What is next years goal?
This scenario has become common over the past few years and I’m afraid will become more common yet!
No surprise here!
Finally, the Dow made new highs in the face of constant calls for a crash. This past week, in a horse race we would call it a trifecta where the Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500,and the NASDAQ all made new record highs. This sent a bunch of analysts to look again and began to proclaim that this was the first time that all three major indices have reached new highs on the same day since 1999. They then look at the charts and pronounce that the 1999 rally lasted only until 2000 and then crashed. Of course that was the DOT.COM Bubble and there was a massive wave of retail investor in the market back then compared to today.
There really is nothing similar whatsoever to this latest pronouncement. As always, people will try to reduce everything to turn upon a single reason. Here is a chart of the S&P500 and the crash of 1998, which was the Long-Term Capital Management debacle and the fall of Russian debt.
The market again peaked exactly to the day of the ECM back then. However, the crash was 58 days and then in 32 days the market rebound to the former high. Note that the there were three lows with the last and final low creating a Slingshot move, As I have warned, these type of moves are the most powerful and very necessary to propel any market to new record highs. You simply must trap the majority on the wrong side of the trend,
The DOT.COM Bubble was the last great capital inflow from around the world. Both Europeans and Asians were pouring money into the DOT.COM Bubble – it was by no means a local event. This move was the classic Phase Transition. However, when we look at that in terms of the Euro (which we recreated using the same formula extending back in time), we get the same Phase Transition rally
We do not see a stark difference between the patterns in dollars as we see in euros. Hence, this attracted foreign capital creating an explosive rally which we call the Phase Transition.
Now, when we look at the current position of the NASDAQ both in dollars and euros, we see something different. In dollars we made the new highs. However, when looking at this is euros, we do not yet see new highs being made. As always, things are not always as they seem to the local observer.
So the last magic formula going around was the 9 day consecutive decline which was supposed to lead to a crash. OOPS. Here might be another brilliant observation.
This is the list of panics I discovered in the library at Princeton University. I simply added the period of 224 years from 1683 to 1907 which yield 8.615 as the common frequency dividing that period by the 26 events. I did not expect this to produce events to the day. The mere fact that events would happen precisely to the day as they did in 1981, 1985, 1987, 2001, 2002, and 2007 just to mention a few, beat the odds that this was somehow just coincidence or dumb luck. It has been fascinating discovering how this frequency has dominated history from ancient times to the present.
From the collapse of the Roman Monetary System to just 8.6 years or six wave creating 51.6 years intervals like the collapse of the Roman Follis. It is fascinating to say the least that such a calculation has been so powerful throughout nature, humanity, and destiny.
Nevertheless, by dumb luck, this list of Panics was international and not relegated to a single isolated country. With 1683 for a start, that was the financial panic that disrupted Europe for the Ottoman invasion of Europe with the attempt to take the capital of Europe, the seat of the Holy Roman Emperor in Vienna. So where this calculation began, obviously included was as well.
Re-Posted Aug 14, 2016 by Martin Armstrong
This week, a German cooperative savings bank in the Bavarian village of Gmund am Tegernsee with less than 10,000 in population, announced it will begin charging retail customers to hold their cash starting in September. This will apply to accounts greater than €100,000 euros. This means the bank will charge customers 0.4 percent, which amounts to a direct pass-through of the current level of the ECB’s negative deposit rate. After speaking directly with banking sources, what is happening is that cash is flooding into German banks from around Europe just to park avoiding the negative deposit rate. Now, the banks are starting to pass the negative rates back to the clients. However, much of this flow of capital has also been money fleeing other banks outside of Germany for fear that the euro will break and they will get Deutschemarks.
However, THE 800 POUND GORILLA in the corner of the room is Deutsche Bank itself. Rumor has it that its derivative book is 5 times the GDP of Germany. The real issue here is what happens when Deutsche Bank needs more than a banana? This is the largest bank in Germany and thus the most important bank for all of Europe even if you do not bank there. Can Germany really allow the BAIL-IN process to take place? Politically, this would be total disaster economically, politically, and for the stability of the EU itself. The theory which destroyed Cyrus and has wreaked havoc in Greece, if applied to the largest economy of Europe, will destroy all confidence in Brussels.
Does the fate of Europe hinge on the fate of Deutsche Bank? If the Germans blink, what are the ramifications that will reverberate throughout Europe? These are issues we will discuss at the upcoming WEC Institutional Session.
All I can say is the Swede’s must like the refugees more than they like their daughters, so the Swede’s are the one creating the problem by not getting rid of the politicians or taking matters into their own hands — where are the Swedish men to allow this to happen to their women they are pathetic!
Now there is one evil connection — I can image one much worse or with such bad , no horrible potential!
Any legitimate study will show that the US created ISIS with the policy’s that the administration of Obama and Hillary used in supporting the Arab Spring. There that creation was intentional or collateral damage is yet to be determined but the fact is that the US did, in fact, create ISIS ans initially arm it though Benghazi
ts hard to find a person more evil that George Soros!
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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