The real Game of Thrones is already underway. The contest to succeed Mario Draghi is now officially open. The head of the European Central Bank (ECB) will leave office on October 21st, 2019. The question is who has the guts to step up to the plate to clean up the mess he is leaving behind? The appointment of his successor is already underway.

All the various governments are planning to submit their entries for what people are calling the ECB derby of 2019. Nobody really knows what will happen between now and the summer of 2019 is already a political lifetime. The favorite behind the curtain seems to be Jens Weidmann, who is the current head of Germany’s Bundesbank. If he would take that position is debatable. There are huge economic problems Draghi is leaving behind with the Quantitative Easing and then stir in conflicting political interests, and it becomes highly questionable whether this is going to be an easy compromise of the clash of titans.

The backroom shenanigans are not going to be so easy since Draghi has kept member states on life support. The monetary policy crisis in Europe may now come to a head and expect this to also become a major influence behind the Euro in 2019 as speculation grows. However, there is a prelude to the Draghi successor. Come May 2019, the term of Vítor Manuel Ribeiro Constâncio, who has served as Vice President of the ECB from June 2010 until May 2018 must be decided. Constâncio served as Governor of the Bank of Portugal from 2000 to 2010. With his term expiring in May, the new Eurogroup president, Mário Centeno, formally asked his finance minister colleagues to submit their nominations for the job by February 8th, so that the heads of government have time to agree before the spring. The choice of vice president will certainly influence political balance which could alter also the type of policy to expect from 2020 onward.

One thing is very clear, the Vice President and President will not be from the same countries regardless of their qualifications. The tradition has been that the four largest eurozone economies — Germany, France, Italy, and Spain — must have one representative on the board, with the other two seats being left to remaining 15 powers. There is little question that Jens Weidmann would reverse the policies of Draghi and shrink the ECB balance sheet as quickly as possible. The French will object to Weidmann being the man to sit in that chair when many states are starting to complain about the austerity philosophy of Germany

Macron is pushing for the European Finance Minister to raise money by selling EU bonds and then distribute the money to the 19-member Eurozone. France is very heavily indebted and here once again we have simply the goal to raise more money rather than reform. Because of the riots in France, Macron is trying to get the EU to fund France. They want to call this the European Monetary Fund and it would be pitched as stabilizing the Eurozone, but in reality, it is circumventing the austerity principles and budget constraints.

Juncker was the European Finance Minister to chair a body of European Finance Ministers from each member state. He would also become the Vice President of the European Union.
Juncker is seeking to use the European debt crisis that is brewing as the means to the ends resulting in the final federalization of Europe. If the EU raises the money and hands it out like welfare to the states, then they become addicted and totally dependent upon Brussels and thus eventually all sovereignty is surrendered.

This new European Monetary Fund would incorporate the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) which is a Luxembourg-based fund that lends money to states in crisis. They lent money to Cypris, Greece, Ireland, Spain, and Portugal. They were issuing their own debt but were not an EU entity. The ESM capitalization was guaranteed by the euro countries. Therefore, the proposal is really a takeover and it would be a way to funnel money to states such as France