The Share Market & the Future


Curiousity-Question

QUESTION: As a small retail investor, what would Marty suggest to invest in if in fact we break the 23000 level on the DOW and we do in fact get the phase transition that he is talking about?  Furthermore, what would he use to profit from it?  Shares in particular stocks, futures contracts or options in the DOW index?  Lastly, if this phase transition does happen, what is the longest time frame that it would last, 12 to 18 months?

Thank Marty for all that he has done for us little guys.  He has really opened my eyes to what is going on in this world.

J

ANSWER: In 2017, I will publish a breakdown of sectors and the differences between them. Keep in mind that the bulk of the retail public are not yet back in the market. The majority keeps saying how overvalued the market is, yet a substantial amount of people are all looking to buy the dip. Trump will be very good for the US markets and economy. Reducing taxes will bring capital home and it has already resulted in a new 13-year high in consumer confidence. That is the key to the market going into 2018.

The reflection point that will tip the scales to extremely bullish will turn on confidence. What MUST BE UNDERSTOOD here is we have two possible patterns: (1) We leave 2016 as the intraday high temporarily and back off, moving to retest support into 2018, and then rally in a major breakout into 2020, or (2) we press immediately higher and complete the rally by 2018 followed by a harder crash and burn.

These are the two possible paths that are coming up and it will all depend upon the actions and tone we set in January. We will prepare a very important special report on this topic.

The Real Crisis Trump Will Face With Trade


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The entire problem with trade and jobs has been its focus on only the job and not the consumer. David Ricardo developed his principle that nations should pursue their own competitive advantages. In other words, just because I might want to be a brain surgeon does not mean that (1) I might be very good at it, and (2) that I am entitled to state protectionism to prevent others coming into the field who could expose me as second-rate.

When the collapse of socialism is in motion, people demand state benefits and assume they can just legally take. Governments have been in serious trouble and are raising taxes to try to make ends meet, but at the same time, their economies are moving into sharp declines. The greater the instability in Europe and Asia, not to mention emerging markets, the stronger the dollar becomes.

282-total-us-bal-of-trade

348-b-us-bal-trade-usTrade has always been misunderstood for the two primary elements are jobs and currency. If you do not comprehend both elements, then you cannot properly manage trade. It is always a great topic to expose for votes during elections, but quite honestly, there is nothing any politician has ever been able to accomplish but confusion and chaos. The entire protectionism of the Great Depression was set off by (1) economic implosion in Europe reduced sales to Europe, and (2) the rise in the dollar reduced the competitiveness of US goods and lessened the cost of imports. The US entered a trade deficit with the rest of America because of the strong dollar.

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The dollar soared in value as European countries began to default on their sovereign debts. Trump will face the same crisis once again. One solution will be to index tariffs to the dollar. Thus, a 10% tariff across the board would be plausible on the trade issue. However, the danger of protectionism will emerge if you pick and choose between products and fail to understand the link to the currency.

The left socialists are out in force to say Trump’s 10% on time tax on foreign held money by U.S. corporations will do nothing for the economy. EBay was looking to take over two companies to expand domestically. They had to decline because the expansion meant they would have to bring cash in from overseas and the added tax would make the deal unattractive. Yes, some companies will bring back cash and pay out dividends and buy back their own shares. Trump should also eliminate the dividend tax; thus the money would go to shareholders who would pay their one-time tax on income. This will be a far better stimulus plan than the Fed handing money to bankers in hopes that they will lend it out, which never happens. Small businesses are turned down by the bankers for more than 80% of all loans. The banks do not invest in innovation that is the mother of jobs.

think-out-of-boxTrump should impose a 10% tariff on everything, and then index it to the US dollar index. That will avoid a protectionism crisis and deal with the largest influence being the currency. The entire reason why Germany wanted the euro was to eliminate currency risk for German companies so they would not need to worry about currency swings.

We have to start thinking out of the box. What politicians have been doing for decades is always listen to only academics who never think out the box as a rule.

KOMMONSENTSJANE – OBAMA TRIPPING THRU THE TULIPS OF FOREIGN POLICY FOR EIGHT YEARS


Obama and Hillary, and the Liberals, and the socialists and the rest of the Democrat’s all thought they had 8 more years to finish off the transformation of America into a socialist/Marxist state. Trump destroyed there plan that was to take 8 years and now they only have 3 weeks left — its going to be a rough ride!

kommonsentsjane's avatarkommonsentsjane

The Horn News

There isn’t anyone left for Obama to offend except possibly the cat that shares the same sandbox he draws his line in.

Obama’s FATAL Israel mistake a win for Trump

December 28, 2016 |106 Comments

For eight years, President Barack Obama’s foreign policy doctrine has been a failure. The White House’s international actions were deeply rooted in the philosophical belief that the United States isn’t a force for good.

Friday, he took it a step too far.

Following the Obama’s shocking refusal to veto an anti-Semitic U.N. Security Council resolution Friday that called Israeli settlements a violation of international law has flared tensions between the U.S. and the Middle East’s only democracy.

In doing so, Obama opened a political window for President-elect Donald Trump to unite both his party and our country’s closest ally… all while saving American taxpayers billions of dollars.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu…

View original post 382 more words

Congress Preparing To Cut U.S. Funding to United Nations


Congress should cut the funds to zero and then kick them out of the city!

Yes, Barry, the election was about you and your failure…


Post by @tomRfernandez.

Source: Yes, Barry, the election was about you and your failure…

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Thousands Sign Petition to FIRE the Professor who Harassed Ivanka Trump


by Amy Moreno Thousands of people signed a petition to have the professor fired who hunted down and verbally attacked Ivanka Trump and her children at JFK airport. From Fox News:  The president-ele…

Source: Thousands Sign Petition to FIRE the Professor who Harassed Ivanka Trump

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‘US Democratic Party in shambles; 2 terms enough to judge Obama’s failed policies’


The vote was for Trump because he was not Obama and not Hillary and was obviously for the people. There was no politician that could have beat Trump in either party.

Dem. Rep: I Will Not Work With Donald Trump


The if they plan to obstruct Trump maybe we will just have to vote more of them out in 2018.

Israel Spokesman Says It’s Unequivocal That Obama Was Behind U.N. Resolution


There is zero doubt that Obama isn’t doing in three months what Hillary was supposed to do in the next 8 years — so there is a lot more coming.

Confiscating Gold


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The assault on gold is by no means casual. The hunt for money and the global effort to eliminate cash to be able to increase taxation is also targeting gold. All the sales pitches that gold will survive have ignored the fact that government is well aware of gold and people using it to store wealth. China has imposed gold import restrictions, and India’s demonetization and gold confiscations have provided a blueprint for other government to follow, and the success to them is that there have not been riots and bloodshed in the streets of India like has unfolded in Venezuela. Now the European Commission has also proposed tightening controls on cash and have included precious metals transfers from outside the EU. They are using terrorism as the excuse that they need to shut down that route of funding of militant attacks on the continent. It was Winston Churchill who said – “Never let a good crisis go to waste.” Indeed, our politicians in Europe remember those words and they are indeed not allowing any terrorist attack in Europe go to waste. The USA followed this advice with 911, which they took part in, creating TSA, Homeland Security, and began seizing everyone’s phone calls as in the book 1984. The EU politicians are not letting any terrorist attack go to waste and see each event as an opportunity to do things they could not do before. Gold is rapidly becoming the target of confiscation in Europe following the Berlin Christmas attack.

Reuters reported that after the attack on a Christmas market in Berlin, where 12 people were killed as a truck plunged into a crowd, was such an opportunity that could not go to waste so the European Commission proposed to tighten capital controls – specifically cash and precious metals – into and out of Europe.

Under the new European proposals, customs officials in European Union will now expand checks on cash, precious metals, and even prepaid payment cards sent by mail or in freight shipments. The hut for money is rapidly expanding. Agents will now be able to seize cash or precious metals carried by individuals entering the EU even below the €10,000 euros threshold. Cash has already been required to be declared at customs when entering the EU and in the USA it is $10,000. The new European rules would allow authorities to seize money below that threshold “where there are suspicions of criminal activity.”

A friend in Germany tried to send €200 as a gift to their father and the government demanded they prove where the money came from. EU officials are claiming recent attacks in Europe were carried out with limited funds. Indeed, are we talking about buying food while hijacking a truck, which cost nothing?

The plan included virtual currencies such as bitcoin, and prepaid cards, which French authorities said were used to fund the bombings. Under this new proposal, even holders of prepaid cards would have to show some form of identity when they make payments of €150 euros or more. The question becomes why include precious metals? You cannot pay for a room with gold coins or but food. You have to convert that to cash and when you do all sales or purchases are already reported.

This is the covert hunt for money. We will be providing a detailed report on additional issues that are arising which will significantly impact your investment strategy moving forward. Will all these restrictions send even more money fleeing to the United States