Category Blogger Martin Armstrong

Mar 24 2025

Jessica D. Aber US Attorney Found Dead Involved in Russia/Ukraine Case


Posted originally on Mar 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Russian Affair Jessica D. Aber

QUESTION: I think you commented that Jessica Aber was involved in a Biden prosecution scam. She was found dead after resigning when Trump won. Is there any connection?

LM

Aber Jessica US Atty

ANSWER: Yes. She was the pawn in the White House’s novel attempt to prosecute Russians for alleged war crimes in Ukraine when there was no jurisdiction whatsoever. This was a political prosecution by the Neocons for more hatred of Russians. Assuming that there was a crime, then that was something that should have been prosecuted at the Hague. Why did Jessica D. Aber of the Eastern Direct of Virginia bring this prosecution announced by the White House and Garland?

So now, does Virginia have the jurisdiction to prosecute crimes worldwide? That violates the Sixth Amendment, which prohibited the practice of the king charging you with a crime in America but transporting you to London to stand trial, where you could never call any witnesses. This is what they were doing. It was AN OUTRIGHT violation of our Constitution and International Law.

Is this a neocon-staged suicide? She was only 43. Who knows. Will we ever know the truth? Probably not.

Mar 23 2025

Interview: Global Trends by Martin Armstrong


Posted originally on Mar 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

MartinArmstrongImage

Global Trends By Martin Armstrong : ‘It’s Being Driven Largely By Underlying Economics’

Exclusive interview with Martin A. Armstrong by Matt Ehret, Piero Messina and Lorenzo Maria Pacini.

Economist Martin Armstrong speaks again with SouthFront. In his interview, Armstrong offers some insights into the main issues of the geopolitical and economic agenda…

Read more: https://southfront.press/global-trends-by-martin-armstrong-its-being-driven-largely-by-underlying-economics/

Mar 23 2025

Chile – The Outlook


Posted originally on Mar 22, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Chile_Y Peso 3 22 25

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Martin Armstrong:

I hope you are well and enjoying your front-beach house, in the Sunshine State. I ask you:

1. What is better for U.S.A., right now?
2. Is a strong U.S. Dollar or is a weak U.S. Dollar?

I look forward to hearing from you as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

Juan
Santiago of Chile.

CPNYNF Y 1784 2024

ANSWER: Potential risks in Chile include a global recession reducing demand for copper into 2026, political instability in Chile, and eventually, a stronger US dollar, making emerging market assets less attractive. While Trump wants a lower dollar to sell more widgets, the problem remains that the push for war in Europe provides an underlying demand for dollars. In addition, the EU is rushing to cancel the paper currency and move to digital as part of the capital controls that have been put on the plate. It does not matter what Trump wants for the dollar; neither he nor any country can alter the fate of the currencies, which are set in motion by many things, especially war.

In Europe, they are not about to suddenly surrender to their Marxist socialist agendas. “A New World Order With European Values” adorned the banners and signs at the World Forum meeting in Berlin. They have declared that the greatest threats facing humanity are the resurgence of populism and free speech. They are advocating silencing anyone who disagrees with them. Just amazing.

The LEFT is losing ground, so this is when they become more authoritarian. They justify themselves by saying that populist movements have victimized the people, so this also leads them to conclude that free speech must end.

This trend is dominant in Canada and Europe, and the countertrend has been Argentina and Trump in the USA. Despite Trump’s idea of a weaker dollar, the lack of common that has engulfed the LEFT, where they refuse to admit that they are ever wrong, will have a profound. impact on the next two years.

Chile’s politics will hinge on the constitutional process, economic management, and societal demands. President Boric faces a critical window to deliver reforms, but polarization and external pressures pose risks. The right could capitalize on setbacks, setting the stage for a contentious 2025 presidential election.

President Gabriel Boric (left-wing coalition Apruebo Dignidad) has been in office since March 2022. His administration focuses on social reforms, environmental policies, and reducing inequality. Challenges include managing economic stagnation, inflation, and public security concerns. The success in Argentina has the potential to become a contagion, and South America could rise as a restored economic land if it finally sheds the LEFTIST agenda that has stagnated the economy overall.

Mar 23 2025

Mt Spurr Alaska – Activity Rising


Posted originally on Mar 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Mt Spurr 1992

COMMENT: Marty, Here in Alaska, we have been put on alert that Mt Spurr may erupt soon. Your computer has been remarkable projecting these trend of rising volcanic activity here in 2025 and we are still in the first quarter. Do you have any historical analysis of Mt. Spurr?

Rob

REPLY: Mount Spurr, a stratovolcano in Alaska’s Aleutian Arc, had no confirmed historical eruptions that have been documented in human records prior to its significant 1953 eruption. However, geological studies reveal prehistoric activity:

  1. Holocene Eruptions:
    • The most recent major eruptive period occurred approximately 8,000–9,000 years ago, involving pyroclastic flows and lava dome formation that shaped the current structure of the volcano. These eruptions were identified through tephrochronology and radiocarbon dating of volcanic deposits.
  2. Late Pleistocene Activity:
    • Evidence suggests earlier eruptions during the late Pleistocene, though precise dates are less well-constrained. These events contributed to the volcano’s formation and growth.

It is under watch right now for a possible eruption. Before 1953, Mount Spurr’s eruptions were prehistoric, with no written records or observations. Mount Spurr’s prehistoric eruptions are primarily studied through geology, but their ash layers provide valuable tools for archaeologists.

The 1953 eruption of Mount Spurr in Alaska was classified as a VEI 3 (Volcanic Explosivity Index 3) event. This eruption on July 9, 1953, produced a significant Plinian ash column reaching approximately 21 km (70,000 feet) in height. However, the volume of erupted material (tephra) was estimated at around 0.021 km³, placing it within the VEI 3 range (0.01–0.1 km³).

There were earthquakes in 2004 and debris flows by 2005. That was 51 years from 1953. Since this should be fractal, I would suspect there was probably a big one around 5200 years prior. This could be building to a big one above VEI 5 by 2031/2032. It should be coming alive here of the 72-year cycle from 1953 which brings us to 2025. We may still be looking at a VEI3 or VEI4 for that would leave the door open for a bigger one by 2031/2032.

For comparison, Mount Spurr’s 1992 eruption was rated VEI3/VEI 4, with a slightly higher tephra volume (-0.055 km³) and a plume height of 14 km. The distinction underscores that VEI considers both eruptive volume and secondary factors like plume height and eruption duration. The 1953 event, while explosive and impactful, did not meet the volume threshold for VEI 4.

Understanding the VEI

Each VEI level represents a tenfold increase in erupted material (e.g., VEI 4 is 10x larger than VEI 3). Higher VEI eruptions produce taller plumes, injecting ash and gases into the stratosphere (VEI 5+ can affect global climate). More significant eruptions (VEI 5+) are less frequent but more destructive.

VEI 7: Tambora (1815) ejected 160 km³ of material into the atmosphere, thereby reducing global temperatures by -3°C, known as the Year without a Summer in 1816.

VEI 6: Pinatubo (1991) released 10 km³, causing global cooling by -0.5°C.

VEI 5: Mount St. Helens (1980) erupted 1 km³, but did not alter the climate yet it was devastating 600 km²

Mar 23 2025

British Press Call for World War III?


Posted originally on Mar 22, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

2025_03_22Heathrow_fire_is_that_an_act_of_war_

At this stage in this game of warmongering, the British press not only keeps saying that Russia trembles less at the thought of their nuclear power but is pushing the image that Britain is invincible. The latest is the electrical fire that shut down Heathrow Airport for 24 hours. There are openly speculating that this was an act of war by Putin. So, I supposed that justifies World War III and nuking Moscow. The Telegraph wrote:

But as the West has expelled so many Russian spies in the years since then, Putin now relies on unprofessional foreign gangsters to carry out sabotage attacks across Europe. Some are Bulgarian spies, as The Telegraph reported in late 2024. Others are British nationals, such as 20-year-old Dylan Earl, who admitted to burning down a Ukrainian-owned business in west London.

Perfectly reasonable. Let’s torch all of the world for an electrical fire that shut down the airport for 24 hours. Starmer can destroy Russia in seconds, so no worries; Putin is terrified of Starmer and will not be able to retaliate. Hence, the Telegraph will sell heaps of more newspapers since the British Empire will rise again.

Mar 22 2025

Martin Armstrong and Mike Campbell Discuss Global Uncertainty


Posted originally on Mar 22, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Mar 22 2025

Starmer & Macron are Insane


Posted originally on Mar 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

London Tower Bridge

COMMENT FROM LONDON: Macron and Starmer are fucking crazy; Starmer yesterday said, “Russia is scared of our nuclear weapons,” like Russia couldn’t vaporise the entire UK with three missiles ffs, headline this morning “UK could destroy 36 Russian cities with just one of our nuclear submarines,” these people are totally insane…. What the hell is their game ?

B

REPLY: I honestly do not know. They are listening to these Neocons, and they could care less if Europe vanishes as long as they take Russia with them. Putin can detonate a 100mg nuke in the English Channel from a sub, and the tidal wave will wipe out Britain entirely. I have never witnessed such complete incompetence among the pretend leaders of a nation than the crop we have in Europe right now. Of course, Putin has to now prepare for war with NATO, and I can tell you that China and North Korea will join Russia full-on.

I am so tired of the phone calls. I do not know what people expect me to say.

Yes, my son, nuke that city, say three Hail Marys and 5 Our Fathers,

and you will be forgiven?

I did not sign up to be a psychotherapist.

I am not the Oracle of Delphi

The Computer Has NEVER been Wrong. Europe Will Lose!!!

It will NOT Change Its Mind

Mar 21 2025

Why the Fed Cannot Reduce Rates to Offset Tariffs


Posted originally on Mar 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

Interest Rates Percent

President Donald Trump is urging the Fed to cut interest rates to offset the inflation that will be caused by tariffs. “The Fed would be MUCH better off CUTTING RATES as U.S.Tariffs start to transition (ease!) their way into the economy,” Trump wrote. “Do the right thing. April 2nd is Liberation Day in America!!!” Reducing interest rates will NOT offset inflation caused by tariffs because the two variables are not directly related.

Tariffs increase costs due to supply, while interest rates influence demand. When tariffs are imposed, the cost of imported goods rise, increasing prices for consumers and businesses. This cannot be offset by lowering interest rates, as rate cuts stimulate borrowing and investment rather than addressing price increases caused by trade barriers. In fact, lower interest rates can exacerbate the problem by weakening the currency, making imports even more expensive, further fueling inflation.

Historically, tariffs have led to stagflation—rising prices combined with economic stagnation—rather than the demand-driven inflation central banks typically target. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff of the 1930s, for example, severely disrupted global trade and worsened the Great Depression. Similarly, Trump’s trade war with China during his first term did not lead to any economic boom but instead forced businesses to adjust supply chains, raising costs for consumers.

Lowering interest rates in this environment offsets capital flows, decreasing confidence and weakening the purchasing power of the currency. The result is a cycle in which consumers face higher costs while the central bank loses the little control it has to manage inflation. The idea that the Fed could actually control inflation is based on outdated Keynesian economics concepts that were drafted when the US had a balanced budget. Now, most demand comes from the government itself, the largest borrower and creator of debt. This is why Jerome Powell spoke out against Joe Biden for creating the largest spending package in US history and multiplying the public sector. The government will never pay off its debts, and the interest payments on that debt alone have been astronomical.

Relying on rate cuts to counter tariff inflation ignores the root cause of the issue. The real solution lies in reducing trade barriers and not relying on tariffs to increase the demand for domestically made goods.

Mar 21 2025

Transitory Tariff Inflation?


Posted originally on Mar 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Powell Jerome

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he expects inflation to be “transitory,” a word reminiscent of America’s situation three years ago when the Fed repeatedly urged the public to underplay inflation as it would improve. Conditions did not improve, as we later learned, and the Fed will have a hard time convincing the markets that this time is different.

“It can be the case that it’s appropriate sometimes to look through inflation, if it’s going to go away quickly, without action by us, if it’s transitory,” Powell said. “That can be the case in the case of tariff inflation. I think that would depend on the tariff inflation moving through fairly quickly and, critically, as well on inflation expectations being well anchored.”

Consumer spending is crucial to the US economy. Retail spending in February increased 0.2% after declining 1.2% in January, according to the Department of Commerce, but fell beneath predictions for a 0.6% monthly increase. Total sales from December 2024 to February 2025 rose 3.7% from the same period one year ago, but growth remains minimal.

People do not spend when confidence is low. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey indicated a 10% decline in consumer sentiment this March compared to February, citing a “high level of uncertainty.”

The National Federation of Retailers stated that February sales had slowed as a direct result of tariff threats. “Consumer spending dipped slightly again in February due to the combination of harsh winter weather and declining consumer confidence driven by tariffs, concerns about rising unemployment and policy uncertainty,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said. “Unease about the probability of inflation and paying higher prices for non-discretionary goods has the value-conscious consumer spending less and saving more. But for the moment, year-over-year gains reflect an economy with strong fundamentals.”

Retail is America’s largest employer in the public sector, adding $5.3 trillion to annual GDP. One in four Americans, 55 million people, are employed through this crucial sector.

Naturally, the cost of living is causing much upheaval as people spend more on less and save what they can. It would be ignorant to say that tariff disputes do not have a direct negative impact on the economy. Powell likely coined a new term, “tariff inflation,” which I expect we will hear more frequently.

Mar 21 2025

Violence Against Tesla Owners is Outrageous


Posted originally on Mar 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Tesla 1

The radical left is extremely dangerous when angered. The intense hatred of Elon Musk has caused a worldwide pandemonium where misplaced raged is directed at Tesla owners. Tesla was once celebrated by the left for championing EV technology, and perhaps favored by those on the left. Now, we are seeing countless daily occurrences of vandalism that has become so prominent that the FBI has launched an investigation.

“Our teams are actively working on the Tesla incidents and the swatting incidents, along with our other responsibilities to keep the Homeland safe,” bureau deputy director Dan Bongino said. Attorney General Pam Bondi said there will be “severe consequences” for those found guilty of violating Tesla vehicles. The government is NOT protecting Elon here as they are desperate to protect the public from the radical left who faced no consequences the last time they attempted to burn cities to the ground.

TeslaBumperSticker

People are routinely spraying Nazi swastikas on Tesla vehicles if not outright setting them on fire. Some have begun placing bumper stickers on their vehicles, saying that they do not support Musk and drive their vehicle in shame. The left believes this should be celebrated. “The Daily Show” audience recently erupted in applause after someone mentioned throwing Molotov cocktails at Cybertrucks to oppose DOGE.

Unlike the average American who cannot afford to simply abandon their second-most expense purchase behind a home, politicians are pretending to virtue signal by giving away their Teslas. The same politicians who cheered Tesla’s climate friendly nature are now subtly urging the people to continue this madness.

Arizona Democratic senator Mark Kelly made a spectacle of abandoning his Tesla. “Every time I get in this car in the last 60 days or so, it reminds me of just how much damage Elon Musk and Donald Trump is doing to our country.” Kelly previously exchanged words with Elon over X regarding his stance on Ukraine and talks about Musk at every opportunity. “Elon Musk kind of turned out to be an asshole, and I don’t want to drive a car built and designed by an asshole,” Kelly said, stating that driving a Tesla is akin to driving a billboard for Musk.

There is a reason why Democrats are not outraged by these attacks on US citizens who are being targeted for no valid reason. I will not list the website, but someone took it upon themselves to create a map that outlines every reported Tesla owner across the US. The cursor of the website is a Molotov cocktail, and the site is urging violence against anyone who does or cannot sell their vehicle immediately.

Innocent people are going to be seriously hurt by these attacks. The right did not go around burning down liquor stores and bars amid the Bud Light scandal. When META was found to be in cahoots with the Democrats, openly interfering in the election, we did not see violence against that company or those with META accounts, for example. Conservatives did not call in bomb threats on Target stores when they were selling trans swimwear for children.

All of this is absolutely outrageous. These same deranged radicals, if employed, unknowingly have 401Ks with Tesla investments. Nearly all of the Teslas on the road were purchased before Elon Musk entered the political arena. Shame on the political leaders who do not condemn these reckless acts of violence against innocent people.