Nov 11 2023

Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023

Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023

2023/November/04/Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023

Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023

By P Gosselin on 4. November 2023

See full report at Dr. Roy Spencer

As a follow-on to our paper submitted on a new method for calculating the multi-station average urban heat island (UHI) effect on air temperature, I’ve extended that initial U.S.-based study of summertime UHI effects to global land areas in all seasons and produced a global gridded dataset, currently covering the period 1800 to 2023 (every 10 years from 1800 to 1950, then yearly after 1950).

It is based upon over 13 million station-pair measurements of inter-station differences in GHCN station temperatures and population density over the period 1880-2023.

Since UHI effects on air temperature are mostly at night, the results I get using Tavg will overestimate the UHI effect on daily high temperatures and underestimate the effect on daily low temperatures.

As an example of what one can do with the data, here is a global plot of the difference in July UHI warming between 1800 and 2023, where I have averaged the 1/12 deg spatial resolution data to 1/2 deg resolution for ease of plotting in Excel (I do not have a GIS system):

If I take the 100 locations with the largest amount of UHI warming between 1800 and 2023 and average their UHI temperatures together, I get the following:

Note that by 1800 there was 0.15 deg. C of average warming across these 100 cities since some of them are very old and already had large population densities by 1800. Also, these 100 “locations” are after averaging 1/12 deg. to 1/2 degree resolution, so each location is an average of 36 original resolution gridpoints. My point is that these are *large* heavily-urbanized locations, and the temperature signals would be stronger if I had used the 100 greatest UHI locations at original resolution.

Read entire article at Dr. Roy Spencer.

Nov 11 2023

Interview: The Collapse of the Republic Re-Posted Nov 11, 2023 By Martin Armstrong

Nov 10 2023

Brazil to Force COVID Vaccinations on Children Re-Posted Nov 10, 2023 By Martin Armstrong

I have said to look to Brazil in 2024 for a variety of reasons. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, known as Lula, is a puppet of the World Economic Forum. Similar to what happened in the US, Brazil went from a “radical right-wing president” to an installed globalist puppet. Lula supports every WEF cause from climate change to eliminating currency as we know it. In 2010, Lula spoke at an event and stated “the need to establish a new international economic order, one that is more just and democratic.”

Now we know the ineffective COVID vaccines were simply a tool to control the population and adjust the masses to laws that violate their bodily autonomy. Hence in 2024, the Brazilian National Immunization Program (PNI) will mandate the COVID vaccine. “During the pandemic, a separate program was established to distribute the COVID-19 vaccine outside of our national program. This year, we are integrating this vaccine into the National Immunization Program,” explained Ethel Maciel, the Secretary for Health and Environmental Surveillance at the Ministry of Health.

Brazil actually expanded on the World Health Organization’s recommendations, calling them “limited.” Bolsonaro hesitated to vaccinate the population and was publicly shamed for suggesting alternative treatments like Ivermectin. Lula made sure that the majority of Brazil took the vaccine, with 82% of the population receiving two or more doses. Parents were reluctant to vaccinate their children due to what the media called “Bolsonaro’s disinformation campaign,” and so the COVID jab will be included as part of the annual required immunizations. Six-month-old babies are expected to receive the vaccine. The latest campaign is specifically targeting children under 5 years of age, and the health ministry has launched a massive campaign throughout the country to promote this poison.

If you cannot make decisions for your own child’s health, you do not live in a free country.

Nov 9 2023

Saving the Best for Last Re-Posted Nov 9, 2023 By Martin Armstrong

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QUESTION: You said Ukraine never shot down 6 of Russia’s unstoppable hypersonic weapons. Do you think that was all propaganda?

ANSWER: Absolutely. Neither the US nor Russia will commit their most critical weapons to Ukraine. Why? Because it reveals your best car and allows the opposition to gather intelligence to defeat them. Look at the HIMARS rockets that were going to change the game. Russia jammed its guidance systems that rely on GPS. The US would NEVER have given Ukraine our top shelf. That would be like playing poker and showing your hand before the betting begins.

You save the Best for Last

Nov 9 2023

Judge Arthur Engoron May Have Doomed New York City Re-Posted Nov 9, 2023 By Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: You have not commented on Trump’s NY case. What do you think of this case?

ANSWER: It is a typical New York rigged trial. NOBODY ever gets a fair trial in New York. It is a cesspool of legal corruption. Judge Arthur Engoron is a national disgrace. When Trump’s lawyer Habba stood up to defend Trump, stating that the Engoron needed to “hear what he has to say.” The judge quickly scolded Habba, telling her, “I’m not here to hear what he has to say. He’s here to answer questions.”

He has already determined that everyone is guilty. This is about how much he can take from Trump and his family. They claim Trump should have paid $168 million more in interest. This is so absurd; it is just unimaginable.

In Securities Law, this applies between a professional and a member of the public. If I managed money for a major public corporation and said I wanted 50% of the profits, and they agreed, that is not fraud because, between two professionals, it is presumed they knew what they were doing.

This is not bank fraud, where the loans are paid off. The bank has its own assessors. They would have looked at the collateral listed and lent money on that and must have done their own diligence. For this case to even proceed is outrageous, for you could then scrutinize every loan ever made in New York City and claim that someone overvalued their house when they borrowed.

The ENTIRE world knows this is to interfere in the 2024 election. Both Argentina and Brazil said that a great idea and are doing the same to their opponents. As I have said, the computer is projecting massive civil unrest post-2024. It does not matter who wins the election; NEITHER side will accept the conclusion. I would NOT want to be in New York City post-election. This judge may have sealed the fate of New York City once and for all.

Any rational businessman should now avoid New York City for doing any business whatsoever.

Nov 8 2023

Zelensky is the War Criminal Re-Posted Nov 8, 2023 By Martin Armstrong

Nov 8 2023

The Migrant Crisis – You Ain’ Seen Nuffin Yet! Re-Posted Nov 8, 2023 By Martin Armstrong

We have a monumental crisis with the migrants, for we already know that Middle East terrorists have already entered thanks to Biden’s look-the-other-way policy. The proposal Republicans are pushing is that migrants would also be ineligible for asylum if they have been convicted of felonies or other “serious crimes,” including DUI or certain drug offenses.

The Republicans have called for codifying the so-called “remain in Mexico” policy first enacted under former President Donald Trump. Anything the Trump did, Biden reversed regardless of its credibility or not. Trump’s policy required migrants to stay in a neighboring country while they await decisions from U.S. officials.

New York City is in crisis. They are buying bus tickets and taking migrants to Canada. All of this is because of Biden’s open border policy. We have yet to see the crisis from this policy thus far.

Nov 7 2023

The Coming Great Crash? Re-Posted Nov 6, 2023 By Martin Armstrong

I fully understand that there are now so many calling for a Great Crash of all time as they have during each correction, big and small, for over 30 years, and they just never get it right, even once. Some tout the rise in interest rates. Others look at this chart and nothing else. If there is a Great Crash, then the dollar rises, for you are selling assets for cash. They overlook the fact that in 1929, the US had a balanced budget. The world was buying dollars because Europe defaulted on its debt, which rippled through the financial system, causing 9,000 US bank failures in the United States just as the Mortgage Crisis in the US hit European banks.

So, if there was a Great Crash, does that mean you want to sell all tangible assets, from stocks to real estate, and go to the dollar and government bonds? Is that what you really want to do with Biden throwing money out the window in every direction BUT the domestic economy?

Most of these pretend analysts only look at the chart of 1929 and keep predicting a 90% crash. The dollar went up from 1929 into 1931 when the Sovereign Debt Crisis occurred. I had to read The Great Crash in high school. It was not until I found a copy of Herbert Hoover’s memoirs in an antique bookstore in London that changed my life. Nowhere in Galbraith’s book was there ever any mention of a Sovereign Debt Default because, like FDR, they were trying to see Marxism and blame everything on the private sector, so the government was the promised land.

Between 1929 and 1931, you sold private assets and moved to cash. However, look at what happened when the Sovereign Debt Crisis hit in 1931. The dollar fell with the stock market into 1932. People did not want either and assumed that most of Europe defaulted on their debt, so surely the US would be next. The fall in the dollar meant GOLD declined since there was a gold standard. Roosevelt was elected, and then he CONFISCATED gold BECAUSE he planned to devalue the dollar to inflate his way out of the Depression.

Most of what you hear about the coming Great Crash is distorted history. Some tout rising interest rates. Well, the Fed lowered rates from 6% to 1.5%, and it did NOT support the market. In fact, as always, the Bull market into 1929 took place with rising interest rates. When Trump took office, they called it the Trump Bull Market, and the Fed raised rates throughout his administration.

There is a lot more to this than superficial analysis. We will include a detailed review at the WEC.