There are now 84 million people living in Germany, according to the German Federal Statistical Office. This has nothing to do with the birth rate, which is on the decline. Instead, the number of Ukrainians seeking refuge in Germany caused the population to grow by 750,000 this year.
The population in Germany grew by 0.1% or 82,000 in 2021. In 2022, the population has already increased by 1% or 843,000 people. Germany has not experienced such a large influx of refugees since 2015 when Angela Merkle welcomed all Syrians into Germany. Nearly one million people entered Germany in 2015, mostly fleeing war in the Middle East. It proved to be a disaster as Germany did not have the means to care for all the new arrivals, and the cultures did not integrate well.
Germany is not likely to see as strong of an influx since other European nations are opening their borders to Ukrainians. Poland has already permitted 6.56 million Ukrainians to enter their borders. Yet, Poland has reported that tens of thousands of Ukrainians who fled are now returning. Those returning are likely men who want to fight. Germany reported that most of their new refugees are women (501,000) as well.
The culture integration is easier compared to the 2015 refugee crisis, but do these European nations have the infrastructure and financial means to support so many additional people? Those who fled Syria had nothing to return to as their nation did not receive endless funds from the West. On the other hand, Ukrainians who fled likely plan to return once the war is over. The question becomes when can I return as everything indicates that this war is only getting started.
Even Jeffrey David Sachs, an American economist, has come out and said on TV, as the journalists go nuts, that the US destroyed Nord Stream. Everyone I have spoken to from around the world, including high levels, all believes the US did this and I know there is a think tank that has recommended the US now take out the South Stream through Turkey. This was a formal act of war. Russia sees it that way, as does most of the world. This is an attempt to destroy the economy of Russia where energy accounts for 50% of its GDP. The Biden Administration poses the greatest threat to the United States for this reckless behavior. I’m sure I will get the hate mail from the Democrats. At least lower your COVID mask, and take a deep breath just for once.
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Nobody knows history better than you. Will QE continue if we end up in war? It seems there would be no choice.
Thank you for your very enlightening blog.
PG
ANSWER: Yes. The Fed was “directed” by the White House to carry out QE during World War II. They were to prevent interest rates from rising and the debt rose. That finally led to the Federal Reserve breaking with the White House after the war when they expected it to continue for the Korean War. That is when the Fed asserted its independence.
This time, we may have a different problem. As the war unfolds in Europe, the capital will flee as usual to the States. But the money supply will have to increase because the dollar will become the only viable currency still standing. That is why you are witnessing the pound and the euro collapse. Things will unfold differently this time. The Fed has been raising rates to fight inflation that will fail because this has to do with shortages – not speculation.
The October 3, 2022 Emergency Meeting was closed to public observation by Order of the Board of Governors because the matters fell under exemption(s) 9(A)(i) of the Government in the Sunshine Act (5 U.S.C. Section 552b(c)), and it was determined that the public interest did not require opening the meeting. That said, the Fed is faced with a triple crisis – liquidity, banking stability, and an inevitable Sovereign Debt Crisis. As interest rates have risen based on domestic inflation rates, simultaneously, the higher rates have undermined both European banks as well as Emerging Markets. The Federal Reserve has become the DEFACTO central bank of the world.
This is a crisis similar in part to 1927 when the European central banks lobbied the Fed to lower rates because of their debt crisis. They lowered rates to accommodate Europe and that was then blamed on the Fed for creating the 1929 boom. This is also why FDR then seized control of the Federal Reserve and move the head to Washington and made the Chairman subservient to the President.
I know so many blame the Fed for everything. They are actually facilitating Congress. The Fed has no control over fiscal spending or the debt level. In the end, it is really the debt that has become the money supply that simply pays interest.
There was no US paper money before the Civil War. The first issues of paper money were actually a hybrid bond – they paid interest. The term “greenback” developed for “demand notes” that came later as the cost of the war rose. They no longer paid interest so what was on the back was just green ink – no interest rate table to show what the note was worth.
I will be doing a full report on this subject for the WEC. It is complex, yet exceptionally interesting for what we face.
QUESTION #1: I live in the US. When the sovereign debt explodes, and I will “own nothing “, does that mean that any car, house or property that has a loan on it will become the property of the bank and or government? Does it mean property that is paid off and I hold the title or deed will be taken from me and I will have to pay “rent” to hold on to it? Please answer by my email or on one of your blogs.
Thanks for all you do.
MH
QUESTION #2: Would you ever consider running for politics? Your experience towers over everyone out there.
BB
ANSWER: No, I am not interested in getting into politics. I have always preferred to be standing behind the curtain. If I ever stepped in front, they would quickly figure out a way I could commit suicide with a remote rifle 100 yards away and you can bet the media will say absolutely!
Now insofar as the sovereign debt default, we are looking at governments collapsing which will take down banks that must retain reserves in government bonds. Klaud Schwab is an academic. He has ZERO real-world experience. His ideas will collapse just like Marx for the one element both ignore is human nature. It cost over 200 million lives for Marx to get his theory in place. Communism collapsed because without curiosity and freedom to explore, talk, and think, all advancement of society comes to an end.
Schwab’s idea will fail because the setup is different this time. Marxism succeeded because in Russia serfdom ended only during the 1860s. Therefore, the common people DID NOT own anything and it made sense to raid the rich. This time, people own houses and cars, and they save with pensions and to help their children. This time the common people would have to surrender all their assets so Schwab’s Marxist theories can be implemented.
It is a whole different board game this time around. Our computer has NEVER been beaten by anyone, even me. It sees the future because it is monitoring everything. So while people argue over what they “think” will happen, Socrates just plugs away and lacks that human emotion that interferes with objectivity.
The 30-year bond elected a major long-term Quarter Bearish Reversal on target. This confirms the long-term outlook that we had warned back at the high that we were establishing a 5,000-year low in rates (high in bond prices). The sell signals on bonds at the end of September are very profound. This is also why you have witnessed Klaus Schwab telling everyone you will own nothing and be happy because what he is really saying is that all debt will be wiped out trying to make it sound like they are doing this for you when it is the next sovereign debt default in history.
The last Sovereign Debt Default was 1931 when Europe, South America, and Asia defaulted. Even Britain went into a moratorium on debt payments. Our models turned up on this level in March 2021 and the next Sovereign Debt Default on a grand scale is likely to unfold by 2025.
The Quarterly closing was a confirmation that we are looking at both a liquidity crisis in addition to a banking crisis that is most likely with an epic center in Europe.
Here is the Yearly Chart from 1798 to 2015 that we published back in 2016. The peak came precisely during the 1st Quarter of 2020 with the major turning point on the ECM 2020.05 reaching 191.69 on the 30-year bond. We will be focusing on this triple crisis of liquidity, banking, and Sovereign Debt Crisis at the WEC on November 11-13th, 2022.
As I have said many times, what bottoms or peaks with the ECM major turning points is typically very profound. That has been vindicated once against by the bond market peaking the first quarter of 2020 with the turning point. We have entered the STAGFLATION mode since March 14th as we head into April 2023.
The title speaks for itself. The Fed is going to continue raising rates until inflation shows notable improvement. Some still question whether the Fed will ease on its hawkish policies, but there is absolutely every indication to believe they will continue at full speed. Core PCE rose 4.9% in August from the year prior and increased 0.6% for the month.
Before the aforementioned data was released, Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said he was “cautiously optimistic” that the US could avoid a recession. “There are lags in monetary policy and we have moved expeditiously. We have done three 75 basis point increases in a row and there is a talk of more to get to that 4.25% to 4.5% by the end of the year, you’re not leaving much time to sort of look at each monthly release,” Evans, who is set to retire next year, said.
The truth of the matter is that the White House simply changed the definition of a recession. The majority is hurting financially right now, and I don’t think we need the talking heads to tell us that we are already in a recession. The typical analysis looks only at domestic conditions, but internationally, most central banks are in the process of raising rates and backtracking on failed QE policies.
Every month there are reports of the market being “spooked” by rate hikes. People come on TV and act surprised that the Fed has the audacity to raise rates yet again. Why? Powell stated in every possible way that the FOMC will raise rates for “some time.” In Powell language, that means rates will continue to rise for a while. The computer foresees havoc going into 2023. Things must get worse before they become better. Unemployment must rise, rates must go higher, and you must adjust your strategy accordingly.
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) continually makes multi-billion-dollar mistakes. The agency “accidentally” sent $1.1 billion in advanced child tax credits to the wrong families. If a private citizen were to make a mistake on their personal taxes, they’d feel the repercussions – especially with Biden’s 87,000 newly appointed and armed agents.
Now 1.5 million families who received the money “accidentally” will be on the hook to pay it back. As if that were not bad enough, the IRS failed to deliver $3.7 billion in tax credits to 4.1 million households! The tax credit was intended as part of the reckless American Rescue Plan to pay families earning under $150,000 annually and single parents earning under $112,500. This was the largest child tax credit in America’s history – basically, people received “free” money at the expense of the taxpayers simply for having children.
This is the same agency that sent countless stimulus checks to people who did not qualify. Even multi-billionaire George Soros received a stimulus check. They even sent out checks totaling over $267 billion to deceased individuals. The IRS also “accidentally” leaked 120,000 personal online files earlier in the month. The agency continually makes major mistakes. Knowing that there will be 87,000 additional agents, armed, working for this failed agency does not put one at ease.
QUESTION: Martin, I am now becoming confused as to who or what is the instigator of the major global war that is transpiring. You have made the point that the Climate Change Zealots and their claims to end fossil fuels are the cause for inciting WW III. However, you have also made claims that the Neocons in the Deep State and their hatred of Russia are the instigators of this same conflict. Are these two forces one and the same or are they two different factions fighting for the same outcome?
Thanks for any clarification on this,
RB
ANSWER: John McCain, who was the leader of the pack of Neocons, was promoting Nuclear Power for climate change to end the US dependence on oil and that of Europe. McCain used climate change to cut off Russia whose 50% of GDP was energy. Thus, McCain could care less about the climate. He used it as a weapon against Russia.
McCain just simply hated Russians and that was before Putin as Politico documented back to 1996 – three years before Putin. McCain used climate change as a weapon to undermine Russia. We must understand that there are Neocons in America, Russia, and China. They may be small in number, but they tend to be very manipulative. What we have is the Climate Zealots who want to end all fossil fuels, where their goals support the Neocons who want to annihilate their enemies – Russia and China.
The information that is circulating is that the real instigator behind the pipeline destruction was the Ukrainian Neo-Nazis. Putin on September 7th, 2022 threatened to turn off the gas tied to lifting the sanctions. It was certainly not Russia who destroyed the pipeline for they no longer have that threat to turn it off. The Neo-Nazis have been supported by the Neocons from day one. The destruction of the pipelines benefited the Neo-Nazis for now they have eliminated any possibility that the EU will agree and lift the sanctions. Based on their actions in the past, the information pointing to them I believe makes them the most likely actor.
The waters are now polluted and the impact on fishing will be considerable. This was not the brainchild of the Climate Zealots yet it sparks a few champaign toasts in celebration. Russia has come out and said that the slaughter of civilians in Bucha was fake and propaganda. Based upon information and belief, this was also a staged event by the Neo-Nazis. There are even videos confirming that which are in the possession of NATO. It does not end there. The Neo-Nazis shot down the Malaysian Flight M17 using an old BUK Russian missile that was no longer in use in an effort to get the US to send in troops claiming it came from the Donbas. The Neo-Nazis are really willing to do anything to quench their thirst for the hatred of Russians.
The 2014 Massacre of Russian-speaking Ukrainians in Odessa where they killed them grabbing them on the streets was a Neo-Nazi event. That was the turning point. It revealed that the Donbas had to separate for the Neo-Nazis wanted their death, not their submission. That began the civil war. They set fire to the building and burned all the Russian-speaking Ukrainians alive. For the first time in history, an organized massacre of civilians was carried out and even filmed by numerous people. This has been documented in extraordinary detail and the Neo-Nazis did not even fear of any negative consequences in world opinion.
The Neo-Nazis have manipulated the news to foster hatred of all Russians. You see it in forums like on eBay how can any Russian be allowed to sell anything? This is the same hatred that Hitler inspired against the Jews. You constantly demonize a group and it works. I personally knew people there in Kyiv during Maidan. I also know people personally from Donetsk. You could never bring a simple bottle of Russian vodka to dinner in Kyiv – that was an insult.
Most have no understanding of the hatred in that entire region. It was a Serb who assassinated the Archduke in 1914 and that single act resulted in the death of about 7% of the entire world population during World War I. Those spouting out the hatred of Putin are simply brainwashed and they better turn and look at your family for there are always more civilians who die in these large-scale wars than soldiers.
Before the breakup of Yugoslavia, I was there and told how their opposition killed 600 and threw them and threw them in a mass grave. I thought I had missed something in the news. When I asked: When did this happen? I was expecting a matter of days, but I was told: “Oh, about 500 years ago.” I responded, oh yes – that one. The hatred runs so deep throughout that region, it will never be resolved.
We are only involved because our Neocons hate Russians. The CIA protected the Ukrainian Neo-Nazis. They were NEVER put on trial like the Germans ONLY because they hated Russians. They are still supported by the US Intelligence agencies just as McCain would openly meet with the Neo-Nazis. We are now paying the price for they have never been told this is even a violation of human rights. I support the common people, not government propaganda from either side. We are the people who gain absolutely NOTHING from war. The ONLY benefit is to survive – that’s it. So those cheering to unleash the dog of war, please, go volunteer to fight in Ukraine and put your actions where your mouth is. It is always easy to cheer on someone else’s death.
This will be a war not to end all wars, but to end civilization and our age of peace since World War II.
Human nature cannot be changed. There will always be wars.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 2, 2022 | Sundance
During his weekly monologue Neil Oliver turns his attention to the “Big Club,” the bankers. WATCH:
[Transcript] – I want to tell you a story about money. To be more specific I want to tell you where money comes from. The truth, of which most people are unaware, is that money is created out of thin air. Furthermore, every single pound, dollar, euro, yen and all the rest is created out of thin air by unelected, unaccountable private business people who conduct their meetings in total secrecy and profit always from their actions.
Let’s imagine you want to borrow 200k to buy a house. When you go to the bank and ask for that money, the banker doesn’t give you existing funds, cash from a drawer for instance. Instead, he creates that 200k out of nowhere – money that previously did not exist. That money is not backed by anything real – no gold or anything else. It is conjured out of nowhere and exists now only because the banker says it does. He then says you have to pay him back the 200k plus – let’s say for the sake of example – another 200k in interest.
He is allowed to credit your account with money that did not exist until you asked for it and he pressed digits on a keyboard … and then he invites himself to charge you whatever interest he wants on that previously non-existent sum. Talk about a fool-proof way to make money. This is how all money is created in our world and this is why so many people are made to live crippled by debt. Every year the British people pay tens of billions of pounds to private bankers as interest on something that DID NOT EXIST IN THE FIRST PLACE.
How could I be sure, but I suspect that if you or I were to attempt something similar, we would be thrown in jail before our feet touched the ground.
William Paterson, cofounder of the Bank of England in 1694, noted that:
“… the Bank hath benefit of interest on all moneys which it creates out of nothing.”
1694 … that’s at least as long as this has been going on … how long we’ve been submitting to debt created by a handful of rich people to keep everyone else under their control.
The Bank of England is technically owned by the British government, and so, notionally, by the British people. The fact of the matter however is that the government does not tell the Bank what to do. Like all central banks, the Bank of England is answerable instead to an entity called the Bank for International Settlements. The BIS is run by more unelected, unaccountable, secretive people over which we the British – like all people in the world – have no say and no control. Most people have never even heard of the Bank for International Settlements, but it is housed in a great glass tower in Basle, in Switzerland.
It is the BIS that controls the making and flow of well over 95 percent of the world’s money supply – via, to name but a few, the Bank of England, the US Federal Reserve, the People’s Bank of China, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and the European Central Bank. It also influences a host of other smaller central banks including in unstable and failed states like Afghanistan and Libya.
We need an honest and open conversation about banks – all banks – and about another way of doing things – a way of potentially freeing the people of the world from the yoke of debt placed across their shoulders by secretive, unaccountable, profiteering private bankers. It may or not offer the solution to our woes, but I believe it is time now to talk about it and, more importantly, to invite more people to understand what banks actually do and how they do it.
If you don’t trust me, how about Thomas Jefferson, founding father and third president of the US, who said:
“I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. If the American people ever allow banks to control the issue of their currency … they will deprive people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs.”
The Federal Reserve in the US was created at Christmas time 1913 – when most members were away for the holidays. By means of the Federal Reserve Act, all control over money creation was removed from Congress and given to the Federal Reserve Corporation, a private company controlled by bankers – all this despite Article 1 of the US constitution which declares:
“Congress shall have the Power to Coin Money and regulate the Value thereof.”
Federal was added to the name to trick the people into thinking they, via Congress, were in control.
Not anymore, not since that Christmas of 1913. The Fed is a private business corporation.
Or what about the words of Henry Ford, who transformed the car industry, who said:
“It is well enough that the people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.”
The private bankers would have us believe their way of doing business, of making money, is the only way.
So here, let me tell you an astonishing bit of forgotten history – so forgotten you’d be forgiven for thinking some people don’t want us to remember.
Back in August 1914, with the First World War looming, people feared the future. More and more were converting their bank notes – bits of paper – into gold sovereigns and half-sovereigns, as was their right in those days when Britain was on the so-called gold standard. But by 1914, the Bank of England had already been involved in dodgy dealings, creating money out of nothing – and there were far more bank notes in circulation than there was gold in the vaults to honour them.
If everyone tried to get their gold out at once, such a ‘run on the bank’ would have been catastrophic. At a stroke, Britain would have lost its ability to pay for the upcoming war.
The Bankers ran for help to the government and to the Chancellor David Lloyd George. The August Bank holiday was extended by three days, an Act was rushed through parliament and when the banks reopened, people were offered a new kind of Treasury note – issued not by the bank but by HM Treasury, in lieu of their gold. Since the first batches bore the signature of Sir John Bradbury, the then Permanent Secretary to the Treasury, the public nicknamed them Bradbury Pounds. Because each was backed by the wealth of the nation, the familiar strap line … about a promise to pay the bearer on demand … was unnecessary and therefore absent entirely.
The people accepted the Bradbury Pounds, trusted them on sight as cash they could see and hold and spend as they liked, with perfect confidence, and the banks were saved from certain collapse.
It was sovereign money – underwritten by the wealth of the nation and, perhaps most valuable of all, by the creativity and potential of the people of that nation. Unlike the money created out of nowhere by private bankers it was interest free and unburdened by debt.
Britons were briefly beyond the clutches of private bankers. But their reprieve didn’t last long. Having been spared the consequences of creating money out of nothing, those bankers were soon back at the Treasury door – demanding the State stop issuing debt-free money. The War was up and running and as is true of all wars, there was a killing to be made, in among all the killing.
The war must be run, those bankers said, only on money borrowed from them and repayable with interest – three and a half percent interest, as it happened. By the end of the First World War, Britain’s national debt had ballooned from 600 million in 1914, to 7 billion pounds. In 1914, remember, a pound was worth 122 pounds in today’s money. That’s inflation for you.
This is no longer the world of 1914. Any solution for 2022 must be made by us … for us, in the world of today.
Henry Kissinger said:
“Who controls the food supply controls the people; who controls the energy can control whole continents; who controls money can control the world.”
Right now, all around us, the people are being nudged ever closer to digital enslavement by secretive, unaccountable bankers.
Right now, control of energy by others we do not know is marching us towards the coldest, hungriest winter many can remember. Right now, is the time to take back control of money – its creation, its value and its flow. By so doing, we can begin the task of regaining control of our world. (link)
Reuters Published originally on Rumple on September 30, 2022
A defiant Vladimir Putin proclaimed Russia’s annexation of a swath of Ukraine in a pomp-filled Kremlin ceremony Friday, promising Moscow would triumph in its “special military operation” against Kyiv even as some of his troops faced potential defeat. Video contains graphic images. This report produced by Tamara Lindstrom.
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