TED Talks


QUESTION: Marty you should do a TED talk. I understand you are swamped with real clients and politicians. But a TED talk for us peons would be appropriate. How about it?

JA

ANSWER: I would agree to do another brief one. But I am not sure you can do any sort of a gathering right now. Maybe here in Florida where we are not locked-down. The previous one I did was in Vermont. Certainly, I cannot fly there right now. Otherwise, I guess it would have to be a virtual event I suppose. Not sure they do that.

The Future & the Destruction of Capital Formation


QUESTION:  Hi Martin – I have followed your blog for a long-time now. I enjoy reading a different viewpoint and somebody pointing out problems that don’t have a motive to take advantage of the “problems”. I find it deeply troubling that the US does not have a valid large news outlet anymore – no matter what side you are on – all are deeply motivated by ulterior motives. Anyways – my question is regarding the Fed’s unlimited supply of stimulus and its impact? I know the Fed is more capable than Europe which is limited by the EU set-up but trillions are being thrown around every other week and I don’t see anybody questioning the “other side” of this money creation. Are we printing money for inflation – are we just creating money so the stock market can keep paying dividends and push the impact out 10 years again? I don’t understand how we can just keep throwing out trillion after trillion?

EH

ANSWER: At this point, this not about stimulating the economy, helping the stock market, or even creating inflation. This is about trying to save the economy with the complete destruction of our capital formation. I have been deeply concerned about what is coming in 2021-2022. This is an array of the Euro. We have 2021 as a Panic Cycle Year no less. This array was published back in 2017.

The Fed is trying to save the economy while people like Gates and Fauci are trying to destroy it while claiming they care about people which they do not. The massive economic destruction that has unleashed upon our society I am sad to say will not be recovered any time soon. They are unleashing civil unrest that will explode. You cannot imprison the population in this manner for a virus with a death rate of 10% of that as the annual flu. This has been a political coup and is intent upon subjecting us to the theories that have been behind this Climate Change movement.

The value of assets is just a paper chase. They have destroyed Capital Formation so trying to print trillions to offset the destruction of trillions is not inflationary. The inflation will come with people losing confidence in governments. Already we are witnessing a food panic in China. People are running out and hoarding food even though the virus has subsided. The confidence in governments is collapsing. This will lead to civil unrest, authoritarianism, and ultimately war. The War Cycle is alive and well.

The Cabal is Oppressing Climate Dissent & COVID-19 Dissent


COMMENT: Dear Mr. Armstrong,
I am a regular reader of your blog from Poland and I highly value your opinions that spring from exceptional intelligence and experience. I’d like to contribute a few words to the discussion on the ideas of the “green movement”. When I listen to some of those people I have the impression that they consider humanity as some kind of disease that has befallen our planet, and if we all died out the planet would breathe a sigh of relief and life would thrive undisturbed for countless of billions of years. Yet it doesn’t seem it would. According to scientists, the Earth will probably become unsupportive for life within the next billion years because of increased solar radiation. Interestingly, the gradual process of atrophy of life will begin much sooner due to a dearth of carbon dioxide! If life on our planet can somehow be protected and prolonged, or perhaps spread across the Universe, it can only be done by some intelligent beings with great technological capabilities. If we fail, then perhaps some other intelligent creatures will evolve, but there is no guarantee of that as intelligence seems to be a unique feature that does not appear all that often among living organisms.
Therefore, I believe that far from being a disease, we are the planet’s hope!
Best wishes,
RR

ANSWER: Their agenda is really Marxism. They are using the environment to pitch their economic agenda. Their push is to seize the industry and control it. This agenda is really quite serious. They exaggerate everything and refuse to address any criticism. They have indoctrinated the education system. In Canada, they were actually teaching kids that because of global warming, Russia would be able to invade Canada. They refuse to even consider that solar energy fluctuates. They act as if the planet has warmed from the Little Ice Age solely because of CO2. They will not allow anyone to challenge them and now they have Wikipedia removing dissent. When any movement must try to shut down dissent, it ceases to be a basic movement for the people and becomes a dictatorial movement that destroys human rights. They act like they never heard of solar panels.

Now we see the very same power trying to suppress any medical comment that COVID-19 is now justified for this level of hysteria.

Influence by a Cabal of Evil People Bring Us to Where We are Now!


COMMENT: Dear Mr. Armstrong,
I don’t mean this against you specifically, but your latest post reminded me of It. I am in my 40s now. Ever since 9/11 I have been hearing older people say, ‘I’m just glad I’m not 18 today.’ Everyone knew this was coming. All the old people in America could have been spending the last 20 years of abundant free time trying to make the future -better- for all the young people coming up behind them. Instead, they were on cruises, playing golf, bingo, going to Florida, getting early-bird dinners, etc. And then they just sit there and say, ‘Boy your lives are going to be terrible.’ Well, thanks.
– JM

 

REPLY: You are absolutely right, but the average person also does not know where to start. The system is so corrupt at every level it does feel like resistance is futile. When I was young, I tried to make a difference. I quickly learned that trying to work from within government was indeed futile. You have people who try so hard to smear me by saying I’m a fraud, but why? It is because they also know that we have probably the largest institutional base of anyone. They fear, as always, I am too influential. But the truth is we are not influential enough to prevent this crash and burn.

My personal goal was to create Socrates in the hope that people will look at this and understand when it is time to rebuild, let’s do it the right way. I think Socrates has done an outstanding job. I have not personally been able to articulate its forecasts because I am just human. It has projected this crash, and the dramatic rise in unemployment that I fundamentally could not rationalize based on history. It projected years in advance that this 8.6-year wave would be a commodity boom, built upon shortages and NOT demand. That much I have been able to articulate. My job is to reveal its forecasts. As I have said, I was at a loss to comprehend how unemployment could possibly rise so fast. That has NEVER taken place even in times of war, no less the Great Depression.

We can see that unemployment even during the Great Depression took three years to reach the 25% level. Even by 1930, unemployment had risen from the 3% level to about 8.5% in a year. Socrates forecast something that NEVER took place in history. That to me was very impressive.

They may hate me and claim I have too much influence, but that is always when they are going against the trend. This a cabal, a coordinated attack using so many fronts it is just beyond contemplation. It has been well organized. The WHO, which is part of this conspiracy, is now stating the world must remain locked down.

The untold story is of the farm workers who pick crops in Europe migrate from Poland south. This lockdown is causing a serious shortage in food which will lead to starvation and a real rise in disease, which our computer is projecting in 2022. This conspiracy to further political change is threatening civilization, national security, and inviting war.

Value of a Currency


QUESTION: Hi Mr. Armstrong,
You have said that money is not gold, or silver, or oil, or fiat currency, but rather represents the collective elbow grease and ingenuity of a people. From the work of Socrates, which country or countries best typify this concept and therefore will become the better countries to live in, so that we may guide our families and children in that direction?
As always best to you and your vision, and thank you.
MB

ANSWER: What made America great was not our resources. The Silver Democrats tried to force a higher silver to gold ratio and were bribed by the silver miners. When the world was on the gold standard, that dictated the value of a currency in international FOREX markets because the value of the currency was just the metal content. Napoleon attempted to create that standard and the idea, known as the Latin Monetary Standard, was used after his defeat where the coins were all of the same weight and purity.

However, great disruptions to this standardized system of metals repeatedly led to major economic upheavals. The economy of Florence suffered from the tremendous economic crisis and people were burning down the houses of bankers because they blamed them without understanding the real cause. Due to the war between France and England, the French debased the coinage. This drove the price of silver up dramatically where there had been a two-tier monetary system — gold for international transactions and silver for domestic. Since wages were paid in silver, as the price rose, employers could no longer afford to operate and the economy crashed with a vast rise in unemployment.

Only after World War I and II did modern society begin to see that the value of a currency was not simply the metal content. There was a premium even over gold’s value attributed to the Romans, as was the case with silver and the Greeks. This is proven by so many surrounding nations imitating their coinage with the same metal content and weight showing that there was a premium over the raw metal.

China, Japan, and Germany all rose from the ashes because their people were productive. Once the unions began and extorted higher sums of wages beyond competitiveness, the USA began to see its labor move offshore for it was overpriced relative to the world because of also taxes on labor — not merely the hourly wage.

Adam Smith in his “Wealth of Nations” saw that it was not simply metal. If a farmer or candlestick maker sold something from London to Paris, they both returned with gold. It was the value of their labor that mattered.

Unfortunately, the socialists are leading the charge and have conspired together to bring down the economy to force political change. They are also weakening the West and inviting war. Just as Rome saw its economy decline sharply within 8.6 years during the 3rd century, the barbarian invasions began. These socialists have no idea what they have unleashed. The world economy will NEVER be the same all because of a pretend virus that has a death rate of 10% of the annual flu.

Unfortunately, the baton will pass to Asia. The West will be engulfed in civil strife. The Socialists have killed the economy precisely as did the communists during their revolutions in Russia and China. We have a turning point in 2021 even for Russia.

Industrialization in the Soviet Union was a process of accelerating the industrial potential of the Soviet Union to reduce the economy’s lag behind the developed capitalist states, which was carried out from May 1929 to June 1941.

The official task of industrialization was the transformation of the Soviet Union from a predominantly agrarian state into a leading industrial one. The beginning of Socialist industrialization as an integral part of the “triple task of a radical reorganization of society” (industrialization, economic centralization, collectivization of agriculture and a cultural revolution) was laid down by the first five-year plan for the development of the national economy lasting from 1928 until 1932.

In Soviet times, industrialization was considered a great feat. The rapid growth of production capacity and the volume of production of heavy industry (4 times) was of great importance for ensuring economic independence from capitalist countries and strengthening the country’s defense capability

Martin Armstrong Answers Questions — Q&A 4-7-2020


QUESTION #1: Marty, you always said that gold and the dollar would rise during the monetary crisis cycle. I must admit, the fundamentals always seem to unfold to support your forecast. The article on the dollar shortage is really enlightening. The gold bugs hate you because you do not support their hatred for the dollar. You have taught me to see the world from a real hedge fund manager’s eyes. So do you see this dollar crisis taking down the IMF?

Thank you

DF

QUESTION #2: Martin, Why do you seem so surprised about the chaos Soros and Gates are creating? Didn’t your (ECM) model predict it? Some events or Some person(s) needed to be the catalyst. Change is inevitable.

Resistance is futile.

JC

QUESTION #3: What do you think of Icke saying there is no virus?

HS

COMMENT #4: Even if Dow briefly touchs 28K I am done for the year:) 35% up in dollar terms , who cares what happens next:)) On a different note if the dollar shortage is as large as you have been writing I think Fed has done a decent job and kept DXY at 100 (so far) .

SM

ANSWER: There is a serious risk that like the ECB, the IMF is stepping into something they have no clue what is going on. The total outstanding private corporate debt from emerging markets is more than $2 trillion in size and denominated in US dollars. However, the total market is $15 trillion. This is astonishing and the goldbugs harp on the dollar debt and hyperinflation and the dollar must turn to dust. They remain clueless that ONLY a rise in the dollar will blow-up the world economy unleashing massive sovereign debt defaults.

Yes, the ECM has been projecting this would be a commodity wave of inflation, but I have stressed many times, this is not the traditional boom inflation. It is inflation on the back of a SHORTAGE, not speculative demand.

I appreciate the line from the Borg, “Resistance is Futile.” I think if we do not resist, I hate to see the world we leave behind. As I have also said many times, I thank God I am not 18 years old. The youth will never know the freedoms of the prior generations.

As far as claims there is no virus, sorry I do not buy that. My cousin is a nurse who has been attending to these people. She has been infected and was nowhere near 5G. The virus exists. We have many doctors who are readers and they share information. They are not the propaganda machine.