QUESTION: Would you cut off a corporate client who is endorsing this WOKE movement?
LD
ANSWER: Any corporation seeking to take out models while joining Schwab’s Stakeholder Corporate Activism can seek forecasting elsewhere. If Big Tech can have guidelines that justify stopping people from speaking or posting, then we too can adopt “community guidelines” because enough is enough. I have NO INTENTION of providing any assistance to any corporation that has joined Schwab in becoming a political activist. I personally think shareholders have a right to bring a lawsuit against the company and to remove all directors using corporate funds for their own political agenda. That, to me, is called FRAUD! Politics has no place in our sports any more than it does in the boardroom. Any company that allows its directors to use corporate funds to further their personal political agenda has no business in our economy.
The only time corporate activism is remotely justified is when some policy directly impacts the business of that corporation. Woke culture has nothing to do with the economy. I believe any public corporation engaged in “stakeholder economics” and political activism is at the personal decision of its directors, which is a violation of their fiduciary duty to their shareholders, and as such, should be DELISTED from any exchange!
Why is this game mentally and physically so hard to learn… normally every trade has a 50:50 chance but if I enter the market everything is going „different“. Just trade against me and you will become even much richer, its crazy!
I think my biggest mistake is to enter a trade way too early … when I read the market could turn (maybe in 2 weeks) my reaction was /is „going short immediately“ – its just so dumb – but that is what brought me the heaviest losses this year. Shorted the DOW from the 30k level again and again.
Socrates is like a market navigation – I know that – and when the navy says right I drove left – always in fear the market could crash like last February.
…
maybe you can wright a bit more on your blog – what were your easiest secrets to become a successful trader. maybe a sample account which etf´s / stocks are promising for the rest of 2021 or some live trading sessions via chat on your socrates platform.
…
Sorry for disturbing you again and again – but I know you are the only man who really know how this game works and you might understand my „little“ problems. BTW: nice call for the top in Bitcoin !!!
THANK YOU
Have a good day and best wishes.
O
ANSWER: The most common problems in trading have been (1) over-trading and (2) anticipation.
Many think they are limiting their risk by trading too frequently. They do not want to risk, say $100, so they continually anticipate a trade and lose $20 ten times in a row. The real secret to trading is recognizing that your opponent is really yourself.
The problem with systems that require human judgment is that they expose your human frailties. Whether it is looking at technical patterns, candlesticks, or wave patterns, all of these forms of analysis require experience and whether you have a natural tendency to be artistic. Those who have an artistic eye can see patterns easier than those that do not. They will see a face in a cloud shape, but others will say they are nuts as it’s just a cloud.
The key is to try to eliminate that human judgment as much as possible. You only need to look at the setup when the price is reached, but during the time target. The monthly Array pinpointed April since the start of this year. Then you look at the Weekly, and it targeted last week with a Directional Change and higher volatility starting this week. Then look at the Daily level. This way, you are not looking at patterns yourself and acting on a hunch. Even the Global Market Watch came up with April as a possible important high, and that is just a pattern recognition model.
With every trade, you must always define where you are RIGHT and when you are WRONG. There are no DEPENDS once you put on a trade. We only have a DEPEND in the setup. Did it reach the time and the price? Other than that, once you are in, some people hate to take the loss because it is acknowledging they were wrong. If you have the setup, then selling against the high on that target week or day with a stop above that high makes sense, and it is a lower risk. If you think it will crash, so you keep selling on a hunch, you will lose.
Consequently, people who are into gold and just blame others because gold has not rallied as they expected are simply people who will never learn how to trade. Mistakes are important. We pay dearly for them, so pay attention. That is how we learn and advance in life. Every parent tells their child not to stick their finger in the flame of a candle. We all do. We have to learn for ourselves.
Remember, you are your real opponent. So make peace with yourself. Come to a truce.
Roberto Speranza is the Italian politician of the Chamber of Deputies who served as national secretary of Article One. He also served as the Minister of Health since 2019 under the government of Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte and was later confirmed by Prime Minister Mario Draghi. During his tenure, he was in charge of the response to the COVID-19 pandemic. He has resigned saying:
“I’m done in order to impose leftist culture”.
Speranza has said he is ashamed that the lockdowns have been akin to Stalinism. Mario Draghi, who took Europe to negative interest rates and destroyed the European Bond market, is trying to crush Italy into a leftist government where the EU is in total control. They have undermined the free markets and cannot repair the European economy. Raising rates would blow up the European Central Bank and unravel the EU framework.
Comment from Ireland: It seems your 2018 article was correct & more or less on time.
“From a cyclical perspective, if we begin on August 15th, 1969, then we are concluding a 51.6-year wave on 2021.2219178, which will be March 22nd. It is lining up with the Economic Confidence Model and the Monetary Crisis Cycle. Therefore, the violence will reemerge with a new trend once again driven by economics. Violence has continued sporadically but it has been rising gradually again since 2013.”
REPLY: It is my hope that people understand that these forecasts are NOT based upon my opinion. There is a cyclical nature to everything. The key is to open your eyes and look around you. If there is anything I can contribute to society before I am released from this chaotic world, I hope it will be the fact that we make that first step for mankind departing linear analysis and moving to the dynamic world of nonlinear activity where they finally grasp that everything has a cycle.
Cyclically, the time is now. From the landing on the Moon (1969.55), we have now reached 2021.15, marking the attempt to change the world once again on the negative side. The turning point before 1969.55 was 1917.95. Ironically, it was on Dember 15, 1917, when an armistice was signed between the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic on the one side and the Austro-Hungarian Empire, the Kingdom of Bulgaria, the German Empire, and the Ottoman Empire on the other. Communism was given the green light. Unfortunately, this particular cycle has warned that we indeed face the rise of tyranny once more here in 2021.
I noticed the inclusion in the Global Market report in the world indexes a new listing for The War Index. What does this include(presumably armament stocks?) or is this a construct that comprises something geopolitical?
MS
ANSWER: This is an index we created with selected stocks that benefit during periods of war. This index is right now flirting with the Monthly Bullish Reversal, and we may get a monthly buy signal by the end of this month, warning that things are not looking very stable on the geopolitical front as we head into May.
In addition to our War Index and our Paradigm Shift Index, we are creating a Food Index based upon selected stocks. For now, keep an eye on the closing this month in our War Index. That is hovering right at the Monthly Bullish Reversal.
We are trying to provide tools free of conflicts of interest since we are not brokers in these instruments nor are we allowed to hold positions in them while providing forecasting. Such conflicts of interest are why those with such conflicts cannot be taken seriously by global institutions.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house April 13, 2021 | Sundance | 333 Comments
The Bureau of Labor Statistics highlights some alarming inflation numbers today [Link Here] that are unfortunately, not unexpected…. unless you are a liberally trained economist (most of them) and so the results are surprisingly “unexpected”. But the actual JoeBama-nomic policy is even worse because wages increased less than inflation increased, so real wages (actual purchasing power) decreased. That spells trouble, Trouble.
Middle-class wage earners already know this problem; you are seeing it at the gas pumps and at the grocery store. Fuel prices are rapidly increasing and the amount of inflation in the ‘at home’ food industry (grocery store) is even more concerning.
Let me first walk through the data and then provide some forward analysis with tips to help you offset what is about to hit.
First, it is important to know that BLS price survey data lags actual prices as felt today. The prices you are seeing today/tommorrow at the store and gas pump will not show up in the rolled-up data for over a month…. So the data released today is unfortunately far behind what you are witnessing in real time.
Gas prices rose last month by 9.1%. The year-over-year inflation number is an alarming 2.6 percent last month. Keep in mind that retail grocery prices are not in the inflation number, and they generally follow the same price index as fuel; so it is safe to say monthly grocery store price increases are in the 8 to 10 percent range.
Part of the reason gas and food track together is fuel and energy prices are the #2 cost within the food sector. With packaging prices increasing; with fuel prices and distribution costs increasing; with energy prices increasing; all costs associated with food production, processing, delivery, warehousing and distribution, all end up in the final price at the grocery store.
This problem with inflation is only going to get worse as the FED gets more involved (that’s coming), because interest rates are already disconnected from the economic costs associated with business investment. [Note: the Fed said last year that it would hold its benchmark interest rate near zero, for some time, even if inflation were to rise above its preferred rate.] JoeBama is returning us to a “service driven economy”, and that is a problem for inflation.
President Trump’s MAGAnomic (USA First) increased wages and lowered prices (deflation) {Go Deep} but hurt Wall Street. JoeBama’s globalist policies lower U.S. wages and increase prices (inflation) but increase Wall Street (via multinationals).
Gas prices are going to keep rising because JoeBama is shutting down U.S. energy sources, blocking pipelines and using regulation to stall energy development (including refineries). We will be back to energy dependence soon. This process will continue driving up food prices which is really bad for the middle-class.
In the longer term, the impact of wages purchasing less means middle-class housing prices will drop as people struggle to afford mortgages. However, the Wall Street gains will keep the upper tier real estate market less impacted. You can see how the wealth gap is directly attributed to policy.
Trump decreased the wealth gap with policies that disproportionately (in a good way) helped the middle-class and blue-collar worker by increasing wages. JoeBama expands the wealth gap with policies that disproportionately (in a bad way) hurt the middle-class and blue-collar worker by decreasing real wages and increasing prices. Under JoeBama-nomics the rich get richer and the poor get more poor.
If you know that fuel and food prices are going to increase, you can take action now to plan out your home budget in an effort to offset or cope with the inflation. Example: buy bulk items that can last longer as ingredients. You can also save money by making your own laundry detergent, shop sales, cut coupons and be proactive in preparation for a period of large price increases at the supermarket. Use your freezer and eat out less.
Employment is going to be an issue again. While the current employment picture is good, it will not last into 2022. Make a safety net now (somehow) and start thinking about your longer term expenses and how you can take action now in preparation.
I am not a doomsayer… but I can see when supply chains start to fill up because overall demand begins to stall. We are exactly at that point.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house April 8, 2021 | Sundance | 151 Comments
All of JoeBama’s economic policies mirror the Obama-Biden economic issues. Underline it; emphasize it; note the pattern. The policies that intentionally held down the U.S. economy during the Obama administration are once again being duplicated. It’s Déjà vu all over again.
JoeBama’s energy policy is crushing jobs in key regions where energy jobs are being lost in dramatic fashion. Simultaneously the costs of energy, including gas, are skyrocketing.
The longer-term costs have not yet hit the consumer, but they will soon as inflation will jump dramatically while employment will continue to struggle because consumer demand will drop… The issues create a cascading cycle.
The Biden administration is hiding their actual policy impact by blaming COVID, but that’s not the issue that will hurt blue-collar workers in the longest term. We are going back into the intentional disconnect I have talked about where the stock market (multinationals) will gain, but the U.S. worker economy will suffer lost jobs and lower wages. This dichotomy is by design and the corporate media economists never discuss it.
This reality is a big part of the reason why Pelosi and JoeBama needed to quickly pump money into the working class in order to avoid the pitchforks. However, that $2,000 injection will not last and will be eaten up quickly by the larger and longer term Biden economic policy.
The U.S. economy, which is 70% dependent on consumer spending, is going to contract. This contraction will be “unexpected” by the professional pundit class who check their stock holdings and smile. However, this contraction will not be unexpected by the blue-collar workers who watch their paychecks shrink and their costs to live (electricity, fuel, food prices) increase beyond their earnings.
If you are a blue-collar or white-collar worker in a BLUE region or state, you will feel the impact first. It is going to get very ugly, as noted by the disparity in the unemployment claims this week. Weekly unemployment claims [Dept of Labor pdf here] tell the story.
(CNBC) – […] First-time claims for unemployment insurance rose more than expected last week despite other signs of healing in the jobs market, the Labor Department reported Thursday.
First-time claims for the week ended April 3 totaled 744,000, well above the expectation for 694,000 from economists surveyed by Dow Jones. The total represented an increase of 16,000 from the previous week’s upwardly revised 728,000. The four-week moving average edged higher to 723,750. (link)
The negative results are continuing on a ‘Red State’ -vs- ‘Blue State’ dynamic as noted in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reporting: “In February, the highest unemployment rates among the divisions were in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA, 10.9 percent, and New York-Jersey City-White Plains, NY-NJ, 10.8 percent.”
For the weekly jobless claims, here’s the breakdown by state:
Do not dismiss these results as just bad policy. There is also a strong ideological component as the Chicago Crew is driving the granular issues on a day-to-day basis. The Obama team intentionally work to diminish the economy of the United States because their “fundamental change” requires it. Joe Biden is an idiot and has no clue about what is structurally behind all the moves…. That’s why Obama installed Kamala Harris.
The professional republican class are corporatists; do not expect them to oppose any of these policies that undermine the U.S. economy and expand globalism. The GOP is paid by the corporations to act stupid and go along.
The road to serfdom is paved with fraudulent intentions….
People are unaware of the agenda with food and why Bill Gates has become the largest holder of farmland in the United States. There is a whole new agenda unfolding, and, of course, mainstream media has been bought off. Farmers in France and Croatia are standing up to EU policies. Farmers in France have even brought in tractors to combat the police. The goal appears to be to end traditional farming and ranching as we have known it. Europe is 100% under the control of the World Economic Forum and now has a new seed law that CRIMINALIZES traditional seed saving. They are using drones and satellites now to monitor all fishing in real-time.
Croatians are deeply concerned about the EU Ag Census, which takes total inventory of all food production — farms, animals, bees, anything — because it was only 1945 when Yugoslavia LAST conducted such a census prior to seizing control of all farms, transforming it into a state-run collectivized industry. The government then ordered all farmers off their land. The patterns are the same, which is reminiscent of the communist total takeover.
Croatians are deeply concerned about the EU Ag Census, which takes total inventory of all food production — farms, animals, bees, anything — because it was only 1945 when Yugoslavia LAST conducted such a census prior to seizing control of all farms, transforming it into a state-run collectivized industry. The government then ordered all farmers off their land. The patterns are the same, which is reminiscent of the communist total takeover.
I strongly recommend that you watch “Mr. Jones,” the movie about how the New York Times tried to hide the truth about 7 million Ukrainians starving to death because of the Communist takeover of farmland. There are people who are greatly concerned about Bill Gates, who is an excessive climate change activist who has been funding everything that is furthering this Great Reset.
Bill Gates is most likely also buying up farmland to impose his own private objective for climate change in altering traditional farming as well. He has publicly written:
“The agriculture sector is important. With more productive seeds we can avoid deforestation and help Africa deal with the climate difficulty they already face. It is unclear how cheap biofuels can be but if they are cheap it can solve the aviation and truck emissions.”
Many are deeply concerned that Gates is genetically altering the food supply and the agenda is not about just creating biofuels.
n Brussels, the Capitol of Europe, the police are simply attacking the people with ruthless disregard for human rights. They even rode right over people with their horses. If there was ever a justification for revolution, you are witnesses that in Europe now where the government has taken COVID as an excuse to alter the entire economy to BUILD BACK BETTER. The government is denying the people any say in their own future whatsoever.
What is going on in Europe is just astonishing. I have personal friends who have fled to the Middle East just to save their children. It is sad to watch the people being plowed down, but even worse to watch the police enforcing this tyranny.
COMMENT NETHERLANDS:Hello Mr. Armstrong,While browsing the dutch wikipedia I was shocked reading the intro of the WEF: the partyleader of Netherlands’ 2nd party (D66) Sigried Kaag is member of the WEF supervisory board. Last week, most of our political parties were engaged in a political hit job against Mark Rutte. I remembers me of the drumbeats against Trump with the media singing the socialists’ tune.So last thursday Parliament has officially accused him of lying whilst all witnesses testified he didn’t. Only the anonymous note-taker – most likely a cilvil servant – wrote the offending passage. If Mark won’t become PM of his 4th cabinet, then most likely Sigried Kaag will become PM. This stinks, a lot. Kaag is pro-EU, pro-UN and adores Klaus.As Mark is the most senior PM (with Merkel) in the EU, has a lot of respect and knows everyone in Europe, Netherlands and elsewhere, he is widely highly regarded. I can’t see a stable Europe, Netherlands if he would concede to this parliamentary blackmail. What say you?Kind regards,EGPS. Keep up the good work, hope for some more articles in Socrates sections.
COMMENT: I know you do not operate by rumor and thank god för that. There are starting to circulate information in the Netherlands that the ME police Implemented to shutdown demonstrations is a special task force from the EU. The following link for further information: (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Gendarmerie_Force)
Thank you!
J
COMMENT: Hello Martin, Wauw, this is all getting more and more scary by the day. I read your blog daily, for years now. We just had elections in the Netherlands this Wednesday, no surprising outcome , really. Our prime minister Mr Mark Rutte won again and will form his new government soon. I always thought your predictions would happen, but NOT in the Netherlands. Haha, am I wrong. More and more I see Mark Rutte´s face appearing in films on the WEF, and guess what, a newly upcoming partylady Siegried Kaag, soon to join the government, is also formly involved in the WEF, as is the son of our Minister of Justice. Kind regards from the Netherlands, JvH
COMMENT:
Hi Marty,
so I told you the resistance in the Netherlands is nill we had elections yesterday
so this is the preliminary outcome : VVD = MARK RUTTE D66 = SIGRID KAAG and then of course we have “Queen” Maxima Zorreguita, the daughter of the Argentina Minister Zorreguita, who now is saying “ich habe es nicht gewusst”, who was detrimental in canceling the Dutch culture from the moment she got crowned
PVV is the follow up of 2001 assassinated Pim Fortuyn, who was about to push out the establishment, but this party now has a weak leader and is severely infiltrated
CDA is the ancient Catholics middle of the road, PvdA is the labour, SP the Marxist socialistic party
then we have FvD, the new threat to the establishment, however in their rocket launch upwards, they have been heavily infiltrated, attacked, nihilated, divided by the establishment
for the first time ever we also have voting by mail and voting spread out over a longer time, not just a single day and of course many did not sign the vote, so they mutually agreed to accept the non signed votes … the US election fraud has landed in Europe
this election outcome is really not the reflection of what the people are thinking however many have been severely brainwashed so when I just was testing the opinions in my own environment I expected an outcome like this
there have been many brave people working night and day to inform the population, but the brainwashing and created fear is so strong, people become very aggressive and do attack any deviating opinion, so it is dangerous to express one
so I guess we are doomed I have been looking for years where to escape to, but can not find it honestly, I was thinking Russia may become a serious option?
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
Centinel2012 