My Letter to President Trump – March 2020 – Dawn of COVID Lockdowns


Posted originally on May 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

ArmstrongEconomicsLogo.AEGlobalLogo

President Donald Trump                                                                                     March 19, 2020

White House

1600 Pennsylvania Ave, NW

Washington, DC 20500

Dear Mr. President,

As an economist with a proven track record, I have been called in by former presidents, world leaders, and central banks around the world during crises since 1985. I was summoned for help during the 1987 Crash. I was perhaps the first American analyst to be invited by the central bank of China and flew to Beijing during the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis. I have testified before the House Ways & Means Committee. Major political leaders have been guest speakers at our World Economic Conferences, not merely Margaret Thatcher, but your friend Nigel Farage spoke at our Rome Conference in May 2019.

All of the economic stimulus packages will not save the day as long as the people have lost confidence in the future. There must be serious out-of-box solutions, for the catastrophic economic damage the health organizations and media have created is unimaginable.

It is true that if we all stay home every day and just watch TV we can beat the common cold. The damage these people have done when there are less than 200 deaths compared to over 1 million people who die in car accidents each year makes one wonder why we do not prohibit cars. Nearly 500,000 die of smoking each year, why do we allow tobacco companies to continue operating? There are costs that must be weighed and the losses these people have created by yelling fire in a theater is staggering.

The damage that has been done by the CDC in sacrificing the entire economy for a virus, which is minimal compared to the flu, and has already peaked in China and South Korea, amounts to yelling fire in a crowded theater. They have undermined the world economy and the amount of people who have lost jobs worldwide is staggering.

Students and young voters work in restaurants as servers. They have lost their jobs by closing restaurants unnecessarily. They are excluded from the bankruptcy laws and are saddled with worthless degrees that do not guarantee jobs. Most students end up in professions that have nothing to do with their degrees. There is no degree to be President, a Senator, or a Congressman. Student loans should be forgiven if they cannot find a job in which they have a degree. This will force reform in the education system to only offer worthwhile degrees. All student loan payments should also be suspended for the balance of the year.

You should now look at imposing a 9-month moratorium on mortgage and business loan payments, and suspend all interest accrues during this period. There will be a risk of a flood of foreclosures unless we look realistically at the damage this has created. Negative interest rates only destroy the bond market as evidenced in Europe since 2014.

The economy must be supported, but not by handouts that the average person will not spend because they have no confidence in the future. We must look at the small businesses and the average person. They account for 70% of the economy, not big business.

All you need to look at is the Excess Reserves at the Federal Reserve. The banks will not lend money, for they have no confidence in the future. The banks will only park the money at the Fed. There is no amount of money you can throw at the bankers that will ever reverse the economic decline.

I am asking you to request Senate Hearings on this crisis. You will find there are plenty of researchers around the world who are seriously questioning what has been taking place and the advice you have received from the CDC who seek authoritarian powers.

Sincerely,

Martin Armstrong

CC/Tomas Philipson Chief Economic Advisor

CC/ Steven Mnuchin Secretary of the Treasury

CC/Jerome Powell Chairman Federal Reserve

CC/ Mitch McConnell Senator

CC/ Kevin McCarthy, Steve Scalise House of Representatives

Ep 3363b – [DS] Empire’s Grip On America Has Failed, We Knew This Day Would Come, Dead-Chicken Strat


Posted originally on Rumble By X 22 Report on: May 27, 2024 at 7:00 pm EST

Steve Bannon’s Explosive Rant: Conservative Leaders Lack the Balls to Save the West


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: May 25, 2024 at 06:00 pm EST

Steve Bannon Warns: World War 3 is Closer Than Ever with Terrifying New Battlefield Tech


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: May 25, 2024 at 06:00 pm EST

Bannon Exposes Plot: RINOs Scheming to Steal GOP Nomination from Trump and Push Nikki Haley as VP


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: May 25, 2024 at 06:00 pm EST

Steve Bannon Predicts Violent Revolution in Britain if Technofeudalism Takes Over


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: May 25, 2024 at 06:00 pm EST

President Trump Sends Message of Support for Cryptocurrency


Posted originally on the CTH on May 25, 2024 | Sundance 

This is interesting. Only a very small segment of the U.S. electorate seemingly understands the ramification of a dollar-based central bank digital currency (CBDC) for the USA. There is also evidence the Russian sanctions were created as the starter fuse for the CBDC process.

WASHINGTON DC – […] Crypto-friendly legislation moving through Congress in the last two weeks drew a surprising level of bipartisan support, surfacing household names such as Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi as unexpected allies, while suggesting that crypto skeptics like Sen. Elizabeth Warren may soon be isolated on the issue.

[…] Republicans who were already aligning themselves with the crypto world are leaning into the embrace even further. Former President Donald Trump is increasingly pledging to support the interests of digital asset traders, and he’s starting to accept campaign contributions in crypto. (MORE)

Please Keep this in Mind from MARCH 2022:

“The Order directs the U.S. Government to assess the technological infrastructure and capacity needs for a potential U.S. CBDC in a manner that protects Americans’ interests. The Order also encourages the Federal Reserve to continue its research, development, and assessment efforts for a U.S. CBDC, including development of a plan for broader U.S. Government action in support of their work. This effort prioritizes U.S. participation in multi-country experimentation, and ensures U.S. leadership internationally to promote CBDC development that is consistent with U.S. priorities and democratic values.”  (WHITE HOUSE)

That announcement was less than 2 weeks after Russia moved into Ukraine.

The Role of Grandparent Vanishing from Society


Posted originally on May 24, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Family

I discussed how the rising costs of childcare surpass the cost of rent by 25% to 50% across the United States. The cost of raising a child is directly reflected in the birth rate crisis we are seeing across the world. Another new phenomenon is permanently altering the family structure as a result of economics – the absence of the role of grandparents.

Unlike countless animal species, humans were designed to survive well past child-rearing years. Only a few animal species, such as elephants and whales, undergo menopause, and not so coincidentally, these species rely on shared wisdom passed down through the generations for survival. Men begin to decline in testosterone around the same time that women go through menopause, and while they can continue having children throughout their life cycle, men are wired to be less likely to compete for mates later in life. Grandparents served an essential role in the family structure.

Elderly Parent

The nuclear family has always been supported by the extended family. Older generations helped to care for the younger generations, passing down priceless knowledge. Younger generations had the ability to then care for the elderly. Tens of thousands of years of evolutionary biology is no longer the norm due to economics.

Simply put, most grandparents are still working to survive. I will speak from the US perspective, but this phenomenon is happening throughout the world. Over half of families (53.3%) were dual-income earners in the United States as of 2019. A recent survey found the average age of retirement is between 61 to 64, up from 57 in 1990. The current cost of living will require most to work far beyond this age for survival. Social Security will go bust, and hardly anyone outside of government employees will receive a pension. A comfortable retirement is hard to obtain for the average person.

Additionally, children are less likely to support their parents as they age for cultural and financial reasons. We saw nations like China fining young people for not caring for aging parents. Individualism is favored in our societies, and the youth throughout the world is geared toward starting a new life in the cities away from their immediate families. Younger generations notoriously have less saved for retirement compared to earlier generations due to the high cost of living, and many are unable to financially care for sick and elderly parents because they lack the resources. Life expectancy is slightly declining, but we are living far longer than past generations.

Since grandparents are preoccupied working, the parents are placing their children in daycares rather than with grandparents. That once essential role of the grandparent is less prominent in modern societies. The public education system rather than the family is passing down knowledge, or the knowledge they deem appropriate.

multigenerational.households.USA_

Could the extreme increase in the cost of living revive the multigenerational family structure? Pew Research has found that multigenerational homes, “defined as including two or more adult generations (with adults mainly ages 25 or older) or a “skipped generation,” which consists of grandparents and their grandchildren younger than 25,” are now rising in America. Around 59.7 million Americans lived in multigenerational homes in March 2021, compared to 58.4 million in 2019 before the pandemic. Yet a large cause of this shift is an increase in Asian and Latino immigrants, who account for a higher proportion of multigenerational households.

Around 10,000 Baby Boomers will turn 65 every day from now until the pivotal year of 2030. Estimates believe that there will be a 50% increase in the number of seniors living in nursing homes full-time by 2030. The Washington Post found that 10% of seniors 85 years of age or older now live in retirement homes unless they are working in US Congress.

The role of the grandparent was essential throughout all of evolutionary biology. Women had the opportunity to enter the workforce, and now, it is mostly a mandatory obligation due to living costs. Both parents are working, as are the grandparents, and the children are being partially raised by daycares and the school system. The role of the grandparent is vanishing from our society as a direct result of shifting economic and societal norms.

Childcare Costs Exceed Rent in the US


Posted originally on May 24, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

12 year old kids

Bloomberg released a damning report that explains how childcare costs exceed the average price of rent in the United StatesThis does not factor in the various costs of raising a child, as it merely looks at the cost of sending them to daycare. The true reason we are seeing a birth rate crisis across the world comes down to economics.

Over half of families (53.3%) were dual-income earners in the United States as of 2019. That figure has been steadily rising over the years, and we will see more parents re-enter the workforce amid the cost of living crisis.

The US Department of Agriculture completed a study in 2017, before we were wiped out by inflation, stating that it would take around $233,610 to $306,924 to raise a child in the United States. Brookings Institute found that costs from birth to age 17 would total around $310,605. Expect to pay more.

Child Care Aware of America, a nonprofit, found that child care costs exceed the average rent payment by over 25% on average, but can topple 50% of the average cost of rent in at least eight states. The study found that childcare costs alone, not the overall cost of raising a child, consume 10% of a married couple’s income. Childcare costs spiked to $11,582 per child last year, marking a 3.7% increase from the year prior.

Three million kids are expected to lose childcare benefits this year now that COVID benefits are not available. America is the only advanced nation that does not offer paid maternity leave thanks to lobbying efforts. Statistics show those who have the least have the most kids, and parents expect the government/taxpayers to pay for those costs.

The birth rate declined by 3% in 2022 from the year prior, marking the lowest fertility rate on record. There were 3.59 million new births in 2023, the lowest since 1979. The only demographic seeing a rise in births are women over 40 (13 births per 1,000 women), as couples simply do not have the funding to bring children into this world. If they want to combat the rapidly declining population, they must look at the finances involved.

Free Vodka and Beer for the Homeless in San Francisco


Posted originally on May 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Suicide

California is a socialistic cesspool of failed policies that funnel money through inefficient charities. I recently reported that the state, which boasts the largest homeless population in the United States, failed an audit that found nine agencies misused $24 billion in government funds intended to combat homelessness. Now, new reports state that San Francisco alone has been spending $5 per year on alcohol for the homeless.

The “managed alcohol program” states that it aims to keep homeless people physically dependent on alcohol out of jail or the hospital systems by providing them with “controlled doses” of beer and vodka. The program apparently has only served 65 clients, but the public sector has found a way to spend an astounding $5 million annually on a bar tab for the homeless.

The audit I originally referenced found that all of California’s efforts to combat homelessness have miserably failed. In fact, homelessness has shot up by 56.7% since 2015, when a number of these programs were first implemented. It’s almost as if these non-profits could not survive if they were to actually focus on recovery and rehabilitation efforts instead of fueling addictions.

Video Player

These people are not receiving medical care, and yes, alcohol withdrawal can be fatal but these individuals are simply receiving free drugs funded by the state in order to boost California’s homelessness problem. It would be akin to giving free lines of credit to people with gambling addictions – utter nonsense.

So, while families struggle to afford food and healthcare, Pelosi’s city of San Francisco is prioritizing the money pit that is the public sector. America’s public sector is multiplying under Biden-Harris and there are countless useless agencies spending our tax dollars on worsening our communities for profit.