Tag Archives: BRICS

May 18 2019

The Unprecedented Equality of the 21st Century


Published on Aug 7, 2017

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The rich get richer, and the poor get … cell phones, cars, and nice TVs? Prof. Mike Munger says we’re actually more equal than ever. Full interview here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FlQ1… SUBSCRIBE: http://bit.ly/2dUx6wg LEARN MORE: Debate: Is There Too Much Inequality in America? (video): The question of income inequality has become a key issue in contemporary politics. The Institute for Humane Studies asked two professors– Prof. Steve Horwitz, economist at St. Lawrence University, and Prof. Jeffrey Reiman, philosopher at American University- to answer questions about wealth, fairness, and inequality in the United States. This is their debate: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p047t… Income Inequality and the Effects of Globalization (video): Income inequality in America is a serious issue. People are worried about a widening gap between the rich and the poor in the United States. But is the global story the same? Professor Tyler Cowen explains how globally, income inequality worldwide is on the decline. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ja15p… How to Fight Global Poverty (video): Have you heard the news? The number of people living in abject poverty—defined as living on less than $1.25 per day—has been halved since 1990. How did that happen? Prof. Stephen Davies explains that extreme poverty has been on the decline in part because two of the world’s most populous countries, China and India, have embarked on a path of economic liberalization and development over the past two to three decades. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzmxQ…
May 18 2019

5 Inequality Myths


Published on Oct 2, 2017

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If you really want to understand how the world works today, you need to rethink almost everything you’ve been told about inequality. Prof. Antony Davies explains.
May 17 2019

Yield v Reason


Armstrong Economics Blog/Dow Jones

Re-Posted May 17, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: I see all of these people calling for a major crash of 50%+. With interest rates so low and the dividends on the Dow twice that of interest rates, does anyone look at yield anymore?

PH

ANSWER: I fully agree. The yield on the Dow Jones is 5.34%, which is about double the 10-year rate. Back in 1983, I presented these two charts that show the earnings and book value of the Dow Jones Industrials. The majority were calling for a crash and our computer warned of a Phase Transition and a 600% rise in the Dow. I was blamed for creating the takeover boom, but it was clear that the earnings were at least 5% and the stocks were trading out of a major historical low on price v book value. So earnings do come into the mix

May 16 2019

Capital Controls v Protectionism


Armstrong Economic Blog/Regulation

Re-Posted May 16, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty; You mentioned at the cocktail party in Rome, which was spectacular BTW, that your concern would be capital controls emerging when the euro starts to break hard. Do you have a time frame for that?

WJ

ANSWER: Yes, the view from the cocktail party was spectacular. A bit cold; we could have used that global warming.

We saw Turkey move to entertain that which set off the contagion in emerging markets overnight. While the history books tend to put the blame for the Great Depression at the feet of corporation, as did Galbraith, they never mention the Sovereign Defaults of 1931 or the fact that there were capital controls imposed.

The flight of capital to the dollar was met by imposing capital controls. These capital controls may have solved the flight of capital immediately, but at the cost of a complete collapse in confidence in Europe as a whole. The lesson from 1931 was not that of PROTECTIONISM, which killed trade, but it was the imposition of capital controls that brought international trade to a halt. If capital could not be exported, then commerce could not buy any goods. This was far more drastic than protectionism with tariffs. There just seems to be very questionable analysis applied which was either by true idiots, or more likely, the analysis deliberately hid the actions of government to justify the takeover by Marxist Socialism.

The time frame where we may see governments resort to capital controls may arrive in 2021-2022. We MUST be realistic that capital controls are far worse that trade disputes.

May 15 2019

The Rising Anti-EU Sentiment Ahead of the EU Elections


Armstrong Economics Blog/European Union

Re-Posted May 15, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

In Hungary, the anti-EU movement runs intense and links Soros and his funding behind the curtain as the number one problem. There have been protests in Hungary implicating the fact that Soros has been behind everything. The anti-EU sentiment is rising ahead of the May 23rd elections. The main issue that has torn Europe apart is the Refugee Crisis.

May 14 2019

QE & Its Failure


Armstrong Economics Blog/Central Banks

Re-Posted May 14, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Dear Martin,
During WEC in Rome I came to understand that the issue with QE is that it did not create any inflation in the USA. On the other hand, as you mentioned the inflation is being calculated in a different way that it used to be in the future. How come then the US does not just change the way of calculating the inflation in a way which would show it’s there? Wouldn’t that be an easier way than to do more QEs?
Thank you,

MK

ANSWER: The primary reason QE fails is because the economy is global. Central banks can no longer manage the economy, for the money does not remain in isolation. Additionally, as I pointed out in Rome, they may have negative interest rates, but that does not pass through. You cannot borrow money from a bank at negative rates.

May 13 2019

The Threat of Protectionism


Armstrong Economics Blog/Regulation

Re-Posted May 13, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty:

I read you every day and I am one of the fortunate people to have a financial advisor that attends your Conference every year in the US.

I am wondering how Airbus will be affected in the future as the Euro further declines.

Thanks, RM

ANSWER: This is one of the aspects that caused the protectionism during the 1930s. As the turmoil in Europe unfolded, capital fled to the dollar pushing it higher. This invoked protectionism also propelled by the decline in commodity prices. The protectionism began with the agricultural sector and then spread to other areas.

As the dollar is pushed higher, we will see protectionism rise again probably 2021-2022. European companies that do not have professional hedging departments will suffer greatly.

May 13 2019

Remarkable Success – Nigel Farage Brexit Party Leaps to #1 in Weeks…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on May 12, 2019 by 

There’s a remarkable political restructuring happening on the other side of the Atlantic. Nigel Farage has led the U.K. Brexit Party into the leading political force in a matter of weeks.

With frustration over the intransigent unwillingness of the political elites who control power in the U.K. to deliver on the Brexit referendum, the grassroots “Brexit Party” was formed.  According to recent polling the movement now leads in advance of upcoming EU Parliament elections.  It’s possible another political earthquake is about to happen:

(Via Breitbart Media) New polling for the upcoming European Parliament elections shows another astonishing surge in support for Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party, while the governing Conservatives have crashed to fourth place on just 11 per cent.

The Opinium poll of 2,004 people, conducted online between the 8th and 10th of May, showed support for Mr Farage’s weeks-old party up 6 points to 34 per cent, more than Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour — down seven points to 21 per cent — and Theresa May’s Conservatives — down three points to just 11 per cent — combined.

The Conservative Party’s stunning collapse puts down in fourth place behind even the Liberal Democrats, who have been only a third force in British politics since the 1920s, and barely even that after arch-europhile Nick Clegg led them to near-obliteration in the 2015 general election. (read more)

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Nigel Farage

✔@Nigel_Farage

Accurate or not, these are great numbers and our movement for democracy is gathering pace.

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Piers Morgan

✔@piersmorgan

Nigel Farage looking & sounding like a leader on . Love him or loathe him, at least he believes in what he says & argues it with passion. His popularity comes from his authenticity & his new surge is happening because democracy is being denied to those who voted for Brexit.

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May 10 2019

Roger Scruton – The Future of European Civilization: Lessons for America


Published on Oct 14, 2015

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~A Russell Kirk Lecture at The Heritage Foundation’s B. Kenneth Simon Center for Principles and Politics~
May 10 2019

Moving from QE to Just Monetizing Government


Armstrong Economics Blog/Central Banks

Re-Posted May 10, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Mr, Armstrong; Why the push for lower interest rates again in developed markets? You have stated the QE has been a total failure. Are they incapable of doing anything else?

KE

ANSWER: We are switching from QE to a new reality of budget management. If interest rates rise on government bonds, the budget blows out. At this stage, the Fed is toying with the idea of setting benchmark rates for 2 to 10-year instruments. This will be different than QE. It will be the collapse of government bond markets on a global scale.

Categories: Central Banks, Interest Ra