Security Guarantees for Ukraine – EU Prepares to Enter War


Posted originally on Aug 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Zelensky with EU leaders

Peace talks are a moot point between Russia and Ukraine. Security guarantees for Ukraine have been at the forefront of Ukraine’s discussions but they are actually a premise to determine how other nations will officially enter the war. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni proposed an ambitious security guarantee that would require allies to decide within 24 hours whether to deploy troops to Ukraine if Russia attacks.

“Allies” could use any excuse to send their men and women to the battlefield under this premise. Zelensky has been urging for Article 5 protection—an attack on one is an attack on all—despite Ukraine not being a member of NATO. Entering the conflict under Article 5 is voluntary, but the situation can only remain voluntary for so long when other members become further embedded in the conflict. Ten European nations have already offered to send troops to Ukraine. Zelensky insists that long-term restrictions on its military should be eliminated.

Ukraine would ideally like to join NATO, but NATO has never been willing to accept Ukraine as a member of its alliance. Instead, paying NATO members will offer Ukraine the very same protections they enjoy as the globalist powers abandon domestic sovereignty for a needless war. Europe knows it is crumbling under its own foot due the surmounting sovereign debt crisis, and rather than accept fault, the plan is to conquer Russia to bypass defaults. The computer indicates that this plan will fail.

I am preparing a report on the sovereign debt crisis for the 2025 World Economic Conference that will discuss this plan in further depth.

New_York_Post_Mr._President_Putin_is_THE_dictator_and_9_o

The European Union cannot admit its socialist experiment has failed, so it needs a distraction. Historically, when governments are bankrupt, they turn to war, and this is not a new strategy but human nature coming into play. The neocons in Washington are eager to play along and drag the US into Europe’s proxy war. The cost of living is skyrocketing among all developed nations, and rather than acknowledging failed policies or changing course, the West has decided to create a common enemy–Russia. Russia is the reason that the people are voting against their failed policies, according to the West and mainstream media. Russia is the reason that energy prices are rising, as they certainly cannot blame climate policies that have murdered the energy sector. Taxes are rising because of Russia. The forces that be would like the people to redirect their anger to the common enemy rather than revolting as they see the rising civil unrest and growing private debt burden.

Meloni said “there are clearly no easy solutions when it comes to stopping a war and building peace,” but she now realizes that peace is not an option. She showed potential at the beginning of her term, but has fallen under the thumb of Brussels. All of Europe, aside from Hungary’s Orban, has bowed to Brussels. The war will not be enough for the continent to hold on to its decaying union.

The Sixteen Thirty Fund – Hidden Online Propaganda


Posted originally on Aug 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

The Sixteen Thirty Fund is a dark money nonprofit that funnels hundreds of millions of dollars to left-leaning political causes. The group spent over $410 million in 2020 alone on media campaigns in an attempt to persuade voters to support “progressive” causes such as migration, climate policies, and abortion. George Soros, Pierre Omidyar, and Swiss billionaire Hansjörg Wyss are known donors to the fund, although the group is not required to disclose their donations publicly.

Not only is the group permitted to operate anonymously, but those paid to promote their messages also operate in secrecy. WIRED magazine recently announced that the Sixteen Thirty Fund has been paying over 90 online social media influencers up to $8,000 a month to support Democratic causes. These content creators operate under the “Chorus Creator Incubator Program,” and they are provided with specific propaganda tools such as “advocacy training,” message briefings, newsroom events, and are often asked to partner with politicians and other left-leaning organizations.

Both sides advertise and push subtle messaging in the media; however, the Sixteen Thirty Fund has prohibited those in the Chorus Creator Incubator Program from disclosing their involvement with the fund. The elites who are promoting causes that they themselves do not abide by insist on anonymity. The 40+ million followers of these influencers do not know that these videos and posts are paid and curated by the leftist billionaire elite.

As a stipulation for payment, the Sixteen Thirty Fund required their minions to route all interactions with lawmakers through their organization to control the narrative.

Traditional political advertisements are disclosed as advertisements. “Paid for by…” However, the new form of media control is through “unique” social media messaging. Moreover, the majority of these social media platforms are already controlled by the leftist billionaire elite. Aside from Elon Musk’s X, all major channels can remove content at whim, and we saw their broad reach during the COVID-19 pandemic when every platform was scrubbing the internet of content that went against the left mainstream media narrative.

Propaganda is far more subtle in today’s day and age. The people controlling the narrative do not care about these causes. The people paid to push these messages do not understand that they are working for the very people they claim to detest.

The Sovereign Debt Crisis Unfolding in Europe


Posted originally on Aug 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Sovereign Debt Crisis Begins

COMMENT: Thank you for the private blog on the sovereign debt crisis. With both the UK and France in trouble and the possibility of the IMF bailing out these two major countries, everything you have been warning about is coming to a head. I was impressed. There was over $20 trillion in the room at the last WEC. This year’s WEC will be more than just an ‘I told you so’ event. Can’t wait. You certainly have a lot to cover.

WL

Zelensky WWIII

REPLY: Well, between War, Sovereign Debt Crisis, shift in capital flows, risk of cancelling paper currencies, and even the rise in volcanic activity on target with Socrates’ forecast, we are looking at a profound shift with wildcards coming in from many directions. This year is our 40th anniversary since the first World Economic Conference was held in Princeton in 1985. Thank God for Socrates. It monitors everything and performs the work of over 1,000 analysts to provide us with a clear picture of what lies ahead.

Conf 1985

I still had some hair back then and was probably 20 pounds lighter. We have the videos of that one, and there I was forecasting, look at the volatility we will experience in the decades ahead. That was undoubtedly an eye-opener at the time.

Velocity 1985 WEC

We did every country, and the charts were all hand-drawn for that conference back in 1985.

Here are some of the Reports for this Year’s WEC


American Civil War WEC 2025
Economic_Warfare_Word WEC 2025
Why_The_Majorityy_Must_Be_Wrong WEC 2025
Silver Report WEC 2025
Sovereign_Debt_Crisis WEC 2025
Europe_s_Migrant_Crisis_2025 WEC
Real Climate_Change_2025 WEC
When_is_War_Bearish WEC 2025
World_Share_Markets_WEC_2025

Bureau of Economic Analysis Revises 2nd Quarter GDP Upward to 3.3 Percent Growth


Posted originally on CTH on August 28, 2025 | Sundance

From an initial report of 3.0% to a revised report of 3.3% second quarter growth. [BEA report HERE]  Not a surprise, when we factor in the prediction we presented after the first quarter GDP.

However, it is nice to see the BEA finally admit, “The increase in real GDP in the second quarter primarily reflected a decrease in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP.”  I digress.

WASHINGTON (AP) — The U.S. economy rebounded this spring from a first-quarter downturn due to fallout from President Donald Trump’s trade wars.

In an upgrade from its first estimate in July, the Commerce Department said Thursday that U.S. gross domestic product — the nation’s output of goods and services — expanded at a 3.3% annual pace from April through June after shrinking 0.5% in the first three months of 2025. The department had initially estimated second-quarter growth at 3%.

The first-quarter GDP drop, the first retreat of the U.S. economy in three years, was mainly caused by a surge in imports — which are subtracted from GDP — as businesses scrambled to bring in foreign goods ahead of Trump’s tariffs. That trend reversed as expected in the second quarter: Imports fell at a 29.8% pace, boosting April-June growth by more than 5 percentage points.

The Commerce Department reported that consumer spending and private investment were a bit stronger in the second quarter than it had first estimated.

Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70% of GDP, grew at a 1.6% annual pace, lackluster but better than 0.5% in the first quarter and the 1.4% the government initially estimated for the second. (read more)

The recession will have to wait, as the economy continues to grow, and while receipts from tariffs continue to pay down the federal debt companies are investing in U.S. at a historic rate.

Ukraine (CIA) Build Drone Factory Next to Buildings Housing EU and British Delegations – Putin Blows It up Anyway


Posted originally on CTH on August 28, 2025 | Sundance

I guess we can call this a FAFO war edition.  Ukraine, likely the CIA all things considered, built a drone manufacturing facility next to the buildings housing the EU and British delegations in Kiev.  Putin blew it up.

None of the EU or Brits were harmed, but the EU and British go bananas.

(Via Politico) – Early Thursday, Russia launched a deadly attack on Kyiv that killed at least 12 and damaged buildings housing the EU and British delegations.

There were no injuries to EU staff in the attack. Commission spokesperson Arianna Podestà said Thursday: “The attacks are completely unacceptable. In no way will they shake our support for Ukraine.” She added that diplomatic staff would remain in Ukraine despite the attack.

The EU’s ambassador to Ukraine, Katarina Mathernova, said the building was “severely damaged by the shock wave” of the “massive” barrage of drones and ballistic missiles Russia launched at Ukraine overnight. (read more)

The Russian Armed Forces struck, including with “Kinzhal” missiles, at military-industrial complex enterprises and Ukrainian military airbases; the Russian Ministry of Defense reported Ukrainian sources report that missiles hit directly in the city center, near Olimpiyskaya metro, on Zhylianskaya Street and nearby areas.

Office buildings were damaged, including banks, international representations, and media outlets. Among them were the EU office and the British Council. Other districts of Kiev were also hit. In addition to missiles, the capital was attacked with new strike drones. {LINK}

August 28, 2025 | Sundance

IC Leakers Target Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard Again


Posted originally on CTH on August 28, 2025 | Sundance 

The Wall Street Journal wrote the hit piece against DNI Tulsi Gabbard, sourced to two “people familiar with the matter,” and “three other people with knowledge of the situation.”  They all needed to coordinate with the WSJ. Think about it.

The substance of the story is that among the 37 current and former Intelligence Community officials Tulsi Gabbard recently stripped of their security clearances, was an “undercover CIA agent” located within one of those agencies.

The story is written to say DNI Tulsi Gabbard should have vetted the list with the CIA for a longer period of time before she took action. Therefore, she is not doing her job correctly, or something.  The CIA was compromised by Tulsi Gabbard removing the security clearance of one of their hidden agents within the U.S. Government.

Before getting to the story at hand, just stop and think of what the story is selling.  The article says the placement of CIA agents throughout the administration’s agencies is commonplace.  The CIA Director is not necessarily aware of these CIA operatives or operations that are taking place within the government.  That point is one well worth thinking about.

However, there’s another larger point that will fly past most casual observers.  The Intelligence Community (IC), and let’s accept this one is likely the CIA (directorate of analysis) from the structure of the political hit, is leaking against DNI Tulsi Gabbard.  Again, think. The issue at the heart of the CIA complaint is null and void unless the CIA publicly complains about it.

If there was a valid, genuine, legitimate and valuable CIA asset within the 37 names who lost their security clearances, the issue would be quickly and quietly resolved by just not taking the action against that person.  Saying nothing, doing nothing, makes the “mistake” (if that’s what it was) disappear.

The CIA complaining about it to the Wall Street Journal is what makes the issue a problem.  That’s how you can identify this story as an organized Intelligence Community political hit against Tulsi Gabbard.

Increasingly, it is becoming more and more clear that Tulsi Gabbard is factually doing what the Intelligence Community feared she would be doing.

DNI Gabbard is targeting all of the political weaponization within the Intelligence Community, and she is methodically removing the corrupt people within the system who participate. In short, she’s doing the thing we wanted her to do – and that’s a problem for the system.

Wall Street Journal – Tulsi Gabbard, director of national intelligence, surprised Central Intelligence Agency officials last week when she included an undercover senior CIA officer on a roster of 37 current and former officials she stripped of security clearances.

Most of the 37 people had either participated in intelligence assessments related to Russia’s attempt to influence the outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential election or had signed a 2019 letter calling for President Trump’s impeachment.

Gabbard didn’t know the CIA officer had been working undercover, according to a person familiar with the fallout from the list’s release. Three other people with knowledge of the situation said that Gabbard’s office didn’t meaningfully consult with the CIA before releasing the list.

Gabbard’s office delivered the list of 37 people to the CIA the evening before the list’s release, according to three people familiar with the communications and emails read to The Wall Street Journal.

The national intelligence office didn’t seek the CIA’s input about the composition of the list, and the CIA had no foreknowledge of Gabbard’s posting on X the following day that revealed the names, including that of the covered CIA officer, according to two of the people familiar with the events.

In a memo announcing the revocations, Gabbard said she had acted on Trump’s orders.

“Director of National Intelligence Gabbard directed the revocations to ensure individuals who have violated the trust placed in them by weaponizing, politicizing, manipulating, or leaking classified intelligence are no longer allowed to do so,” a spokeswoman in Gabbard’s office said.

[…] The CIA official whose clearance was revoked last week is a longtime Russia hand at the agency. The officer has held intelligence posts for more than 20 years and worked from 2014 to 2017 as an expert on Russia and Eurasia on the National Intelligence Council, according to a publicly listed biography.

Earlier this year, the CIA officer spoke at a classified intelligence conference and was described as a senior executive manager in the CIA’s Europe and Eurasia mission center.

[…] It is a felony to reveal the identity of a covert intelligence officer or agent, though it is unclear if the statute could be applied to a government disclosure, or if including her on the list constitutes a disclosure.  (read more)

Did ya’ll catch that little slip-up “her” inside the last sentence?

Apparently, the person on the list, the hidden CIA operative that lost their security clearance, was a “her.”

I watch the minutia closely, and this is one of those very rare instances where I can say, I find zero reason to doubt the intents and integrity goals of DNI Tulsi Gabbard.

FTA: “The CIA officer spoke at a classified intelligence conference and was described as a senior executive manager in the CIA’s Europe and Eurasia mission center”… AFCEA Spring Intelligence Symposium: Ms. Julia Gurganus, Senior Executive Manager – Europe and Eurasia Mission Center, Central Intelligence Agency. [LINK]

Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Holds a Press Briefing – 1:00pm ET Livestream


Posted originally on CTH on August 28, 2025 | Sundance |

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt holds a press briefing from the Brady Room.  The anticipated start time is 1:00pm ET, with livestream links below:

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Bolton Investigation Began During Biden Administration


Posted originally on CTH on August 28, 2025 | Sundance

Once again, the narratives of the professional fake-news media collapse.

For several days the media has been saying the Trump administration FBI targeted John Bolton, hence the FBI raid on his home and office.  However, the New York Times now outlines how the investigation into John Bolton began during the Biden administration and picked up speed after they received access to his email information from an “adversarial country’s spy service.”

Apparently, John Bolton used an unclassified email system to send information to his friends and allies.  The emails were intercepted.  Bolton was discussing information that appears to have been the outcome of his access to classified information as National Security Advisor.

CTH has previously outlined how John Bolton’s business model was essentially selling information and influence.  This common DC business model seems to have formed the baseline for him to share sensitive, possibly classified information, of greater value.  This does not come as a surprise.

Selling information is the currency of affluence in Washington DC.  That’s why the removal of security clearances is looked upon as devastating within the beltway.  New York Times story below:

NEW YORK TIMES – The investigation into President Trump’s former national security adviser, John R. Bolton, began to pick up momentum during the Biden administration, when U.S. intelligence officials collected information that appeared to show that he had mishandled classified information, according to people familiar with the inquiry.

The United States gathered data from an adversarial country’s spy service, including emails with sensitive information that Mr. Bolton, while still working in the first Trump administration, appeared to have sent to people close to him on an unclassified system, the people said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive case that remains open.

The emails in question, according to the people, were sent by Mr. Bolton and included information that appeared to derive from classified documents he had seen while he was national security adviser. Mr. Bolton apparently sent the messages to people close to him who were helping him gather material that he would ultimately use in his 2020 memoir, “The Room Where It Happened.”

In a sign of the stakes for Mr. Bolton, he is in talks to retain the high-profile criminal defense lawyer Abbe Lowell. Mr. Lowell, who has represented Mr. Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and Mr. Biden’s son Hunter, is defending two other prominent perceived enemies of Mr. Trump who are now under scrutiny: the New York state attorney general, Letitia James, and Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve Board. (read more)

At the time of the raid, we noted the activity of Bolton mirrors that of former Senator John McCain (now dead). “An FBI investigation under the auspices of potential violations of the Espionage Act, where Bolton would have leveraged current or prior classified intelligence information as part of his influence business.

Almost identically to former Senator John McCain, John Bolton was well known to intersect with the nation of Qatar as part of his operation.  Qatar has deep pockets and a long-identified influence operation throughout the Middle East, sometimes playing both sides. Qatar is also the playground for the CIA.

While it is yet unknown which nation and which activity Bolton was likely engaged in, the highest probability centers around the deepest pockets, which would also put Bolton on the CIA radar.

Since initially writing that outline, someone noticed this video from John McCain’s funeral.  WATCH CLOSELY:

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Something is being given to John Bolton in that video.  Something from Mouaz Moustafa, Syrian Emergency Task Force (SETF) and Senator John McCain’s intermediary to the Muslim Brotherhood. {Go Deep}

If I had to guess, from the position of Moustafa and those behind him (Muslim Brotherhood/Qatar), John Bolton became the replacement for John McCain after the senator’s death.  We wait to find out the details of the predicate for the FBI raid.

‘The Guardian’ Claims Ex-Pastor At Pete Hegseth’s Church Calls For Public Executions And Says Bible Backs ICE Raids, Jenny Holland Reacts


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: August 27, 2025

Liz Yore Gives Updates On The Tragic Shooting At Annunciation Catholic School


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: August 27, 2025