside the statewide grand jury room any of the proceedings.” (read more)

The emphasis on the fourth bullet-point above is mine; because my hunch is THAT’S the key issue that Broward School Board administration can never let reach sunlight.  If people knew the details about how ‘diversionary programs‘ were used to keep school-aged youth out of the criminal justice system; those details could lead to a much larger national issue about the diversionary programs themselves.

Students engaged in very criminal behavior in both Miami-Dade and Broward County, were never held criminally accountable. Instead the “Promise Program”, and other programs of a similar nature,  used school discipline to replace the criminal justice system.  Students engaged in drug offenses, burglary and some other even more serious offenses were intentionally diverted away from the criminal justice system (police, courts etc.) and instead were suspended from school.

Perhaps the Florida grand jury is finally investigating the severity of corruption within these Florida diversionary programs (that are now national).  Here’s a background explanation as CTH shared in 2018 after the Parkland School shooting.

FEBRUARY 2018 – […]  Nothing about the shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School was based on structural incompetence; the horrific event was an entirely predictable outcome of intentionally followed policy.

In April of 2012 Jesse Jackson began to promote the principle: “we must stop suspending our students”. Three months later, in July of 2012, President Obama signed an executive order establishing the basic outline of what later came to be known in Broward County as “The Promise Program“.

President Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder created the financial carrots. In 2013 Broward County Sheriff Scott Israel and a hired Chicago transplant, School Superintendent Robert Runcie, simply formalized and executed the policy.

2011 – Runcie has strong ties to Arne Duncan, the current U.S. Secretary of Education, who gave Runcie his start in the education sector.

Duncan, former Chicago schools chief tapped Runcie in 2003 to join his management team as chief information officer. Runcie was charged with bringing order to a technology department marred with delays in installing school computers funded through a federal grant. Duncan was listed as one of Runcie’s references in his application packet to the board.

Some are hopeful that Runcie’s connection to the Obama administration through Duncan will draw some benefits to the district and raise Broward’s profile in the national discourse on school reform.  Throughout his interviews, Runcie said he wants Broward to serve as a national model for what’s done right. (read more)

Sheriff Israel and Superintendent Ruchie’s implementation of the Broward Promise Program was easy; just stop arresting students and the statistics would be great.  As the statistics improve so too does the financial reward from federal grant monies.

While Sheriff Israel and Superintendent Runcie were garnering praise for the results of their program, Parkland school student Nikolas Cruz was a simultaneous benefactor as his anti-social and violent behaviors were being ignored.

This is a simple cause and effect.  There are no mistakes being made here.  This is entirely by design; as author Jack Cashill noted, this is not “incompetence“, it’s strategic. The fact that Nikolas Cruz was able to exit high school without a police record, then began amassing weapons, and eventually became a school shooter killing 17 students and staff; is an outcome of strategic policy, not incompetence.

While Nikolas Cruz was being ‘handled’ and not documented. The Sheriff’s police force was conducting diversity training seminars, de-escalation meetings, and sensitivity training exercises.  The last active shooter training was somewhere around 2006.  As a person within Broward law enforcement stated:

[beginning in 2013] “major change in policy & procedure as well as dismantling of proactive enforcement units in favor of community policing squads whose sole purpose is not enforcement. We paint houses, pick up trash, conduct summer camps for kids & giveaway presents on Christmas.”

For an example of Sheriff Scott Israel’s priorities SEE VIDEO HERE.

However, in the aftermath of the horrific shooting; and as people outside Broward County now begin to understand the dangerous political apparatus behind the policy; DO NOT expect to see any reform or change.

There is no actual mechanism to stop Broward county officials from carrying out their ideological objectives.  Social Justice has replaced Law Enforcement.  The sheriff is essentially untouchable until his next election – which he will likely again win easily; the School Superintendent is protected by the political apparatus willing to sacrifice a few dozen residents to retain the ideology; the school board and county officials are all part of the political apparatus; the mayors are appointed not elected; the district attorneys are all-in on the program; and the judges come from the ranks of the attorneys…. so, don’t expect changes.

Inside Broward County Florida schools blood can be washed away and carpets can be changed, but the political ideology and civic institutional goals are always protected.

If you think the federal government could step in to reduce the risk of violence, think again.  The U.S. federal Department of Justice has an entire suite of lawyers assembled just to protect these localized regions from intervention.  An activist Civil Rights Division is replete with social justice defenders, there will be no help from the DOJ.

The rapid response group within the federal government is the secretive Community Relations Service.  If you think the FISA abuse scandal revealed political ideology within the DOJ National Security Division, well, the DOJ-NSD pales in comparison to the DOJ-CRS.

It’s the DOJ Community Relations Service who activates and organizes the marches on behalf of the local officials.  The CRS is 100% full of social justice advocates who are trained specifically for the mission of protecting progressive community leaders from constituent backlash.   As CTH met with and researched the secretive CRS in 2012 and 2013 we affectionately named them the “tamp-down/ramp-up” federal group.

The CRS exists to ‘tamp-down’ any backlash to their ideological goals, and ‘ramp-up’ antagonism against political opposition or narratives adverse to their interests.

As I outlined in 2018: “Give it a few more days and everyone will move on.  This is not my cynicism, this is the reality of my having seen -first hand- the scale of the political machine that creates and defends outcomes like the Parkland School shooting.”  Well, perhaps, just perhaps, this grand jury in Florida was looking into these issues and Robert Runcie is on the path to accountability….

We will keep watching !

Joe Biden, President Obama and Ed Secretary Arnie Duncan ~ These three, together with Eric Holder and Valerie Jarrett created the racially explosive diversionary system called “My Brother’s Keeper”…

Public Corporate Political Activism is Fraud & Should Be DELISTED from Exchanges


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Apr 21, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Would you cut off a corporate client who is endorsing this WOKE movement?

LD

ANSWER: Any corporation seeking to take out models while joining Schwab’s Stakeholder Corporate Activism can seek forecasting elsewhere. If Big Tech can have guidelines that justify stopping people from speaking or posting, then we too can adopt “community guidelines” because enough is enough. I have NO INTENTION of providing any assistance to any corporation that has joined Schwab in becoming a political activist. I personally think shareholders have a right to bring a lawsuit against the company and to remove all directors using corporate funds for their own political agenda. That, to me, is called FRAUD! Politics has no place in our sports any more than it does in the boardroom. Any company that allows its directors to use corporate funds to further their personal political agenda has no business in our economy.

The only time corporate activism is remotely justified is when some policy directly impacts the business of that corporation. Woke culture has nothing to do with the economy. I believe any public corporation engaged in “stakeholder economics” and political activism is at the personal decision of its directors, which is a violation of their fiduciary duty to their shareholders, and as such, should be DELISTED from any exchange!