Prof Don Easterbrook Crashes the Global Warming Party


Published on Nov 19, 2017

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Professor Emeritus Don Easterbrook’s eye-opening talk to the Washington State Senate committee on Climate Change 26/3/2013. This is a classic! Don J. Easterbrook Professor Emeritus of Geology at Western Washington University crashes the party of the Global Warmists! Patreon https://www.patreon.com/1000Frolly Category Science & Technology License Creative Commons Attribution license

Europe Inundated by Snow Down to Greece & Harvard Study Shows Oceans Are Getting Colder


This winter is once again extremely brutal in Europe. Extremely heavy snow has fallen as far south as Greece in the range of even 3 to 5 feet in various places. This is the third year of extreme cold in Europe which has been fueling more resentment about global warming taxes. Once again, Europe has been thrown into economic chaos for much of the region is not able to cope with snow lacking the historical experience.

Meanwhile, scientists have revealed that the oceans are still getting colder at deeper levels in a slow-moving trend that was set in motion by the last Little Ice Age. The idea that the oceans have been retaining the heat so that is why the planet has not warmed up as forecast 30 years ago flies in the face of those ideas as well.

Plunge Protection Myths = Keynesian Economic Myths


QUESTION: What about what China did by buying stocks a few years ago to stop the hang sang from dropping

ANSWER: Do not confuse attempts to support a market from actually being able to do so. This is the same as Keynesian economics that government could prevent recessions. Larry Summers admitted the government cannot even forecast such events. Not only during the Great Depression did companies jump in to buy their shares during the crash to try to prevent the decline. Most of the companies that took that action actually failed for they bought the stock back trying to hold the price and lost needed cash reserves. They could not sell stock again nor could the borrow.

During the collapse of the Nikkei after 1989, companies held believing that the government would support the market. When they realized the government could not then the government encouraged us to bail out the Japanese corporations. We helped well over 300 public companies issuing a note to buy their portfolios at their cost with 10-year payouts and each note had to be approved by the Japanese government individually. If the governments were able to actually prevent declines, then they would. But nobody can do that for the size of the public at large far outweighs any institution, group of institutions, or banks.

People would rather believe in conspiracy theories than simply look at the reality. Attempts to manipulate markets ALWAYS fail because the majority is far greater than any minority. The trend is made by the MAJORITY. A panic sell-off like the Crash of 1987 took place BECAUSE there was no bid – not that there was a massive short position. Scare the MAJORITY and they then try to sell, you find no bid and that is how a flash crash unfolds. This is why outlawing short positions is destructive for the only person with the courage to try to catch a falling knife is the one who is taking profit – not initiating a long position.

The Myth of the Plunge Protection Team


COMMENT: It looks like the Plunge Protection Team had a field day with the 1,000 rally in the Dow. Back in the 70s I read a small article near the back page of the WSJ that said that the CIA was using two small obscure banks in the Midwest to trade futures. The way they do it is to buy the futures and force the floor traders to stop selling. Then they pile it on and force the shorts to cover.

CM

ANSWER: That is really impossible. I have NEVER found a market that has EVER defied our model. The market bottomed precisely when it should have. Our Cyclical Array pinpointed the day well in advance. That proves there was nothing unusual. Last Friday the 21st, I wrote on the Private Blog: “We do have another Weekly Bearish Reversal at 22739 and a closing below that could warn of a Cycle Inversion meaning down into new week bottoming perhaps on the 26th and then rally into the following week for year-end and then turn back down into January.”

If what you are saying is true, then the government would never collapse and they are 100% in control of everything. That is just not the case. You are attributing power to them that they believe they have. However, if they had such power, then taxes would never rise for they are 100% in control and nothing would happen. Larry Summers, the father of negative interest rates, admitted in a Bloomberg interview that those in power can NEVER forecast a decline because it is a complex system.

I wrote on the Private Blog on December 24th: “The likelihood of lower lows into the 26th are good. But this week remains as a Panic Cycle so we can then see a whipsaw back up into the end of the week. Primary support still lies at the 21600 and 21450 level followed by 20002.”

Then on the day of the low, 26th of December, I posted on the Private Blog at 3AM for the European Open: “Often the bulk of a decline will unfold the day BEFORE the market closes. This is typically as natural human response of the fear of the unknown after the market reopens.”

 

 

I just do not see ANYTHING in the market behavior or patterns that would indicate something abnormal. The real explanation is just that all the selling took place on Monday as people feared it would collapse further on the 26th after the market opened. That has been the pattern for more than 100 years – panic before a close of the market for fear of the unknown. Sorry, great story about the Plunge Protection Team. A similar theory prevailed in Japan that the government would NEVERallow the Nikkei to fall. It did, and that belief led to a 19-year depression in share market price, but 26-year economic depression which did not begin to shift trend until 2015.75.

There have been attempts to create a Plunge Protection Team before. The banks got together to try to save the market back in October 1929. Here is the Los Angeles Times from October 26th, 1929 talking about the Stabilizing Forces to save the market. They failed to prevent the Great Depression.

Nobody can step in front of a falling market and survive. Nevertheless, despite the continued failure of such efforts, this myth is always spun. Anyone who believes that such a Plunge Protection Team can even survive never bothers to look at history.

Climate Change & the Blame Game has been going on Since the 1890s


COMMENT: I really get annoyed by people who say well it has been warm here so what happens elsewhere is irrelevant. They are idiots and cannot see the whole and just want to blame humans for everything. I can see how our situation is hopeless when it comes to climate change.

All the best

JS

ANSWER: Very true. I got one email saying even though the death toll in Wales is double that of the previous year from extreme cold, it was warmer here in Canada so you are just wrong about everything. Such people are unable to divorce themselves from their bias. We have a serious climate change unfolding that cyclically is on time. Ever since 1895, the media has alternated reporting between global cooling and warming scares and many times they have even been overlapping. Here are accounts from the press reporting both global cooling and warming between 1955 and 1961. From 1895 until the 1930s the media peddled a coming ice age. From the late 1920s until the 1960’s they warned of global warming. From the 1950s until the 1970s they warned us again of a coming ice age. This makes modern global warming the fourth estate’s fourth attempt to promote opposing climate change fears during the last 100 years.

Then we have the diehard Global Warming crowd who refuse to ever consider that just maybe they may be wrong and are doing exactly the same thing I encountered when doing research on the Great Depression. Back then, the claimed that the DUST BOWL permanently destroyed the “Middle West” and that all the soil blew away so there would NEVER AGAIN be farming in America. ALL the government “expert advice” blamed the catastrophe on mechanized agriculture because tractors had been in use for only a couple of decades. They theorized how the tractors caused the Dust Bowl and this became very popular. The government even put out films calling it the Plow that Broke the Plains. But the old-time farmers remembered the droughts of the 1890s. There had been 10 years of rain in the Midwest and the forecasts at that time saw no change in sight.

The mechanism of plowing increased the yield dramatically and this contributed to the decline in employment in the Agricultural industry from 70% of the Civil Workforce in 1850 to 40% by 1900 and then 3% by 1980. The price of what declined dramatically from World War I into 1932. Severe drought hits the midwestern and southern plains. As the crops die, the ‘black blizzards” began which is more commonly known to history as the Dust Bowl. It lasted for 8.6 years until the rains returned in 1939.

By December 1935, there was a meeting in Pueblo, Colorado, where experts then estimate that 850,000,000 tons of topsoil had blown off the Southern Plains during the course of one year. They forecast that should the drought continue, the total area affected would increase from 4,350,000 acres to 5,350,000 acres in the spring of 1936. They warned that the damage was permanent. To try to intervene, the C.H. Wilson of the Resettlement Administration proposed buying up 2,250,000 acres and retiring it from cultivation.

In February 1936, the mass migration out of the Midwest created what were called hobos without money or a job. The Los Angeles Police Chief James E. Davis sent 125 policemen to patrol the borders of Arizona and Oregon to keep “undesirables” out of California. As a result, the American Civil Liberties Union sued the city. Even the Democrats forcible deported Mexicans during the Dust Bowl. The Mexican Repatriation was a mass deportation of Mexicans and Mexican-Americans from the United States which went into 1936. The estimates of how many were forcibly deported range from 400,000 to 2,000,000. Yet, it was a sort of ethnic cleansing for an estimated 60% of those deported were actually born in the United States.

Climate Change is a natural event because everything has a cycle even weather. It was the 8.6-year drought that created the Dust Bowl, not tractors. Here we are once again blaming soccer moms driving their kids to school for climate change once again.

As always – facts mean nothing. The majority of people lack the ability to be unbiased. They simply believe what they want to believe and will never change.