Round #1 of French Elections Today – White House Concerned Macron’s Call for Snap Election Will Backfire


Posted originally on the CTH on June 30, 2024 | Sundance 

French voters will go to the polls today for the first round of a national election. Voters will be choosing 577 members of the National Assembly, the lower house of parliament, in two rounds. The first round is today, the second round narrowed to the top vote receivers will be on July 7.

This snap election was called by President Emmanuel Macron after his ruling Renaissance party was crushed in the June 9th elections for the European Parliament. The opposition party in France, nationalists led mostly by Marine Le Pen, won resounding victories in the EU election.

President Macron took a gamble to immediately call for a French snap election; the intention was to prove the “far-right” did not have much support. However, that gamble might backfire as polls show the French National Assembly could very easily flip.

Politico reports the Biden White House is very concerned that Macron might lose his ability to protect the interests of American leftists. The Clinton-Obama-Clinton operation (Charles Rivkin project) has been manipulating French politics for a long time, and the multinational corporations who use France and Germany are a little concerned. USA interests in France, which could very well extend to USA interests in Ukraine, are at stake in this risky gamble by President Macron.

WASHINGTON – […] The Biden team has been consoling itself by pointing out that Macron still has three years left on his term and that the French president wields significant power over foreign policy, which could keep some stability in U.S.-French relations. But National Rally leader Marine Le Pen indicated this week that her party may seek budgetary and other means to tie Macron’s hands on the global front.

Either way, there’s no question Macron would be a diminished figure, even if the far right gets only enough seats to have a big opposition bloc. And his comments in recent days lumping together France’s far left with the far right could leave him even more isolated for the final three years of his term.

“It’s hard to see Macron’s party being able to build coalitions, pass laws and find compromises in a way that it has in the past two years,” said Léonie Allard, a visiting fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Europe Center.

The French election is not the Biden team’s top concern right now, especially given the fallout from his debate performance, not to mention the wars in Gaza and Ukraine. But the White House is still keenly awaiting the French results, said one of the administration officials. All were granted anonymity to be candid.

The impact of the French vote could be huge, if not necessarily immediately so, former U.S. officials and other observers said. (read more)

Macron is a strangle little man.

In order to get more support from Biden earlier, Macron dressed like the scruffy UPS driver from Ukraine.

Julie Kelly The Real Hero In SCOTUS Fischer Decision


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: June 28, 2024 at 07:50 pm EST

Harrington: President Trump And Biden Debate At “The Scene Of The Crime” In Fulton County


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: June 27, 2024 at 08:00 pm EST

Comments on the Debate


Posted originally on Jun 27, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Question Your Change to Speak

COMMENT #1: Well, unfortunately, that went pretty much as expected. I actually felt bad for Joe at one point. My parents are dealing with some level of dementia, so I know how it goes. And I can’t actually be happy, because the alternates that they would swap out Joe for are as bad or worse options. Not that I love Trump, because I don’t think he is that great either. Just the better of 2 evils maybe.

It’s becoming quite obvious that the USA is in big trouble and all of the West for that matter. Heck, the whole world is in big trouble, because I do not see it being much better anywhere else. It’s about freaking time We wake up and We The People start taking over our own authorities and jurisdictions, starting with our own respective local governments. We need to rebuild this Ourselves from the ground up and not let this Cabal keep trying to take over everything.

EM

COMMENT #2: I was questioning you about the whole Hillary thing. You said they would hold the debates early to clear the way for Hillary. I was not a big Trump fan. Now, as you said on a recent blog, I think it is Trump vs. World War III. Russia has no interest in invading all of Europe, and for Biden to put out that claim shows how he should not be in office.

JM

Trump vs Biden Debate – The Setup for Hillary


Posted originally on Jun 27, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

CNN Trump Biden Dbate R

Welcome to the fix. CNN was proud to announce that this was the first debate to ever take place BEFORE each candidate was actually nominated by their respective parties. The reason for this was to set the stage for Democrats to move to replace Biden with Hillary. CNN moderators did an amazing job of being unbiased. This debate revealed that Biden struggled to speak often, and his closing argument was really pathetic. My sources have been spot on. This debate was done EARLY to allow for this to take place to replace Biden.

Some think the Democrats should go young. But the Neocons are behind the curtain, and Hillary is one of them. As I have said in various writings, they will NEVER accept anyone not a seasoned politician from Washington. One Democrat strategist told me the only question is whether Democrats will start to go public against Biden BEFORE the August convention. He also said some may be prone to start calling the White House to ask Biden to step aside voluntarily. Even Business Inside rushed to claim that the debate was a disaster for Biden. This was a setup.

Gallip Poll on Confidence 2023

This was not some slam dunk for Trump. I was told this was more about preparation to have Biden step aside, for they know he will drag the Party down with him. Look at the Gallup Poll; CONFIDENCE in Congress is at 8%. This is the same number our computer has projected Biden at. This is what this debate was all about. To put Biden on display, he did not appear on point or presidential.

Bidens Inflation

Forget all the fact-checking. The lies were so deep you needed a raft, not a shovel. Sorry, but inflation rose during the 1960s and broke the Gold Standard thanks to the Vietnam War. All the money Biden authorized for war and climate change drastically altered the economy – plain and simple. Even Fed Chairman Powell in December came out and said this spending by Biden is “unsustainable” yet every word about inflation was just a lie. Hillary is cheering and has her book and mugs already to go.

Trump vs Hillary 2024

Categories:POLITICS

The Curtain of Pretending Has Fallen – Democrats Apoplectic at Horrible Biden Debate Performance – Calls for Immediate Replacement


Posted originally on the CTH on June 28, 2024 | Sundance

Across the broad political spectrum of leftists and professional democrats, the apoplexy is consistent.  Everyone is freaking out about how terrible Joe Biden did in the debate against President Trump.

Biden was incoherent, stumbling, disjointed and generally showing all of the signs of cognitive decline the media have previously denied witnessing.  However, even the most political spin-masters on the democrat side of the spectrum will not spin this one.  The curtain of denial and pretending has fallen.  The emperor is naked; the crowd admits.

SOURCE and SOURCE ]

The number one theme being repeated by the professional left is the discussion of replacing Joe Biden with another candidate.  I suspected that was the entire reason for a presidential debate to take place before the conventions.

I have outlined my prediction for almost two years.  California Governor Gavin Newsom is certainly smiling, and there’s a reason why his aunt (in law) Nancy Pelosi, earlier gave up her leadership position to free up some time.  Keep watching.

The side-by-side of President Trump and Joe Biden was brutal for the democrats, and all of the debate structures built in by CNN to assist Biden ended up backfiring.  It was a hot mess because Joe Biden is a hot mess.

Donald Trump did great.  MAGA is ascending. The pretenses have dropped.

The meltdowns are as glorious as election night 2016.

Sad… pathetic…. all of it.

.

Brat: Nobel Laureates Expose Their Political Bias In Statement On Economy


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: June 26, 2024 at 08:20 pm EST

AOC “Squad” Member Jamaal Bowman Loses Primary Election


Posted originally on the CTH on June 26, 2024 | Sundance

Despite AOC and Bernie Sanders attempting to rally support for New York Congressman Jamaal Bowman, his rabid support for Hamas and toxic progressive behavior was rebuked by his constituents in New York City.

The election was not even close. Jamaal Bowman lost by almost 20 points. It should be noted, the Clinton machine supported his challenger, George Latimer.  Pictured below is a screengrab from the super-cringeworthy video Bowman and AOC made last weekend.

[POLITICO] –  […] Moderate Democrat George Latimer bested Bowman on Tuesday by 17 points with 88 percent of the vote in, making Bowman the first member of the Squad to lose an election since the far-left group formed in 2018.

Latimer, a challenger who ran like an incumbent, benefited from an unprecedented flood of outside cash in a primary fueled by allegations of racism and the party’s sharp divide over the Israel-Hamas war.

A leading pro-Israel group spent more than $14 million on TV ads to unseat him. And as the results rolled in, it became clear that AIPAC and its super PAC United Democracy Project had succeeded in making an example of the two-term member of Congress for routinely criticizing the Israeli offensive in Gaza.

Latimer, speaking less than an hour after the polls closed, credited his victory to building a broad coalition in the district.

“Tonight we turn a page and we say we believe in inclusion of everybody in our representation — that you are included no matter what your demographic is,” he told a crowd of roughly 500, flanked by former Gov. David Paterson and other supporters. (read more)

16 Economists Sign Letter Saying Trump Policy Will Increase Inflation – Reality Is Opposite, Here’s The Data


Posted originally on the CTH on June 26, 2024 | Sundance 

This headline article from the New York Post caught our attention because it has the familiar ring of “51 former intelligence heads” in the 2020 election.

Previously, the stacking of experts to create disinformation was used to hide the truth within the Hunter Biden laptop, which was evidence of Joe Biden’s pay-to-play schemes.  Now, the “experts” are stacked to claim Joe Biden’s economic policy is better than Donald Trump’s.

[Source]

I will ignore the article’s Freudian optic of the economist speaking at the globalist WEF event, and instead focus on the facts.  We have an actual track record of President Trump’s MAGAnomic policies to review. We heard the insufferable “inflation created by tariff” arguments back in 2017; they were all false.

Wall Street loves to shout about looming damage that will come if anyone reverses the “service driven economy” policies they rely upon. However, none of their hair on fire arguments ever materialize, because they are not accurate. These economists are politically motivated in their claims.

See below for real data on the outcomes of MAGAnomic policy as delivered in Trump’s first term.

This might be the cited data you want to bookmark for later reference.

Traditional Fascism was defined as an authoritarian government working hand-in-glove with corporations to achieve totalitarian objectives. A centralized autocratic government, headed by a dictatorial leader, using severe economic and social regimentation, and forcible suppression of opposition.

That governmental system didn’t work in the long-term, because the underlying principles driving free people rejected government authoritarianism.  Fascist governments collapsed, and the corporate beneficiaries were nulled and scorned.  Then along came a new approach to achieve the same objective.

The World Economic Forum (WEF) was created to use the same fundamental associations of government and corporations.  Only this time the corporations organized to tell the governments what to do.  The WEF was organized for multinational corporations to assemble and tell the various governments how to cooperate to achieve control.

Fascism is still the underlying premise, the WEF just flipped the internal dynamic.

The assembly of the massive multinational corporations, banks and finance offices now summon the government leaders to come to their assembly and receive their instructions.  Some have called this corporatism. However, the relationship between government and multinationals is just fascism essentially reversed with the government doing what the corporations tell them to do.

A massive multinational corporate conglomerate; telling a centralized autocratic government leader what to do; and using severe economic and social regimentation as a control mechanism; combined with forcible suppression of opposition by both the corporations and government.

This was our reality until we finally broke the glass, hit the emergency STOP button and elected Donald Trump.

It was the Fourth Quarter of 2019…..

Right before the pandemic would hit a few months later, despite two years of doomsayer predictions from Wall Street’s professional punditry, all of them said Trump’s 2017 steel and aluminum tariffs on China, Canada and the EU would create massive inflation – it just wasn’t happening!

Overall, year-over-year inflation was hovering around 1.7 percent [Table-A BLS]; yup, that was our inflation rate.  The rate in the latter half of 2019 was firmed up with less month-over-month fluctuation, and the rate basically remained consistent.   [See Below]  The U.S. economy was on a smooth glide path, strong, stable, and Main Street was growing with MAGAnomics at work.

A couple of important points.  First, unleashing the energy sector to drive down overall costs to consumers, and industry outputs was a key part of President Trump’s America First MAGAnomic initiative.  Lower energy prices help the worker economy, middle class and average American more than any other sector.

Which brings us to the second important point.  Notice how food prices had very low year-over-year inflation – 0.5 percent.  That is a combination of two key issues: low energy costs, and the fracturing of Big Ag’s hold on the farm production and the export dynamic:

(BLS) […] The index for food at home declined for the third month in a row, falling 0.2 percent. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs decreased 0.7 percent in August as the index for eggs fell 2.6 percent. The index for fruits and vegetables, which rose in July, fell 0.5 percent in August; the index for fresh fruits declined 1.4 percent, but the index for fresh vegetables rose 0.4 percent. The index for cereals and bakery products fell 0.3 percent in August after rising 0.3 percent in July. (link)

For the previous twenty years, food prices had been increasingly controlled by Big Ag, and not by normal supply and demand.   The commodity market became a ‘controlled market’. U.S. food outputs (farm production) was controlled and exported to keep the U.S. consumer paying optimal prices.

President Trump’s trade reset was disrupting this process.  As farm products were less exported, the cost of the food in our supermarket became reconnected to a ‘more normal’ supply and demand cycle.  Food prices dropped, and our pantry costs were lowered.

The Commerce Dept. then announced that retail sales climbed by 0.4 percent in August 2019, twice as high as the 0.2 percent analysts had predicted. The result highlighted retail sales strength of more than 4 percent year-over-year.   These excellent results came on the heels of blowout data in July, when households boosted purchases of cars and clothing.

The better-than-expected number stemmed largely from a 1.8 percent jump in spending vehicles. Online sales, meanwhile, also continued to climb, rising 1.6 percent. That’s similar to July 2019, when Amazon held its two-day blowout Prime Day sale. (link)

Despite the efforts to remove and impeach President Trump, it did not look like middle class America was overly concerned about the noise coming from the pundits.   Likely that’s because blue collar wages were higher, Main Street inflation was lower, and overall consumer confidence was strong.  Yes, MAGAnomics was working.

Additionally, remember all those MSM hours and newspaper column inches where the professional financial pundits were claiming Trump’s tariffs were going to cause massive increases in prices of consumer goods?

Well, exactly the opposite happened [BLS report] Import prices were continuing to drop:

[Table 1 – BLS report link]

This was a really interesting dynamic that no one in the professional punditry would dare explain.

Donald Trump’s tariffs were targeted to specific sectors of imported products.  [Steel, Aluminum, and a host of smaller sectors etc.]  However, when the EU and China responded by devaluing their currency, that approach hit all products imported, not just the tariff goods.

Because the EU and China were driving up the value of the dollar, everything we were importing became cheaper.   Not just imports from Europe and China, but actually imports from everywhere.   All imports were entering the U.S. at substantially lower prices.

This meant when we imported products, we were also importing deflation.

This price result is exactly the opposite of what the economic experts and Wall Street pundits predicted back in 2017 and 2018 when they were pushing the rapid price increase narrative.

Because all the export dependent economies were reacting with such urgency to retain their access to the U.S. market, aggregate import prices were actually lower than they were when the Trump tariffs began:

[…]  Prices for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in August following decreases of 0.2 percent in both July and June. Import prices from China have not advanced on a monthly basis since ticking up 0.1 percent in May 2018. The price index for imports from China fell 1.6 percent for the year ended in August.

[…]  Import prices from the European Union fell 0.2 percent in August and 0.3 percent over the past 12 months.

[Page #4 – BLS Report, pdf] – BLS press release.

So yes, we know President Trump can save Social Security and Medicare by expanding the economy with his America First economic policy.  We do not need to guess if it is possible or listen to pundits theorize about his approach being some random ‘catch phrase’ disconnected from reality.  Yes folks, we have the receipts.

This was MAGAnomics at work, and this is entirely what created the middle class MAGA coalition.  No other Republican candidate has this economic policy in their outlook, because all other candidates are purchased by the Wall Street multinationals.

America First MAGAnomics is unique to President Trump, because he is the only one independent enough to implement them.

That’s just the reality of the situation.  They hate him for it… 

[Support CTH Research Here]

Japan – China – US Debt


Posted Jun 26, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Japan remains the largest holder of the US as of May 2024, holding $1.186 trillion in Treasury securities and 14.7% of all foreign-owned US debt. China has been selling off its holdings in an urgent effort to distance itself from the US, but is currently the second-largest holder of US debt, carrying about $767.4 billion as of March 2024. I largely speak about China’s debt holdings because they were the top buyer of US debt before the political landscape changed.

Within a mere four years, China sold off 30% of its holdings or over $250 billion in US debt. This assisted the yuan in general as China was able to use the exchange rate to buy yuan when the currency depreciated. China seemed to be assisting Trump years ago in lowering the dollar to ease trade frictions. That is no longer the case here as the United States enacted economic warfare against Russia, pushing it off SWIFT, confiscating private assets, and implementing countless sanctions. The United States did all of this to Russia without officially being at war. Who is to say the same would not happen to China under the excuse of Taiwan?

Negative interest rates were a huge mistake for Japan. Unlike China, Japan aims to strengthen ties with the US. The nation drastically increased its holdings of US debt in 2023. US bonds seem safter than the low-yield returns provided domestically in Japan. Funds are moving out of Japan and into the US. They see US debt as relatively safe as they have a strong alliance with the US and the yield are simply higher.

The advice I used to provide to Japan to help reduce the trade friction was to buy gold in New York and sell it in London. The trade numbers could care less about the product actually being exported. It will reduce the trade deficit and make US exports appear to rise. It is just an accounting ploy. Likewise, the booming exports of China were being manipulated by Chinese companies borrowing dollars in Hong Kong and then bringing that money into China and collecting three times that cost in interest. Headlines are always made on the numbers without understanding the accounting.

I received the question of why I speak about China’s purchases and not Japan’s. Again, I speak primarily of China’s offloading of US debt because that is a larger issue. China has not slowed its pace of offloading US Treasuries and this becomes a problem as the debt crisis will come to a head when there is simply no one willing or able to buy US government debt. The Fed desperately needed China’s participation as its plan was to roll over its debts perpetually. They simply cannot pay off $34+ trillion and counting. Japan and the UK cannot compensate for the loss of Chinese purchases.