Germany’s Conspiracy Theory Hotline


Posted originally on May 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Conspiracy Theory

Germany has become increasingly tyrannical in its fight to combat dissenters who do not believe in abandoning nationalism for Brussels. Not only does the German government want to banish political parties who dissent from its narrative, but it has implemented a hotline where citizens may report others who spread “disinformation” and “conspiracy theories.”

The Violence Prevention Network, the Amadeu Antonio Foundation, and the Center for Applied Deradicalization Research launched  “Advice Compass on Conspiracy Thinking” (Beratungskompass Verschwörungsdenken) in 2024 as part of the “LivingDemocracy!” project. “Conspiracy theories are accompanied by lies and disinformation. They are deliberately spread to divide our society and destroy trust in independent science, free media, and democratic institutions. Conspiracy theories can lead to extremist ideologies and drive perpetrators to commit crimes and acts of violence. Antisemitic conspiracy theories are particularly often spread,” Federal Interior Minister Nancy Faeser said.

The government’s own website discusses how important it was to silence “disinformation” during the COVID-19 pandemic. The government is urging citizens to be on the lookout for anyone spreading conspiracies surrounding the war in Ukraine

Their website warns the public to look for “people in the immediate environment. Such as family, friends, or school” as they may reveal their independent thinking to the people closest to them. “Open dialogue on equal terms often seems impossible because the other person is not receptive to arguments,” the government states, warning citizens that they should report these free thinkers to authorities who are trained to combat extremism.

Secret Phone Calls.Hotline

“Those seeking advice will receive initial orientation and help in finding suitable counseling services nearby. After a confidential initial consultation, those affected will be referred to a specialized agency if necessary. In this way, we provide very concrete support to those affected and their families while simultaneously strengthening prevention efforts to protect our society from the growing dangers of conspiracy theories,” stated Federal Minister for Family Affairs Lisa Paus, who called conspiracy theories “poisonous to democracy.”

Germany calls their long-term counseling for conspiracy theorists holistic in nature, but it is a re-education and forced indoctrination program. The government does not want the people to have independent thoughts or beliefs that challenge their authority. Loyalty should lie with the government over family, friends, and classmates, all of whom could pose a threat to the government. Be suspicious of thy neighbor.

It is comical that the leftists honestly believe Germany is “finally on the right side of history” when history is in fact repeating. The economy is declining, and the nation is on the precipice of global warfare. The Germans live in fear of World War II repeating, yet, re-education programs are precisely what occurred in Nazi Germany. Schools were transformed into indoctrination centers, and textbooks were revised. Propaganda appeared in every form of media, and stern rhetoric was the primary tool that the Third Reich used to control the masses ahead of warfare. While the government’s current ideological requirements certainly differ from that of the Third Reich, the government is once again forcibly indoctrinating the people, silencing dissent, and forcing family and friends to turn on one another to protect the government above all else.

Fossil Fuel Car Ban BLOCKED


Posted originally on May 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Miami Living in cars

A month before exiting the office, Joe Biden inserted a measure permitting California to ban gas-powered vehicles by 2035. Thankfully, the measure was overturned with bipartisan support in a 246 to 164 vote, with 35 Democrats breaking with party lines to overrule the ban.

House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, R-Minn., said, “There is no reason the radical climate policies of California should regulate the entire American population and rob every American of consumer choice.”

California’s Gavin Newsom fully supported the ban. The Advanced Clean Cars II rule would prohibit ALL gas car sales by 2035, at a time when the average American cannot afford an electric car or maintenance on an electric vehicle. Beginning in 2026, 35% of new autos sold in California would have been required to produce zero emissions. By 2027, 51% of all new cars would have been electric, and that amount would have risen to 68% in 2028, followed by an all-out ban on gas-powered cars in 2035.

Evil of CO2

California does not have the infrastructure to support such a measure. The California Independent System Operator has repeatedly called for for a “voluntary energy conservation” during holiday weekends as they are concerned the power grid cannot handle the volume. California may be in the spotlight, but countless Democrat-run states were on board with the ban. Washing state, for example, had a target to ban gas car sales by 2030. Delaware, New York, New Jersey, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Rhode Island were also considering restrictions on fossil fuel car sales by 2035.

This is part of a broader globalist trend to restrict the freedom of movement, citing fossil fuels as the reason for enhanced government control. The World Economic Forum (WEF) blatantly said that private car ownership should follow the fossil fuel ban.

Goodbye car ownership, hello clean air: welcome to the future of transport,” the WEF published on its website back in December 2016. The first step is to transition cars to electric under the guise of climate change. This will cause all vehicles to be dependent on the electrical grid, which the government controls. Yet, they never planned to stop at electric vehicles. They want full control over you and where you go. It was announced at the 2023 Summer Davos that the ultimate goal is to end 75% of ALL car ownership, including electric vehicles, by the year 2050.

Schwab claimed that eliminating private car ownership could slash CO2 emissions by 3.9 billion tons per year. As a reminder, everyone flew on private jets and was chauffeured in limousines to Davos – they do not care about the environment in the slightest. There is a much darker motive at play that the public needs to realize. Free transportation will be provided in these 15-minute cities where most of the population will reside. Everyone will have a digital ID and social credit score. This is NOT about climate change — the goal is to eliminate the freedom of movement.


Thankfully, politicians in the US are beginning to wake up to the realization that the climate change agenda will not benefit their constituents. America avoided being swept into the globalist vortex the moment Kamala Harris lost the presidential election. The Trump Administration has taken numerous measures to overturn Biden-era globalist measures, such as leaving the WHO, but make no mistake that the unelected elites who control governments are eager for the world’s leading superpower to join their ranks again, and the battle against them will be ongoing.

“In The Next 10 Years They Will Have No Nighttime Power.” Dave Walsh On Solar Failure Causing Outages In Spain And Portugal


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: Apr 28, 2025, at 1:00 pm EST

Going Rogue with Lara Logan Episode 11 | The Threat Within with John Guandolo


Posted originally on Rumble By Lara Logan on: Apr 12, 2025 at 5:30 am EST

How France Pushed Nixon to Close the Gold Window


Posted originally on Apr 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

gold reserve fort knox

There is much speculation about Germany withdrawing its gold holdings from the United States. We have seen this occur in recent history. In the 1960s, French President Charles de Gaulle began challenging the U.S. dominance in the global monetary system. Gold typically flows where capital feels safe, but in this case, France repatriated its gold from the US due to political tensions.

In 1965, French President Charles de Gaulle withdrew his ministers from the Council of the EU, thereby constituting a de facto veto over all decisions, which became known as the “Empty Chair Crisis.” Several issues regarding European political integration led to the Empty Chair Crisis. There was a push at that time to create the quasi-federalization of Europe. De Gaulle believed that national governments should move towards integration. Still, he did not agree with the Commission’s attempt to create some new super-central state or a federalized Europe, extending powers of the EU beyond national borders as we have today, which Margaret Thatcher also opposed.

President Charles de Gaulle has proposed the Fouchet Plan was a plan back in 1961 to create a new grand design for Europe. Charles de Gaulle wanted to develop a three-power directorate, consisting of France, Britain and the United States. The idea was to form a new ‘Union of States’, as an alternative to the European Communities (EC). De Gaulle feared a loss of French national influence in the EC as there was a drive to federalize Europe back then.

deGaul Charles

After the failure of the Fouchet Plan and De Gaulle’s veto of the United Kingdom’s application for EC membership, the Commission attempted to move towards integration by proposing an idea that would combine the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), the European Parliament, and Commission. De Gaulle supported the creation of the CAP and favored its enactment. However, he disagreed with the Parliament’s new role, the Commission’s strength, the shift towards federalization and a central state, and the budget proposals for financing the CAP. De Gaulle made it a condition that majority voting with a right to veto must exist if France was to participate in the EC. When de Gaulle was denied a more intergovernmental Commission or voting and veto rights, the French representative left the Council of Ministers thereby creating the Empty Chair Crisis.

The Luxembourg Accord was an agreement reached in January 1966 to resolve the “Empty Chair Crisis,” which had caused a stalemate within the European Economic Community. Then on June 21, 1966, de Gaulle withdrew France in a shocking move, taking its troops from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). This decision, led by French president Charles de Gaulle, complicated relations between the U.S. and Europe amidst clashing American and Communist spheres of influence. Though France remained politically in NATO, its actions cast doubt on the organization’s future as a counter to Soviet military power and control back then.

From 1963 to 1966, France secretly implemented Operation Vide-Gousset to repatriate 3,313 tons of gold reserves from the Bank of England and the New York Federal Reserve. It took over 44 boat trips and 129 flights to export the gold back to the Banque de France. Since France converted its dollar holdings into gold, the French made out well when the dollar fell during the Bretton Woods period and lost 96% of its value against gold. France then withdrew from the London Gold Pool in 1966 after recovering its gold holdings to force the US to endure heavier losses.

France’s actions caused a gold run with nations eagerly reducing their holdings at the New York Fed. West Germany reclaimed 1,200 tons of gold. Switzerland increased gold purchases from both the US and UK, but did so more discreetly than France to avoid political upheaval. By 1971, before the gold window closed, the United Kingdom requested $3 billion in gold conversions from the US. This may have been the final move that pushed Nixon to act. The Netherlands and Belgium also began exporting gold holdings from the US at this time.

US gold stock fell from $22.7 billion in 1950 to $12 billion by 1971.  On August 15, 1971, President Nixon closed the gold window, ending the convertibility of the dollar into gold. The 1971 closing of the gold window by Nixon cut the link to gold, ending Bretton Woods.

“The speculators have been waging an all-out war on the American dollar,” Nixon declared, and to “protect the dollar from the attacks of the international money speculators” would take “bold action.”

“I have directed [Treasury] Secretary Connolly to suspend temporarily the convertibility of the dollar into gold.”

France’s actions were a catalyst to the inevitable decision to close the gold window, but not the sole cause. Yet, as we are seeing today, the primary reason that nations would like to withdraw their holdings comes down to politics. Charles de Gaulle said that the dollar was “monumentally over-privileged” and moved to hurt the USD. The incoming German government is now looking to withdraw their holdings from the US solely due to their distaste for America.

Commission President von der Leyen Coordinates EU Tariff Response with China


Posted originally on CTH on April 8, 2025 | Sundance

After previously saying her number one concern about President Trump’s tariff program was Beijing dumping all their excess products into the EU at a discount, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announces she is coordinating the tariff response with China.

Apparently, the EU recognizes the ideological alignment of support from Canada just isn’t going to be enough to pressure President Trump and retain leverage into the U.S. market.  This is quite a remarkable admission from von der Leyen all things considered.  [STATEMENT]

President von der Leyen held today a phone call with Premier Li Qiang to discuss the state of EU-China relations, as 2025 marks the 50th anniversary of diplomatic ties.

The two leaders held a constructive discussion during which they took stock of bilateral and global issues.

The President underscored the vital importance of stability and predictability for the global economy. In response to the widespread disruption caused by the US tariffs, President von der Leyen stressed the responsibility of Europe and China, as two of world’s largest markets, to support a strong reformed trading system, free, fair and founded on a level playing field.

The President called for a negotiated resolution to the current situation, emphasising the need to avoid further escalation.

President von der Leyen emphasised China’s critical role in addressing possible trade diversion caused by tariffs, especially in sectors already affected by global overcapacity. The leaders discussed setting up a mechanism for tracking possible trade diversion and ensuring any developments are duly addressed. (more)

In the 2017 – 2019 version of the same dynamic, the EU was slow to realize the Trump impact to the Chinese economy would lead to less industrial purchases from Beijing.  This dynamic pushed the EU toward recession. In 2025 von der Leyen is trying to proactively mitigate that outcome.

This coordination of response between Brussels and Beijing is happening simultaneous to the Chinese central bank beginning a rapid devaluation of their currency.  Direct subsidies and currency manipulation are the first two approaches taken by any economy dependent on access to the U.S. market.

The difference this time is the scale of the tariffs President Trump is delivering.  There’s no way to subsidize and lower currency value at a rate significant enough to mitigate a near 50% tariff impact across all sectors.  China and the EU will subsidize and devalue, but they cannot repeat their prior defensive programs to this scale.

The key takeaway from this public admission by the EU President is to note how consequential the tariffs are to their parasitic endeavors.

The EU is directly working with Beijing against American interests.

Let that alignment settle in for a few moments.

This is a Technical Study of the Relationships in Solar Flux, Water vapor and all the other Gasses in the Atmosphere, Using the February, 2025 NASA & NOAA Data


The attached report on Global Weather for February 2025 Data has charts showing the relationship between CO2 growth and Temperature increases going up since we started to accurately measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958. These Charts were created by showing CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about ~34.0% from 1958 to January 2024. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree. 

Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the actual change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is about ~.3% and may reach .5% by 2028. To even be able to see this minuscule change we had to reduce the scale of the Temperature Axis by a factor of ten.

This Chart 8 uses unaltered values from NOAA and NASA properly displayed ,and the Blue and Yellow projections are created by Microsoft Excel not me.

The NOAA and NASA numbers tell us the story of the Very Small Changes in the temperature of the planets Atmosphere As Carbon Dioxide goes up geometrically.

EU President Ursula von der Leyen is Apoplectic, Worries of Asian Product Dumping into EU


Posted originally on CTH on April 3, 2025 | Sundance

The response from the EU is exactly what we would expect to see from the end of the 80-year-old Marshal Plan.

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyden has three big concerns with the new trade/tariff reset.  I strongly suggest everyone to read the EU concerns slowly to fully absorb decades of hypocrisy now surfacing:

#1 The EU will not be able to compete for U.S. market share with 20% general tariffs and 25% auto tariffs.

#2 The EU must deploy countermeasures against the risk of losing industrial capacity and manufacturing to the United States.

And #3 The EU must defend itself against China dumping cheap products into the EU now rejected by the USA.

von der Leyen is concerned mostly about the extremely valuable U.S. consumer being leveraged by President Trump, essentially blocking exploitation from EU and Asia. The EU will not tolerate losing access to the most valuable customers in the world, Americans.

Showcasing the mindset, Ursula von der Leyen vows to take all action needed to retain U.S. customers, even if those customers no longer want her products. The USA will allow Europe access, or there will be hell to pay. I must say this is quite funny.

(Via Politico) […] Von der Leyen said Trump’s tariffs would have dire consequences for consumers and businesses that have prospered through trade with the United States since World War Two.

[…] The EU chief executive said the bloc would ready countermeasures against Trump’s latest tariff broadside, in addition to a €26 billion package responding to tariffs he has already imposed on steel and aluminum. At the same time, she vowed, Brussels will work to protect the industries most exposed.

“We are already finalizing the first package of countermeasures in response to tariffs on steel, and we are now preparing for further countermeasures to protect our interests and our businesses if negotiations fail,” von der Leyen said from Samarkand, Uzbekistan, where she was attending a summit.

“We will also be watching closely what indirect effects these tariffs could have. Because we cannot absorb global overcut capacity, nor will we accept dumping on our markets,” von der Leyen said, as the bloc braces for a flood of cheaper exports coming from China and elsewhere that will be shut out of the U.S. market. (read more)

As noted by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, all of the global trade partners would do themselves a favor if they did not react emotionally with increased countervailing duties.

The currently outlined U.S. reciprocal tariffs represent a ceiling amount levied.  The goal is to lower the tariffs to zero by eliminating all trade barriers.  If the EU raises their baseline tariffs, the only thing that happens is the U.S. side increases at the same proportion.  The higher von der Leyen goes in her tariffs, the higher the U.S. countervailing duty applies.

 

Time the Last Frontier


Posted originally on Mar 30, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Iranian_Rial M Array 3 29 25
Israeli Shekel M Array 3 29 25

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I have followed Socrates for over a year now. I was told by friends you run the most unbiased site in the industry. I greatly appreciate how objective it really has been. What I am dumbfounded by is how, with the tension now with Iran and Trump’s ultimatum to Iran, even things like this take place when Socrates projects months in advance. I don’t want the code. You were willing to give your life to protect that. Can you give us a hint at how Socrates can see things nobody else does?

A most respectful convert

MM

ANSWER: I believe that pressure is building within the system, and it is that pressure that compels people to react. The computer forecasts that pressure, not some order that Trump may or may not sign. Trump is compelled to take action because of the pressure. The computer tells us when that pressure will reach a turning point that compels a response.

We have lost the knowledge that existed before the Dark Ages. There is a mysterious force that many do not wish to acknowledge even exists because they cannot see everything simultaneously and connect the dots. I am working hard to deliver two books, which I hope will be my legacy and what I leave behind. I have tried my damndest to defeat my own computer, and I have always failed. The sequel to the movie on me, The Forecaster, may be out by May. I was asked a tricky question, understanding that the forecasts are not my personal opinion. The question was:

How does it feel to live through your own forecasts?

MA War Cycle 2011 WEC

They have been filming me at every conference since 2011. So they have recorded all the forecasts, including me standing up in 2011 and forecasting that the War Cycle would begin in 2014.


Here is the first draft of the Prologue to the book on the business cycle and the Economic Confidence Model. I am working hard to complete it.

New ECM-2025-Prologue

Gates Focuses on Europe for Net Zero Aspirations


Posted originally on Mar 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Climate Change Warming

Few know that Bill Gates heavily lobbied for the Inflation Reduction Act, which former President Joe Biden later admitted was intended to combat climate change and not inflation. Gates met with key lawmakers like Senator Joe Manchin ahead of the 2022 legislation. Another tool utilized by Gates was Breakthrough Energy, a venture fund he established in 2015 to promote net zero policies. The group recently laid off most of their employees in Washington, D.C., as Gates shifts methods for “climate” advocacy.

“We need to go from 51 billion tons of emissions per year to zero,” Breakthrough Energy stated on its website. “The only way to avoid the worst impacts of climate change is to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions from 51 billion tons a year, where they are now, to net-zero—and we need to do it by 2050. That means we need unprecedented technological transformations in almost every sector of modern life.”

Gates has every intention of continuing to push for net zero by 2050. However, Gates admitted that he needed to shift his policy amidst the new political landscape where he cannot directly influence policy. And what better way to do that than to throw money at the private sector. The focus is now on creating clean energy technology rather than manipulating public policy. Gates admitted he had to shift course because Donald Trump was revitalizing the energy sector and lifting restrictions on fossil fuels.

Breakthrough Energy and Gates are now focusing on Europe, where leaders are still on board with the Paris Accord. Instead of acknowledging that Europe’s economy is failing due to these initiatives, Breakthrough claims that key companies like Volkswagen, ThyssenKrupp Steel, Northvolt, and ACC Gigafactories are failing because Europe is not adopting clean energy fast enough.

As the website states:

“Europe is at a crossroads. In his analysis published in September 2024, Mario Draghi highlighted an “existential risk” and forecast Europe’s “slow agony” if it doesn’t radically change course to reverse declining productivity, investment, and innovation. Recent announcements only seem to confirm this dire prediction: industries are reducing production across Europe (Volkswagen, thyssenkrupp Steel); announced investments are being cancelled or put on hold (Northvolt, ACC Gigafactories), and industrial output in Europe’s four largest economies is declining, with Germany, France, Italy and Spain having recorded a year-on-year drop in the production of capital goods and consumer durables.

There is no denying it: Europe is in crisis, one in which its established industrial base is eroding while new sectors fail to get off the ground. This is particularly concerning for cleantech where Europe’s ambitions are high, but the economic realities are sobering. As the recent bankruptcy of Northvolt reminds us, even with solid industrial policy in place, it is hard to scale up in Europe. Turning this situation around will be one of the overriding priorities of the new European Commission, which has recently unveiled the Competitiveness Compass and will soon produce the Clean Industrial Deal, two new (long overdue) economic and industrial policy programs. In a volatile security and fractured geopolitical environment, with looming threats of trade wars and deepening systemic competition, European policymakers have their work cut out for them.”

The European Commission welcomes Gates’ proposal and believes it can perpetually spend to achieve net zero by 2050. I explained in another blog post how scientists have stated that this goal is IMPOSSIBLE. Moreover, the World Economic Forum has pushed the EU to create the Clean Industrial Deal (CID) through a €100 billion spending package. It is no conspiracy to point out that globalist organizations are pushing Europe into economic ruin.