Washington D.C. on the 1918 Spanish Influenza


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Dec 7, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

(Click on image to enlarge)

The document above was issued by Washington D.C. on September 26, 1918, in response to the Spanish flu. This was before the Build Back Better agenda; Big Pharma was not an all-powerful entity capable of buying any politician. The government was not causing hysteria or imposing tyranny to combat a virus, and the advice provided remains solid advice today.

The public document states that the virus circulates every year in the US but is “more contagious during an epidemic, and pneumonia is a more frequent complication.” It explicitly states: “do not get hysterical over the epidemic.” That is the opposite of what they want for the people today. The government in 1918 admitted the virus only lasted a short time outside of the body, and suggested that people avoid those who are sick or having sick persons directly sneeze or cough on them (seems very fair). Wash your hands, stay home if you are sick, sleep and eat well. Fresh air helps. “Fight the disease rationally and do not become unduly alarmed.”

It’s Looking A Lot Like Frozen Winterland


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Dec 7, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

The weather is following what our computer has been forecasting using historical data and correlating history to ascertain the cyclical nature of weather. The ice has now grown larger than the global warming crowd has ever predicted. This threatens Europe with a very cold winter that will further endanger food production.

The entire problem with the claimed research into climate change is that they have begun with pre-determined conclusions that the air was free of things such as lead preindustrial revolution, which the ice core samples have proven to be false. What has emerged is that the assumption that preindustrial levels of lead in the air were negligible, safe, or nonexistent is completely false. Next‐generation laser technology in climate science, in combination with detailed historical and archaeological records, has revealed a different history. The lead levels in the air have been elevated for the past 2000 years.

As long as the research begins with a pre-determined conclusion, it will always sift through the data and cherry-pick only that which supports the desired conclusion. During this Little Ice Age, glaciers advanced in mountain valleys and actually destroyed many European settlements. Paintings from the 1600s depict people ice skating on the Thames River in London like this one showing the frozen Thames in a painting by Abraham Hondius from 1677.

A Volcano & the Last Little Ice Age | Armstrong Economics

Even the canals in Amsterdam were frozen. It remained cold for nearly 200 years. There were ice fairs into the late 1600s as shown in this painting from 1683. However, the winters were brutal even into the late 1700s and early 1800s, although gradually warmer from the depths of the 1600 period.

The Post Office even issued commemorative stamps in 1976, noting that winter event. Washington and his troops suffered more in Morristown, N.J., during the Hard Winter of 1779-80. Violent snowstorms had battered the Northeast, and both Boston and New York harbors were completely frozen over. The weather made it impossible to bring supplies to the men, many of whom had no coats or even shoes. They couldn’t even eat for days at a time. The soldiers finally mutinied in early May, though an officer persuaded them to abandon their rebellion. Just as the weather had defeated Napoleon, weather nearly defeated the American Revolution.

I have warned that volcanic activity correlates with the solar minimum, which we have been heading into since 2015. In fact, this has been the sharpest decline in the energy of the sun that we know of. It has been exceptionally declining since 2015, which was the peak of the Economic Confidence Model (ECM). Since the ECM was constructed from economic data, it is interesting how the cyclical nature of the economy aligns with Mother Nature herself.

There have been 215 major volcanic eruptions since 10,900 BC. Two massive eruptions changed the climate – (1) Tambora in 1815 and (2) Samalas in 1257.

In 1257, a catastrophic eruption occurred at the Samalas volcano on the Indonesian island of Lombok, which was a 7, making it one of the largest volcanic eruptions in modern history. It is worth noting that the two largest eruptions in modern history both took place in Indonesia.

Samalas wiped out human habitations, including the city of Pamatan, which was the capital of a kingdom on Lombok. The eruption injected into the atmosphere was massive and it reduced the solar radiation reaching the Earth’s surface, causing a volcanic winter. This led to famines and crop failures in Europe and elsewhere. It is believed that this eruption became the trigger for the subsequent Little Ice Age and a centuries-long cold period during the last thousand years. The first evidence of the eruption was discovered in the ice core samples around 1257, providing strong evidence of a large volcanic eruption impacted the entire world. Finally, in 2013, scientists were able to link the historical records about Mount Samalas to these spikes in the ice cores.

By 1258, Henry III of England became very unpopular as the weather turned cold and people were starving. It was 1257 when Henry issued the first gold coin of England which is extremely rare. Taxation became a hot topic because of his expensive foreign policies and the role of his local officials in collecting taxes and debts. A coalition of his barons seized power in a coup d’état and expelled the Poitevins, the king’s favorites, from England. They instigated political reform of the royal government through a process called the Provisions of Oxford. Henry was forced to sue for peace with France in 1259, and Henry gave up his rights to his other lands in France in return for King Louis IX recognizing him as the rightful ruler of Gascony. The baronial regime collapsed but Henry was unable to reform a stable government and instability across England continued.

But this also slowed the Mogol invasion of Europe. The weather data preserved in tree rings points to a series of warm, dry summers in Europe until 1242 when temperatures dropped and rainfall increased. The local climate shifted to a wetter and colder environment which caused flooding of the formerly dry grasslands and created a marshy terrain. Those conditions would have been less than ideal for the nomadic Mongol cavalry and their encampments. The Mongols were horsemen and this reduced their mobility and pastureland, curtailing their invasion into Europe west of the Hungarian plain.

The worst possible future will be a volcanic winter occurring over the next 13 years.

Mayor Bill de Blasio Issues Private Business Vaccine Mandate


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Dec 7, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio has implemented the first statewide vaccine mandate for private employees. Referring to the move as a “pre-emptive strike,” the new mandate will apply to around 184,000 businesses and will take full effect on December 27 and partial effect as soon as December 14 (proof of partial vaccination required). The rule applies to small children as well. Children ages 5 to 11 must receive the vaccine in order to enter dining, fitness, or entertainment establishments.

“A lot of parents want to take their kids out to wonderful things happening in the holiday season. Here’s a reminder, get your child vaccinated. One dose will immediately qualify a child in any of those activities,” de Blasio stated, shaming parents who will be unable to take their children to holiday-related events without the experimental vaccine. “We’ve got to put this covid era behind us. We’ve been living with this for most of two years. We’ve got to put it behind us, and vaccine mandates in my experience are the one thing that really breaks through,” he said. “Vaccines every single time, there is a fear the vaccine won’t have an impact on a new variant. Well, guess what? Every single time the vaccines have worked. That’s a good track record. Let’s lean into it even more,” he lied. There are a plethora of breakthrough cases among the vaccinated. The vaccines do not work as intended. We read the news stories, we speak to our peers; the truth is out, and these politicians are blatantly lying to us in an attempt to grab more power and lobbying money.

Bill de Blasio is certainly doing all he can to destroy a once-great city during his last month of office. His successor, Eric Adams (D), who takes office on January 1, said he is on vacation and too busy to answer questions pertaining to a mandate that will affect millions of lives. Biden attempted to implement a federal mandate, and it is to be seen if the courts will allow it to pass. Hopefully, the courts will prevent this gross misuse of power. Although the media paints vaccine hesitancy as a right-wing issue, the fact of the matter is that people across the political spectrum do not want forced medical mandates. This issue could unite the people — “us v them” is not “the people v the people.”

Impactful Video Showcases Hollywood Vaccine Propaganda as Contrast Against Adverse Vaccine Outcomes


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 6, 2021 | Sundance | 178 Comments

Something is not right“… There’s a website tracking professional sports figures worldwide who have died or been seriously injured by the vaccine.  Each instance is cited and recorded and the total number of professional athletes –just this year– who have died or suffered serious vaccine injury is now almost 300 [DATA LINK]

In a similar effort a video has been created to remind everyone how much propaganda effort was put forth as a result of collaboration between the U.S. government and Hollywood [much of this I had never seen]. {Direct Rumble Link Here} The vaccine push is then contrast against the mounting examples of serious injury from the vaccine.  The final video is quite powerful. WATCH:

Wow, Media Openly Advising Public to Use The Safari Rules When Entering Democrat Municipal Regions


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 6, 2021 | Sundance | 352 Comments

An inevitable evolution now takes place as rampant crime, violence and anarchy take over the municipal regions controlled by leftists and Democrats.  What is described, in the video excerpt from ABC news in Maryland, is what we have described as the “Safari Rules.”

As stunning as it may seem at first glance, the media are informing the public on how to behave when entering any area were Democrats are in charge of civil society.  It is important not to accept this new normal; instead think about this broadcast in the larger picture of what it represents.  The media no longer question if you will be attacked; the media are now advising us on how to mitigate our pending attack.  The attack itself is a foregone conclusion.

The deeper blue the region, the more dangerous the crime within it.  This is the natural outcome of policy on a local level that allows criminal elements to operate without fear or accountability.   Smash and grab robberies, armed robberies, carjacking, looting and the general breakdown of law and order is well underway in the municipal regions under the control of the Democrat Party apparatus.

These outcomes are the natural cause and effect from leftist policy being carried out.  This is exactly the type of social anarchy that is predictable from a process of demonizing law enforcement, promoting social justice and letting the criminal elements within society take over.

The evolution of the Safari Rules has been ongoing for several years; however, now it appears the point of no return has been crossed.   The situation is no longer reversible because the law enforcement mechanisms have been deconstructed entirely.   Additionally, the application of law and consequence has been withdrawn from the system.

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People trapped within the blue regions are now directly being told to follow the Safari Rules.

In essence, the underlying elements of the Safari Principle narrative begin with a pretense that victims of the mob, any mob or individual predator, have no one except themselves to blame because they did not follow the rules of the safari.  When in the proximity of any person, event or situation that is engaged in an unlawful act supported by the political left, you are not permitted to exit your vehicle or engage in activity that will lead to your targeting.

If you enter their “space to destroy“, you are to blame for your own outcome.  The safari narrative includes catch phrases like “he/she should not have gotten out of the car,” and “she/he shouldn’t have traveled to (fill_in_blank)”, or “he/she should have known better when…“, etc. 

2015 in Baltimore, Maryland, Mayor Stephanie Rawlings-Blake then became a public advocate for the Safari Rules when she proclaimed her decision to let the riots, looting and arson continue, as it was intended specifically to give the mob “space to destroy.”  Despite the dozens of property owners who saw their shops, stores and livelihoods go up in smoke, the rules of the safari took precedent.

Again, in the aftermath of George Floyd’s death in Minnesota, the rules of the safari became evident when looting, arson and riots were defined as “expressions of speech.”  All violence supported by the political left is considered speech, while speech opposed by the left is defined as violence.

Because the visible chaos did not align with the gentle media descriptions of “protests“, the corporate media decision was to modify the language used to describe the arson and riots by using the term “mostly peaceful protests,” that term has stuck within the visible chaos over the past few years in various forms.  Obviously the word “mostly” is a relative term , and that provides the flexibility needed to convince viewers the violence they are witnessing isn’t really the violence they are witnessing.

After years of this type of obfuscation and denial, ordinary life in the deep blue regions has become untenable.  Rampant looting and lawlessness is now the new normal, and don’t look for it to get any better in the near future.

The taller the blue spike, the more likely the violent crime.  All of the urban areas with Democrat policy are the most dangerous in the nation.  The safe places to live are fewer and fewer as the urban regions expand their influence.

Borrowing from Twain, history may not always repeat, but it darn sure rhymes.  These same blue regions like Chicago, New York, Los Angeles were barely livable in the 1970’s, most people have forgotten how bad things were.

What is happening now in these deep blue regions is essentially a circle of cause and effect.

Unfortunately, now those metropolitan areas have expanded into more states and regions from Houston (TX) to Minneapolis (MN) to Atlanta (GA) and even smaller areas like Asheville (NC).  If Democrats are in charge of municipal policy, those areas will experience increases in violent crime and property theft.   Increases in all types of crime are the natural outcome of diminished law enforcement.

The current rise in federalism will likely save the republic; however, those who live in the deep blue regions within blue states are now specifically responsible for following the Safari Rules if they wish to survive.

None of this is accidental, this massive crime wave is an outcome of ideology.  However, and this is the important part to emphasize, unlike previous times when this cycle of violence took place – this time there is no capacity to reverse course.  There are no police or law enforcement left in these regions with the motivation or support to save you.

If you can leave, get out.  If you cannot leave, at least arm yourself while you still can.

White House Tells Media to Lower Expectations on Government Transparency – Jennifer Psaki Refuses to Answer Questions About Hunter Biden and Sketchy Financial Interests


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 6, 2021 | Sundance | 114 Comments

White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki was asked today about whether the White House would be transparent with the reported divestiture of Hunter Biden and his financial relationships with communist Chinese government officials.  The press secretary refused to answer the question.  WATCH:

The Big Tech Empire Worried About The Rise of the Alternative Media Platforms and The Rebel Alliance


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 6, 2021 | Sundance | 209 Comments

There is a tremor in the dark force that encompasses the totality of the Big Tech control platforms.  An interesting article from Axios notes the Tech oligarchs, and multinational corporate behemoths [Google, Facebook, YouTube, Instagram etc] that manipulate and control information, are starting to worry about the new “right-wing” architecture that is creating alternate platforms.

It is important to keep a solid reference point in the front of our mind when we review any details about the information war.  The Fourth Branch of Government has strong dependency on their public-private partnership between Big Tech and govt/intelligence networks.

It is a partnership of mutual benefit.  U.S. government officials use their political power to direct the filtering mechanisms of Big Tech.  In return, the tech empire facilitates the reelection of political officials to support the network.

However, a large and growing band of rebels have been assembling platform architecture outside the controls of Big Tech.  The method of delivering what you are reading right now was created specifically as part of this architecture.   A growing network of dissident people in/around the tech industry continue to build the framework for alternative platforms on the internet, and now Big Tech is starting to realize it is actually possible for ants to eat an elephant.

Notice how the focus of concern from within the Axios article is not about the creation of the alternative platforms per se’; what the Empire is really angered about is that money is available to support the rebel alliance.  “Many of these efforts couldn’t exist without the backing of major corporate figures and billionaires who are eager to push back against things like “censorship” and “cancel culture,” the Empire says; as the officials inside the system gnash their teeth in anger.

That section under “why it matters” tells us the Empire storm troopers, FBI, DOJ and government regulatory agencies, are likely to target the financial mechanisms, people and groups, who help fund the Rebel Alliance.   Watch for it.

The Empire is worried about these cloud-based hosting possibilities and the creation of server banks to support dissident voices.  Everything from video platforms and book publishing companies are being created outside of the control of the Empire.  They are starting to worry how their business models will be affected as their audience shrinks. Thus, the government subsidizing of these Big Tech platforms is likely to become more prevalent in the future.

[Read Axios Article Here]

Despite Acknowledging No Proof Dr. Fauci Urges All to Get Booster to Protect Against Omicron—WHO Reports No Deaths


Posted originally on TrialSite by Staff onDecember 4, 20212 Comments

Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease (NIAID) and chief medical advisor to the White House, presented with Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) director, Rochelle Walensky during the Press Briefings by the White House COVID-19 Response Team and Public Health Officials. Although Fauci could offer “no proof” that the vaccines will work on the Omicron variant of concern, Fauci declared that a booster dose of the COVID-19 vaccine should offer some amount of “cross-protection” against this new variant. Why would Fauci be so fast to come to this conclusion, given so many unknowns, from transmissibility to actual severity of the disease? America’s top doctor declared during this press conference that the health authorities should know more within “a matter of days to weeks.” But Fauci used this forum to again, emphasize the importance of using this presently unknown risk to get vaccinated. Meanwhile, WHO as of late last week reported so far no deaths from the Omicron variant of concern.

Fauci went on to show a presentation that purports to back his claims that a booster will help with omicron, despite the acknowledged lack of any proof at this point. Fauci continued, using the Delta variant as an example, saying that by September:

 “Unvaccinated people in the United States had almost a six percent increased risk of getting infected and getting COVID-19 compared to fully vaccinated, and about 11-fold increased risk of being hospitalized, and a 14 increased risk of dying when you compare individuals who are fully vaccinated versus unvaccinated.”

Because “in vitro studies” indicate positive impact of boosters—“markedly,” increasing antibody titers “against a wide range of variants,” Fauci continues, positioning that it’s better to be safe than sorry declaring:

“One of the things we now know, and it’s becoming increasingly apparent, is that when you get a high level of antibody—and as shown in the slide in an animal model…when you look at the third dose, you increase the levels of neutralizing antibodies against all the variants.” Of course, this leads to “an increase in levels of memory B cells and T cells, which strongly suggest that boosters it will give you cross-protection against a number of variants.”

Fauci was summarizing data from different vaccines. With Moderna in people ages 18 to 64, titers rise from 55 to 872 by 28 days post the third jab, which is more than the rise after the second shot. Moreover, titers increase from 32 to 708 in elderly adults (65 and up) at 28 days after the boost.

Moreover, with BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech), the third shot boosts 50% serum neutralization titers to 1,321 from 241 in people ages18 to 55 while that same measurement spikes to 1,479 from 123 in the elderly (age 65 to 88)—all based on data from a piece in the New England Journal of Medicine.

But what about existing Antibodies?

The top doctor doesn’t utter a word about natural immunity and the risks of the vaccine, especially if people have higher amounts of antibodies. TrialSite recently covered growing reports of adverse events and the need for a COVID-19 vaccine adverse event patient advocacy organization.

The fear here is that few have their antibodies measured. In some cases, they may already be high, and a booster could potentially trigger an overreaction. As Fauci doesn’t raise the importance of natural immunity nor systematic measurement of antibody levels prior to a third inoculation, the true risk of the booster vaccine isn’t known. Moreover, we do not know if the booster vaccine will help with this new variant seemingly originating out of the southern region of Africa.

Eurozone Inflation at a Record High


Armstrong Economics Blog/Interest Rates Re-Posted Dec 6, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Inflation in the doomed Eurozone increased 4.9% in November, marking the highest level of inflation since the creation of the euro. The larger economies within the bloc experienced a significant rise in inflation, with Germany posting a 6% increase and France experiencing a 3.4% rise. Other nations saw extreme spikes such as Estonia and Lithuania that reported increases of 8.4% and 9.3%.

Artificially lowering rates has backfired; the inverse relationship between reducing rates and increased inflation is now extremely apparent. Like the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB) is aiming for a 2% inflation target. The ECB does not see anything wrong with its current policy. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that the bank will not raise rates in 2022, although they anticipate inflation to continue into the new year. “We still see inflation moderating in the next year, but it will take longer to decline than originally expected,” Lagarde stated in mid-November. Instead of changing the policy, Lagarde will simply revise inflation forecasts at the December meeting, marking the sixth consecutive time the ECB has done so. She should take a page from Powell’s book and retire the term “transitory” when discussing inflation.

Martin Armstrong Interview : Beginning of 2022 Panic Cycle Underway (Part 1)


Armstrong Economics Blog/Armstrong in the Media Re-Posted Dec 6, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Click here to watch part one of the interview with Financial Sense’s most controversial and honest guest, Martin Armstrong.