Interview: The Russia/Ukraine Story From Martin Armstrong


Armstrong Economics Blog/Armstrong in the Media Re-Posted Apr 9, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Click here to watch Martin Armstrong’s latest interview with Patrick Timpone from One Radio.

The End of Ukraine – The Cyclical View


Armstrong Economics Blog/Ukraine Re-Posted Apr 8, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty; Socrates is always amazing. I understand this forecast of war and Russia comes from the computer and you wish you were wrong. There is a video out there also saying the Bucha is a false flag even showing that people pretending to be dead in the streets with no blood and then when they think the camera passed they get up. It does seem that they are trying so hard to justify war and MSNBC is advocating America should invade Ukraine. Do you have any idea why these people just love war?

GC

ANSWER: I don’t know. It seems that these Neocons are just always trying to create wars. They can’t sleep at night without worrying about what other people are doing. My concern is that come January 2023; things will get much worse. Zelensky is a Neo-Nazi who just hates Russians and he is in bed with the Neocons and does NOTHING but try to create World War III. Zelensky has been bought and paid for and pushes the world into war so these people can implement all the tyrannical measures governments and the World Economic Forum have ever dreamed of. That’s what a real Young Global Leader of Schwab was trained to do. They will impose global digital IDs and claim that they are necessary to prevent Russian spies from infiltrating. They will also use them for rationing, especially with regard to food. They are calling for “equality” deliberately instigating race wars to keep the people divided. Then they use climate change as the excuse to impose a one-world government all because a single nation cannot win this fictional battle alone.

We are living in the midst of deliberate manufacturing of World War III, no different than every other war. Just as FDR imposed outrageous sanctions on Japan even seizing all Japanese assets and cutting off their energy supply all to compel them to attack Pearl Harbor to start the Pacific War and justify entering WWII. The US not only seized all Japanese assets in America, they then just imprisoned all Japanese even those born in America in a plain racist move. Their view of FDR was ruthless and there were even Congressional investigations into whether or not FDR deliberately created war with Japan finding it was “inconclusive” which neither exonerated him nor found him guilty. President Truman issued an executive order to withhold all evidence that the US had broken the Japanese code and as such knew in advance of Pearl Harbor. So once again, the government lied to the American people.

Then there was Lydon Johnson who started the Vietnam War, admitting we were never attacked. You can’t forget the weapons of mass destruction that never existed in Iraq or Obama’s attempt to start a war against Syria also on false flags of chemical attacks. Our leaders have NEVER told the American people the truth even just once about their constant desire to create wars.

Putin will most likely regroup and dig in taking the Donbas. Zelensky has no intention of peace talks for if he actually agreed to let Crimea and Donbas go complying with the Belgrade and Minsk Agreements, then there would be no reason for any sanctions against Russia which Washington will not support. This is a dog and pony show as always, and Zelensky will do everything possible to create World War III for they need to defeat Russia and China for the Great Reset.

I fear that this will get much worse in 2023, and sources in the military are deeply concerned over China’s supersonic missiles, which are a first-strike weapon that the US could not stop. If China and Russia were really seeking world dominance as the co-conspirators with the World Economic Forum, they would take out Washington, New York, London, Brussels, and Geneva in a rapid first strike before the West could even retaliate. These people want all sovereignty to be surrendered to the United Nations and thus the military power with all nukes will be in the hands of the United Nations and the deranged egotistical co-conspirators of Schwab and his World Economic Forum which is perhaps the greatest threat to human civilization. That’s why they needed a senile Joe Biden to just read the teleprompter.

Biden has destroyed the world economy, or the people writing these executive orders. There will NEVER be a return to normal. Removing Russia from SWIFT set China in motion to launch CHIPS and this is the END of globalization and world peace. Once nations are decoupled from trade, then there is no longer the worry of biting the hand that feeds them. This is simply how the co-conspirators of the World Economic Forum are planning to bring about their Great Reset. The only way to “reset” the world economy is to destroy it FIRST – then you get to BUILD BACK BETTER. These egotistical maniacs who think they can redesign the world as Karl Marx attempted, think they will terminate paper money, move to a digital currency, end black markets, and tax every transaction right down to an allowance you give your children to cut the grass each week.

However, I do not believe that they thought there would be a nuclear war. Imposing sanctions on Russia was all to create Regime Change no matter how much the handlers try to take back Biden’s declarations – “For God’s sake, this man cannot remain in power.” Biden has claimed we are headed into a long hard war “between democracy and autocracy, between liberty and repression, between a rules-based order and one governed by brute force.

Aside from the fact that neither the United States nor Europe lives in a Democracy when we only vote for “representatives,” which is a Republic, Biden proclaimed in Warsaw that “we must commit now to be in this fight for the long haul.” This is a major shift and it will only end implicitly by defeating Russia and China in their mind. This is the INTENTIONAL creation of World War III no different than FDR crushing Japan with sanctions to force them into war.

It is clear that the sanctions have only one purpose – Regime Change in Moscow. Not only has Biden constantly called Putin a war criminal and moved to try to initiate proceedings to prosecute Russian perpetrators of war crimes in Ukraine, but he has closed the door if not slammed it shut ending any possible resolution or restoring communications on a respectful basis. There is no question that the US and Europe are aiming to get rid of Putin and then Xi. Governments are failing unable to issue bonds continually, and they need this New World Order to shift the burden to the United Nations to govern the world.

Putin is NOT Stalin for Stalin would have used hypersonic nukes by now. Putin is NOT on their agenda but he now understands where this is all headed. The outrageous sanction Biden imposed on Putin right down to his children is uncivilized and intentionally directed at creating Regime Change. There are Neocons in Russia and China and they are screaming for war. Remove Putin and you will get the followers of Stalin seeking to even the score.

Even Hillary Clinton compares Ukraine to Afghanistan and believes they can defeat Russia by a combination of attrition in Ukraine and sanctions on the Russian people – not just the government. Hillary and the Neocons believed a political crisis in Moscow is possible, comparable to the one that dissolved the Soviet Union. However, they fail to comprehend that the abuse of always attacking Russians and their culture has turned the Russian population not against Putin, but the West. While we do not judge all Germans to be Hitler, or Italians to be supporters of Mussolini, when it comes to Russians, the West hates them as a people and attributes Stalin to all Russians who were never even Russians and his #1 was Polish. They seized Russia and turned it authoritarian against the dreams of Lenin.

Putin is not some Middle Eastern despot who they could topple, promoting the Iraq War and the Arab Spring. Russia has been assaulted on an individual level, and Russia does possess weapons of mass destruction. They have the largest arsenal of nuclear warheads in the world. No doubt, they too have chemical and biological weapons just like the Americans.

Those who proclaim that Ukraine must win seem to forget that the worse things go for Russia in conventional warfare, the higher the probability rises that Putin will respond with serious weapons. Ukraine may not have been inside NATO, but NATO trained the Ukrainian army. Putin now understands that and has suffered serious losses due to the weapons that were handed to Ukraine against the Belgrade Agreement of Neutrality.

China’s supersonic missiles can take out the United States faster than it can respond. The Belgrade Agreement of 1991 was supposed to ensure that Ukraine would remain neutral. The 2014 Minsk Agreement was supposed to allow the Donbas to separate as its own independent republic. It has been Zalensky who has sought to overturn both – not Putin.

Zelensky promised to reduce the tensions with Russia, for even CNN said back in 2019 that “Ukraine has been locked in a proxy war with Russia for five years, and the conflict has claimed around 13,000 lives in the country’s east.” Of course, now nobody will report the truth that the United States has been fueling this civil war in Ukraine all to stab Russia in the gut – the hated enemies of the Neocons who see all Russians as Stalin.

Interestingly, the Kremlin was hopeful that Zelensky would end the proxy war of the United States against Russia. His predecessor, Poroshenko, was seen as pro-war. In fact, CNN also reported that Russia was optimistic. They wrote:

“There are chances to improve Ukraine’s interaction with our country,” Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said on Facebook. “What is needed for this? Honesty. And we need a pragmatic and responsible approach.

CNN further reported that Maria Zakharova, the spokesperson for the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, had suggested Kyiv could actually change the direction of the country. CNN quoted her saying“With all the understanding of how the world works behind the scenes, I’ll still say: Ukraine can go for a reset.”

CNN also reported that the polls were very high at that time for anti-Russian sentiment in Ukraine.

It has been no secret that Ukraine is one of the top 10 most corrupt governments in history. Since 2017, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has been demanding reforms, which have never really been implemented.  Just here in 2022, Zelensky has said that the IMF should now take into account the war and release money. Zelensky keeps asking for money from everyone he sees and there are deep concerns that the money people are sending to Ukraine to help the Ukrainian people never helps anyone other than corrupt politicians.

If anyone wants to donate money to Ukraine, ONLY send it to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC). Even I am getting texts from Ukrainian politicians asking me personally to send money, meaning they have my phone number.

As the Tribune Reported: The IMF had agreed to a $5 billion standby arrangement with Kyiv a year ago. $2.1 billion of that was disbursed quickly, but subsequent tranches have been withheld. The IMF is demanding progress on judicial and legal reforms, guarantees of central bank independence, and an end to heavily-subsidized energy prices. Other lenders, including the European Union, have also made new credits contingent on reforms. The United States has also criticized the pace of reforms. Ukraine is just hopelessly corrupt, and changing the head of state will NEVER clean house.

Zelensky believed that goal here of the US and its allies is to overthrow Putin. In his mind, Zelensky tried to attack targets inside Russia hoping that would force Russia to be more aggressive, and in turn that would bring in NATO. Zelensky has been doing everything he can to avoid peace and escalate the conflict. Those that think this will force Putin to resign are flirting with real danger. Putin is the most RESTRAINED of the top guys in power in Russia and removing Putin will guarantee World War III for the others clearly understand this is really a “TOTAL WAR” with the United States as the Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has stated and the Ukrainians are just cannon fodder.

Zelensky is happy to sacrifice his own people for the agenda of the World Economic Forum. He has even supported attacking the Russian language but also Zelensky has been proposing the draft Law of Ukraine No. 7204 of March 22, 2022 “On Banning the Moscow Patriarchate on the Territory of Ukraine”, published on the VR website. Zelensky is doing everything he can to create war with Russia. Zelensky has supported the Ukrainian Nazis who have even bragged that they feed the bones of Russian-speaking children to their pet wolves and has called this guy a hero.

Then there are those who merely dismiss the risk of World War III preferring to overlook this stark reality that this is a Neocon war against Russia that will then turn against China backed by the World Economic Forum. They seem to think that threatening China with the same sanctions will prevent them from joining Putin. They are counting on China being stupid and assuming they will continue as normal if Russia falls. They know they will be next.

Back during the Cold War days, NATO surmised that it could not even hope to win a conventional war with the Soviet Union. That was why NATO relied on tactical nuclear weapons as a deterrent to prevent Russia from marching into Western Europe. Putin knows that today there is no chance of winning a conventional war with NATO and it too relies on nuclear weapons. Putin was NOT interested in conquering Ukraine. His mistake was being soft and his historical view that Kyiv was the mother country. The hardliners view that Putin has been soft and should have aggressively wiped out the Ukrainians. The danger will be any Regime Change in Russia and that may just wipe out the plans of the Neocons in league with Schwab.

The Kremlin has already made the argument that such an attack upon Russia is underway and this was deliberately using the civil war in Ukraine to compel Putin to defend the Donbas when he knew it was funded by the United States as always with their Proxy wars. The Russian foreign ministry has made it very clear: “Such statements from the American president, unworthy of a statesman of such high rank, put Russian-American relations on the verge of rupture.” Biden is clearly engaging in the typical Neocon rhetoric of DEMONIZING your opponent.

The Kremlin has described the comments as “personal insults” against Putin. Indeed, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov took aim at the sanctions the United States and other countries have imposed on Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine, saying he believes that the West has declared “total war” on Russia and he is correct. Nikolai Patrushev, secretary of Russia’s Security Council, stated on Feb. 21, that “in its doctrinal documents, the United States calls Russia an enemy” and its goal is “none other than the collapse of the Russian Federation.” On March 16, Putin stated that the West was waging “a war by economic, political, and informational means” of “a comprehensive and blatant nature.

Russia will regroup and move to defend the Donbas which was the original goal, and Zelensky has acknowledged that he will not try to invade Donbas thereby leaving Biden’s sanctions never-ending and thus destroying the world economy. Zelensky refuses to relinquish the Donbas or Crimea, and by doing this, he will prolong the sanctions against Russia and hope Russia just collapses while using his own people as cannon fodder. But our models point to January and April of 2023, and it appears that there will be a resurgence of war in 2023. We will be doing a special report on this, for it does not look to be a bright future beyond 2022. The US Neocons indeed declared outright war on Russia and they understand that Ukraine is just cannon fodder for sport.

It is up to Ukrainians to Save the World by removing Zelensky from Power and simply releasing the Donbas & Crimea. Only that will stop the Neocons from this global assault on all our lives.

Counter Move, Hungary Will Pay for Russian Energy in Rubles if Russia Asks


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 6, 2022 | Sundance

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban was overwhelmingly reelected last weekend {LINK}, despite the massive efforts against him by the European Union, western and euro-centric multinational globalists.   Brussels was furious at the Hungarian people.

The European Commission responded to the election by announcing they would fine Hungary €5 billion {LINK} for not following the ideology of the collective New World Order and western democratic norms.  The EU intent is to punish Hungary for perceived transgressions against the European order.

Delivering another blow, while pushing back against the EU, Western Alliance and NATO today, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said Hungary will purchase Russian energy in rubles.  With the overwhelming support of the Hungarian people behind him, Prime Minister Orban is not going to be kowtowed by Brussels pressure.

BUDAPEST/LONDON, April 6 (Reuters) – Hungary said on Wednesday it was prepared to pay rubles for Russian gas, breaking ranks with the European Union which has sought a united front in opposing Moscow’s demand for payment in the currency.

Hungary will pay for shipments in rubles if Russia asks it to, Prime Minister Viktor Orban told a news conference on Wednesday in reply to a Reuters question.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned Europe it risks having gas supplies cut unless it pays in rubles as he seeks retaliation over Western sanctions for Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

[…] Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto earlier said that EU authorities had “no role” to play in its gas supply deal with Russia, which was based on a bilateral contract between units of Hungarian state-owned MVM and of Gazprom.   The European Commission does not comment on declarations from national authorities, a spokesperson said.  (read more)

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Twitter Suspends Former U.N. Weapons Inspector for Questioning Ukrainian Government Claims of War Crimes


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 6, 2022 | Sundance

A quote attributed to George Orwell states, “In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth will be a revolutionary act.”  It appears that quote was considerably prescient as Big Tech and the U.S. intelligence apparatus collaborate to retain their narrative.

Former U.N. Weapons Inspector Scott Ritter has been suspended from Twitter for questioning the transparently sketchy circumstances around Bucha, Ukraine.

Regardless of your position on the Ukraine -vs- Russia conflict, the larger concern is the manipulation of information in an increasingly totalitarian era. The entire premise of democracy, speech and open debate is being undermined by the collaboration of tech platforms and the U.S. intelligence apparatus.

In this era of new “democratic norms”, trust in the institutions of government has collapsed.  As social media platforms increasingly align their efforts with those collapsing institutions, the battle for your mind carries deadly consequences.  Think, while it is still permitted.

Joint Chiefs Chairman, General Mark Milley, Sees Ukraine as a Long-Term Protracted Battle


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 5, 2022 | Sundance

April 5, 2022 | Sundance | 152 Comments

In the lead-in to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, all of the U.S. involvement in the country was operated by bureaucrats and politicians from the U.S. State Dept, CIA, Intelligence Community and Senate.  The Pentagon played a far lesser supportive role.

As a consequence of that previous investment, the current U.S response to the Russian “special military operation” has been spearheaded by the same DoS officials, intelligence agencies and politicians.  The Ukraine engagement is a political operation using NATO and western allies.   As we saw in the Afghanistan withdrawal, the Pentagon is a tool for the politics.

The division between the two interests (Pentagon vs State Dept) surfaces most quickly and easily when things SNAFU, and the blame casting begins. That’s when the division becomes noticeable to the public.  The important point to remember is this… despite the involvement of NATO in the current Ukraine response, it is not the Pentagon calling the shots, it’s the state dept.

Earlier today, Army Gen. Mark Milley, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told the House Armed Services Committee “[Ukraine] is a very protracted conflict.”  Milley anticipates many months, if not years, of combat fighting inside Ukraine as Putin carves out the eastern side of the country permanently.

According to Milley, “I think it’s at least measured in years… this is a very extended conflict that Russia has initiated. I think NATO, the U.S., Ukraine and all of the allies and partners supporting Ukraine are going to be involved in this for quite some time,” he said.  The nature of Milley’s remarks outlines what will likely become an insurgency/proxy war funded by the United States for years against Russia.

As much as JC Milley is a political figure, Milley is operating his role under the assumption and direction of what the State Dept is creating.  As a consequence of that long-term conflict prediction, the Pentagon is recommending several new rotating military bases for U.S. troops in eastern Europe.

It is also critical to recognize what is not being said by those same DoS and U.S. intelligence officials.  The absence is deafening. What is not being advanced is any discussion of a diplomatic resolution or negotiated settlement.  Milley’s defense request is predicated on a position that no diplomatic solution will be advanced.  This is a key part of both General Milley and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s testimony.

Ukraine cannot fight without the United States sending money and weapons.  Combine that with Austin and Milley’s statements about Ukraine, and what you quickly see, albeit undiscussed in media, is that a long-term war is baked into this cake.  The United States will not allow Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to enter negotiations with Vladimir Putin.

When we review western media statements about Putin not willing to enter “peace talks” with Zelenskyy, keep the testimony from Milley and Austin at the forefront of your mind.

Why would Putin enter any negotiations with Zelenskyy, knowing the U.S. position is to carry out a long-term insurgency war in Ukraine against Russian military forces?   What would be the purpose of Putin talking with Zelenskyy when the U.S. is openly saying the Ukraine military will be used by the State Dept. to maintain a conflict against Russian forces?

Russian President Putin knows the only group he could negotiate with are in the United States.   However, that truth would expose the puppet strings, so the United States government must play the pretend game.

The position of Volodymyr Zelenskyy as a puppet to the U.S. State Dept and Intelligence Community interests, is inherent in the Pentagon position.  If Zelenskyy was free to make decisions, Austin and Milley could not be so assured as to put a timeline on the Ukraine conflict.

This context becomes increasingly important as we look at how the media are positioning all resources to support a protracted war.  Anyone who is not 100% pro war in Ukraine, for whatever length of time the DoS/IC determine is needed, is immediately cast as a Putin apologist.

This war emanated from the bowels of politics via U.S. political influence in Ukraine to the extreme.  This level of U.S. involvement in Ukraine ultimately triggered Putin to say enough, and he started the “special military operation.”   In many ways the operation is not so much against Ukraine – but more against the U.S. involvement in supporting Ukraine against Russia.

Because it started from political origins, the Ukraine conflict will continue to be run from the nerve center of U.S. politics, the U.S. State Dept, the U.S. Senate, and CIA operations.  The actual Pentagon involvement will be transport and logistics for State Dept military operations.

Do you remember when the DoS Benghazi mission was attacked, and the Pentagon had no idea there was even a U.S. operational mission taking place in eastern Libya?  That same “Operation Zero Footprint” disconnect is what I am describing above.  It’s likely the Pentagon has very little idea what the State Department and CIA are doing in Ukraine right now.

This context is also why the propaganda around Ukraine in the United States has been so critical and important.  We will see this level of propaganda continue so long as it is the DoS/CIA running the western response to the war.

What makes this conflict a little more interesting, is the need for the U.S. to control the information.  We have seen the initial first phases of their control with Big Tech saying they will not permit anything that does not follow the official U.S. government narrative on social media.

Additionally, the State Department launching their own cyber-control division is an extension of this same intent.  They are planning for the long-term usefulness of Ukraine as a proxy battle against Russia.

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Websites like CTH, who talk honestly about the background of what is happening in Ukraine, may eventually need to start using coded language in order to share information.  There are trillions at stake, and the people who control the events are not going to permit too much exposure.

Bucha – the False Flag to Cross the Rubicon


Armstrong Economics Blog/Ukraine Re-Posted Apr 5, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

We are crossing the Rubicon but this time it is not to free society from a corrupt Senate, it is the Corrupt Senate determined to create a New World Order by destroying everything familiar about the society we now know. As always, it is difficult to separate truth from sheer hatred that has engulfed the world thanks to Zelensky and our insane President Biden. The DOUBLE STANDARDS are so in-your-face corrupt that it is hard to ignore comparing Vietnam & Ukraine.

A suburban avenue in Bucha became one of the first graveyards in Russia’s attempt to encircle Kyiv in the face of Zelensky’s refusal to negotiate in good faith. The Russian tanks and armored personnel carriers moved through the town of Bucha on their way to the city of Kyiv. The convoy was destroyed in one of the first of many Ukrainian ambushes that stopped the Russian advance. While Zelensky points to civilian casualties, he takes no responsibility for arming civilians and telling them to first professional Russian soldiers.

Biden on Monday called for a war crimes trial against Putin following reports of the mass killing of Ukraine civilians by Russian troops in a suburb of Kyiv. Of course, there is no proof that this is just not another false flag by Zelensky who is determined to destroy the world for make no mistake – this is the end result.

Biden yelled: “He‘s a war criminal,” when asked about the reports of Ukraine civilians being slaughtered allegedly by Russian troops in Bucha, which sits northwest of Kyiv, the Ukraine capital. Biden added: “This guy is brutal and what’s happening in Bucha is outrageous and everyone’s seen it.” Biden WANTS TO TAKE THE WORLD INTO WAR WHERE MILLIONS WILL DIE. He is pushing for war, never peace, with every breath he takes. “I think it’s a war crime,” Biden said. “He should be held accountable.”

“You may remember, I got criticized last month for calling Putin a war criminal,” Mr. Biden said. “Well, the truth of the matter is you saw what happened in Bucha. This warrants him — he is a war criminal.”

Calling Putin a war criminal is outrageous. The same standard could have been applied then to President Johnson simply be he too authorized the Vietnam War of fake news. The Mỹ Lai massacre was the mass murder of unarmed South Vietnamese civilians by United States troops in Sơn Tịnh District, South Vietnam, on March 16th, 1968 during the Vietnam War. They were UNARMED and were not ambushing Americans. Between 347 and 504 unarmed people were killed by U.S. Army soldiers.

The difference there was that the Mỹ Lai massacre victims included men, women, children, and infants. Some of the women were gang-raped and their bodies mutilated, as were female girls as young as 12. Twenty-six soldiers were charged with criminal offenses, but only Lieutenant William Calley Jr., a platoon leader in C Company, was convicted. Found guilty of murdering 22 villagers, he was originally given a life sentence but served three-and-a-half years under house arrest never went to prison, and had his sentence then commuted.

Biden wants now the US to invade Russia, capture Putin, and put him on trial in International Criminal Court which the US refuses to join so no American can ever be tried for a war crime. The list is endless for all the war crimes by the United States in Afghanistan. Iraq, Lybia, Syria, and Pakistan, but the US will NEVER allow any American to be tried for a war crime. The American press will not tell the truth about how the US exempts itself from war crime allegations and trials. This has added to the image of the United States is seen as arrogant and hypocritical.

Biden’s demands to try Putin as a war criminal is now the final straw. This means there will be NO World Peace. Biden is out to commit American genocide to commit American troops brainwashing them that they are fighting for some noble cause. This is all about destroying our world so he and Klaus can BUILD BACK BETTER and achieve their New World Order. You cannot BUILD BACK BETTER until you destroy everything first.

Was Bucha a FALSE FLAG EVENT? There is little doubt that we will NEVER know the truth because Zelensky and Biden have guaranteed that this will be the battle cry to destroy the world. It is very convenient – too convenient if you ask me. The talk behind the curtain is that Biden will require a digital ID when he implements food rationing as part of our necessary war against Putin.

Zelensky’s hatred has now set the world on its course. I warned that he would be the man to create World War III. Our computer targeted Ukraine as the spot where it would begin back in 2013. I wish these things were just my opinion for there would be a 50/50 chance I am wrong. We have crossed the Rubicon – the point of no return. Our models for the Decline and Fall of the United States we published back in 1985 was that it would begin cyclically with the 46th president. Hello – he is here!

Sri Lanka Inflation and Food Crisis Results in Widespread Social Chaos


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 4, 2022 | Sundance 

I have stated for the past year ‘the absence of food will change things‘.   The inflation and food affordability crisis has now surfaced in Sri Lanka. Global media is paying attention, even sending out warnings about what this might represent for other nations.

Sri Lanka has a debt to GDP ratio of 120%, approximately the same as the United States.  However, Sri Lanka does not have the benefit of their currency being supported as the global trade currency; therefore, the debt and domestic inflation rate are directly tied together.

The rate of food inflation in March has exceeded 30%…. the absence of the public being able to afford food has now surfaced and the government is collapsing.  Read the news from Sri Lanka through the prism of what could happen in U.S. cities if we lose the dollar as the global trade currency.

(Via Reuters) – Reuters Breakingviews) – Sri Lanka’s collapse is front of mind for many. Protesters fed up with crippling shortages of essential food and fuel items are on the streets, prompting multiple members of Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa’s cabinet to offer to resign late on Sunday.

Social unrest will probably accelerate a restructuring of some $44 billion of international sovereign debt. Though Sri Lanka’s problems follow years of mismanagement, its speedy unravelling is a warning to sturdier economies from Europe to Asia suddenly grappling with a spike in the cost of living.

A current account crisis read more has intensified after the West fired its sanctions bazooka at Russia as punishment for its invasion of Ukraine. Rolling blackouts and a state of emergency are frightening away remaining tourists, a crucial source of foreign exchange. Food inflation hit an eye-watering 30.2% in March.

The currency’s 40% depreciation against the U.S. dollar in one month, including a central bank managed devaluation, is blowing out leverage ratios: Public debt estimated by the International Monetary Fund at 120% of GDP is perhaps some 40 percentage points more than might be deemed sustainable, guesses Citi.

[…] It’s a reminder of the political implications of high prices. Prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, few Asian countries had consumer inflation in double digits. The standouts were Sri Lanka and Pakistan, whose Prime Minister Imran Khan on Sunday dodged a no-confidence vote and called fresh elections. Poorer countries are more vulnerable to surging global food prices because their populations spend more on food than discretionary items. (read more)

Food inflation in Sri Lanka reached 30%…. things start immediately collapsing.

Consider the recent projected rate of food inflation in the United States (wave 2, this summer):

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Ukraine President Zelenskyy Makes a Broadcast Appearance at the Grammy Awards


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 3, 2022 | Sundance

It was February 24, 2022, when Deputy National Security Advisor Daleep Singh appeared at the White House podium to announce the official U.S. strategy for Ukraine.  Singh boiled down geopolitical power to a cultural issue of social likeability when he said, “In this century, strategic power is increasingly measured and exercised by economic strength, by technological sophistication and your story – who you are, what your values are.”

Singh stated the quiet part out loud.  The White House views “strategic power” through the prism of social influence and likeability.  Within that approach pop icons are used as influencers and ambassadors, and Hollywood is the quintessential State Department tool.

So, it does not come as a surprise to see the U.S. government promoting the propaganda behind President Zelenskyy on the Grammy Awards broadcast. {Direct Rumble LinkWATCH:

Unfortunately, once you see the strings on the marionettes, you can never return to that moment in the performance when you did not see them.  Notice how Zelenskyy talks in short metaphors and soundbites for encapsulation and distribution.

That script was written for him to deliver by the same performance artists within the U.S. Department of State and intelligence community.  It is 100% constructed propaganda intended to support the ‘strategic power’ mission as outlined by Deputy National Security Advisor Daleep Singh.

These are the same people who created “#BringBackOurGirls” and “#KonySurrender” as strategic narratives intended to sway popular public opinion. This performance was made for a gullible television audience. There is nothing wrong with seeing through the scheme.

The harder they push this propaganda; the more people wake up to the manipulation.  It’s a vicious cycle.  The more desperate they become, the harder they push the propaganda.  It’s one of the structural flaws that always exists in these operations.  You are not crazy for noticing it.  Trust your instincts.

Sunday Talks, Ukraine President Zelenskyy on Face The Nation With Margaret Brennan to Outline War Crimes in Ukraine


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 3, 2022 | Sundance 

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy appears on CBS with Margaret Brennan to discuss the current status of the conflict in Ukraine.  One of the interesting sentences is at 01:34 of the video: “The clips that we have shared with you, you have seen for yourself.” This statement is about the latest video snippet used by western media to frame the status of the conflict.  The video clip was the lead on CNN with Anthony Blinken {SEE HERE}.

The video noted reportedly shows civilian bodies in the streets that were killed during the conflict in the city of Bucha, northeast of Kyiv.  Two points about this specific area for context.  First, this was the area where the well discussed 20-mile convoy of Russian equipment was stationary for several weeks.  Second, remember the free weapons that Zelenskyy/Bidenskyy gave away to any civilian who wanted to fight? The main distribution was in this area.

As we might expect, Mrs. Brennan is well rehearsed for maximum dramatic flair – this is another of her moments in the sun, selected to conduct the interview by the DoS/Intel apparatus. Elocution, phrasing, tone all rehearsed for audience impact. Unfortunately, what CBS creates is George Clooney trying to be Richard Burton.  WATCH:

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None of our Ukraine analysis is intended to create sympathy for the position of Russia.  Ukraine is a battleground, and its sovereignty was invaded by Russia. None of that is disputed.  Unfortunately, the ordinary Ukrainian people are cannon fodder within Ukraine as the proxy region for a larger conflict between U.S. government interests, NATO and Russia.

The U.S. has been exploiting Ukraine for well over a decade.  The money the U.S. has funneled into Ukraine in order to create, influence and preserve U.S. interests, has only increased the corruption within the political system in that country.  There are no good guys here, only lesser bad guys.

It is from that geopolitical perspective that all western media constructs should be evaluated for the weight of the intended propaganda.  The actual amount of control Zelenskyy holds over the Ukraine military response is unknown.  The scenario this represents creates a larger problem when trying to figure out what is actually taking place.

It is highly unlikely that Zelenskyy holds any control over the ultranationalist factions within eastern Ukraine, like the Azov battalion.  It has become increasingly clear; those eastern Ukraine military units are funded by the U.S./NATO and receive more support from western allies than from the central government in Kyiv.

Much like the U.S. supporting the Taliban in Afghanistan during their fight against Russia, so too is the U.S. supporting factions within Ukraine in their current insurgent fight against Russia.  Zelenskyy has no influence or control over this, and it shows in the weird dynamic whenever he makes an appearance.  We can debate how much of the Ukraine military is under Zelenskyy’s control.  My guess is very little, but the reality of the U.S. operating as the guiding hand is a ground reality clearly visible.

Ukraine is to the United States as North Korea is to China.  As we have well documented on a granular level, Chairman Kim is held hostage by Chairman Xi. Now we see a similar dynamic, Comrade Zelenskyy is held hostage by Comrade Biden.

If you look at Zelenskyy’s position more as a public relations figure, a front man for the U.S. operation in Ukraine, then much of the weirdness starts to make sense.  From all appearances, the U.S. State Dept/CIA provide Zelenskyy with the framework they need him to promote, and Zelenskyy has no option right now other than play along.   It can be argued this outlook makes Zelenskyy a puppet, but when you consider the scale of influence and in country activity the U.S. was controlling prior to the Russian invasion, his current status is simply a logical outcome.

As to the actual logistics of the conflict and the strategy of Russia, the actual location of troops and places of conflict all make sense if you think about the original statements by Vladimir Putin about his intentions for this “military operation.”  Putin is going to carve out eastern Ukraine exactly as he said he would.  How much of eastern Ukraine he intends to control is unknown.

From that perspective, knowing the western alliance was likely to supply supportive weapons into Ukraine from Poland, the strategic deployment of Russian forces northeast of Kyiv would then be considered a proactive positioning against a western-aided offensive.  Keep the supplies of the enemy in check while conducting operations in the east and south where the primary objective is taking place.

If Putin is now working to finalize the regional elements of his carve out, moving those troops out of Western Ukraine, northeast of Kyiv, now would appear to make sense.  In this carve out approach the key Ukraine city would likely become Dnipro.

Putin’s generals would want to surround the eastern Ukraine military combatants under the command, control and support of the U.S. and western military alliance.  Pushing northward from the south, and southward from the north, while using supply lines from the east (Russia) taking Dnipro would be very strategic (see map below); and it is over 1,200 miles from any direct NATO supply and logistical support.

If, as many intellectually honest observers have always believed, Putin never intended to take more than eastern Ukraine, all of the areas west of Kyiv would now have exhausted their usefulness.  Putin kept NATO Commanders Bidenskyy and Blinkinskyy from creating large supply lines into eastern Ukraine, and now Putin gets more detailed in his targeting operations and fortifications.

As NATO Commander Bidenskyy might move to create supply convoys from Poland directly toward the west, the Russian air forces will now deploy to target their movements.  It will be very risky for NATO to move mass weapons eastward, as they would be very vulnerable to air assaults.

Sunday Talks, U.S. Secretary General Blinken Outlines Civilian Horrors Northeast of Kyiv


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 3, 2022 | Sundance

Comrade Secretary Blinken appears on State Dept outlet CNN to discuss the atrocities that have taken place in Bucha, a town northeast of Kyiv, where U.S and western allies armed Ukrainian citizens in an effort to thwart the Russian army’s southern advance.

Secretary General Blinken is shocked, horrified and mortified that footage would emerge from Ukraine state media reportedly showing civilians lying in the streets amid the aftermath of regional war.  John King’s ex-wife asks Secretary General Blinkenskyy what it means to see Russian forces withdraw from west of Kyiv and also questions about the U.S. sending tanks and heavy weapons into Ukraine as the fortifications and battlelines shift to central and eastern Ukraine.

If you wonder why she’s asking the State Dept and not the Defense Dept., you have not been following the evolution of U.S. conflict in the past two decades.   The State Dept and CIA now organize the U.S. conflicts (Libya, Egypt, Sudan, Yemen, Syria, Afghanistan, Venezuela et al) and tell the Pentagon where to go.  If the Pentagon secretary of war is reluctant to participate, the DoS use NATO Supreme Allied Commanders to conduct the missions (see Libya).