Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on Five Most Abundant Greenhouse Gases


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Excellent Physics Written by W. A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer Published on June 8, 2020

The atmospheric temperatures and concentrations of Earth’s ve most important, greenhouse gases, H2O, CO2, O3, N2O and CH4 control the cloud-free, thermal radiative flux from the Earth to outer space. Over 1/3 million lines having strengths as low as 10􀀀27 cm of the HITRAN database were used to evaluate the dependence of the forcing on the gas concentrations. For a hypothetical, optically thin atmosphere, where there is negligible saturation of the absorption bands, or interference of one type of greenhouse gas with others, the per-molecule forcings are of order 10􀀀22 W for H2O, CO2, O3, N2O and CH4. For current atmospheric concentrations, the per-molecule forcings of the abundant greenhouse gases H2O and CO2 are suppressed by four orders of magnitude. The forcings of the less abundant greenhouse gases, O3, N2O and CH4, are also suppressed, but much less so. For current concentrations, the per-molecule forcings are two to three orders of magnitude greater for O3, N2O and CH4, than those of H2O or CO2. Doubling the current concentrations of CO2, N2O or CH4 increases the forcings by a few per cent. These forcing results are close to previously published values even though the calculations did not utilize either a CO2 or H2O continuum. The change in surface temperature due to CO2 doubling is estimated taking into account radiative-convective equilibrium of the atmosphere as well as water feedback for the cases of xed absolute and relative humidities as well as the eect of using a pseudoadiabatic lapse rate to model the troposphere temperature. Satellite spectral measurements at various latitudes are in excellent quantitative agreement with modelled intensities.

A sample from Page 6 in the paper

A sample from page 35 in the Paper

Click on the Download box below to get the full 37 page paper it is worth reading if you are a serious researcher on climate physics.


2006.03098
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Massive Dark Hole Opens in the Sun – We are in a Solar MINIMUM  


Posted originally on Dec 26, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 

Solar Cycle 24

An enormous dark hole has opened up in the surface of the sun, emitting streams of unusually fast radiation, known as solar wind, right at Earth. The size of the temporary gap is wider than 60 Earths and extraordinary at this stage of the solar cycle. This phenomenon, known as a coronal hole, took shape near the sun’s equator on December 2 and reached its maximum width of around 497,000 miles (800,000 kilometers) within 24 hours. Since December 4, the solar void has been pointing directly at Earth. Experts initially predicted this most recent hole could spark a moderate geomagnetic storm that could trigger radio blackouts and strong auroral displays. Solar winds have been less intense than expected, so the resulting storm has only weakened.

For most of its history, science believed the sun’s output was constant. They finally realized that a thermal dynamic cycle beats like your heart so the sun could not exist without a steady outflow of energy. One degree less, and it would blow itself out. Hence, it is cyclical, rising and falling in intensity.

Solar Cycle 24

The eleven-year cycle in sunspots itself builds in intensity like the Economic Confidence Model (ECM), reaching “grand maxima” and “grand minima” over the course of 300 years. The last grand maximum peaked in 1958, after which the sun has been steadily quieting down. We have seen sun spot activity decrease at its steepest in 9,300 years, but the climate change zealots refuse to acknowledge naturally occurring cyclical weather patterns.

The last Maunder Minimum, during which the sun languished for seventy years, took place from 1645 to 1715 when the sun’s brightness declined and the number of sunspots collapsed. In fact, fewer than 50 sunspots were observed within a 28-year period. Parts of the world became so cold that the period was called the Little Ice Age, which lasted from about 1300 to 1850. Now, a Solar Minimum does not mean that the sun becomes colder, but rather, it changes. As sunspots fade away, we enter a Solar Minimum.

Phanerozoic_Climate_Change

The media, owned and run by the globalists, continues to promote that we are in a period of a Solar Maximum that allegedly began in 2019. Yet there has been a decrease in sunspot activity since 2018. It is extremely rare for coronal holes to develop during a Maximum event. Furthermore, the scientists who are paid to produce studies that promote the green agenda never look at data beyond 1850.

Our model indicated we entered a Grand Minimum that overtook the sun beginning in 2020 and will last through the 2050s. This will result in diminished magnetism, infrequent sunspot production, and less ultraviolet (UV) radiation reaching Earth. This all means we are facing a global cooling period in the planet that may span 31 to 43 years.

Earth Sun

According to the current single-dimensional analysis spewed by the climate change crowd, recently hot summers equate to global warming. They completely overlook volatility as we are in a period where the swings become more extreme. Just this week, my county in central Florida issued a weather alert for near-freezing temperatures. Last Christmas Eve, temperatures dropped to near-freezing conditions. In fact, much of my area is now considered sub-tropical rather than tropical, as overnight conditions occasionally freeze.

Wind Energy Killing Whales? Re-Posted Nov 5, 2023 By Martin Armstrong


The Climate Change Hoax


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Aug 12, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

The Manufactured Climate Consensus


Climate Change Lockdowns Are Coming?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Jul 7, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: There has been talk that Trudeau will use the fires to claim a climate crisis, and that will justify lockdowns again. Is there any truth to these rumors?

FS

ANSWER: There is definitely the idea of using climate change to justify lockdowns. However, this is really not for climate change but for crowd control. They are well aware of the rising discontent civilly, which historically produces revolution. They are pushing for world war III for two reasons.

First, it will be the excuse to default on all sovereign debt as they are also attracted to the Schwab-Soros solution of a one-world government. If that is the case, then all previous sovereign debt will be null and void. The United States did that with the debt of the Continental Congress when they created the United States. That’s why you can collect the revolutionary currency that was never honored.

Secondly, they fear revolution is in the wind. In order to prevent that from taking place, they need to restrict all travel, censor social media, and lock us down using climate change as the excuse.

You may not know it, but at the Paris climate summit, they REFUSED to allow anyone to testify who disputed their agenda. That was the start of this Cancel Culture. The Guardian published the truth, perhaps ahead of schedule. There are those pushing for lockdowns every two years to meet the Paris requirement of ZERO CO2. Everyone’s future is to change, and they never ONCE allowed anyone to ever vote on this agenda. These people understand that civil unrest is on the rise. They desperately need a diversion. Russia is providing that for now.

Video

Will people support this war against Russia and draft people to go to Ukraine? Will that be the turning point? Are you willing to send your children or yourself to fight for Ukraine over the Donbas, which is the home to Russians, not Ukrainians, for hundreds of years when it does not impact our lives? They know there will be resistance. If it is too great, you will suddenly see the need for climate change lockdowns.

10 Million-Year-Old Tree Fossil Explains Natural Climate Change


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Jul 5, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

The Earth contains the blueprint for ancient life. Ice core samples and tree fossils have taught us much about the seemingly undocumented world. Researchers at Central Andean Plateau in Peru have made a groundbreaking discovery within a 10-million-year-old well-preserved tree fossil. Their findings further prove that climate change is a naturally cyclically occurring phenomenon.

Ten million years ago marked the late Miocene Epoch period, a time of global cooling. Sea levels and rainfall declined, rainforests began to deplete, and numerous animal and plant species became extinct in favor of new species that could withstand the climate. Humans could not be blamed for this shift as homo sapiens did not exist.

The ancient tree and other samples show that the ecosystem of South America has undergone significant changes. The climate was more humid and diverse than previously believed, shifting to a dry and scarce environment. Researchers noted that elevation significantly rose from 2,000 meters to 4,000 meters, a primary factor for the change in climate.

Fossils dated 5 million years old reveal that the climate had already shifted by then and resembled the puna-like ecosystem of today. The dry and scarce environment changed to one of greenery and abundance. Researchers now believe shifts in the tectonic plates that slowly occurred over millenniums influenced climate change.

The planet is constantly changing and evolving. Humans are not responsible for the cyclically changing landscape of Earth.

The Most Expensive Climate Initiative in US History


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Jun 21, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Five years ago today, Greta’s handlers announced that the world would end on this precise date. All of humanity would be wiped out entirely. Yet, here we are. Climate change has become the ultimate tool for governments to funnel money. Biden announced on Monday that the US will spend nearly $600 million on climate change initiatives. No one voted for this money to be allocated toward changing the weather, and hundreds of areas desperately need attention and funding, not to mention the massive debt crisis. Not so coincidentally, this utterly unnecessary funding package will allocate most of the budget to blue states. This comes a few months after Biden sent ONE BILLION to the United Nation’s Green Climate Fund.

“The funding will support innovative coastal resilience and adaptation solutions, such as building natural infrastructure, planning and preparing for community-led relocation, and protecting public access to coastal natural resources, that protect communities and ecosystems from sea level rise, tidal flooding, hurricanes, storm surge, among other severe climate impacts,” the Biden administration commented. No amount of money in the world will prevent hurricanes, storms, or naturally occurring weather events. I have posted about how the likes of Obama and others who cry about climate change have beachfront properties since they know it is a lie. So where is this money after tragedy strikes? It takes states months to rebuild after a hurricane, landslide, or other natural disaster because the money is funneled through countless organizations where everyone takes a slice of the pie.

This is a significant amount of money; Americans should be outraged. The largest climate package in American history occurred under Biden in August 2022, with a price tag of $430 billion. It helped absolutely no one. There are no checks and balances. Biden is spending taxpayers’ money on a fake initiative with no end in sight.

Most importantly, Biden is set to meet with his donors this week who support and profit from climate change initiatives. The POTUS is blatantly using federal funds to secure donors. How is it legal for a sitting president to campaign with taxpayer funds?

Sunday Talks – Neil Oliver, The Climate Change Ideology as Pushed Doesn’t Match Reality as Evidenced


Posted originally on the CTH on May 21, 2023 | Sundance 

For his weekend monologue, British pundit Neil Oliver turns his attention back toward the climate change agenda and the subsequent fear narrative as it is being promoted.  Oliver notes we are approaching a moment when the truthfulness of the climate change debate needs a full and public confrontation.  Either there is truth, or the foundation of the claims are built upon lies.

Oliver has discussed this topic before; however, when contrast against the collapse in trust based on conduct during the pandemic, and when overlaid against the wholesale collapse in trust toward almost all government institutions, perhaps now really is the best time to confront the fraud known as “climate change.”

Does the climate change? Of course, it does. In the short term that’s known as weather and in the longer term, a term much longer than human’s ability to influence it, climate change is why glaciers melted, mountains formed and the topography for a state like Florida rose from under the Gulf of Mexico as water levels declined.  The climate change agenda really isn’t about climate change; in the final analysis, the modern climate change agenda is all about ‘control.’  WATCH:

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The Climate Change agenda is the necessary entry narrative for control mechanisms like carbon trading economics and digital currencies.  At the end of the continuum, we find that control over people is the goal of the people pushing the fraudulent narrative.   The agenda is their holy grail along their road to serfdom.