Join Kerry Lutz and renowned economist Martin Armstrong for a captivating discussion centered around the Socrates computer model’s uncanny accuracy in predicting political and market trends since 1985. Discover the model’s compelling projection of a 61% chance for a Republican victory in the upcoming 2024 election and its implications for the political landscape.
Delve into the erosion of confidence in government, potential election irregularities, and the profound impact of deviations from historical election norms. Gain insights into the influence of various political agendas, including discussions about veiled threats and the involvement of influential figures like Klaus Schwab and George Soros in funding Democratic elections.
Transitioning to market forecasts, Martin Armstrong reaffirms his earlier prediction regarding the crucial turning point in January. Explore the far-reaching effects of global capital trends on stock markets, with a focus on how geopolitical events shape investment decisions and influence various stock market indexes.
The conversation also tackles pressing economic issues, such as the potential consequences of increased taxes and selective debt default, the dollar’s reserve currency status, and the challenges faced by farmers and migration trends within the United States. Despite technical challenges, Kerry Lutz and Martin Armstrong exhibit adaptability and resilience, making this discussion a must-watch for those seeking insights into the ever-evolving world of politics and finance.
Posted originally on Jan 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Dear Martin – you often speak of CONFIDENCE in the government and there are many arrays you share that indicate confidence or lack thereof (Interest rates, Gold, Bonds, Indexes, Forex and others). All of these are open to interpretation by Socrates subscribers, and of course your respective, priceless commentary you share with us. What I’ve always wondered is if there is a Socrates array specifically called ‘Confidence in the Government’? That would indeed be the array of arrays! Kind regards. GS
REPLY: That is an idea. I warned that the peak 2015.75 of the previous wave was the PEAK IN GOVERNMENT. Ever since then, the confidence in government has been declining. We had Hillary calling everyone who voted for Trump a deplorable. Merkel opened the gates to allow the “refugees” from Syria to flood in, and they came from everywhere, which undermined the stability of the governments in Europe and prompted the vote on BREXIT. BY 2016, we learned about Hillary’s emails and the private server she set up to sell influence so that it would not be subject to the Freedom of Information Act discovery. Then she launched the fake dossier claiming Trump was a puppet of Putin, beginning the whole Russian Conspiracy scandal. Within a year, the US banned Russia Today (RT), claiming it was a foreign agent thanks to Hillary.
We monitor sentiment, and there is no question about it. Ever since COVID-19, trust in the institutions of Democracy has been visibly declining. In the past five years, the European Union’s official research bureau found that less than 30% of Europeans had faith in their national parliaments and governments. This has produced the lowest figures in years and indicates what we face heading into 2032. This means that 70% of the people distrust Brussels and their own governments. Typically, the danger of civil unrest and even revolution emerges when this falls below 30%.
When we look objectively around the world, in the West, political parties are the least trusted compared to Russia or China. Traditionally, the cornerstone of a free society is the fundamental right to remain a skeptic of government and those in power. When that is stifled, society is no longer considered to be a free society.
Revolution unfolds as people’s interest in politics grows because of events while trust in politics continues to decline. This is reflecting the very stability of a nation is being undermined by the sheer attempt to manipulate society and impose dictates from a central authority, which is precisely the same tactic under Communism that caused its collapse.
Posted originally on Jan 15, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Name: Dear Martin Re your Blog: Poland’s New Government, Pro-War, Pro-EU I kept a copy of your blog ‘Poland & Niger ‘ Posted Aug 9, 2023. along with a screen-shot of the August projected ECM for Poland highlighting October 26th as the next turning point:
FYI, it was this day that President Duda called for a new Polish parliament to convene after the October 15th elections, one to be led by former (unelected) EU President Donald Tusk. It is not a complete Left turn, more of a veering Left, as he needed to form a coalition in order to form a government.
However, Tusk’s first port of call was the European Commission, where a previously withheld grant of 59 Billion Euro was waiting for him, once Poland had complied with European Commission directives – which Tusk is keen to do. I fear for Poland’s future and fear we are being sold down the river as the next buffer in line after Ukraine has lost the next batch of 500,000 drafted soldiers.
Thank you for all the work that you have put into Socrates; its projections are amazing.
Anon
REPLY: It has been a fascinating discovery that has targeted so many things precisely to the very day. In 1985, I was called in for they were looking to create the G5, which became the Plaza Accord that set out to force the manipulation of the dollar lower to help reduce the trade deficit. I wrote even to President Reagan at the time.
I even took the back page of the Economist in July 1985 for three weeks to announce that the model had forecast that was the end of deflation, the peak in the dollar, and the low in gold. For 40 years, I have been trying to demonstrate that this model confirms that there has been a business cycle that can be projected decades in advance.
From the 1985 low in our model, which projected the peak in the dollar, the next turning point was 1987. That produced the 1987 Crash precisely to the day, and then the next turning point not only pinpointed the peak in the Japanese economy and the Bubble Top in their share market but projected the collapse of Communism as well. The Pi Target produced the day of the ERM Crisis in Europe, and then the wave ended in 1994.25, and once again, that was the precise day of the low in the US share market. That projected the shift of the capital flows, which initially moved from Japan to South East Asia. Still, the capital flows returned to the USA and Europe, anticipating the coming Euro in 1998.
I was stunned when the 1987 Crash happened precisely on that day. Because the low was the very ECM date of October 19th, 1987, I told clients that the low was in place and we would make new highs going into the next turning point, 1989.95. That forecast was also correct, even though many thought it was crazy and impossible. The banks attributed the model’s accuracy to my influence simply because my firm was the largest institutional adviser worldwide. They complained to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, who even subpoenaed me, demanding I turn over a list of all my clients worldwide and they would prove I was manipulating the world economy. I defended against them in court and won.
The next wave, #932, covered 1994.25 to 2002.85. The US share market bottomed on the precise day 1994.15; it rallied and peaked precisely on July 20th, 1998, and bottomed on 2002.85, three days after that target. This wave saw the Asian Currency Crisis as a turning point, the collapse of Russia, taking down Long-Term Capital Management, and the Pi Target produced the precise day of the 9/11 attack. So, this was an incredibly accurate wave.
I am working hard on trying to finish the book on this model. I am trying to go through the waves and to show there is a hidden order behind what people think is just this random walk theory, which was devised by people who could not comprehend cycles. As I have said many times in school, they said the economy is random so that the government can manipulate us at will – i.e., Keynesian economics. But that has failed, and I hope to get this out, documenting that the global economy is not random. Everything is connected, and we must start looking at the accuracy of this model that the New Yorker Magazine called The Secret Cycle.
It is about time we take that small step forward for mankind. If we understand how we are all connected, including climate and disease, then maybe we would stop this insane one-dimensional analysis that plagues humanity.
In this interview between Kerry Lutz and Martin Armstrong, a different format was used. Martin took questions from the FSN community, covering a wide range of topics, including the US Debt clock, gold, China’s future, inflation, interest rates, and the impact of fraud on the system.
Armstrong predicts that all governments will change by 2032, including China’s, but that the people in China are not about to go back to communism. He also warns that the inflation in the US is due to shortages caused by COVID lockdowns. The discussion highlights the need for politicians to consider the long-term impact of their actions on society and the government.
The conversation also delved into the intricacies of government, currency, and debt. They discussed the benefits of term limits in government and the success of Genoa’s system. They also explored the instability of currencies without trustworthy economies and the flaws in the euro. The conversation then turned to the potential for the FDIC to default on savings accounts and the increasing control over financial transactions, highlighting the potential for draconian measures in the face of a collapsing system.
Marty expressed his concerns about the extreme actions of climate zealots who want to shut down all fossil fuels, heating, and air conditioning. He believes that their actions could lead to a mass die-off and civil unrest, especially in third world countries where people rely on gasoline to feed their families. The discussion also covered the viability of a gold standard as a basis for currencies.
Marty argues that a gold standard cannot work due to the business cycle and the involvement of weather in the economy. He also notes that changing the political system would be necessary to implement a gold standard, which would be difficult for Democrats who rely on promises of government programs to win elections.
Finally, the meeting covered the possibility of war and the influence of neocons. Marty shares his positive impression of Trump’s desire to pull troops out of Afghanistan, but notes that John Bolton immediately opposed the idea. They both express frustration with the delusional thinking of some neocons who believe that overthrowing governments will lead to ticker tape parades and cheers from the people. They also discuss the hypocrisy of advocating for regime change in other countries while opposing it in their own. Kerry promotes Martin’s website and encourages listeners to sign up for his regular missives and private blog.
Posted originally on Dec 15, 2023 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Socrates picked up the Hamas attack, marking July as the high with a directional change, then another directional change in September before the attack, a panic cycle into November, and another directional change. The market then bounced. NBC reported that people were speculating in advance of the attack, and it may have been Hamas or the Israelis shorting the market. Socrates picked it up well in advance. Do you think whoever was using Socrates for the timing? They are starting to pick up on your theory about markets moving ahead of events on inside knowledge. You have never received credit for your discovery. That in itself demonstrates the lack of integrity in the mainstream press.
Anonymous
ANSWER: I do not know. Our model cannot say who it is. It might have been the Neocons funding an offshore slush fund as in Iran Contra or the alleged drug trafficking by the CIA. My concern is they always seem to target me and claim I have too much influence because they do not believe anything can be forecast. Just listen closely to Larry Summers. He says the economy cannot be forecasted, and if you could, it would be because of influence.
Some people would love to shut me down and destroy Socrates. That was what the bankers did, complaining to the CFTC after the Russian collapse. It does not matter. They make up schemes, and the press runs with them and NEVER looks too closely. In my case, the bank stole the money and told the government they had no idea where it was. No journalist ever asked how anyone gets $1 billion out of a bank, and the bank has no idea where it is. That much money has to be wired out, and you then know where the wire went. It did not matter how insane the allegation was; NOBODY in the press ever asked that question.
Mainstream media and Wikipedia are nothing more than the American version of Pravda of the old Soviet Union days, meaning TRUTH. Boris Berezovsky wrote a begging letter to Putin asking him to come home and apologizing for his scheme to become president. The press reported that the government claimed Berezovsky committed suicide. His bodyguard said he was killed by MI6. He was part of the conspiracy to seize control of Russia in 2000. He even called me when I refused to invest $10 billion into Hermitage Capital Management to seize control of Russia with the Bankers and Neocons.
Then, the very guy who tied Clinton together with Epstein also commits suicide and hangs himself but also shoots himself with a shotgun. They called that suicide along with Epstein, and mainstream media always looks the other way. Did he shoot himself first and then hanged himself as he was dying? Or did he hang himself and then shoot himself? Did someone hand him the gun?
Some people do not want anyone forecasting anything that hits too close to home. I’m sure they do not like Socrates’ forecast that governments will not survive past 2032. They locked me up in civil contempt to stop the forecasting. They never could prevent this model from the market and still complied with the forecasts. On the floor in 2007, which was the precise day of the high in the Shiller Real Estate Index and the very day Goldman sold its time bomb, they were calling it Armstrong’s Revenge on the floor.
The one that got me into trouble was when I forecasted the collapse of Russia in 1998 and that the stock market would make its high on the ECM which was July 20th. The London FT covered that forecast, and they were claiming it would not have happened but for me. Then the 9/11 World Trade Center attack also took place on the precise day of the Pi Target of that wave.
The ECM Pi target even picked the day Hitler was offered the Chancellorship. That was before I was born, so how did I have the influence to make that happen?
The model picked the very day of 9/11, the ERM Crisis, where Soros made his fortune.
Then there was the very day Greece petitioned the IMF for a loan, for they were broke, starting the financial crisis and the massive migration into Europe to distract from the Greek debt crisis.
The ECM even picked the precise day of the very day of the low for the 1987 crash – October 19th, 1987. All of these events were forecast, and none of them had to do with my “influence,” so it does not matter if they kill me or call it a suicide like Berezovsky of Epstein; it will not change the forecasts. Sorry, 2032 comes if I am here or not. Or perhaps I hang myself, then shoot myself with a shotgun, and they call that as usual – suicide.
In 2009, I warned that the low would be in place and the market would rally to New Highs would unfold as we rallied into the 8.6-year wave in 2015. Barrons ran a story on June 25, 2011, stating the forecast for a long-term bull market. The Dow was only 11450 – about one-third of its present value. They thought that was a funny forecast.
The number of turns following the ECM is astonishing. You cannot make up this stuff. Nevertheless, the world rejects the idea of any ability to forecast outside of fundamental guessing.
Posted originally on Nov 27, 2023 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Marty, Thank you for a fantastic conference. If it were not for your forecast that the dollar would rise and rates would rise, putting European banks in distress before the USA, you would have saved our company a fortune. I know it’s Socrates, but we still need you here.
Now that they have postponed the visa for Americans for a year, will you ever come to Europe to do a WEC?
P
ANSWER: Since the very day of the high in this ECM wave that peaks, May 7th, 2024, just so happens to be the very inauguration day for the next Russian President, I am considering having a short conference rather than a 3-day event. They are like putting on a wedding, for we have to provide all the meals and the cocktail party alone, and they charge $75 a head. Because of the importance of this turning point, economically and geopolitically, I am considering a condensed version in Europe, Dubai, or Mexico. I am working on those materials already since it raises some serious implications.
Remember that the Sovereign Debt Crisis, which has been brewing for years, is coming to a head post-2024. China has already been selling off US debt. When there are no buyers, that is when it comes crashing down.
I neglected to tell everyone who attended and those who bought the materials that, as usual, there will be a year-end report. This will be put into the portal for download.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
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