COMMENT: Regarding AOC and the FLOP climate change documentary. How much fossil fuel was used for this flop of a project. Sounds contradictory to the proposed agenda the are preaching. Almost as ironic as the elite jet setting with their private jets while we should all ride bicycles to work. MA, Thank you for being a voice of reason in these truly uncertain time.
Be well and keep doing what you do.
Regards, CRW
REPLY: I know. This is so insane. I’m sure she spent far more in fossil fuels to make this flop than the $10,000 it raked in. I have been in my fair share of movie productions. The number of people running around you can’t even count on two hands for a small film. They were even filming a movie on the beach in front of the house next door I think for the Hallmark Channel. They even had a COVID enforcer who came running up when some of the girls on the film crew just wanted to pet my dog. She came running over and said no – they could not even touch any animal. How much did it cost to fly her around?
The Biden Administration is now targeting fishing. They have argued all along that boats expel more CO2 than cars, Cows, or Airplanes. So it is no surprise to now target boating imposing a 10-knot speed limit. This will end the deep sea fishing period – both for sport and food supply. This is up and down the entire East Coast. Of course, Right whales, migrate and can be seen every winter off the Atlantic coast between Jacksonville and Cap Canaveral between December and March each year. They are tourist attractions with hundreds of siting every season.
This is how government works. They just impose blank bans on the entire ocean out for 150 miles. When they did Obamacare, I lost my insurance from Blue Cross because it did not include maternity leave despite the fact I was not married and at that time men could still not get pregnant unless they were in California apparently.
Such bans with a broad brush of this nature will impact the entire industry ending much of the shipping industry as well as the ports. Why ship anything now to New York, Philadelphia, or Virginia? There go the unions!
AOC’s four year in the making Documentary of fighting for Climate Change was a complete flop. It debuted in movie theaters around the country and took in $10,000 averaging $80 per movie theater. Of course, the leftist media hail the film, and it was the worst debut of any film in history.Just maybe people are becoming WOKE – walking up to the real propaganda.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 15, 2022 | Sundance
Friends, in the late summer and fall of 2021 CTH warned of massive waves of price increases that would push inflation to record highs. We watched as each wave arrived almost on schedule throughout 2022, and as a direct result of Joe Biden energy and economic policy, prices necessarily skyrocketed.
In essence in 2021 we were warning about the expenditure side of the ledger that all working-class and fixed income families would experience. We advised to take every proactive measure possible to avoid future price increases.
Now, unfortunately, we begin moving those same warnings to the other side of the ledger; because as a natural consequence of consumer checkbook pain, the financial pressure always transfers to the income and employment side of the economic dynamic.
Keep in mind, retail sales are calculated in dollars spent by consumers. November 2022 retail sales as reported by the commerce department today [DATA pdf], reflect a 0.6% decrease in spending vs October. November data includes Thanksgiving, Black Friday and the traditional early holiday shopping. 0.6% less dollars were spent, despite prices being double digits higher than the prior year.
When the prices you are charging for goods and/or services are 10, 20, even as high as 60 percent more than prior year, yet your sales are running flat to negative – that means consumer purchases of those goods/services are substantially lower.
If you were selling 100 widgets for $1 each in 2021, you gross $100. If your widgets now sell for $1.25 and you gross $94 in 2022 sales, you have sold 75 widgets.
In 2021 you sold 100 widgets, in 2022 you sold 75 widgets, a difference of 25 widgets.
Everything attached to the raw material, creation, manufacturing, distribution and sale of those 25 missing widgets is no longer part of the economic activity associated with your widget business. You are now telling your suppliers you don’t need as many widgets, because they are not selling. You have lost 25% of your business in this scenario.
Everything associated with the drop in consumer spending now begins to downsize. Downsizing means less labor needed. This process triggers the economic impact shifting from the consumer sales side of the ledger to the income side of the ledger for employers, employees and workers.
If this consumer spending trend continues, and there is absolutely no reason to think it will reverse, we are entering a phase of serious financial instability for the American worker, at a scale that will dwarf the 2006/’07 and ’08 recession.
I am not a doomsayer pundit on economic matters. I am a proactive planner on economic forecasts. With consumer credit costing more, with fed interest rates climbing, with import orders cancelled, with shipping costs dropping, with consumer spending contracting, with fewer units moving, with inventories climbing, all of the data only points in one direction.
Serious consumer defaults are looming.
Government policy has been hammering the demand side of the economy, proclaiming -falsely- that excessive consumer demand was the cause of inflation. This game of economic pretending is about to get very serious.
Consumer spending, as measured in actual units created and purchased in the economy, has been contracting since the third quarter of 2021 (started June, July, August ’21). Simultaneously, consumer spending as measured in actual dollars spent to purchase food, fuel and energy, has been skyrocketing. This is a supply side inflationary cycle with no soft landing.
(Wall Street Journal) – U.S. retail spending and manufacturing weakened in November, signs of a slowing economy as the Federal Reserve continues its battle against high inflation.
November retail sales fell 0.6% from the prior month for the biggest decline this year, the Commerce Department said Thursday. Budget-conscious shoppers pulled back sharply on holiday-related purchases, home projects and autos. Manufacturing output declined 0.6%, the first drop since June, the Fed said in a separate report.
The Fed on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate 0.5 percentage point to a 15-year high and signaled plans to continue lifting rates through the spring. Fed officials have increased rates at the fastest pace since the 1980s to cool the economy and bring down inflation, which is running near a 40-year high.
“Most households are acting strategically, planning for a road ahead that may be more difficult to traverse, with higher interest rates, the housing slump, and ongoing inflation—and the very real possibility of a recession,” said Craig Johnson, president of the retail consulting firm Customer Growth Partners. (read more)
Businesses are going to start cutting expenses in order to survive.
The number one expense for almost all businesses is the labor cost.
Non-essential and high wage labor is going to get removed first.
Europe is trying to impose a cap on Russian oil at $60 a barrel. Russian authorities rejected a price cap and threatened to stop supplying the nations that endorsed it.
Australia, Britain, Canada, Japan, the United States and the 27-nation European Union agreed to cap what they would pay for Russian oil at $60-per-barrel. The limit is set to take effect along with an EU embargo on Russian oil shipped by sea.
In all honesty, this is the most braindead decision up their with trying to peg currencies. These people constantly reject any understanding of a business cycle and follow in the footsteps of Karl Marx believing that they even have the power to regulate prices of anything. Bretton Woods collapsed because of this same stupid reasoning of fixing the the dollar to gold at $35 per ounce. They capped the price of gold to dollars but never limited the amount of dollars they created. A 3-year old with a pocket calculator could have figured out that system would collapse.
So here we are with world leaders once again engaging in absolute stupidity that will come back to to rue the day they ever came up with this idea. If the price of oil rises to $100, they will prevent their own economies from acquiring energy. That would push the price of oil up even higher if they can only then buy non-Russian oil. Crude closed 2021 at $75.21. In their mind, they are trying still to destroy the Russian economy. This trick will only backfire.
Then this high-heel dancing head of Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky, meanwhile, actually revealed the Ukrainian hatred of Russians and why Russia came to the aid of the Donbas because they would massacre every Russian they get their hands on as they did in Odessa as the West was silent for Russians are not entitled to human rights. Andriy Yermak, the head of Zelensky’s office, wrote on Telegram, staking out a position also favored by Poland which has also lost its mind, which will further create World War III since that is what has already been announced against Russia.
“It would be necessary to lower it to $30 in order to destroy the enemy’s economy faster.”
Granted, Russia’s crude has already been selling for around $60 a barrel, which is a deep discount from the international benchmark Brent. Whatever these people can do to create chaos in the world markets and bring the world to the brink of a major international war, they are doing it brilliantly.
BTW, our model called the low in 2020, had a Directional Change for 2022, and the next key turning point is the strongest on the Array in 2023. So thank you, braindead politicians. I am sure they will blame Putin and argue he is using energy as a weapon when, by their own statements, that is what they are doing to bring down Russia.
These world leaders are trying to cap the price of oil below market value and then this evil leader of Ukraine, Zelensky, wants the cap to be $30. I warned that Zelensky will be the man, or whatever pronoun he/she prefers, that will create World War III just as the Serbs began World War I. A low in 2023 will most likely see a slingshot up into the years ahead.
Posted originally on the CTH on December 5, 2022 | Sundance
Carbon trading is the economic platform to generate government income. That income then drives the carbon control financial mechanisms that will be deployed to the people. At the end of the financial lane, we arrive at a world with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). The digital money provides instant control over spending and carbon resource allocation.
For many years the carbon allowances for individuals were esoteric goals as presented by those who assemble at various global COP meetings, Davos and the World Economic Forum. However, with rapid advances in the energy control process, a result of the pandemic and Build Back Better exit, the control officers are now quantifying the specifics for the individual citizen. [pdf Here]
In short, we are now getting down to the brass tacks. Your resource allocation is part of the “consumption intervention” consideration, where the amount of carbon emission your consumption drives is what determines the goal for your future allocation.
[From the Abstract] – There is a growing consensus, based on compelling evidence, that the world is facing a climate crisis and rapid action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions is a necessity. Historically, decision-makers and academics have discussed a range of options that can reduce our carbon footprint over the long-term. However, recent evidence demonstrates that choosing between one option and another is no longer compatible with rapid and significant emission reductions.
Increasingly, all options are required, and this involves multiple actors exploring how they can respond to the current climate crisis; including national government, cities, business and civil society. (read more)
As you can see above, the goal is to remove meat and dairy products completely.
In the next chart, you can see your allocation for “net clothing and textiles“:
You will be permitted 3 new clothing items each year.
In the Transporation sector, the ambitious goal is to remove all private vehicles, and the target lifetime of vehicles is 50 years.
For airline travel, citizens will be permitted one flight less than 1,500km (930 miles) every three years.
[Abstract] – “The wide range of action required to achieve a 1.5°C scenario leaves little room for delay or failure over the coming decade; other broad, supporting policies can provide a safety net by bringing about complimentary emission reductions. Examples of such policies are a wide deployment of carbon capture and storage (CCS), particularly in industries that emit direct emissions, and carbon pricing mechanisms that can underpin action across entire economies and markets. However, even deeper paradigmatic shifts may be relevant, such as adopting more useful measures of societal development than just economic growth. In practice, no one city or nation will follow the exact same emissions reduction pathway, but this report provides direction on the type, scale and timescale of policies that will need to be implemented (read more).
As mentioned in the beginning, these are the allocations we can expect to see in the future.
The enforcement mechanisms will likely vary depending on government power amid the various nations within the collective western society. However, based on the successful results from the COVID passport beta tests, gateways and permissions, some form of digital currency will likely be part of the compliance process for the carbon allocation as outlined.
Posted originally on the CTH on December 1, 2022 | Sundance
West Virginia Treasurer Riley Moore lead the way earlier this year in removing Wall Street financial firms from holding state funds due to ‘Environmental, Social and Governance’ or ‘ESG’ climate change ideology driving investment decisions.
West Virginia had been the tip of the spear since early 2021 {link} removing Blackrock in January of 2022, and even removed banking contracts from multiple investment firms during the battle and asked other states to join in the effort {link}.
Today, Florida Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis announced the DeSantis administration would be following the lead from West Virginia.
[FLORIDA] – […] State Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis announced Thursday that Florida will immediately freeze about $1.43 billion in long-term securities and about $600 million in short-term overnight investments managed by BlackRock because of the firm’s use of “Environmental, Social, and Governance” standards — known as ESG.
Patronis in a prepared statement said he doesn’t “trust BlackRock’s ability to deliver” and “BlackRock CEO Larry Fink is on a campaign to change the world.”
“Whether stakeholder capitalism, or ESG standards, are being pushed by BlackRock for ideological reasons, or to develop social credit ratings, the effect is to avoid dealing with the messiness of democracy,” Patronis said.
Republican leaders in Florida and across the country have targeted ESG ratings, which can involve considering a wide range of issues in investments, such as companies’ climate-change vulnerabilities; carbon emissions; racial inequality; product safety; supply-chain labor standards; privacy and data security; and executive compensation.
Patronis said the state Department of Financial Services oversees about $60 billion and that the money with BlackRock will be moved “elsewhere.” (read more)
As part of the ongoing 2024 positioning effort, the ConInc influencers in/around Florida Governor Ron DeSantis attempted to claim Florida had led the way on the initiative. However, the reality of DeSantis as a bandwagoneer is brutally obvious to anyone who followed the previous effort and the backlash against West Virginia.
It’s good to see Florida join the effort.
I’m glad Florida followed West Virginia’s lead in pulling money away from BlackRock.
We are now in Solar Cycle 25 with peak sunspot activity expected in 2025. Solar Cycle 24 which ended in December 2019, was of average in length, at 11 years. However, it was the 4th-smallest intensity since regular record keeping began with Solar Cycle 1 in 1755. We’re now in Solar Cycle 25 and we are still in Solar Minimum conditions at this time. Solar Maximum is predicted to occur midway through this cycle which may come as soon as November 2024 but no later than March 2026, with this ideal peak reaching most likely by July 2025.
Right now, the solar wave is conforming more to our model than that of NASA. The Sun has become far more active than NASA has forecast or expected. NASA is beginning to worry that this Solar Cycle 25 could become the Strongest Cycle Since Records Began. Effectively, in terms of our model terminology, Solar Cycle 25 may be a Panic Cycle. In other words, we appear to be headed into the strongest cycle on record following the weakest cycle. That is high volatility in cycle terminology.
So what does this mean for Markets?
Since this Solar Minimum may continue into 2024, that appears to be a very major turning point on our global food index. Most of our models on markets are showing Panic Cycles in the 2027-2028 time period. That appears to be more war than nature.
I warned that Socrates, which monitors everything around the world, noticed a distinct correlation that more volcanos erupt during Solar Minimum. There have been many studies on the impact of UV and gamma radiation during solar changes and events. Gamma-rays are a form of electromagnetic radiation, as are radio waves, infrared radiation, ultraviolet radiation, X-rays, and microwaves. Gamma-rays can be used to treat cancer, and gamma-ray bursts are studied by astronomers.
I have also reported that our correlation models also show that solar minimums correspond to increased volcanic activity. Volcanic winters take place during solar minimums. It certainly seems that gamma-rays may be the reason volcanoes erupt more during these periods. This certainly also reduces food production and increases disease, presumably because of a rise in malnutrition. However, since gamma-rays are also used to treat cancer, there is at least a basis to warrant further investigation if the increase in gamma-rays during solar minimums impact certain susceptible people or those with particular DNA sequences.
We tend to ignore volcanos since they are not in our backyard. The deadly aspect of these volcanic eruptions is not the loudness of the boom, but how much ash it throws up into the atmosphere which then blocks the sun creating Volcanic Winter.
Mount Tambora (VEI 7) erupted in 1816 and threw into the air so much ash that it snowed during the summer in New York City. It became known as 18-hundred-and-froze-to-death. This account from history tells the story that 1816 was a year when the sunlight could not penetrate the natural pollution from Tambora. As a result of a volcanic eruption at Mount Tambora in Indonesia, weather patterns were disrupted worldwide for months, allowing for excessive rain, frost, and snowfall through much of the Northeastern U.S. and Europe in the summer of 1816.
The global cooling altered the natural weather and it resulted in a serious food shortage that set off a mass migration from New England to the Midwest within the USA as people were trying to find the sun. Some saw this as an omen and there was also a religious revival.
Almost one year has now passed since the Hunga-Tonga-Hunga-Ha’apai volcano erupted (VEI 5). Only now are we starting to realize that this eruption was the biggest volcanic event in human history. They have mapped the 22,000 km(2) area around the Tonga volcano. This has curiously taken place with the weakest solar minimum on record. More significantly, such a major explosion takes about one year before its true impact is understood worldwide.
Mauna Loa, which is the largest volcano in the world covers half the island of Hawaii. It has erupted 33 times since 1843 making this an average cycle of 5.4 years. It tends not to be extremely violent as many others. Hawaii’s Mauna Loa has therefore erupted for the first time in decades but nearby, Kilauea is also erupting and both on the archipelago’s Big Island. Dual eruptions haven’t been seen since 1984.
The last eruption took place in 1984, making this prolonged quiet periodthe volcano’s longest in recorded history. More interesting, it is near Kilauea which erupted in 2018. The concern is not this volcano by itself. We are looking around the world at increased volcanic activity for the danger is a volcanic winter coming on top of these shortages manufactured by COVID restrictions.
There has been activity which has been detected in Alaska under what has been an 800-year dormant volcano near Sitka known as Mount Edgecumbe. This volcano was believed to have been extinct since it has not been active for at least 800 years. Earthquakes began earlier this year.
Just in August, in Indonesia, the Anak Krakatau Volcano erupted in Seven Explosions within Two Days. It unleashed 1500-Metre-High Scorching Ash.
The Ahyi Seamount is the largest submarine volcano which lies 449 feet deep in the Pacific Ocean below the Northern Mariana Islands, which are more than 3,700 miles west of Honolulu.
Meanwhile, over in Italy, the Stromboli volcano has also erupted also during October 2022. Several explosions inside of Italy’s Stromboli volcano sent enormous plumes of smoke into the sky and major streams of lava into the Tyrrhenian Sea over the weekend.
Over in Russia, its Shiveluch volcano has become active and now a powerful explosion is considered possible at any moment. It is one of the largest in the Russian far East volcanos recorded and it has had volcanic ash plume rising up to around 13000ft altitude.
There were 5 eruptions last year around the world at 5 or higher on the Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI). The first two eruptions here in 2022 were Bezymianny in Russia during May and Popocatépetl in Mexico during June. There was only one in 2020, but 5 during 2019. It appears we are witnessing a rise in global activity that is starting from a general major low in volcanic activity overall.
We have a string of Directional Changes between 2022 and 2025. We may be looking at rising volcanic activity into 2025. We will run our models on intensity as well. The undersea Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption of December 2021 into January 14-15, 2022 was a volcanic explosivity equivalent to VEI 5. It was an eruption of a magnitude greater than the 1991 eruption of Pinatubo in The Philippines. According to a news article, the main undersea international fiber-optic communication cable that had been severed in multiple places due to the eruption had been repaired by February 21, 2022, and internet connectivity was restored the following day.
The sheer magnitudes of this eruption tends to warn that we may in fact witness a very significant rise in both the frequency of eruptions as well as the magnitude into 2025. The VEI describes the size of explosive volcanic eruptions based on magnitude and intensity. The numerical scale (from 0 to 8) is a logarithmic scale, and is therefore similar to the Richter and other magnitude scales for the size of earthquakes.
The largest eruption of magna took place at Yellowstone at Huckleberry Ridge about 2.1 million years ago. Our cycle models on Yellowstone have turned up and the “ideal” target would be in the year 2100. The difference between a VEI5 and VEI6 is a factor of 10 to 100.
What If Published originally on Rumble on November 29, 2022
What If We Had a Second Little Ice Age like we had around 400 years ago which is more likely than the global warming “they” have been predicting for 40 years now but as never happened?
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America