An Important German Documentary on Ukraine


Armstrong Economics Blog/Ukraine Re-Posted May 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

This is a MUST-watch Documentary from a German journalist who has been on the ground. It is important to see the other side of events for anyone who only listens to one side, is denied the very idea of free thought.

A number of people asked to see an ECM on Zelensky himself. This lines up perfectly with the final wave for Ukraine as well between 2021 into 2025 where it is highly likely we will see war escalated post-2024. Zelensky got his staring role to pretend to be a comedian who became president in line with the ECM turning point 2016.75 which marked the peak in confidence in government globally. 2016 saw both Brexit and Trump win which were direct blows to the establishment.

The Ministry of Truth is Deeply Sinister and Orwellian


Armstrong Economics Blog/North America Re-Posted May 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

It is no secret that other nations see the president of the United States as a joke. In this video, Australian reporters are shocked that Biden openly laughed at a joke about record-high inflation. He is literally laughing AT you — the Great Unwashed. Sky News host Rita Panahi said The Ministry of Truth is “deeply sinister and Orwellian.” The corruption and tyranny have become so blatant that it is almost laughable — almost.

On April 25, 2022 – Twitter accepted Musk’s offer and two days later Biden took the same step as Hitler in establishing his ‘Disinformation Governance Board’ to fight ‘misinformation’ (a la George Orwell’s “Ministry of Truth”). Biden is clearly out to obstruct Musk and free speech.

Zelensky & World War III


Armstrong Economics Blog/Ukraine Re-Posted May 6, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Our computer warned back in 2013 that Ukraine would be the place where World War III would begin. I warned that the ONLY way to prevent that was to split Ukraine based on the language. While the propaganda is that Kyiv is fighting for freedom and democracy, they have refused to allow Donbas to vote and recognize their independence. The hatred in the West of the Russian-speaking East is well documented. It stems from the period of Stalin’ starving of 7 million Ukrainians to pretend that Communism was working. The fact that Stalin was not Russian but a Georgian has been lost in the pages of history.

The Dnipro River was the border between the old Russian Empire and Ukraine. The East of that river was NEVER Ukrainian territory. It was assigned to Kyiv under the USSR for administrative purposes. Crimea was always Russian and was merely assigned to Kyiv in 1954 under the USSR. Nevertheless, we are to throw the entire world into war over this nonsense only because it serves the objectives of the Neocons and the World Economic Forum which cannot pull off this Great Reset without also overthrowing both the governments of Russia and China. Sorry to inform them that our computer has NEVER been wrong on geopolitical forecasts and it is written in stone, in the end, the West will lose to China, which has already stated that it is in a strategic partnership with Russia. SO while people die to fill Zelensky’s offshore accounts and I warned from the outset that he was the agent who would create World War III,  he has been preaching this is World War III to engulf the entire world for this territorial grab that is historically unjustified.

The Nazi Ukrainian troops are clinging to control of the steel plant in Mariupol. Our sources say that the Russian troops have breached their defenses and hand-to-hand combat is even taking place inside. They have asked for support from Kyiv, but so far that is not coming. This is the final stronghold and this fierce attack is to deliver the Kremlin a victory against the Nazis days ahead of a major Russian military holiday on Monday.

 The steel plant is the last area in Mariupol still under Ukrainian control, and its fall would be a blow to Kyiv. Putin again called Macron for he is the only leader who appears to be interested in a peace agreement. Putin misjudged that the West NEEDS war with Russia and they are counting on the belief that he will not use nuclear weapons.

In reality, there are those who argue that the smartest thing that Russia could do is to take a lesson from the USA. The argument calls for the use of a small tactical nuke and take out Kyiv and then call the bluff of the USA and NATO. Would the West retaliate and go nuclear which would then result in Europe and the USA being in the direct line of fire? I doubt it. But once the US dropped the two bombs on Japan, that ended the war. With the Pelosi delegation saying there is no peace and only total victory with the defeat of Russia is acceptable, this will be another endless war.

What is important to understand is that 1 Hiroshima Bomb Explosion was equal to 0.01434034416826 Megatons of TNT. Today, Russia has more nukes than anyone, but just one is 100 megatons. One can take out the entire island of Britain. The people behind Putin would nuke Kyiv following the lesson of World War II betting that the West will not retaliate and destroy the entire world. We are certainly rolling the dice and our braindead world leaders do not seem to comprehend either the risk or strategy.

Zelensky has polarized the entire world. By him suddenly pretending to be a practicing Jew when his children were baptized Christian, he has ignited the threat of war again in the Middle East. The surrounding countries of Israel are aligning with Russia. Even Knesset Member Itamar Ben-Gvir entered the Temple Mount on Israel’s 74th Independence Day and declared: “The time has come to build a Jewish synagogue on the Temple Mount.” The argument is that the Jewish people are compelled to rebuild the Temple on the very spot of the Dome of the Rock on Temple Mount. The supporters of that point to: “And let them make Me a sanctuary that I may dwell among them” (Exodus 25:8). Obviously, Zelensky has destabilized the world much more than people realize.

No doubt, this will conjure up those who will be writing about the poem from the classic movie – The Omen. It certainly looks like there will be those who will start to look at Zelensky a whole lot differently. The one thing for certain is he has certainly played his part well acting out this world leader to get the ball rolling. Is Zelensky really the Manchurian Candidate to lead the entire globe into World War III? There are voices rising such as Brazil’s Lula saying Zelenskiy is “As Responsible as Putin” for Ukraine War.

The Neocon Bill Kristol was advocating the overthrow and the various leaders in the Middle East under the theory that introducing Democracy would ultimately provide security for Israel. This same theory that taking out Putin and the Russians will cheer us with open arms. That failed in the Middle East, and it will fail in both Russia and China. The propaganda is creating hatred of the Russian and Chinese people to sell this war to the American and Europeans has internal civil consequences just as the Japanese internment camps of WWII. This hatred the Neocons have created against Putin with Xi to follow, can not be confined to exclusively their leaders. Yes, Bill Kristol spoke at one of our WEC’s back in the early ’90s. As always, I seem to have encountered all the players in this game of world denomination right down to shaking hands with Schwab.

Don’t Divert Your Attention to Roe v. Wade


Armstrong Economics Blog/USA Current Events Re-Posted May 6, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

A coming Supreme Court ruling to overturn Roe v. Wade was secretly “leaked.” Uncoincidentally, the news came right before the 2022 US midterm elections. Everyone is understandably up in arms after Biden formed a Disinformation Governance Board to become the ultimate authority for what we may believe is true. Most Americans want Biden out of office, with only 37% saying he should run for re-election.

The fake plight to save the people of Ukraine was not enough to garner Democratic support. The virtue-signaling appealed to the left at first, until Biden handed Ukraine billions of dollars and dismissed his campaign promise to forgive student debt. The COVID power grab has loosened from Biden’s grip, and his approval numbers have been steadily declining.

Abortion has been a hot topic since Roe v. Wade permitted the practice in 1973. The same people who are shouting, “MY BODY, MY CHOICE!” did not feel that way when the government wanted to mandate experimental vaccines. They were OK with countless people losing their jobs and lives because the government knew what was best for our health, and we had a moral obligation to obey. They claim Roe v. Wade protects women but are attempting to eliminate women from our society.

The latest Supreme Court Justice Kentanji Jackson said she could not define a “woman” as she is not a biologist. Biden actually banned the word “mothers” as femininity is offensive to the far left. Instead, we are supposed to call them “birthing people” since the woke community maintains that men can give birth. Apple even added pregnant men emojis to its platform.

Not to be outdone, the US is #1 for infant mortality among developed nations. Do you know the leading cause of death for “birthing people” in the US? HOMICIDEMore women die in this country from homicide than from pregnancy or birthing complications. Black women in particular are three times as likely to die from homicide while pregnant. Men are almost always the culprit.

Yet, no one sees gender or these very alarming issues. Women are no longer protected in this country; Roe v. Wade is not the issue. How can we protect women when we deny their existence?

The Future According to the ECM


Armstrong Economics Blog/Armstrong in the Media Re-Posted May 6, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

CNN Abortion Poll Backfires, Ultimately No Opinions Moved by SCOTUS Leak


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 6, 2022 | Sundance 

CNN contracted for an urgent poll of voters [Article Here] to gauge the anticipated enthusiasm bump that Democrats were expecting for the mid-term elections. [SEE POLL pdf HERE] However, unfortunately for the wide-eyed narrative engineers expecting the stratospheric shift in support…. the results show no one really cares.  LOL

The results from the poll show despite about a 50/50 split in response to the question about have you heard of the SCOTUS decision to overturn Roe v Wade, there was almost no statistical change in voter opinion from prior polling.

More depressingly for the leftists in media, when it comes to enthusiasm about voting in the mid-terms because of this issue, the enthusiastic crowd is the pro-life happy people. The registered voters who would be grumpy or angry was 20%.  The registered voters who would be happy or joyful was 38%.  Whoops.  But wait, it gets better….

When you compare the results of the internal questions to the last time they were asked, there’s no difference in response.  This issue is such a predetermined opinion, that virtually nothing around it changes.

CNN has sad.   See video below (prompted):

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The net takeaway is a big nothingburger.  No one cares.   [See Poll pdf Here]

Good News 428,000 Jobs Added in April, Bad News April Employment Drops by 363,000 Workers


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 6, 2022 | Sundance

Good News 428,000 Jobs Added in April, Bad News April Employment Drops by 363,000 Workers

May 6, 2022 | Sundance | 112 Comments

The employment news has everyone confused.  The Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) reports today 428,000 jobs were added [DATA HERE] which is good.  We want to see people getting back to work.  However, simultaneously the number of people employed dropped by 363,000 and the labor participation rate dropped from 62.4 last month to 62.2 this month [Table A, DATA].  The unemployment rate remains unchanged at 3.6 percent.

That wildly conflicting set of data has led to a seriously frantic discussion about what is going on.  Here’s my take….  The majority of the irreconcilable data can be reconciled on this one basic Main Street employment scenario that is never tracked, people are job jumping.

Inflation is crushing main street workers at an astounding pace.  Housing, energy, gas and food prices -all the unavoidable stuff- are hitting blue collar workers the hardest.

However, in reality the key businesses inside the sectors with the most rapid employment gains, Leisure and Hospitality, are the last to raise prices.

Generally those jobs fall under the category of service workers.  The leisure and hospitality sector gained 78,000 jobs last month.

What we are seeing in the sporadic data is wage growth being driven in majority by increased entry wages on the hiring end of the employment relationship.

Because inflation is hitting so hard, so high and so quickly; and because businesses are slower to respond to the wage needs of current payroll staff; people are quitting one employer to take a linear job at another employer at a higher entry wage.   This is the fastest way to get a raise. This is job jumping.

Job jumping is the fastest way to increase your wages in an employment market where labor demand exists and price inflation is high.  As this process takes place at a national scale, we end up seeing data skews on job “creation.”   Lots of jobs added (+428k) and yet on the alternate side of the ledger, net employment losses (-363k) because there is a lag in the labor data collection.

Obviously, there are other aspects, but ‘job jumping’ is a significant contributor to the skewed and seemingly contradictory data.  We’ve all done it, especially in times when good dependable workers (like you) are a prized resource.

All of the shifting employment data (in almost every sector) is being hit by inflation.  High costs of living and higher costs of operation, combine to create shakeups in the employment picture.  Stable things become unstable as all elements impacted by inflation (workers and businesses) look out for their best interest.

Everyone is trying to survive, deal and cope with big price increases in food, fuel and shelter.  Inflation can be extremely destabilizing and destructive.

On CNBC Rick Santelli drives home another facet that emphasizes the problem.  These price increases are structural and most of them are unavoidable. The prices will never come down because the costs are fully embedded.   WATCH:

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Rick Santelli does the pantomime with panache’.

Fertilizer Prices Continue Rising, Increasing Fears of Global Grain Costs and Shortages


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 6, 2022 

As CTH has noted since last October the rapid increases in fertilizer costs could potentially create a major issue for global food supplies later this summer.  As the farming costs continue escalating, including fertilizer and diesel fuel prices, this will eventually lead to major price increases on the harvests.   Field to fork inflation is looking increasingly severe later this year; what we have called the third wave of inflation.

Beyond prices, a primary impact in the U.S. market, concerns are now escalating about grain shortages {SEE HERE} and lower European crop yields which will lead to less food products on a global basis.   According to information shared by ZeroHedge, “We think it will take at least 2-3 years to replenish global grains stocks,” Illinois-based CF Industries Holdings Inc.’s president and chief executive officer Tony Will said in a statement in Wednesday’s earnings report.”

Axios is reporting on the continued escalation of fertilizer prices; however, they conveniently and purposefully avoid noting the origin of the problem in North America is directly the result of Joe Biden’s immediate energy policies that drove up the costs of natural gas (a critical component):

AXIOS – “Skyrocketing fertilizer costs — like those made from nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium (NPK) — are driving up food prices and, worse, threatening food security around the globe.

State of play: Prices for NPK were up 125% in January from a year before, and rose another 17% from the beginning of the year to March, according to data compiled by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

  • The looming European ban on Russian natural gas (a critical component in manufacturing some fertilizers) could worsen the situation.
  • “We’re in a dire situation right now,” said Svein Tore Holsether, the CEO of fertilizer maker Yara International, at a seminar hosted by IFPRI this week.
  • If farmers use less fertilizer, they can’t produce as many crops — and that raises the specter of “malnutrition, political unrest and, ultimately, the otherwise avoidable loss of human life,” Bloomberg reported.

The big picture: Prices for these heavily traded raw materials were already rising in 2021, because of a myriad of factors: Hurricane Ida in the U.S., an upsurge in demand after the pandemic, supply chain issues, and rising natural gas prices that predated the war in Ukraine. (more)

It is clear to see the lower price of fertilizer when President Trump triggered U.S. energy independence through his use all resources method of energy development.  Oil and natural gas prices dropped significantly as a part of the Trump energy policy which was directly connected to the his overall U.S. America-First economic policy.

We went from Trump inspired energy independence, low gasoline prices and the stable export of liquified natural gas (LNG) – to energy dependence, high gasoline prices and extreme increases in natural gas prices as a direct result of Joe Biden energy policy.

The downstream consequences of energy policy are extremely severe.  Higher energy costs, higher petroleum costs, higher transportation costs and higher raw material costs drive inflation on all manufactured goods, including farm products.

The energy policy is not a mistake. These economic outcomes are a direct result of Joe Biden executing his Green New Deal / Build Back Better energy policy.  Shortages of food are an outcome of chasing the climate change unicorn energy policy.

Yes, there is a direct connection between climate change energy policy and people starving around the world as a result of it.