Tag Archives: ECB

Jan 23 2019

Reversals v Technical Analysis


Armstrong Economics Blog/Training Tools

Re-Posted Jan 23, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Hello Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for your services and commitment to society! I read your Blog daily and the wealth of information you provide is breathtaking. My question, is it possible to add a service to the GMW, where we can draw our personalized trendlines and where Socrates would provide us our Reversals based on our chart drawings, similar to what you provided to those that were on the Beta version of Socrates? This would be a fantastic added service that can be charged on a per month or yearly basis. I have had a difficult time finding on the internet a charting system that is simple and straightforward as your Socrates system.

Also, if you need future assistance with the “medical” Socrates, I would be honored to assist freely. I have over 25+ years in the medical field and can relate 100% what you went through with your mom during her last days here on earth. Your situation is very common and that was one of the main reason I left the medical field and searched for another career. The medical industry is very corrupt from the CEO’s, pharmaceutical companies, physician all the way down to the nurses, therapist, x-ray tech and so on. We need to change our system. Currently, hospitals are places to avoid, they are a revolving door and once you are admitted to the hospital, there is no way out.

Thank you for your time.

K

ANSWER: The Reversals are not generated from technical analysis. They are based entirely upon physics with very complex formulas. Therefore, technical analysis can provide visual confirmation and target objectives. Timing is the dominant factor, for if you run out of time before a Directional Change, then the Reversals will confirm or deny a change in that directional trend.

Jan 21 2019

Panic Cycles v Waterfall Events


Armstrong Economics Blog/Training Tools

Re-Posted Jan 21, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Hi There,
I suggest you do an article on the terminology you use.For example I noted that on your commentary on centamin Egypt you use the term waterfall pattern. You also you use the term panic cycle.An article on these words and their meaning would be helpful.
Thanks

S

REPLY: We do have terminology is the Glossary on this site. The Waterfall Event is a term I coined to describe what I discovered in the study of the rise and fall of empires, nations, and city-states. This differs from a Panic Cycle which reflects just a short-term increase in volatility, which can exceed the previous session high and penetrate the previous session low or make a big move in one direction.  They do not imply the destruction of the system being observed or an individual market.

I have encountered the Waterfall Events such as the collapse of Venice to the 1931 Sovereign DebtCrisis where the foreign government bonds listed on the New York Stock Exchange simple defaulted and went to zero. Thus, the Waterfall is a sharp collapse that will unfold in a market with a decline of generally greater than 50%.

 

Jan 21 2019

Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi to Run for EU Seat


Armstrong Economics Blog/European Union

Re-Posted Jan 21, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

Silvio Berlusconi announced his candidacy for European elections in May due to a “sense of responsibility.” Indeed, this may be the best thing that ever happened. The EU pulled off a coup secretly behind the scenes to drive him from office because he wanted to take Italy out of the euro to save his country. Our deep sources all confirmed the EU intervened in the Italian elections to remove Berlusconi, which was effectively a coup back in 2013.

Southern Europe has been seriously disrupted from joining the euro. They were forced to convert their past debts to euros and then the euro doubled in value, causing their real world national debts to double in terms of international value. Is it any wonder their economies have been in a death spiral? Unemployment among the youth has reached 60% in some regions, and they are now known as “The Lost Generation.”

The May elections for the EU are looking like a lot more anti-EU and people will be taking up seats in Brussels.

Categor
Jan 20 2019

The Difference between 2020 and 2032


Armstrong Economics Blog/ECM

Re-Posted Jan 20, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Hi Martin,

My girlfriend brought up a point about your work during coffee this morning. Basically, she’s confused about the two dates you often mention, 2020 and 2032. She wants to know which date (2020, 2032) you expect the markets move into crises mode due to the lack of confidence in government. I tried to explain but my insight wasn’t good enough.

Could you explain in a future blog the difference between these dates and what you (Socrates) expect to happen during these points in time?

Thanks,
J

ANSWER: The 2032 date is the conclusion of this Private Wave. That is when the power of the West will begin to shift to China for the next cycle that begins thereafter. The 2020 date is when the confidence begins to noticeably begin to turn down for the AVERAGE person.  You can “feel” it in the air already. What the Democrats have done is simply unbelievable. Sure the people who hate Trump cheer. But they fail to understand the system. Whatever they do to the Republicans sets the stage for what will be considered “normal” for the Republicans to do to the Democrats if power shifts.

I have explained that the Democratic victory in the House was really a disaster for this has allowed nothing but the next two years to be confrontation as we are witnessing on the funding of the wall which is only $5.7 billion. In Fiscal Year 2019, the federal budget will be $4.407 trillion. The U.S. government estimates it will receive $3.422 trillion in revenue. That creates a $985 billion deficit for October 1st, 2018 through September 30, 2019. Not only is this less than a single week’s interest payment of $6.7 billion, it is .001% of the annual budget. It is so meaningless it illustrates my point. The Democrats think all they have to do is demonize Trump and OPPOSE absolutely everything he proposes to win the White House in 2020.

We will be running the computer models on the 2020 election. But preliminary indications show that we will see a sharp rise in violence. Neither side will accept the results.

Categories: ECM
Jan 17 2019

May Survives No-Confidence Vote but has until Monday 21st to present New Proposal


Armstrong Economics Blog/Pound

Re-Posted Jan 17, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

The British pound moved higher following the British Prime Minister Theresa May’s government narrowly surviving a no confidence vote brought by the opposition over the handling of BREXIT. The vote was narrow with May winning by just 19 votes. Our sources were correct that she would survive. However, while the 21st seems to be a target date of our models, the prime minister  has just three days to propose an alternative deal – that is January 21st. I find it curious how the computer picks weeks in advance of political events the targets for market movements that are driven by politics. There is clearly something beyond the headlines that the computer picks up.

Categories: Pound
Jan 17 2019

Despite Losing Vote for Brexit Plan, Prime Minister Theresa May Wins Confidence Vote…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on January 16, 2019 by 

After losing a key vote to advance her Brexit plan, the U.K. Parliament held a confidence vote.  Despite the lost vote 24 hours earlier, British MPs voted 325 to 306 affirming their confidence in May’s government.

Prime Minister May delivered remarks on the past two days from 10 Downing Street.