Tag Archives: Cycle of war

Mar 18 2024

Europe Illegally Confiscating Russian Assets Because they NEED Cash


Posted originally on Mar 17, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

ECM Ukraine 8.6 R

As we head into a critical turning point of April 19/20, 2024 in this Proxy War the West has organized against Russia from the outset, Ukraine is on the verge of collapsing. Instead of peace, even after more than 500,000 Ukrainians are dead, the West is out for more blood. The Ukrainian people have always been just cannon fodder as they have been played for fools by the Neocons.

Zelenskyy Johnson

The West will NOT allow Ukraine to enter any peace negotiations with Russia. The tensions are rising even in Ukraine against the West as people are beginning to see that the world cares nothing about them or their nation. The peace deal that Boris Johnson jumped on a plane to ensure they would not stop the war has opened the eyes of a rising voice of discontent inside Ukraine. Many are starting to see that Zelensky is a puppet of the Neocons and NATO and that the Ukrainian people are expendable.

2019 Zelensky Wins

It is not up to the Ukrainian people whether there will be peace or not. The election of Zelensky is suspected to have been rigged by the West, and Zelensky ran promising peace with Russia after the American Neocons instructed the interim UNELECTED government to attack the Donbas and start the Civil War.

DW 3 14 24 ONLY West will decide Peace for Ukraine

It is painfully obvious that the Ukrainian people have no right to vote on the fate of their own country. Zelensky suspended elections, making him a de facto dictator. Hence, even Russia has recognized, after numerous offers for peace, that Russia’s foreign minister explained that he believes ONLY the West can decide when the war in Ukraine ends, given its support for Kiev.

Zelensky has been telling the people the propaganda that  Ukraine will win if the West keeps the money flowing. Russia’s army was 10x that of Ukraine before 500,000 Ukrainians were killed. There is ABSOLUTELY nobody in any European government, no less Washington, that EVER expected Ukraine to win. The objective was to use the Ukrainian people to weaken Russia. Even Lindsay Graham said it was the best money Congress ever spent to kill Russians. The plan all along was for NATO to deliver the final kill.

3 25 24 Europe_To_Arm_Ukraine_Using_Profits_From_Seized_Russian_Funds

The West is on the edge of a financial crisis. It is running out of cash and trying to enforce this climate-wokeness-hate-Russia agenda. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Friday endorsed a plan to buy weapons for Ukraine using profits generated from seized Russian assets. Of course, Russia has violated international law by seizing the assets. If they hand the Russian assets to the most corrupt government on the face of the Earth, Russia will confiscate all the private assets held by Europeans and Americans and be justified in doing so because there is no rule of law remaining.

Scholz announced this alongside of Macron of France and Tusk of Poland. He said:

“We will use windfall profits from Russian assets frozen in Europe to financially support the purchase of weapons for Ukraine,”

house_of_cards_fall_anim_300_clr_14631

There is absolutely no question that we are headed into a very serious sovereign debt default. Western governments have been engaging in a Ponzi scheme, and the house of cards comes crashing down when they can no longer sell new debt to redeem the old. They need this war as an excuse to cover up their fiscal mismanagement, and they will then start all over again with digital currencies and their intended Bretton Woods II. The mere fact that they are tapping into Russia’s assets PROVES beyond a shadow of a doubt that they are running out of money.

All of this is to promote war, for they see that as their way out. Macron proposed sending troops into Ukraine, knowing that it was an act of war and would mean that all of Europe would now be a target for Russia. The common people of Russia, Europe, the USA, Canada, Japan, and China DO NOT support war. War is always created by the leaders, and we are expected to die and surrender our future and that of our children all for their mismanagement.

Mar 15 2024

Would You Feed Bugs to Your Pet?


Posted Mar 15, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

beagle puppies GettyImages 936521948

Tyson Foods announced on October of last year that they would begin using insects as a key protein source in their foods. The World Economic Forum under Klaus Schwab has touted the idea of replacing domestic livestock with insects in an effort to reduce emissions and force the masses to live with the lease while they acquire the most.

Protix is a Netherlands-based company partnering with Tyson Foods to provide “sustainable” solutions to a non-existent problem. They will begin by poisoning our animals. Protix published a study on the Journal of Insects as Food and Feed that involved a mere eight female beagle dogs who were fed ProteinX, – a protein meal that is produced from the larvae of the black soldier fly. The study claims that these dogs experienced a reduction in bad breath and concluded that placing cheap insect protein in wet and dry dog food and dog treats could benefit their oral health.

Protix is developing LipidX, an insect oil that they hope will replace traditional methods. They’re developing Flytilizer as an alternative to fertilizer. They are also aiming to replace soy meal for chickens with live larvae. This is one of many companies that are aiming to replace not only our food supply, but the food supply of the animals we eat.

Insects.Bugs_.WorldEconomicForum.WEF_

So what ingredient should you look for to avoid ground insect remains on your plate? Well, in the US, the FDA does not have any clear guidelines nor do they have a plan to label insect-laced foods. The FDA currently permits an “average of 60 or more insect fragments per 100 grams, or equivalent – 21 CFR 110.110(c)(4)” of insect remains in our foods, but this is due to unsanitary manufacturing policies. I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the FDA also permits human hair to fall into our food during the manufacturing process, so long as it is less than one strand per 50 grams. I do apologize to those who have not had breakfast – rodent filth is also permitted in our foods at an average of 1 excreta pellet less than 1 millimeter long per 100 grams.

The same organization pushing insect protein is toying with the idea of outright banning personal gardens. The WEF believes people should “start small and work [their] way up,” to begin to stomach insect consumption. They want us to normalize eating insects as they fly on their private jets from their private yachts to Davos, ravishingly consuming the best of the best. Some governments, like Italy’s, are placing restrictions on insect proteins and cloned meats. Still, the majority of the West is looking to punish the masses for existing by poisoning our food supply.

Mar 13 2024

PAX


Posted originally on Mar 13, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Augustus AR Cistoporus PAX of Ephesus

COMMENT: I have investigated what you have said about our Western leaders. From the US to Britain, the Balkans, France, Poland, and Germany, they all want war. I am 77 now. My whole life was about creating peace. I remember Richard Nixon opening China and dividing it from Russia. I believe you are correct.  There is no explanation for everyone seeking war other than to hide their appalling government mismanagement.

Thank you for your analysis. It is always unmatched.

GKB

Athens Owl 449 413BC Egyptian Imitation

REPLY: History repeats, and human nature never changes. We have the model from Rome, the greatest empire ever created. The Pax Romana was achieved by everyone benefiting in their economic relations. Once these people removed Russia from the SWIFT system, they condemned the United States to its demise. The rise of the BRICS has nothing to do with fiat money. All money has always been fiat. From ancient times, we find imitation coinage of the dominant economy being created by other regions, showing that there was always a premium over the metal content if it was a coin of the dominant economy like the US dollar today. Here is an imitation of an Athenian Owl stuck by the Egyptians, who never had coins until they were conquered nearly 100 years later by Alexander the Great. They issued imitation Athenian Owls because they were the currency of international trade.

Julius Caesar AR Denarius Imitation Genuine

Even the Celts, when Julius Caesar conquered Europe, still imitated his coinage. The metal was virtually the same, so it was a counterfeit but an imitation. The Celts still used Roman coinage for their monetary system.

Celtic Imitation of Greek Stater Philip II

Even 300 years before Caesar, when the Macedonians were the dominant economic power of Phillip II and his son Alexander the Great, we find Celtic imitations of Macedonian gold where they at least tried to imitate the design.

Julio Claudian Imitations

Even after Caesar conquered Europe, we find Germanic imitations of Roman bronze coinage. Once more, they could have created their own coinage but imitated the coinage of Rome.

Faustina Sr Imitations

As trade expanded with India, we find a series of Indian imitations of Roman gold coinage running the course of 300 years. We see Celtic imitations of Roman coinage as well as Germanic coinage, which also ran for about 300 years.

Leo I Siliqua Imitation

The fact that we have hundreds of years of imitations of the dominant economy PROVES beyond a shadow of a doubt that the coinage was NOT based on the metal content; there was always a premium applied to the dominant currency in the world at that time.

Fiat Money

This entire nonsense that the dollar is just a fiat currency is absurd. The value of ANY currency is the strength of its economy. The dollar has been the RESERVE currency BECAUSE everyone wanted to sell their products to American consumers.

Pax Romana 2

The PAX Romana took place BECAUSE all the conquered lands found it was beneficial to be part of the empire, for they could sell their products. World Peace was created by allowing free trade as the Romans did. Then, the people would oppose any local politician preaching war, for it would cut off their income. We were on the verge of world peace before COVID-19, when everyone participated in the world economy. Today, that has all been destroyed. Peace is no longer fashionable – it is hatred and war that now define world leaders.

This is a lesson our Politicians Must Learn, and the Neocons in

America – Europe – Russia – China

at really the enemies of the people. 

War is never created by the people – only by the elites in power.

As King Louis XIV of France said on his deathbed:

Louis XIV War
Mar 11 2024

The Collapse of a Nation Takes 13 years


Posted originally on Mar 11, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Legal Persecution

In law, it has been a maxim that bad facts make bad law. Every lawyer knows that. That is why the government will seek the worst case to expand the law and apply it to others. This legal maxim is certainly not new. All of those who go to law school are never taught that this maxim was, according to my research, first stated by Julius Caesar in 63BC during the trial of the Cataline Conspiracy, which was the alleged scheme to over through the government no so different from the allegations against Trump in the January 6th event they have called an “INSURRECTION” to desperately try to apply the 14th Amendment that was written concerning the American Civil War.

In 63 BC, Julius Caesar delivered a speech to the Roman Senate where they had to protect him from corrupt senators like Cicero. This alleged conspiracy was led by the patrician Catiline, whom Cicero set out to prosecute because he was of the opposition. The allegation was that he intended to overthrow the Roman government. Cicero did his best to deny Catline every right a Roman would have in a legal constitutional sense. Cicero whipped up the mob, demanding their execution against the law. When the Roman Senate convened, Cicero stood up and asked what should be done to them, and his co-conspirators shouted out death.

The historian Sallust recorded the incident and tells us that Gaius Julius Caesar stood up and explained that Roman law forbids the execution of Roman citizens even for heinous crimes. He argued that executing the conspirators would thus require the creation of a radical and dangerous precedent in and of itself that would really overthrow the legal foundation of the government. Caesar argued:

“Whatever befalls these prisoners will be well deserved; but you, Fathers of the Senate, are called upon to consider how your action will affect other criminals. All bad precedents have originated in cases which were good; but when the control of the government falls into the hands of men who are incompetent or bad, your new precedent is transferred from those who well deserve and merit such punishment to the undeserving and blameless.”

I have explained that we have entered very dangerous times. Most historians have concluded that the entire conspiracy was invented by Cicero for his own political advantage. The fact did not add up to any true plot that would have even been remotely successful. They were summarily executed after a fierce senate debate without any constitutional rights on December 5th merely on the fake evidence of Cicero.

Mill John Stuart Legal Persecution

What they have unleashed against Trump is EXTREMELY dangerous. The allegations and summary execution of the fake Cataline Conspiracy by Cicero was a turning point that ultimately led to the Civil War and the collapse of the Roman Republic 13 years later. When we reach 2032, it will be also about 13 years from the entire conspiracy that began in 2019 to overthrow the United States as we have known it.

These prosecutions of Trump have done the same damage as the Catline Conspiracy – bad facts make bad precedent. They subjected Trump to two impeachments, and naturally that only provides an incentive to the Republicans to do the same to Biden. We now have confirmation that Fani Willis met with Kamala Harris BEFORE Trump was indicted. In New York, the courts are so corrupt that they are desperately trying to use legal persecution to bankrupt Trump. Even a $91 million award to this politically motivated E Jean Carroll or anyone else with such an absurd judgment would be dismissed by a real judge. There is no relation to any economic loss; she would never have earned that kind of money in her entire lifetime.

New York City should be kicked out of the United States because, like California, it opposes Due Process and everything that the Founding Fathers ever intended. The Rule of Law has collapsed, and with it, our nation, just as the Catline Conspiracy tore the soul out of the rights of Roman citizens. This was just one reason why Caesar crossed the Rubicon. It was the Senate that fled because the people never saw them as worthwhile—just corrupt political to rig the game.

History Repeats because Human Nature Never Changes

Mar 11 2024

A Look Back At Socrates’ Forecasts from January 2020


Posted originally on Mar 11, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

2020 MA on Bloomberg

My January 2020 interview with Andrew McCreath from BNN Bloomberg came up in recent conversation, and I was asked how I knew then that we’d be where we were at now. My answer is the same — I just follow the models. Some unfamiliar with my work merely looked at the headline “DOW 40,000” and dismissed my forecast as if it were my personal opinion. The Dow was 29240 on the day of the interview and while many feared a correction was coming I explained any dip was likely short-term in nature that that it would need to drop below 19000 to be truly considered a bear market and – BUT that fell on deaf ears. Even with the notable COVID dip that soon followed this interview, the market bounced right back to new highs thereafter and the models stayed on track over the long term. We experienced one of the most HATED bull markets in history. Despite all of the turmoil over the years, The Dow consistently went up for over a decade but all the talking heads insisted it would go down.

Now, those same analysts are mad that they missed the entire bull market. The short-term forecast called for a dip in 2020 and a chance to get in on the action (and COVID provided that dip in spades), but I explained that there would not be a change in the long-term trend as my computer indicated we would enter a private wave that would peak in 2024 and go off into a half-8.6-year cycle into 2028. This was all indicated by the computer system as no individual could have foreseen the events that have unfolded over the past four years.

All of the models were heating up for 2024. This is why we focus primarily on the long-term, and closely monitor capital concentration – follow the money. There was trouble in Europe and Asia, so the capital needed to flee, and that safe haven happened to be the US. It is America’s final years as the leading financial capital of the world as historically it always changes. America dethroned Britain after World War II and China is on it’s way to dethrone America after 2032.

I also pointed out that inflation would be the focal point for 2024, leading to interest rates changing and becoming a key factor for central banks globally. Volatility paired with the private wave, where capital must escape the public sector, would also lead to an uptick in the commodity cycle.

The business cycle cannot be manipulated, but it can be analyzed. However, that’s not how most market analysts work.  Long-term, macro  requires looking at every market throughout the globe, studying past behavior through historical patterns in price and time. The models do a tremendous job doing this.

Now, everyone is praising the rising Dow that will touch the 40,000 level. Of course, it is easier to say that now that we are almost there. Again, few believed me back in 2020, but here we are. Governments throughout the world are still in trouble and the money remaining on the grid is fleeing into the US. This is another reason why I watch the Dow a bit more closely than the S&P 500, as it provides a more accurate indicator of the big foreign money piling in from throughout the world.

For those who wrote in asking if I still stand by my claims – yes, the computer is still indicating that we are looking at a Dow that could rise to 65,000 by 2032, when we are likely to  see a change in not just the markets but governments worldwide. I wish I could tell you something different.

Mar 11 2024

Right on Inflation, Wrong on Tariffs – Gary Cohn Outlines Biden Inflation and State of Economy for 2024 Election


Posted originally on the CTH on March 10, 2024 | Sundance

Gary Cohn appears on Face The Nation to discuss the finance, the economy and the pain felt by consumers.  He won’t say it directly, for obvious reasons, but what Cohn describes in terms of political support boils down to Main Street business supporting Donald Trump and Wall Street Multinational Corporations supporting Joe Biden.  That is ultimately what is obvious at a macro level.

I’m starting the video at 03:08 for the purposes of emphasizing inflation.  What Cohn says about U.S. inflation is essentially accurate and I have a Cliff Notes, tldr, HERE.  However, what Cohn says about tariffs creating inflation is not accurate, as outlined by the 2017 through 2020 results of Trump tariff policy.  Cohn says, “No one absorbs tariffs, except the consumer,” this is false.  As we saw in 2017, 2018, and 2019 China, Asia and the EU essentially dropped their export prices to retain access to the USA market and offset tariff costs.  That’s just a statistical reality.

The transcript is HERE; however, I want to draw attention to a geopolitical aspect that is not getting enough attention.  Specifically, the cost of FOOD PRODUCTS and the attached inflation.

Why is food inflation continuing to be a problem?  Why is food inflation not just a USA problem?  Why are the EU farmers protesting?  These questions are easily answered, and yet no one in the Western financial press will explain.

The Build Back Better agenda, known in the USA colloquially as the Green New Deal, carries with it massive increases in cost for energy products.  Fertilizer, which needs natural gas, and farming, which needs large amounts of fuel, diesel and fuel oil, uses costly energy products.  Packaging, plastics (petroleum derivatives) and cardboard also require large amounts of energy.

The manufacturing (heating, cooling, freezing) as well as storage and transportation of food products also use massive amounts of energy.  Additionally, and specifically because of the nature of their consumption, the increased energy costs associated with generating food travels quickly through the supply chain.

Food inflation is always the first thing you notice when the prices of energy products skyrocket.  This is well known and not subject to debate; everyone accepts this.

In the past 30 +/- years, large multinational corporations known as Big Ag have created a system where the USA generates a massive amount of the global food supply.

The advent of modern farming fertilizer, pesticides, seed genetics and other farming products/equipment that increase crop yield, has also been a big factor in the capacity of the USA and Western farming world to increase production.  As the globe became more reliant on the production efficiencies of the Big Ag “Western world,” they simultaneously became dependent on the outcome.  That dependency put them at risk of feeling the impact of inflation when you think about the farm products.

The result was that when Western Ag farming costs skyrocketed, the high cost of harvest outcomes were not just felt in the USA and/or Western nations.  As food production costs increased, the higher costs of production transferred into all the exported products.  Food inflation was exported globally.

The Western Build Back Better and Green New Deal energy policies subsequently meant the world was going to pay a higher price for food globally.  That’s what happened.

The Yellow Zone was responsible for a higher percentage of global food production.  The Yellow Zone is also the place where energy policy was changed in such a radical format that massive increases in energy costs were created.

The Yellow Zone (geopolitically the “West”) drove up the cost of farming, the Gray Zone pays a higher price.  This was all by design and not accidental.  The corporations who supported the BBB/GRD agenda all benefit.  The citizens who need to eat, do not benefit.

So, when you see EU farmers protesting against the ridiculous ENERGY POLICY changes of the West, you must accept the USA bears a greater responsibility for creating and demanding the increased prices that farmers globally are having to deal with.

In Gray Zone areas, where domestic food production costs are not subject to the changed energy policy, there is little to no food inflation.  However, the more dependent the country is to food imports (ingredients or final product) the more they are impacted by rising farming costs.

Grey Zone countries that can self-sustain on the production of food and have no energy agenda have little food inflation.

The more the country is strangling energy production and driving up energy prices, the higher the cost of farming and subsequently the higher index on food inflation.  The two metrics are directly related.

Food inflation globally is a big problem.  Western energy policy is exactly why!

Mar 10 2024

Irish Voters Reject Leftist Effort to Change Definitions of Women and Family


Posted originally on the CTH on March 9, 2024 | Sundance 

The leftists in Ireland had previously been having a lot of success pushing “progressive” wokeism and curtailing the ability of citizens to criticize cultural marxism.

Whether the issue was forced multiculturalism through immigration or making it unlawful to speak against the globalist agenda, the government of Ireland had been in strong control of the social narratives. However, as the globalists became increasingly confident, the country became increasingly alarmed.

That’s the context for a referendum that would have redefined what it meant in Ireland to be a woman or family.  The voters rejected the attempted constitutional change.

Irish Prime Minister Taoiseach Leo Varadkar (pictured left) said it was clear the two referendums were “defeated comprehensively.”

DUBLIN — Ireland’s effort to remove old-fashioned family values from its constitution suffered a double defeat Saturday as voters rejected the amendments on offer as maddeningly vague and threatening to property rights.

The leaders of Ireland’s three-party government conceded defeat as early returns from Friday’s referendums confirmed that an overwhelming majority of voters had said “no” to its proposed replacements for constitutional clauses on marriage and family care.

In final results announced Saturday night, the amendment to change the constitutional definition of family was rejected by 67.7 percent of voters. The proposed changes on family care took an even harsher drubbing, with 73.9 percent against — the greatest defeat of an amendment in Irish constitutional history. (read more)

Mar 9 2024

Ep 3300a – It’s All About To Fall Apart For The [CB]/[WEF], Time To Restructure The Economic System


Posted originally on Rumble By X 22 Report on: Mar 7, 2024 at 5:00 pm EST

Mar 8 2024

Can World War III be Avoided?


Posted originally on Mar 7, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Socrates Monitory Globe

Many people have written in asking if you can avoid World War III. In my experience with this model, the turning points are fixed in time. We cannot alter the cycle any more than someone can manipulate any market, altering it from boom to bust.

Amplitude 1

You cannot alter the cycle, but I believe that, from my observations, it may be possible to manipulate the amplitude. This would have been my concern if it had fallen into the wrong hands. I have grandkids. I would not want to leave behind another economic weapon Neocons can use to screw up the world even more. Perhaps you can make an event much worse. However, improving the situation and reducing the amplitude might also be possible.

Amplitud 2
Mar 8 2024

Sweden War-Mongers Ready to Start WWIII


Posted originally on Mar 7, 2024 By Martin Armstrong

2024_03_07_18_26_06_Sweden joins Nato

COMMENT: Hello; I just wanted to comment that the arrays on Sweden have predicted the two-year wait for NATO, and it got it down to the month. I just wanted to say that all we have had here is doom and gloom, and Russia will attack any day now. The press claimed Sweden is neutral. I do not think they know our war history with Russia for several hundred years.

Thank you for Socrates. It always gets the time right.

PHM

Swedish_Krona_Spot_Array Y 5 15 22

ANSWER:  I think you are correct. For those who do not know the history of Sweden, they used to be a major power. There have been 15 wars with Russia since 1475 – about one on average every 30 years or so. The Yearly Array was a major turning point and a Double Directional Change. That indeed marked this war-mongering for the past two years. Sweden has NOT been neutral. They have been supplying weapons to Ukraine to further advance the war against Russia. Neutrality means you stay out, and they have both feet in.

2024_Sweden_war with Russia

Yes, the war-mongering has been on schedule. You have your version of Neocons as well who also just want war at all costs.

Swedish Krona M Array 3 7 24

March was the target, and we had a Directional Change in April. May is the next turning point, but we have a Panic Cycle in September, which is showing up internationally in many markets and virtually most countries. This was a dark day for Sweden. Your war-mongers cannot wait to start a war, and it looks like they may get it before the US elections.

Prague Memorial to Communism

We have such fools in all governments. They are being told to start a war and are too stupid to comprehend that there are those who want to eliminate 50% of the population to save the planet.