Sunday Talks, Allianz Group Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian Emphasizing Inflation is Not Transitory – Inflation is a Consequence of Embracing The Great Reset


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on November 28, 2021 | Sundance | 126 Comments

FULL Analysis Below Video:

Allianz Group chief economic advisor, Mohamed El-Erian, is one of the few financial pundits who understood President Trump’s purposeful economic agenda inside the America First policy {Go Deep and Go Deep}.  However, El-Erian also has to maintain his Wall Street credibility and, like most financial pundits, has to pretend not to know things when the emperor’s new clothes -Biden economics- are being discussed.

El-Erian uses the lingo of the club as he walks carefully in the shadow of his Wall Street allies, and he has to avoid the 800lb gorilla in the room and ignore there are other newly surfacing mechanisms available to the government in their approach to inflation.  In this interview El-Erian does emphasize that inflation is not transitory, it is only going to get worse as long as the Federal Reserve keeps printing money to keep up with the massive and ongoing Democrat spending programs.

When El-Erian says the Fed needs to take their foot off the accelerator, he’s talking about how the Fed policy right now is purchasing debt (Quantative Easing) and printing money to keep up with legislative spending programs.  He knows the Biden administration will not stop this approach, they are committed to the Build Back Better program, and as a consequence El-Erian knows inflation will continue in direct proportion to that ‘demand side‘ activity.  But he cannot call it out directly – he can only say inflation will continue.

All of the Wall Street pundits know the Fed cannot hit the brakes (raise interest rates and stop purchasing debt) or else this entire manipulated economy (even on a global scale) will collapse; as El-Erian says “plunge into a recession.”  It is a tenuous house of cards the current Wall Street crew is betting to remain in place due to the ideological politics (Green New Deal, Build Back Better, etc ).

In my opinion, the executive suites of Wall Street also know the new COVID variant Omicron is an attempt by the global market manipulators to put an tenuous emergency brake on the demand side in an effort to slow inflation and get people to drop pitchforks.

None of the financial pundits will admit the true intent of the narrative behind the Omicron variant.

We can debate the origin and ideological intent of the COVID virus, vis-a-vis controlling populations via passports etc; however, it is clear at this point that COVID is being exploited as a new tool in the global economic control toolbox.  If money -global economic control- was not the motive behind how SARS-CoV-2 is being used, we could not predict the timing, methods and approaches of government to each COVID narrative and evolving variant.

Globally, the various governments and central banks have been pumping out massive amounts of money; spending into oblivion and then buying back their own debt.  Currencies around the world are being devalued and this is the root of inflation.  The U.S. has spent and pumped more than most, because we benefit from our currency being attached to the global trade system.

Almost all global trade is made in dollars, so our currency is propped up globally.   This artificially inflated value allows the U.S. congress to deficit spend like crazy, and the Fed to purchase the debt via bond sales.

This one-sided benefit is why OBL targeted the World Trade Center.  This artificial system is also why Biden can claim the U.S. GDP is the only economy growing during the pandemic.

The U.S. dollar is essentially being subsidized by global markets.  However, the downside to all of this dollar printing means our rate of inflation (currency devaluation) is higher than other nations.   The world is experiencing inflation from their internal monetary policy, but our inflation is higher than average.   As a consequence, the people in control of various governments need the tool of Omicron, but our government needs it more than average.

The elites inside the World Bank (WB), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Economic Forum (WEF) are using Omicron as a short term tool to control inflation by trying to use it to control demand.  The politicians who receive their instructions from the entities in control of these institutions are all following the program.

It is more important for our government to use Omicron than all other governments because we are the spending center.  That is why we are seeing a much bigger emphasis upon it by our government; and that is why the descending levels of variant emphasis all fall in line depending on how closely they are aligned as allies.

♦ When it comes to COVID panic – Canada, the U.K. and Australia are globally akin to New York, New Jersey and California domestically.

♦ What Florida is to COVID panic inside the U.S.  –  Japan and India are to COVID panic globally.

Panic responses from spending allies are being emphasized.  Non-panic responses from lesser spending friends are being ignored.

That is exactly what we are seeing.  The vaccines are a shiny thing.

On a geopolitical level – China, Iran and Russia (adversaries on an ideological level) know what is happening, and to the extent they can drive inflation even higher, they will because they know these massive increases in costs hurt the U.S. disproportionately.   This is why OPEC is giving Biden the middle finger on his ‘request’ to increase oil production, and that is why China is now triggering shipping quarantines.

Hope that makes sense.

Melbourne, Victoria Rising Up Against Tyranny


Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest Re-Posted Nov 27, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Sensing Biden Inflation Weakness China Hits U.S. Supply Lines With Shipping Cargo Quarantine


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on November 27, 2021 | Sundance | 168 Comments

When you are at war, you target the enemy supply lines.  A cunning move by the smart Panda targets Joe Biden’s domestic inflation vulnerability.

Beijing can see Joe Biden under internal political attack caused by massive domestic inflation.  China also knows Biden is weak strategically, handcuffed by the leftist demand for climate change / energy policy, and Beijing can see the administration trying to deflect from the consequences of their economic and energy policy.

After the U.S-China summit, used by cunning panda to size up the potential for backlash, anything China can do to further gain dominant position is now just a matter of easy chess moves on the board of dependency.

Business Insider – China’s strict COVID-19 quarantines are making it difficult for ships to change crews, contributing to lags in the shipping process that could worsen the supply chain crisis.

The country has a zero-Covid policy and is imposing ever more stringent containment measures as it tackles its latest wave of outbreaks. On Halloween night, for example, 30,000 people were locked inside Shanghai Disneyland after just one COVID-19 case was detected. And in the northern city of Shenyang, arriving overseas travelers face a 56-day quarantine.

Now, the export hub is imposing mandatory quarantines of up to seven weeks — around 49 days — for Chinese seafarers returning from overseas, Bloomberg reported. These take place in designated facilities and are typically paid for by the employers, according to information posted on various China shipping websites.

The country has also banned crew changes for foreign seafarers, the media outlet reported. Even ships that had their crews changed out elsewhere need to wait before they can enter Chinese ports, Bloomberg added. (read more)

The team behind Joe Biden are playing checkers while Xi Jinping is playing chess.

This is the reverse scenario to how President Trump played the leverage game with Beijing.

Donald Trump saw China as the dependent nation in the geopolitical game of economics.  Beijing needed access to our markets more than we needed the Chinese products; and Trump treated them that way.  However, JoeBama sees the U.S. economy as dependent on China, and from that perspective Xi Jinping has the leverage.

Biden will acquiesce to the demands of the panda mask, and the red dragon wants the Trump tariffs removed.  Team Xi will now hint that supply chains might speed up again if Trump era tariffs are removed, and Biden will give in because all his policies make him the dependent.

Place your bets.

Orwell’s 1984 Prophecies


Armstrong Economics Blog/Corruption Re-Posted Nov 27, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Very Interesting DOJ Inspector General Finding, CRS Officials Recently Gave Applicants Access to Main Justice Database


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on November 26, 2021 | Sundance | 115 Comments

This report from inside the Dept of Justice Office of Inspector General is very interesting; not just because of the ideology and agency attached to the issue they investigated, but also because of the recent timing this year – [ie. while the Rittenhouse and Arbery cases were being conducted.]

The essential summary of the OIG issue is that someone inside the DOJ Civil Rights Division; someone in charge of the secretive internal agency known as the Community Relations Service (CRS); gave access to the computer database of Main Justice to employment applicants for the CRS. [OIG Report Link]

We have tracked the CRS activity for years {Example Go Deep}.  The core ideology of the CRS is virtually unknown to the public.  The activists who apply for employment positions inside the CRS have one ideological outlook in support of radical elements like NAACP, Black Lives Matter, ANTIFA, and other social justice causes.  There is no other ideology in the agency of the CRS. Advancement of radical race-based agenda is their mission within the DOJ.  That reality is well beyond dispute.

As a consequence, anyone applying for a job with CRS would have a very specific purpose.  The motive for CRS leadership, to give a CRS applicant access to the Main Justice database potentially exploiting the entire federal Department of Justice, can only be looked upon as purposeful.  Think of this “misconduct” like giving BLM, Antifa, ShareBlue, NAACP or the radical elements of the DNC access to the Dept of Justice files:  [September 8, 2021]

The DOJ-CRS is the least known quasi-legislatively approved agency within the justice department.  The CRS is the Community Relations Service, and is a very secret division within the DOJ civil rights unit.  The activity of the CRS is rarely discussed, but essentially the agency is authorized to reach into any national event, investigation, court proceeding, local, state or federal, and modify/guide the proceedings under the auspices of maintaining national racial harmony.

“The Community Relations Service (CRS), a component of the Department of Justice (DOJ), serves as “America’s Peacemaker” for communities in conflict by mediating disputes and enhancing community capacity to independently prevent and resolve future conflicts.” (read more)

We followed the CRS in the Trayvon Martin case and watched them in real time organize the NAACP, New Black Panthers, Dream Defenders and AME church network.

We watched in real time as the Eric Holder led Federal Department of Justice, dispatched a team of federal agents, led by Thomas Battles, to block the Sanford Police Department and demand the resignation of Sanford Police Chief, Bill Lee.

Federal agents were doing this. The CRS feds organized the marches, coordinated the marches, facilitated the marches and yes, paid for the marches,…. to deliver what exactly?

Yet, almost the entire country has no idea what the DOJ-CRS activity consists of.

We originally began highlighting the work of the DOJ Community Relations Service (DOJ-CRS) over a decade ago as a result of several racial issues which surfaced after Barack Obama was elected.

The recent Christmas parade attack in Wisconsin was a worst case scenario for the federal officials who shape American racial views for political control.  That is why we are seeing such extraordinary efforts to tamp down the story, and that’s exactly the reason why local authorities said they would not provide any further press conferences after the one organized by the CRS at 1pm on the day after the attack.

If the races were reversed, there would be press conferences every six hours three times a day with updates.  There would be dozens of subsidiary human interest stories on national television sharing, highlighting and emphasizing every granular aspect of the horrific attack by Darrell Brooks.   There would be satellite trucks outside the hospitals and officials giving updates every few hours.

If the races were reversed, the white man who drove into a crowd of black parade goers in retaliation for a jury decision would be front and center of every news story, broadcast and panel discussion for weeks.   However, when any attack falls into the elements of control by the CRS, the story disappears quickly.  This is all coordinated by the DOJ-CRS, and yet few people know about them.

Race is used as a political tool by those who control the levers of power in the U.S. government.  Victims and perpetrators are defined according to how the dividing narrative fits their effort for political value. The progressive group deep inside the CRS are also called “the federal peacekeepers“, because they organize the nuances within the division to protect the system from outcomes they essentially create.

The CRS watches, and in many ways facilitates, politicians and federal officials stirring up racial strife.  The CRS supports cultural Marxism. However, when the inevitable violence surfaces, the CRS must control the backlash.   [NOTE: The CRS only activates when the minority supported group attack the majority non-supported group.]

The DC system operators have used racial division for their own benefit for decades; however, the federal ‘peacekeeper’ deployment has been refined, updated and refreshed with the advent of technology and social media.

The CRS primarily focuses on clouding, obfuscating and hiding motives from violent race-based attacks.  They will take a small innocuous possibility and expand it into the larger talking points if that helps to deflect attention away from the real racial motive of a violent attack by a black suspect.  The CRS primarily activates when the protected minority group attacks the majority group; their mission is to provide cover.

The CRS stands aside when national media and politicians push a false narrative that benefits their objectives.  When a NASCAR garage pull down rope is falsely promoted as a noose, the CRS just watch and do not refute the claim.  When Kyle Rittenhouse is wrongfully accused of being a white supremacist, the CRS do not get involved, they just watch and do not refute the claim.  These examples advance the objectives of the cultural Marxists and are therefore not impeded.

However, when a protected and supported racial minority group attack the majority group with a motive based on race, the CRS quickly jump into action.  That is the specificity of what they do, and the CRS have broad power and authority to carry out their operations because they are aligned with one side of the political continuum.

The CRS use allied media to shape their control over their defensive justifications and narratives.  The CRS also have a massive network within the faith-based community that act as partners for their mission.

The African Methodist Episcopal church (AME) is a major partner for the CRS in their objectives.  Their relationship goes back to the civil rights era, before the CRS was corrupted for unilateral political benefit.  There is also a large network of nationwide community activist groups who are part of the CRS rolodex.  The federal peacekeeper reach is massive and, because of the cultural sensitivity they use as a weapon, it is virtually unchallenged.

You can read about some specifics of how the CRS operates in the example of the Sanford, Florida protests {go Deep}.

The DOJ-CRS giving applicants access to the DOJ database is the same type of “mistake” as the FBI contractors unlawfully using the NSA database to assist in opposition research against the campaign and presidency of Donald Trump; which is to say, it wasn’t a mistake.

Turn off the TV


Armstrong Economics Blog/Media Re-Posted Nov 26, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

An image is circulating online that shows how the mainstream media has garnered viewers over the past 20 years. The three pillars of rhetoric are logos (logic), pathos (trust), and ethos (emotions). The media has been using all three of these persuasion tactics so that people are too afraid to look away from the TV as they may miss “breaking news” on the next disaster.

They prey upon our emotions (ethos) with fabricated narratives and stories. They prey upon our trust (pathos) with fake experts chiming in on every crisis and journalists pretending they still stand as unbiased, ethical providers of information. Logic (logos) has been completely undermined as independent thinking or questioning the mainstream narrative is now a criminal offense. The media wants you to be afraid to control your thoughts. Remember who controls the media.

Turn off the TV. Seek out the truth independently.

Shipping Container Price Surge Will Result in Increased Prices on Consumer Goods


Armstrong Economics Blog/Inflation Re-Posted Nov 25, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) announced that we should expect consumer prices to rise 1.5% on average over the next year due to the global shipping crisis. Inflation, fuel increases, and labor shortages are among the many factors that have caused shipping costs to spike. “UNCTAD’s analysis shows that the current surge in container freight rates, if sustained, could increase global import price levels by 11% and consumer price levels by 1.5% between now and 2023,” the UN reported last week.

This will impact consumers throughout the world. The US could see a rise of 1.2%, according to the UN, while China may see a 1.4% increase. Less developed countries could see costs skyrocket by 7.5%. According to CNBC, as of late October, over 600 shipping vessels were parked outside of ports worldwide as they are unable to offload. The UNCTAD expects prices on electronics to spike 11.4%, furniture and textiles by 10.2%, rubber and plastic by 9.4%, and basic electrical equipment by 7.5%. Even pharmaceutical products are expected to increase by 7.5%. There are no signs of this crisis improving anytime soon.

Is Australia Preparing Concentration Camps for the Unvaccinated?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Tyranny Re-Posted Nov 24, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

(Picture: AAP Glen Campbell)

Rumors are swirling on the internet that the Australian Army is herding the unvaccinated population into “quarantine camps.” The army is not currently hunting down the vaccinated, yet, but there is a suspicious amount of funds going toward these quarantine facilities. The Guardian has reported that $130 million was recently invested by the Northern Territory into the Howard Springs quarantine camp. Howard Springs was designed as a fly-in-fly-out workers’ camp, but the mainstream media is reporting that the camps will become redundant as home quarantine pilot programs have begun. If that were true, why is the government continuing to invest in Howard Springs?

The Northern Territory hosts two main quarantine camps — Howard Springs and Alice Springs. Their website describes what those housed in those facilities have experienced:

A person in quarantine must;
  • stay in the person’s allocated room, including on any veranda space allocated to the room, unless permitted by an authorised officer; and
  • when not in their room, or on their veranda, residents must take all reasonable measures to stay at least 1.5 metres away from any other person in the quarantine facility, except for the person’s spouse, de facto partner, child or parent; and
  • wear a face mask when outside their room unless an authorised officer permits the person to remove the face mask; and
  • comply with any directions given by an authorised officer to avoid people congregating in a quarantine zone; and
  • must not leave the quarantine zone in which the person’s allocated room is located unless the person is escorted by an authorised officer, except in an emergency.
You are not able to share or hand over physical objects to residents who are not your family members. COVID-19 lives on surfaces so you must not give items, toys, food, activities, or play games like cards with people outside your family.

Quarantine facility staff will remind you about wearing your mask, staying on your veranda and physically distancing through information in your resident booklet, by sending you sms reminder texts and verbally in person if we see you are not following the Direction.

This is a horrifying abuse of power. People constantly compare conditions to the concentration camps of Nazi Germany, but this is one example that is becoming dangerously close in nature. They have not begun killing off the unvaccinated population, but they have taken away their freedoms. “Residents” at these hotels may not leave their rooms unless supervised by an authorized officer. That is much more akin to a prison than a hotel. Officers will “remind” those held hostage by their government when they are disobeying the rules. Since COVID can spread on surfaces, people are not allowed to interact with those outside their immediate family. But it gets worse. The website states that family rooms are not always available.

Facilities

Quarantine facilities need to be a safe environment for all residents and staff. The following are not permitted in either quarantine facility;
  • Cooking equipment including, microwaves, electric fryers, rice cookers, induction cookers, sandwich presses, toasters, etc.
  • Alcohol, bags may be checked on arrival.
  • Toys or recreational items such as swimming pools (plastic or inflatable), scooters, skateboards, bikes, balls and roller blades. These will be stored until your exit.
  • Visitors.
  • Care packages, personal goods or meal deliveries.
Family rooms are not always available;
  • The Centre for National Resilience is primarily single room accommodation with no internal connecting doors. There are four rooms to a shared veranda space with mattresses and/or cots provided for small children. All rooms are king single beds and have ensuites.
  • The Alice Springs Quarantine Facility can accommodate families in shared rooms, based on room availability at the time.

The poor children who are subjected to this traumatizing experience! Toys are not allowed. Visitors are not allowed. There is a chance children will be separated from their parents, guarded only by the state. Similar to a prison environment, cooking appliances are not available in these quarantine camps. Officers in hazmats suits feed their hostages three times per day by leaving the meals outside the room on the ground as another reminder of lost freedoms. Bottled water and toiletries are not available. The camps boast having limited wifi service, but it is safe to bet that online activities will be monitored. How could we allow such cruel human rights abuses to occur in plain sight? Sending millions of dollars to these camps indicates that they have no real plans to end this abuse. As the Hong Kong protesters stated to the world a few short years ago: “If it happened here, it can happen to you.”

FBI Tweets Thanksgiving Message


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on November 25, 2021 | Sundance | 189 Comments

What the FSB is to Moscow, the FBI is to Washington DC.  And the FBI is not even trying to hide it any longer.

The FBI sends their Thanksgiving Day message 2021:

(link)

There’s really nothing that needs to be said.  When agencies show you their priorities, believe them.  When institutions show their politicization, do not excuse it.

Five Senate Democrats Oppose Biden Communist Nominee for Banking Position, If Accurate She’s Sunk


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on November 25, 2021 | Sundance | 117 Comments

If the report from Axios is accurate, the nomination of communist Saule Omarova to Office of the Comptroller of the Currency is sunk.

However, this could also be viewed as an Overton window maneuver where the next radical nominated will be only slightly less communist, and thereby gain appointment.

AXIOS – […] In phone call on Wednesday, Sens. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) Mark Warner (D-Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.), all members of the Senate Banking Committee, told Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) — the panel’s chairman — of their opposition. They’re joined in opposing her by Sens. John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.) and Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.). (more)

Senator Mark Warner’s opposition is a little unusual. Perhaps this is a downstream consequence of the recent Virginia election.  Regardless, at least this is one nomination that did not get through.   So far, Biden’s economic, energy and finance policies have been disastrous for Main Street; unfortunately, that also looks like a feature not a flaw.