Inflation Moving Higher Thanks to Dollar


Inflation

Prices in the US are picking up strongly and support the Fed’s arguments for raising interest rates further. The rate of inflation rose by 2.1% in December, according to the Ministry of Labor. This is the highest increase since two and a half years. Some are suggesting this is due to higher gasoline prices and rents in particular caused the buoyancy. After all, the November rate was still 1.7%. The Fed has been targeting two percent. The Fed raised the key interest rate in December to 0.5 to 0.75%, and took three further steps upward for 2017.

With consumer confidence at record highs, that means consumers will spend confidently. This is the real issue behind the trend, which is polar opposite to Europe and Japan. Nevertheless, the rising trend in U.S. interest rates points to support for the dollar. The higher the dollar, the cheaper the imports. This will play at odds against the Trump policies.

Trump’s promise of bringing jobs home will run into a brick wall. There is nobody in Washington who seems to even understand trade, no less have any coherent police objectives. The stronger the dollar, the cheap the imports and that will lead to raising tariffs all because they do not understand their own statistics.

When the world set up the IMF, World Bank, and Bretton Woods, currencies were FIXED. It then made sense that if you tracked the amount of purchases and sales in dollars, that would translate into buying or selling more goods internationally. There was nobody at the dock counting the number of BMWs or Toyota entering the country. Now that currencies float since 1971, that accounting system does not work. Since the low in the US Dollar Index established during March 2008 at 71.800, this closed 2016 at 102.390. That means the dollar rose 42% since 2008. The Total balance of trade for the US improved only by 29% (US Balance of Trade). We must understand currency because the statistics only measure the amount of money moving NOT actual goods.

Entrenched GOPe Show Their Cards – Construct “Border Adjustment Tax” To Oppose Trump’s America-First Agenda…


Anyone who believes Democrats own exclusive opposition to Donald Trump are completely ignoring the deliberate construct of the 2015/2016 republican primary.  There are just as many -if not more- na…

Source: Entrenched GOPe Show Their Cards – Construct “Border Adjustment Tax” To Oppose Trump’s America-First Agenda…

trump-03

Pharmaceutical Corruption


Pharmacy

Here is the latest example of corrupt politicians voting in favor of their own self-interests. Bernie Sanders may be a bit fanatical, yet he has been trying to push a bill through to allow Canada and other countries to import prescription drugs to the U.S., which would significantly decrease the price that consumers have to pay for medication.

Trump commented that the big pharmaceutical companies “get away with murder,” and even Republicans Ted Cruz, John McCain, and Rand Paul voted in favor of the bill. Yet, 13 Democrats blocked the bill from passing. Those same Democrats receive large payouts from the pharmaceutical companies. The list even includes Cory Booker — the next rising darling of the Democrats. This is why we MUST impose term limits – one time and out.

Rogoff: An Elitist Who Has No Respect for the People


Rogoff-Kenneth-2

Kenneth Rogoff is a Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Harvard University. Rogoff calls critics of negative interest rates “ignorant” despite the fact that negative interest rates have been used since 2008 without any success. He had the audacity to say that people should not look at their short-term personal losses, but rather look at the long-term vision of the central banks. He is such an elitist. I cannot find words appropriate to describe how this academic, who has zero experience in the real world, is incapable of comprehending that his Marxist style intervention is creating the next crisis.

1933 London Economic Conference

Yes, negative interest rates lower deficits. But who will buy the negative debt besides central banks? Why borrow money at all and compete against the private sector? Interest rates are negative to punish savers for saving. He wants them to spend their money. Fine – stop government borrowing altogether and just print what is needed for the expense of government. Stop this elitist Marxist concept that people like Rogoff can play the role of emperor and manipulate society to do whatever they believe is appropriate.

Just before his death in 1946, John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) told Henry Clay, a professor of Social Economics and adviser to the Bank of England, that he hoped that Adam Smith’s invisible hand would help Britain out of its economic hole. “I find myself more and more relying for a solution of our problems on the invisible hand which I tried to eject from economic thinking twenty years ago.”

Checkmate

Economists such as Rogoff are still basking in the ideas of Karl Marx that government CAN and SHOULD manipulate society to achieve the public policy dreams of those in power. Rogoff is not willing to even think about what he has done to the pension system and how we are looking at states like Illinois becoming broke.

In California, less than four years have passed since it fought to achieve a balanced budget by raising taxes to the highest level in the nation. Politicians cannot manage the economy and negative interest rates are destroying pensions. There is no long-term gain, for Rogoff cannot imagine the next step. The central banks are trapped and can NEVER resell what they have bought under Quantitative Easing. We are rapidly approaching the point of no return or NO BID. That is when government tries to sell its debt to pay off the last chunk and there is NO BID. Oops! Checkmat

Capitalism v Socialism – Good Perspective of the Difference


Smith-Marx

COMMENT: Martin, A story I received: A guy looked at my Porsche the other day and said I wonder how many people could have been fed for the money that sports car cost. I replied I am not sure, it fed a lot of families in Bowling Green, Kentucky who built it, it fed the people who make the tires, it fed the people who made the components that went into it, it fed the people in the copper mine who mined the copper for the wires, it fed people in Decatur IL, at Caterpillar who make the trucks that haul the copper ore. It fed the trucking people who hauled it from the plant to the dealer and fed the people working at the dealership and their families. BUT,… I have to admit, I guess I really don’t know how many people it fed.

That is the difference between capitalism and welfare mentality. When you buy something, you put money in people’s pockets, and give them dignity for their skills. When you give someone something for nothing, you rob them of their dignity and self worth. Capitalism is freely giving your money in exchange for something of value. Socialism is taking your money against your will and shoving something down your throat that you never asked for.

JS

REPLY: This is a very good example of the difference between Capitalism and Socialism. Hillary said during the campaign that Trump was worth a few billion – “Think of what we could do with that money.” They only do look at the wealth and not at the contribution to the economy and society. You can look at Henry Ford and say yes – another rich bastard. How many jobs did he create inventing the assembly line? The difference is jobs compared to just entitlements for existing.

I had an old friend from high school call me when I was around 40. He called to ask me for a job. I ask; “Frank. What have you been doing?” He told me he never worked. He has his plane, car, and boat. When we grew up, his mother own the luncheonette all the kids would go to for lunch and after school. She was a widow and spoiled Frank. She never made him get a job and just bought him whatever he wanted. When his mother died, the money stopped. When he called me and said he never worked, I was shocked. I said I did not have a job for him. He was the classic example of socialism.

The Coming Referendum in Turkey to Consolidate More Power for Erdoğan


Erdogan Flags

A constitutional referendum is planned to be held in Turkey in in the Spring of 2017. A survey is showing that the people are not really in favor of handing endless power to the President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. Voters are expected to decide on amending 18 articles of the Constitution of Turkey. The amendments have been the established policy of the governing Justice and Development Party (AK Party) and its founder President Erdoğan. The amendments are to now include the introduction of an executive presidency that would replace the existing parliamentary system of government. Erdoğan want to abolition of the Office of the Prime Minister and assume more of a dictatorial position. He also intends to reform to the Supreme Board of Judges and Prosecutors.

Erdoğan launched a purge of all the pro-US elements in Turkey and sold off his US holding of US bonds. True, this was in part to try to support the failing lira. But Erdoğan agenda is far from one of really merging with Europe or the USA. He has been crazy to the point of demanding punishment because of comments of TV people of Turkey in Germany. He has been very intolerant of criticism internationally. The coup, which is highly doubtful was real, appears more to be a purge of anyone who disagreed with him and might rise up in the future.

Turkey must also be on the watch list during 2017 – the Year from Political Hell.

Soros Should be Banned from Hungary


soros-george

I still believe that George Soros is extremely dangerous with his ideas of Open Society. Hungary’s vice chairman of the ruling Fidesz party, Szilard Nemeth said that all operations funded by Soros and his Open Society Foundation should be banned from operating in Hungary. Nemeth said at a news conference that Soros and his operations were “pushing global big capital and a related political correctness into Hungary.” Nemeth elaborated:
“These organizations must be pushed back with all available tools, and I think they must be swept out, and now I believe the international conditions are right for this with the election of the new president [Donald Trump].”
Soros is highly dangerous. His funding of Hillary Clinton knowing what she stands for really revealed how dangerous this guy has become. His Open Society Foundation really undermines our basic liberties. He donated $7 million to Hillary and previously funded Obama against Hillary.

UK Prime Minister Theresa May Major Brexit Outline Speech – 6:30am Live Stream (11:30am UK)…


British Prime Minister Theresa May is set to deliver a highly anticipated speech on the UK’s outlined plan to exit the European Union.  The speech is for diplomats at Lancaster House in London toda…

Source: UK Prime Minister Theresa May Major Brexit Outline Speech – 6:30am Live Stream (11:30am UK)…

trump-farage-2

Gold Bullion v Coins


20-bullion

QUESTION: Marty; Do you still see 2017 as the end in the decline in gold or 2018? Also, I think I now understand that coins are better than bullion for confiscation purposes. Right?

ANSWER: We are starting to run out of time. We elected a minor Monthly Bullish of 1142 at the end of December, so that has given us the bounce. The benchmarks come into play in 2018, but they could be the first high rather than a low and that would confirm a change in trend. The 2015 closing is the lowest, and that would be a three-year reaction from the highest closing of 2015. Markets never act randomly. The failure of 2016 to produce the lowest closing was for a reason. It was not a fluke.

Yes, coins are better than bullion for they have some historical value. Their historical value could be an excuse to prevent confiscation if government simply declares that “gold is for criminals,” as they are trying to do with cash. I believe Trump would not go along with that move, but keep in mind that the left is the most violent of all. They pretend to be tolerant, but they are only tolerant if you agree with them. They have no problem assassinating anyone else.

The left has painted Trump as some sort of Nazi racist. They fail to understand that “Mexican” is not a race any more than “American,” just as “Muslim” is not a race any more than “Christian.” They mix up their slogans and accusations to get people chanting this nonsense because they are too stupid to think on their own. I would keep in mind that these people will try to assassinate Trump, for in their mind the rich have to be destroyed. They are very dangerous people.

We will be issuing the 2017 Gold Report soon

Europe Plunges into Deep Freeze


COMMENT: Martin, Im a regular reader of your blog and I agree with you that the Ice Age is upon us. I fell on this video of ice on the Danube and would like to share with you. Even here in Singapore we can feel that something is going with the climate and it is not global warming.

Thanks for your regular post and look forward meeting in Singapore if you appear to come here.

L from Singapore.

REPLY: Scientists in both Russia and China are warning of an Ice Age. The real scientists in Europe and America are yelling this too, but the press preaches about global warming because the government uses it for taxes. Too much money at stake to say, “Sorry, we got this one wrong!”

Temperatures in Russia have plummeted, dropping to even -80 degrees Fahrenheit. This is very serious. The winters will keep getting colder and this is not good for economic growth.

We are overdue for the flipping of the poles. The poles reverse on the Sun every 11 years. On Earth, that is about 720,000 years. So there is no recorded history to document what has happened. Perhaps that is the 2032 event since the Minoan Bronze Age was sent into a Dark Age with the eruption of Thera. Geologists can tell you where the poles have been since rock is magnetized to the North Pole when it is formed. When volcanoes erupt, we can tell where the poles have been historically. Yet, there is no human record of what impact it has had. We do know that animals have been frozen with plants still in their mouths. It would appear to be very abrupt (see Maya Report). Most likely, this climate change has attributed to the migration of humans around the globe.

Europe is already experiencing a very cold winter now in 2017. Unfortunately, this is the real trend and not global warming. The reason I am so against the global warming crowd is that they put forth this proposition that man is causing this change and that they can reverse the trend if they tax everyone. My point is that a lot of people will die, as historically has always happened with such events. If you know what is REALLY happening, then perhaps you can take steps to deal with this real change in climate that no tax will prevent. I moved to Florida — so I follow our own model.