Comments & Free Markets


Armstrong Economics Blog/Basic Concepts Re-Posted Mar 20, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT #1: Well, at least I got the decline accelerating in the Ruble correct and thanks to your models knew the war and commodity cycles were turning up. Getting the fundamentals correct ahead of time is a work in progress and definitely not easy.

But while watching the Ruble crashing into weakness going into the ECM, one could not reverse position and go long the RUB. Heck, nobody could even open new positions and definitely not buy the RUB. All that was allowed was closing already existing positions. And now the RUB was even removed from the trading platform altogether.

So my original trading strategy of shorting and then going long RUB got cut short and max profits throw out the window. So much for free markets.

EM

COMMENT #2: Marty you have proven your model and computer is the key to running governments for the future living with the cycle. It is easy to see why the CIA wanted your model pinpointing Ukraine almost 10 years in advance as the key spot for war. It is also interesting how others prefer not to ever mention you for your work is not opinion like everyone else. I really hope you succeed in securing Socrates for the world long-term. We all can learn so much.

All the best from Poland

and thanks for the conference that you did here in Warsaw

VA

REPLY: The free markets are not so free. During the Civil War, even President Lincoln went after trading gold and argued those people were making money off of every battle. The EU wanted to take trading the Euro away from London because of BREXIT. The people running these governments will NEVER honor the free markets when they go against them.

Yes, it was very nice to meet everyone in Warsaw. I had not been there before. I am doing my best to make sure Socrates continues beyond my shelf life. The problem is that the world is run by the seat of its pants and it is always based upon bias, prejudice, and power-plays driven by ego. I think some people just need to have an enemy and no matter what changes, they ignore that to keep the hatred ongoing.

There are people who still call China Communist even though there is private ownership which is the opposite of communism. They will continue to hate China no matter what and that in turn only invokes a response to counter that trend. Biases like that prevent us from ever moving forward and society is at times like a scratched record playing the same track over and over again.

A Technical Study in the Relationships of Solar Flux, Water, Carbon Dioxide in the upper Atmosphere, Using the latest February, 2022 NASA & NOAA Data


From the attached report on climate change for February 2022 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958? To show this graphically Chart 8a was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about 32.0% from 1958 to February of 2022. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is almost un-measurable at only .4%. As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for another Chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2 Shown in the next Chart using a different scale.

This is Chart 8 which is the same as Chart 8a except for the scales. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 50 % on the left and 5% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .40%; while CO2 has increased by 32.0% which is 80 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem?

Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be a bit over 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius.

The numbers tell us the story of the planets Atmosphere

The full 40 page report explains how these charts were developed .

<object class="wp-block-file__embed" data="https://centinel2012.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/blackbody-temperature-2022-02.pdf&quot; type="application/pdf" style="width:100%;height:600px" aria-label="Embed of <strong>blackbody-temperature-2022-02blackbody-temperature-2022-02Download

Forbes Fires Journalist Who Revealed Fauci’s Finances


Armstrong Economics Blog/Media Re-Posted Mar 17, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Adam Andrzejewski reported that Dr. Anthony Fauci became America’s highest-paid public employee amid the pandemic, and that report cost him his job at Forbes. The war on journalism is on. Everything Andrzejewski reported is public record — Fauci earned $1.7 million in 2020, and his wife Christine, who also works at NIH, earned $234,284 in 2020. The Fauci’s household net worth now exceeds $10.4 million.

Forbes was not happy with Andrzejewski’s reporting, and the situation reached a peak in January 2022 when US Senator Roger Marshall (R-Kan) cited the Forbes article while questioning Fauci’s financial disclosures. Fauci pulled a Biden and called the senator a “moron” on a hot mic. OpenTheBooks sued NIH in October 2021 for failing to provide the 1,200-page report of Fauci’s hidden financials. Rather than questioning the money flowing to Fauci, Forbes blamed their own journalist for exposing the skeletons in the closet.

Caroline Howard, the executive editor at Forbes, reached out to Andrzejewski to question why he wrote three articles on Fauci in three weeks. Howard accused Andrzejewski of reporting his personal “opinion” rather than fact, despite him citing his sources and maintaining journalistic integrity. Only six of his 56 published articles from 2021 to 2022 mentioned Fauci, but that was still too much for Forbes.

The National Institute of Health should have no say on public reporting and their eagerness to censor the truth should raise suspicions. The NIH reached out to Forbes demanding that they change the terminology surrounding Fauci’s gala attendances to “received” rather than “collected,” along with other minor changes, but they found nothing wrong with Andrzejewski’s overall report. Forbes fired Andrzejewski two days later.

All news agencies have been compromised. All news is now government-sponsored and/or edited. The truth is not easily available, but it is out there if one cares enough to seek it out.

Tucker Carlson Revisits the Media People Who Manipulated the Hunter Biden Laptop Story


Posted originally on the conservatoire tree house on March 17, 2022 | Sundance

On his evening broadcast Fox news host Tucker Carlson took a historic look at how the media manipulated the Hunter Biden laptop story in order to protect Joe Biden as a candidate.  These same media personalities claim they are credible, and viciously attack anyone who points out their lies.   The example of the BIden laptop should forever dispatch any credibility they claim to hold.  WATCH: 

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Not included in the Carlson review, but one of the most transparently biased segments on the Biden laptop issue, was the interview between CNN disinformation specialist Christiane Amanpour and Liz Harrington.  Given the recent revelations about the authenticity of the Biden laptop, watch this video of Amanpour trying to protect the regime.

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The Follow-up (below) is when it gets heated.

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Highest Gasoline Prices in History Hit All 50 States, National Avg Increased 20 Cents in Just Four Days


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 10, 2022 | Sundance

The nationwide average for regular gas is now $4.32 a gallon, according to AAA. Just yesterday it was $4.25. In just a few days gasoline has eclipsed the highest price ever recorded by 20¢.  The previous record was $4.11 in July 2008.  Unfortunately, there is no end in sight.  Anecdotally, my neighborhood gas station went up 75¢/gal in just three days and is now $4.95.

Nationally, Diesel prices are also at record highs, with the average cost at $5.06 a gallon, up almost twenty cents overnight from Wednesday to Thursday.  This will increase transportation costs for all goods being delivered.   The speed of the current rate of increase is very troublesome.

(Current gas price in West Hollywood, Los Angeles, CA)

USA today has an estimate of gasoline prices by state – SEE HERE

What is the current price near you?

American Heart Association Warns About Vaccines


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Mar 10, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

American Heart Association:

“We conclude that the mRNA vacs dramatically increase inflammation on the endothelium and T cell infiltration of cardiac muscle and may account for the observations of increased thrombosis, cardiomyopathy, and other vascular events following vaccination.”

This statement was labeled by Twitter as “unsafe.” I suppose that Twitter is run by heart surgeons now. This seems to be a simple agenda. Force mandatory vaccines to justify international COVID passports that the World Health Organization is introducing thanks to Gates Foundation and the Rockefeller Foundation — the two most concerned about over-population. The advice coming from Fauci who claims he himself is SCIENCE, which amounts to trying to interpret Nostradamus or reading tea leaves. Why is Twitter so intent on supporting ONLY fake news? There is just nobody on our side at all anymore.

Candace Owens Interviews Dr. Robert Malone – Part 1 & 2


Posted originally on Rumble on March 7, 2022

EMR Survey: Ivermectin Associated with Lower Mortality Than Remdesivir


Posted originally on TrialSite New by Staff March 5, 2022

EMR Survey Suggests Ivermectin Associated with Lower Mortality Than Remdesivir

A team of University of Miami researchers compared fatality rates for COVID-19 patients who took ivermectin and those who took remdesivir and found the ivermectin cohort experienced reduced mortality.

“Ivermectin use was associated with decreased mortality in patients with COVID-19 compared to remdesivir,” the authors wrote.

The authors determined that ivermectin’s odds ratio of mortality compared to Remdesivir was 0.308.

Ivermectin vs. Remdesivir

Ivermectin has been discouraged as an early treatment option by the United States Food and Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control and other public health authorities, while remdesivir has been endorsed by those same authorities.

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“To our knowledge, this is the largest association study of patients with COVID-19, mortality and ivermectin,” said the authors. “Further double-blinded placebo-controlled [random controlled trials] with large samples are required for definite conclusion.”

University of Miami Research Team

The researchers included medical student Iakov Efimenko, medical student Sirpi NackeeranSinan K. Jabori, MD, Associate Program Director of the Infectious Disease Fellowship Jose Gonzalez Zamora, MDSara Danker, MD, and Devinder Singh, MD, all of whom are affiliated with University of Miami’s Miller School of Medicine.

TriNetX Research Network Searched 

The team searched patient records on the TriNetX Research network, a federated electronic medical records network of over 44 healthcare organizations and 68 million U.S. patients from 2009 to 2021 to identify adults with a recorded COVID-19 infection between January 1, 2020, and July 11, 2021. 

The team then compared those with recorded use of ivermectin, but not remdesivir, against those with recorded use of remdesivir, but not ivermectin. 

The team also controlled for comorbidities and treatments that may affect COVID-19 survival outcomes: age, gender, race, ethnicity, nicotine use diabetes mellitus, obesity, chronic lower respiratory disease, ischemic heart diseases, tocilizumab, glucocorticoids, or ventilator use.

Mortality Primary Outcome

The group measured association with mortality as the primary outcome.

The team identified a cohort of 1,072 people who were treated with ivermectin and another 40,536 who were treated with remdesivir. 

In the ivermectin cohort, the average age was 51.9 + 17.8 years, 43% were male, 60% had glucocorticoids, and 1% required ventilator support, average age. 

In the remdesivir cohort, the average age was 62.0 + 16.0 years, 54% were male, 64% had glucocorticoids, and 2% required ventilator support. 

Ivermectin Reduced Mortality vs. Remdesivir by 70%

After using propensity score matching and adjusting for potential confounders, ivermectin was associated with 70 percent reduced mortality vs remdesivir with a risk difference of -5.224%.

Study: Pfizer mRNA Vaccine Integrates Into Our DNA


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Mar 4, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

A new Swedish lab study shows that the mRNA vaccine integrates into our DNA at the cellular level – permanently.

Study abstract:

"Furthermore, a recent study showed that SARS-CoV-2 RNA can be reverse-transcribed and integrated into the genome of human cells. In this study, we investigated the effect of BNT162b2 on
the human liver cell line Huh7 in vitro. Huh7 cells were exposed to BNT162b2, and quantitative
PCR was performed on RNA extracted from the cells. We detected high levels of BNT162b2 in Huh7
cells and changes in gene expression of long interspersed nuclear element-1 (LINE-1), which is an
endogenous reverse transcriptase. Immunohistochemistry using antibody binding to LINE-1 open
reading frame-1 RNA-binding protein (ORFp1) on Huh7 cells treated with BNT162b2 indicated
increased nucleus distribution of LINE-1. PCR on genomic DNA of Huh7 cells exposed to BNT162b2
amplified the DNA sequence unique to BNT162b2. Our results indicate a fast up-take of BNT162b2
into human liver cell line Huh7, leading to changes in LINE-1 expression and distribution. We also
show that BNT162b2 mRNA is reverse transcribed intracellularly into DNA in as fast as 6 h upon
BNT162b2 exposure."

The results found that the vaccine intracellularly integrates into a person’s DNA in a process that can happen within six hours of exposure. Additionally, the mRNA vaccine does in fact travel to the liver and other locations such as ovaries. The messenger RNA travels outside of the nucleus to target proteins required for building cells (e.g., growing muscle tissue) in a process called transcription.

Scientists told us that the vaccine would not affect our DNA in any way. Rio Times reported, “For many years, Central Dogma of Molecular Biology stated that the “reverse transcription” — moving genetic code from RNA back into the sacred cellular nuclear and recoding the DNA — was impossible.” The compromised and biased scientific community eventually realized that reverse transcription was possible, as seen within the HIV RNA virus that does reprogram and replicate DNA.

Pfizer’s vaccine produces the LINE-1 enzyme, which is one of the enzymes required for reverse transcriptase. What does this mean for those who have taken this vaccine? There is growing concern that the vaccine is also affecting the “germ line,” which affects female eggs and male sperm cells, as well as forming fetuses. The long-term side effects of the vaccine have not been determined and the pharmaceutical companies have already lobbied governments to grant them full immunity for when those side effects are revealed.

A Technical Study in the Relationships of Solar Flux, Water, Carbon Dioxide in the upper Atmosphere, Using the latest January, 2022 NASA & NOAA Data


From the attached report on climate change for January 2022 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958? To show this graphically Chart 8a was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about 32.0% from 1958 to January of 2022. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is almost un-measurable at only .4%. As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for another Chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2 Shown in the next Chart using a different scale.

This is Chart 8 which is the same as Chart 8a except for the scales. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 50 % on the left and 5% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .40%; while CO2 has increased by 32.0% which is 80 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem?

Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be a bit over 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius.

The numbers tell us the real story of the planets Climate

The full 40 page report explains how these charts were developed

Click on the link below for the full report that you can download.

<object class="wp-block-file__embed" data="https://centinel2012.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/blackbody-temperature-2022-01.pdf&quot; type="application/pdf" style="width:100%;height:600px" aria-label="Embed of <strong>blackbody-temperature-2022-01blackbody-temperature-2022-01Download