Watch the video above or click here to listen to my latest interview.
Commentary from Rico Potkaars:
"Historian and Economist Martin Armstrong, as a computer programmer created the system called socrates that analyses history, current affairs and the flow of money and extrapolates to what may lie ahead. It gave him the nickname ‘the Forecaster’ and a documentary that to this day is forbidden in the USA.
Armstrong through FOIA retreived information from the Clinton Library about what happened after the Soviet Union fell. He’s written that down in a book called ‘the Plot to Seize Russia.
In this interview we discuss his upcoming book, the current state of collapsing global finance and the inescapable war on Russia as a result of that.."
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 13, 2022 | Sundance
In this brief segment on fall harvest inflation, NBC notes consumer prices for food stuffs continue increasing regardless of the economic action by the Biden administration. The reason is very simple and is outlined within the segment by Jacob Goebbert, the Goebbert’s farm general manager. WATCH:
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The current inflation is embedded in the cost of products, because it’s a supply side issue.
Financial “experts” can shout all day long about the fiscal policy (spending) being the origin of inflation (ie. demand side), they’re wrong. Our current inflation cycle, most notably evident within massive increases in food prices, is a supply side issue created by the increased energy costs. Full stop. It’s a Biden policy outcome.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 13, 2022 | Sundance
The Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) released the September wage report [DATA HERE] delivering worse economic news for workers.
Real wages are dropping at a historic rate as inflation continues to rise and as a result wages buy less.
[BLS] “Real average hourly earnings decreased 3.0 percent, seasonally adjusted, from September 2021 to September 2022. The change in real average hourly earnings combined with a decrease of 0.9 percent in the average workweek resulted in a 3.8-percent decrease in real average weekly earnings over this period.” (link)
REAL WAGE CHART:
As the Biden economic/energy policy and Federal Reserve monetary policy merge together, the economy shrinks. As the economy shrinks, fewer goods and services are purchased. As less consumer goods are purchased, employment hours drop. As employment hours drop, wages decline.
Declining wages combined with increased inflation forms the perfect storm against middle-class and working-class families. This dynamic means lowered income and higher prices for essential goods and services like food, fuel, energy and housing. It’s not difficult to see why this is happening.
The declining wage rates, and the more substantive drop in real wage rates due to massive inflation, are specifically hitting the lower tier of the working class harder. Yet despite this, Biden is intent on importing even more economic migrants to put even more downward pressure on wages for the working class.
These are very real outcomes of policy. Working class Blacks and Latinos will feel this even more, yet this is the special interest group that Democrats claim to support. The reality is exactly opposite from the narrative sold by the Biden administration.
The Democrats know this. These outcomes are not accidental; they are a feature not a flaw in their policy. This is why they need to keep spending to retain the ruse.
There’s no way around this. Despite the pundit and financial class selling a counter-narrative, home prices will crash, and unemployment will go up. I know this is directly against the current talking points, but the statistical reality is clear.
CTH was the first place who said a year ago that home sales will plummet, that is starting to happen right now. There’s no way for it not to happen, the big picture tells us why.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 12, 2022 | Sundance
The “Producer Price Index” (PPI) is essentially the tracking of wholesale prices at three stages: Origination (commodity), Intermediate (processing), and then Final (to wholesale). Today, the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) released September price data [Available Here] showing another 8.5% increase year-over-year in Final Demand products at the wholesale level. However, that’s not the bad news in this data.
While the overall September PPI was higher than expected at 0.4%, the Final Demand Producer Price for food products in September was a whopping 1.2% (14.4% annualized).
The BLS notes the driver by saying, “a major factor in the September increase in prices for final demand goods was a 15.7-percent advance in the index for fresh and dry vegetables. Prices for diesel fuel, residential natural gas, chicken eggs, home heating oil, and pork also moved higher.”
That’s a 15.7% increase in price, in one month, for fresh and dry vegetables. Annualized that’s a rate of price increase of 188.4% for vegetables. Remember the warning about farm costs (energy, fertilizer, fuel) driving field to fork inflation at harvest? This is the leading edge of that third wave of food price increases.
I have modified BLS Table-2 to focus specifically on food costs. The data is on left.
You will note that ‘row crops’ are the big drivers along with grain and seed products. This is exactly as we predicted it would be because those specific farming costs are the ones with greatest increase from energy, fuel, fertilizer, weed and insect control, and diesel costs.
All of those higher costs have been growing in the fields and will now surface at harvest. The higher farm costs transfer from the field to the fork via the food supply chain. This is only the leading edge of the price increase.
In October 2021 we first warned of the food price increases coming in distinct waves. The first was Jan, Feb and March 2022. The second wave was May through July 2022. This third wave will be bigger than the first two and starts arriving this month, October 2022.
People laughed at me when I said in late 2022 eggs were going to reach .50¢ EACH ($6/doz).
Well, in September the price of fresh eggs jumped 16.7% in a single month. That’s an annualized rate of price increase for eggs over 200%.
With hindsight you can clearly see the three waves of food price increases (BLS Table A):
Get ready and shop smart.
The October, November and December price increases in the grocery store are going to make the prior fresh food increases look small, as the full increased costs of farming operations starts to arrive at the supermarket. Unfortunately, this will coincide with a wave of gasoline price increases, and the prices of natural gas are already skyrocketing.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 12, 2022 | Sundance
On February 24, 2022, Deputy National Security Advisor and Deputy Director of the National Economic Council, Daleep Singh, told the world what to expect about the U.S. and allied response to the war in Ukraine. We called the white house strategy “World War Reddit.” Here’s what Deputy NSA Singh said:
…”Strategic success in the 21st century is not about a physical land grab of territory; that’s what Putin has done. In this century, strategic power is increasingly measured and exercised by economic strength, by technological sophistication and your story – who you are, what your values are; can you attract ideas and talent and goodwill? And on each of those measures, this will be a failure for Russia.” ~ Deputy National Security Advisor Daleep Singh
Deputy National Security Advisor Daleep Singh boiled down geopolitical power to a cultural issue of social likeability. Realize that what he said is the White House strategy leading our foreign policy. That strategy is why the White House enlisted TikTok influencers for their Ukraine effort [link]. Remember, the State Dept is also leading this effort. That is the context for this video. WATCH:
That’s why we called it World War Reddit eight months ago. Where the State Dept was going with this “war” was obvious.
I mentioned in a prior post that the US was purchasing anti-radiation medication. The media is urging the public not to fear as this is simply a precaution. Yet, the US would not have shelled out $290 million on a drug if the intelligence agencies did not fear the potential of a nuclear attack.
The US Department of Health and Human Services downplayed the severity and said that this is part of its “long-standing, ongoing efforts by the Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response to better prepare the U.S. for the potential health impacts of a wide range of threats to national security.” Of course, Joe Biden fanned the flames of panic by stating there was a risk for a “nuclear Armageddon” not seen in 60 years. “We have not faced the prospect of Armageddon since Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis,” Biden said. Obviously, no nuclear weapons were used then, and America is the only nation to have used one during war. However, the US is certainly taking the threat of nuclear war with Russia seriously.
The government is purchasing a drug called Nplate that was approved by the FDA in 2021 to treat radiation syndrome. “Nplate is indicated to increase survival in adults and in pediatric patients (including term neonates) acutely exposed to myelosuppressive doses of radiation,” the company notes. Although not a worthy source, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said that Acute Radiation Syndrome (ARS) occurs in four stages.
Prodromal stage (N-V-D stage): The classic symptoms for this stage are nausea, vomiting, as well as anorexia and possibly diarrhea (depending on dose), which occur from minutes to days following exposure. The symptoms may last (episodically) for minutes up to several days.
Latent stage: In this stage, the patient looks and feels generally healthy for a few hours or even up to a few weeks.
Manifest illness stage: In this stage the symptoms depend on the specific syndrome and last from hours up to several months.
Recovery or death: Most patients who do not recover will die within several months of exposure. The recovery process lasts from several weeks up to two years.
It is peculiar that the drug was approved for radiation a year prior to the war breaking out in Ukraine. The drug has never been tested on humans, and the results are not guaranteed. They certainly were not testing monkeys with a radiation dosage even close to that of a nuclear weapon. Of course, this was another NIAID-funded research project. They were testing mRNA drugs and COVID vaccines before the pandemic began too.
“In the study, 80 monkeys exposed to a life-threatening dose of radiation were randomly assigned to receive a single injection of either romiplostim or placebo one day after radiation exposure. All animals were given standard supportive care, including fluids, anti-ulcer medication, anti-nausea medication, pain medication, and antibiotics. After 60 days, 29 of 40 monkeys in the romiplostim group had survived compared to 13 of 40 in the placebo group.”
How could they top the fear-mongering of COVID-19? Nuclear war. Stay inside because of radiation and take your shots to survive. The nuclear Armageddon could occur at any moment! After 2020, anything is possible.
I have close personal friends on all sides of this Ukrainian nightmare — Kyiv, Donetsk, and Moscow. The Russian translation for the film on me, “The Forecaster,” was done by a Ukrainian Russian-Speaking person in Donetsk. I have listened to all the sides, and all I can say is that the hatred there is engrained and will not be eliminated any time soon.
Perhaps I am old school like Kissinger. What I can say is I have studied war. In contrast, about 50,000 Americans died in battle in Vietnam, including some of my high school classmates. North Vietnam lost up to 1,489,000, and South Vietnam lost up to 1,119,000. In World War I, the total deaths included 9 to 11 million military personnel, with 6 to 13 million civilians. Some have estimated the total number debt of up to 40 million during World War I. In World War II, it is estimated total of 70-85 million people died.
My point is that war is made by politicians causally because they are never the people who die. The best a soldier can hope for is to come home uninjured and alive, and his home and family are still intact. The Neocons always want war. They exist in all countries. Their purpose in life is to hate their imagined enemy. John McCain hated Russians, period. He hated them before Putin as well and always preached war. He may be dead, but there are plenty of Neocons still cheering World War III, like John Bolton and John Brennan, not to forget Hillary.
For the life of me, war just seems to be inherent in our species. Only the Romans ever discovered how to create peace through free trade. Discussing the war in Kyiv, the response to let the Donbas go, which is occupied by Russians anyway, the response is, “No way, they will then want the rest of the country.” But at the same time, they expect the ethnic Russians in the Donbas and Crimea to return to Russia and leave their homes that have been in their families for centuries.
Meanwhile, in Russia, they realize that this is NOT a war against Ukraine, but against the United States. With the 2014 Ukrainian Revolution, the West installed an interim government that was NOT elected by the people. It was that government that sent the army to attack the Donbas — not any Ukrainian elected government. This is the Neocons still waging war, hiding behind Ukraine.
This is an attempt to explain the Minsk Agreement to Zelinsky. In Washington, NOBODY gives a DAMN about the Ukrainian people. The more that die, the better to justify war with Russia. No matter what I say, write, or even try to talk to people on each side, it is in vain. They will not be satisfied without war.
Denmark and Estonia are rejecting any Russians and canceling their visas. The scary part is that China, North Korea, Iran, and Syria, just to name a few, know that Russia cannot be allowed to fall, for they will be next. There seems to be nobody even contemplating a world if Russia was to be defeated or if the world divides. All of this for a strip of land occupied by Russians for centuries? No. It is about a long-seething hatred that has existed for more than a century, and Ukraine is the excuse. There is no resolution until the death count rises substantially. This will NEVER end; even if Putin withdrew, the West would move in for the kill.
Florida Surgeon General Dr. Joseph Ladapo posted a warning on Twitter only to have the platform silence him. It is his responsibility to inform the public of potential health hazards. There should be a crackdown of Twitter for stifling free speech. The surgeon general’s tweet was reinstated after the weekend amid backlash. Hopefully, their desperate attempt to silence the truth backfired and brought more awareness to the problem.
The Florida Health Department examined those who had mysteriously died within 25 weeks of receiving the COVID vaccine. The guidance link provided by Dr. Lapado urges healthcare providers to examine the risks associated with these mRNA vaccines.
“The Florida Department of Health (Department) conducted an analysis through a self-controlled case series, which is a technique originally developed to evaluate vaccine safety. This studied mortality risk following mRNA COVID-19 vaccination. This analysis found there is an 84% increase in the relative incidence of cardiac-related death among males 18-39 years old within 28 days following mRNA vaccination. Individuals with preexisting cardiac conditions, such as myocarditis and pericarditis, should take particular caution when considering vaccination and discuss with their health care provider.”
These findings are extremely alarming, and the surgeon general recommends AGAINST COVID-19 vaccinations for men between 18-39 years of age. An 84% increase in cardiac-related deaths is astounding and a true eye-opener of how deep the cognitive dissonance is embedded in society, as NO ONE is discussing this matter. People are more concerned about Twitter removing the tweet than the actual content. The guidance continued:
“Based on currently available data, patients should be informed of the possible cardiac complications that can arise after receiving a mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. With a high level of global immunity to COVID-19, the benefit of vaccination is likely outweighed by this abnormally high risk of cardiac-related death among men in this age group.”
Men over the age of 60 experienced a 10% increase in cardiac-related deaths as well. They are also recommending against the use of these dangerous vaccines in healthy children under 17. We should have already reached herd immunity long ago. The risks associated with the vaccine far outweigh the benefits (if there are any benefits). Healthy young men should not be dying from heart failure – the COVID narrative must end.
A lot of people say I am wrong and Zelenski has a hell of a lot more than $100 million already stashed offshore. I am fully aware that the number being thrown around is $850 million he has stolen already. My number of $100 milion+ is conservative, but this has been confirmed already by members of Congress. American politicians are satisfied with $100 million. In Ukraine, they think of billions to be an oligarch.
In all honesty, Zelenski is in perfect company. Just look around the globe at world leaders. I do not see a single one that is a statesman anymore.
My sources in Crimea have confirmed that this was a Ukrainian Neo-Nazi terrorist attack. The driver of this 18-wheeler died. He picked up a load of fertilizer and was not part of the plot. They were watching and blew up the truck remotely killing the driver and the car next to it and blowing up the bridge. Ukraine itself has not taken credit for it. This was a coordinated attack by the Neo-Nazis. I cannot express how much hatred these people have stored up inside. They waited to detonate the truck when it was under a train of tankers filled with fuel.
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