Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Jan 1, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I just wanted to inform you as a loyal reader of your blog, it is snowing here in Kuwait for the first time in history. Your computer is the only non-passionate forecaster I have ever encountered. It relays just the facts without an agenda.
Thank you so much. You have a large group of supporters here in the Middle East.
SBB
REPLY: This entire climate change agenda is a hoax. They are not interested in the truth. This is about using climate to restructure society into the one-world order which is why they are supporting Ukrainian Nazis that follow the same beliefs as Adolf Hitler. We have turned 180 degrees from our basic fundamental values.
I am deeply concerned that by calling this global warming and now they are experimenting with shooting particles into the atmosphere to “cool” the planet, we may be pushing ourselves into an ice age much faster than anyone suspects. Napoleon was defeated by a Volcanic Winter. These people are risking the entire planet for several volcanoes erupting, and we may not survive by deliberately shooting particles into the atmosphere. All of this is because our current debt system cannot be sustained.
All of this anti-Russian warmongering that the West needs desperately to create a war to hide the total collapse of our Marxist-based Socialist Economy where politicians only know how to run by promising free programs for everything.
Blowing up the gas pipeline from Russia to Germany to economically undermine Russia has undermined the German economy as well – the heart of Europe. Pollution levels in the country have indeed at times reached those of the worst polluting countries.
The energy shortages that have been deliberately created have resulted in surging power prices. Germany has been compelled to turn to cut down trees for wood and to boost coal use. All of this has taken place while they are supposed to be committed to fighting climate change and the Greens object to any nuclear power.
To keep the factories operating and just the lights on, Germany is now burning coal at the fastest pace in at least six years. Europe’s largest economy is in serious danger of an economic crisis despite the EU’s drive to phase out all fossil fuel.
Many have asked why our computer has been so bearish on the Euro. Just look at German Real Estate. The high was in 1999 in both nominal and real terms. Then look at 2007. That was the real estate boom in the USA with the Mortage-Backed disaster. It never exceeded 1999 high. Now, look at the 2021 high. Once again, we see a lower high. Here we are 23 years from the 1999 high and still making corrections. Add to all of this the deliberate energy crisis and the rising costs just to stay warm are very serious.
Germany is the heart of the EU. Without a solid economic performance from Germany, the Euro is doomed.
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COMMENT: Marty you may remember this.
When this hit upper midwest I was in middle school in San Diego. I was in the library every morning before school following this, Voyager and Viking.
I watched another rendition of this video on youtube and it cut out the portion where the chief scientist at Lamont-Doherty (Columbia) stated ice-age conditions can return inside of 10-20 years time at any time (or something like that).
Regards
RD, San Marcos Ca
REPLY: With Ice Ages, we find a similar pattern of cyclical pattern formations as we do in markets. About 2.6 million years ago, that is when the Earth entered the Pleistocene period. This was marked by an interesting cyclical pattern whereby there were these deep ice ages that came at regular 43,000-year intervals. Then about 1 million years ago, the Earth entered what is known as the Mid-Pleistocene transition period. It was here where these ice age cycles suddenly expanded from 43,000-year intervals to nearly 100,000-year cycles. The last one was about 11,000 years ago. This is not referring to the Mini-Ice Age of the 1600s.
What we do know is that there were tiny changes in Earth’s orbit. These events are known as Milankovitch cycles. They are believed to have driven the planet in and out of these ice ages. However, it is also now assumed that these Milankovitch cycles have not correlated to the sudden jump in nearly doubling the Ice Age cycle length.
Preliminary data from Antarctic Ice Core saw a transition from glacial to interglacial conditions about 430,000 years ago which is known as (Termination V). This transition into the present interglacial period needs to be looked at from intensity using our Energy Models. Scientists look at the magnitude of change in temperatures and greenhouse gases. What seems to be overlooked is the cycle of these warming periods. The interglacial stage following Termination V was quite long running the course of about 28,000 years compared to the 12,000 years period so far in the present interglacial period.
What this is warning is that an Ice Age is not entirely out of the question post-2032. I am awaiting access to the data from the 2.7 million-year core and then run it through Socrates to see if we are indeed going to see a 12,000-year interval or a doubling effect. What does appear to be likely, which explains the frozen animals in Siberia, is that we can see an Ice Age hit within less than 10 years.
What is absolutely astonishing, is that this entire global warming propaganda that they then changed it to climate change because it was not just getting warmer – but colder. The entire premise is that the climate is changing all because of the Industrial Revolution and they REFUSE to address the fact that there are natural cycles to weather since the Earth was born.
I had to go to New Jersey for the Holiday. OMG – it was 10 degrees. It reminded me why I moved to Florida to get closer to real Global Warming. There us a cycle to absolutely everything. Only a complete idiot would argue against that.
During the 1970s, scientists were all predicting a new ice age. That was the popular view. Then there was a totally theoretical proposition laid out in the book Under a Green Sky that has become the bible for the total destruction of our modern society and just maybe they know that and are looking to deprive energy to reduce the population.

If we take the graph from the paleontologist Peter D. Ward’s book, “Under a Green Sky” published in 2007, this is what has inspired this whole climate debate and there is no evidence that it was CO2 that created an extinction of hundreds of millions of years ago. This has been a theoretical model that appears to be as reliable as the one funded by Bill Gates to justify locking down the entire world economy for a man-made virus – COVID19.
I find it really hypocritical that they want to imprison Trump, but not people pushing to reduce the world population and mandating a vaccine that FAILED to prevent the virus and more people who died of COVID who were vaccinated than not.
When the head of Pfizer seems to be way too close to heads of state and he has ABSOLUTE IMMUNITY that not even the International Criminal Court wants to charge Putin but not Pfizer, is just another example of the political cesspool we live in today.
The rise and fall of civilizations have been tied to climate. They ignore history and refuse to comprehend that there are simply cycles to everything. When Rome was the dominant power, there was pollution and CO2 which was created by burning wood. The first clean air act was put into law in 535 AD. These people act like we will all become extinct unless we reduce CO2 to zero. They have no science to back them up, just a book that put the theory about CO2 creating one of the extinctions without any evidence — just an assumption.

There is ABSOLUTELY no statistical evidence whatsoever that there has been any Global Warming. Here are the monthly maximum temperatures for New York City since 1869.
Here is the Computer cyclical forecast for 12 years. This year 2022 was a Double Directional Change and it was on target. The big targets for the climate crisis will be 2025 followed by 2029 – and it will not be warming.
The real question remains unanswered. Are these people claiming Climate Change to deliberately reduce the population?
From the attached report on climate change for November 2022 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958? To show this graphically Chart 8a was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about 32.4% from 1958 to November of 2022. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree. Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is almost un-measurable at less than .4%.

As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for another Chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2 Shown in the next Chart using a different scale.

This is Chart 8 which is the same as Chart 8a except for the scales. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 50 % on the left and 5% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .40%; while CO2 has increased by 32.4% which is 80 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem?
Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be a bit over 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius.
The full 40 page report explains how these charts were developed .


I have been asked about our computer forecast regarding civil unrest that would turn upward from 2014, become critical in 2023, and escalate into 2032. There is the economic breakdown that is being deliberately created by those in the Biden Administration under the misguided vision of Climate Change and how they must end fossil fuels ASAP. The convenient announcement of suddenly the impossible, cold fusion, is highly dubious and even if true, it would be decades away. Nevertheless, it is already being touted as See! Let’s end fossil fuels now! We have an alternative.
But the other factor is the division of society into groups. The teaching of Critical Race Theory is being pushed because of White Supremacy and the solution is to demonize white children in schools. This is just as bad as judging someone inferior simply because they are not white.
This division has come into play hidden behind the headlines. Suddenly, Critical Race Theory surfaced in 2022 and this is the 8.6-year interval from 2014. The next really bad period will be 2032 and from 2023 into that period, we are looking at society coming unglued. We will see our nation divide as will be the case in Europe – the EU will crumble to dust. There will be a great financial upheaval going into 2028.

I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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