Posted originally on Mar 11, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Based on information and belief, Zelensky will not agree to any ceasefire to end the war. Europe is gearing up very rapidly. They are on the verge of a major debt crisis and desperately need a distraction. We must be concerned about a false flag to influence the elections in Poland on May 18th. Our model of the Ukraine War against Russia turns back up on May 15th. They are not about to accept peace from the rumblings behind the curtain right now.
Europe 2029
Trump Must Cut ALL Ties With Europe – They are Controlled by the Neocons
Posted originally on Mar 11, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, we all know you have sources beyond what everyone else has. My question concerns is there anything else that is moving the gold from Europe to the USA besides the prospect of war?
DS
ANSWER: Yes, what I have been warning about is the coming capital controls. You may see a high even here in March. Be very careful because of the upcoming elections in Poland. The first round of the presidential election will be held in Poland on 18 May 2025, and, if necessary, the second round will be held on 1 June 2025. The fear is that, like Romania, they are desperate to keep the power in play. They may start a false flag to influence that election. I’m not sure they can annul it like Romania.
It looks like capital controls will be in place for at least 2026. Without permission, you will not be able to move gold or cash out of Europe.
Then Trump may revalue gold from its official price of $42 to market value to improve the US balance sheet. This would also impact moving gold to the USA. From a market perspective, it really does not matter what value they place on gold. We will not likely see a return to a gold standard with a fixed value, which would be highly deflationary.
Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Marty, it looks like Trump is aware of the ECM. The markets crashed right on cue with Socrates, and he refused to rule out a recession. What is most curious is that you had a Panic Cycle for this week of the 10th. I heard you prevent Google from searching your private blog. If you are not advising him, they must be following Socrates.
Kirk
REPLY: The ECM turned May 7th. That was the day of the attempted assassination of Zelensky. Within weeks, the central banks started lowering rates. I believe Canada was the first to cut rates. Look, most subscribe to Socrates; they would be fools if they didn’t. Even those who hate my guts subscribe just as I subscribe to the Washington Post and the New York Times to see what propaganda they are pushing this week.
This is NOT my personal opinion. This is the only fully functioning Artificial Intelligence Computer with more than a 40-year track record. I cannot reveal who our clients are. We respect the client’s privacy. As I have said, Socrates calculates the timing by itself. There are not enough analysts in the world collectively to write and forecast as many markets and instruments as Socrates does every day. As one of the top ten institutional funds in the world commented, I never want to be on the opposite side of Socrates.
We are headed into a Global RECESSION no matter what Trump thinks or does. It will be a depression in some regions, primarily Europe. One country alone does not dictate the trend globally. Trump cannot create an economic boom when the rest of the world is imploding.
Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is wrongly advising this administration by downplaying the role tariffs will have on overall inflation. Bessent told reporters not to be concerned over tariffs as they will simply be a “one-time price adjustment” when that is far from reality. These tariffs come with massive side effects that will ripple across the global economy.
“Look, can tariffs be a one-time price adjustment? Yes… I would hope that the failed team transitory could get back together and think that nothing is more transitory than tariffs if it’s a one-time price adjustment,” Bessent said in reference to Biden administration officials saying that the historic inflation of several years ago was “transitory.” He later added, “The economic program is a whole of government, holistic program, and I think that we could get a one-time price adjustment,” Bessent said, adding that “across the continuum, I’m not worried about inflation.”
Bessent and others who buy into the tariff myths argue that when a tariff is imposed, prices simply adjust once, and the market stabilizes. Instead, the artificially raised cost snowballs. The first hit is the tax on direct goods, the second hit comes when that cost is passed down to businesses who pass it down to consumers.
Take steel tariffs, for example. When tariffs are imposed on imported steel, domestic manufacturers don’t just absorb the cost; rather, they pass it on to maintain a profit. That means everything that uses steel, from cars, appliances, construction materials, etc., becomes more expensive. That price increase does not stop at the initial tariff application. It continues to cascade as higher input costs force further adjustments throughout the supply chain.
When tariffs raise prices, workers naturally demand higher wages to keep up with the rising cost of living. This leads to what economists call a wage-price spiral—higher wages push costs up even further, which forces businesses to raise prices again.
Reduced supply and higher prices can lead to stagnation, which is what we have been experiencing for the past few years. These tariffs will do more harm than good for the people who will be forced to cover the costs.
Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The First Amendment is designed to protect peaceful expression and assembly. It does not protect against civil disobedience or inciting violence. According to the new president, America will no longer fund schools that permit “illegal protests,” with an emphasis on universities that permit pro-Hamas rallies. The question remains whether a protest can be deemed “illegal” under 1A.
The Education Department announced on Friday that it canceled a $400 million grant to Columbia University due to “inaction in the face of persistent harassment of Jewish students.” Columbia University has become a battleground for faux philanthropists who wish to deliberately create civil unrest.
Last May, CNN reported that many of the “students”arrested at Columbia and City College of New York had no affiliation with either school. The New York Police Department arrested 282 people, and only 148 (a bit over half) were real students. Protestors across most major liberal universities not so coincidentally had identical tents in place. “Students,” many of whom chose to wear COVID-era masks, all received instructional booklets on how to protest. Columbia, Harvard, Yale, and many others stood idle and allowed this to occur on its grounds.
As reported by Fox, Sami Al-Arian, a known terrorist who was once deported, advised associates and his wife to camp out along with the college students at Columbia. This man is admittedly associated with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad group. He has taken to social media to promote the civil unrest across American universities. This is a clear and REAL threat to national security. Again, these students are too naive to understand the root cause of these issues or the truly dangerous actors fueling the flames.
The “Catch and Revoke” plan to deport students linked to Hamas protests is a necessary measure to protect law and order. “Those who support designated terrorist organizations, including Hamas, threaten our national security. The United States has zero tolerance for foreign visitors who support terrorists,” Secretary of State Marco Rubio declared. A visa means you are a guest in a foreign nation and should respect the law of whatever country you choose to visit or study within. It is a privilege to enter the US on a student visa, not a right.
Authorities sent to break up university protests reported that they believed a larger group orchestrated the protests. We have the likes of George Soros and his son Alex, who are known to pay actors to incite civil unrest. But worse, we had a known terrorist camping out at an American university. The identical instruction booklets, tents, and chants across American schools point to a larger organization at the helm, be it foreign influencers like Soros or actual terrorist organizations.
“Since October 7, Jewish students have faced relentless violence, intimidation, and anti-Semitic harassment on their campuses — only to be ignored by those who are supposed to protect them,” Education Secretary Linda McMahon said. “Universities must comply with all federal antidiscrimination laws if they are going to receive federal funding. For too long, Columbia has abandoned that obligation to Jewish students studying on its campus. Today, we demonstrate to Columbia and other universities that we will not tolerate their appalling inaction any longer,” she added.
Imagine permitting “students” to support known hate groups like the KKK. They’re peacefully wearing their ridiculous pillowcase masks, so let’s simply ignore the overall message of pure hate and chalk it up to free speech. How is it any different when we have a group chanting that Israel should not exist as a nation? Jewish students are reportedly afraid to walk around on campus in America because we are allowing children to cosplay as terrorists. There is a reason that 1A does not protect someone, say, running into a movie theatre and shouting, “FIRE!” We can speak freely, but that does not entail engaging in unlawful behavior that hurts others. It is a shame that the government had to step in to restore common sense here.
An investigation needs to be conducted to see who is truly behind these protests. Someone is deliberately orchestrating these events to cause upheaval and division. The far left turned a blind eye to what could be protected under the First Amendment during the Black Lives Matter protests. They permitted angry mobs to burn down cities and small businesses without repercussion. They even changed the laws in many states to legalize looting under a specific dollar amount. Oh, and the government funded the completely corrupt organization with public funds. Enough is enough.
These university protests were likely not orchestrated by students, and it’s perhaps unfair to deem these events protests. Again, whoever is directing these young adults to throw on a keffiyeh and chant “TO THE RIVER TO THE SEA” has sinister motives, and it is worth a closer investigation. Why should federal funds be sent to Columbia University when it permits antisemitism and hosts actual terrorists on its campus?
Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Joe Biden’s mental decline made him the perfect puppet president for the Democrats and neocons on both sides of the aisle. “Though presidents always have gatekeepers, in Biden’s case, the walls around him were higher and the controls greater, according to Democratic lawmakers, donors and aides who worked for Biden and other administrations. Staff limited Biden’s ability to speak with others and limited the sources of information he consumed,” Attorney General Andrew Bailey stated in a letter to the Department of Justice in which he is urging an immediate investigation into Joe’s cognitive decline and whether many of his policies, including pardons, are valid.
“I am demanding the DOJ investigated whether President Biden’s cognitive decline allowed unelected staff to push through radical policy without his knowing approval,” Missouri Attorney General Andrew Bailey wrote. “If true, these executive orders, pardons, and all other actions are unconstitutional and egally void.”
This becomes a grey area as the Founding Fathers likely believed the American public would not elect anyone resembling Joe Biden. Article II, Section 2 declares that the president has the legal right to “grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offenses against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment”
The 25th Amendment states that impeachment or high crimes can be the only justification for dismissing presidential pardons. There is certainly an array of areas from the border to Burisma that were treasonous acts.
Section 3 of the Amendment has been invoked in recent history, but no one has dared to touch Section 4. President Regan invoked section 3 of the 25th Amendment in 1985 after signing power over to Vice President George Bush during a colon surgery. Then George W. Bush invoked the Amendment twice for short durations of time while he was receiving medical treatment.
Section 4. Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President. [Emphasis added.]
Now, the Democrats chose to simply HIDE Joe Biden from the public rather than acknowledge his decline. Congress would need to establish an investigative committee and drain the swamp of every droplet as the corruption that went into Biden’s presidency spans throughout Washington.
“There are profound reasons to suspect that Biden’s staff and political allies exploited his mental decline to issue purported presidential orders without his knowing approval,” AG Bailey stated. Legislators would need to pinpoint exactly when Biden would have been considered too cognitively impaired to make decisions. They did not do this when a special council determined he was too old and mentally fragile to stand trial. It would be extremely difficult to pinpoint when Joe’s handlers completely overtook the reins of power.
AG Bailey is correct—the establishment hid Biden’s health from the public and he may be unaware of some of the measures he passed. Speaker Mike Johnson recalled one such incident where, after working tirelessly to meet Biden in person, he confronted him over a piece of legislation regarding a freeze on new liquid natural gas export permits. “Why would you do that? Cause you understand we just talked about Ukraine, you understand you are fueling Vladimir Putin’s war machine, because they gotta get their gas from him,” Johnson said he told Biden. Johnson said Biden was shocked and “genuinely didn’t know what he had signed.”
In fact, Biden told Johnson he never signed off on the freeze. “Sir, you paused it, I know. I have the export terminals in my state. I talked to those people in my state, I’ve talked to those people this morning, this is doing massive damage to our economy, national security,” Johnson said he told the commander-in-chief. “I walked out of that meeting with fear and loathing because I thought, ‘We are in serious trouble—who is running the country?’” Johnson said.
Unbelievable that our elected officials allowed this to happen. There has never been such an investigation in US history, but if it is allowed to occur, you can kiss the Democratic Party goodbye.
Posted originally on Mar 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The European Parliament President Roberta Metsola has completely sealed the fate of Europe and its desire for self-destruction. She is now claiming that it is Ukraine that is defending Europe against a full-scale invasion by Russia. Ukraine is fighting for the security of Europe.
Posted originally on Mar 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The Oversight Project has examined all the executive orders signed supposedly by Joe Biden. It turns out most were all autopen—a machine. This raises serious questions about whether they were legal in the first place, for we do not know if someone else was writing these executive orders and feeding them into the machine to be signed. Is an Executive Order valid if the President did not actually sign the decree?
The Oversight Project shared what it had found regarding Biden’s use of an autopen. This raises concern that when his mental capacity was in question, these executive orders were issued by someone else and signed by the machine. To be legal in a commerce sense, that person needs express consent of the contracted party to sign on their behalf.
As we have moved from paper to digital formats in business records and contracts, federal lawmakers passed the Electronic Signatures in Global and National Commerce (E-SIGN) Act in 2000. The E-SIGN Act reinforces the legality of digital signatures in business contracts. The law means electronic contracts and signatures are legal as long as the consumer consents. E-SIGN also allows individuals to choose a paper format instead.
The Hammurabi Legal Code required clear contract law around 1650 BC. We have Akkadian cylinder signature seals that emerged during the fourth millennium BC, coinciding with the dawn of writing. One would sign a contract with such a seal.
The Romans used signature rings to validate contracts and agreements. So, the idea of an autopen is not unknown in history. However, these signature seals or rings did not allow someone e else to authorize such a contract.
When a law is issued that could carry criminal penalties for violating it, this raises a fascinating legal question if it is an autopen rather than a bonafide signature. Can the president delegate his authority to someone else to issue a law? I would have to say NO WAY!
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