Posted originally on Apr 21, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Russia tested a new missile last week that has many concerned that this is a new supersonic version of a nuclear-capable intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) on April 12th, 2024, that is capable of attacking NATO and the USA undetected. The Russian Ministry of Defence only claimed this was part of “state testing of prospective missile systems, as well as confirmation of the stability of missiles in service.” This has caused chatter down the line when the Neocons are pushing for war.
Posted originally on Apr 20, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Since the Climate Change nuts swear we will all die in just 3 years, you might as well stop working, go party, don’t bother paying your bills, and when you are done celebrating in a NY Restaurant, just walk out. If they complain, say Biden has confirmed we will all die by 2027, just look at the clock! That’s why he is forgiving all student loans. Hey, equality means we should all be forgiven all debts, including taxes. It’s Party Time – the Constitution guarantees Equal Protection of the Law! Biden has to forgive everyone’s debts! All the aliens pay no taxes. They get free money and free healthcare. It’s our time!
The reason the Biden Administration is talking about UFOs is because the word is out –
free money, free healthcare, and anyone can vote if you vote for Biden.
They are coming for the handouts from around the Galaxy.
Resign your Citizenship, go to Mexico, come back, and live the free life on Biden!
Note: Offer may be void if you do not join the military to conquer the world
This is indisputable proof that the sea level is rising. It may have risen by a few millimeters between 1885 and today – but who is really counting anything? Others say the sea level has risen because we all gained weight, and when we go into the ocean for a dip, we are the cause of rising sea levels – not fossil fuels.
I feel bad for Trump. His request to delay the trial until 2027 was denied.
Sanctions and the removal of Russia from SWIFT have not deterred the Russian economy. A recent report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that Russia’s economy will grow more in the next year than any other advanced economy.
The IMF believes Russia’s economy will grow by 3.2% in 2024, in comparison, the US is expected to grow by 2.7% while Europe’s top economy, Germany, is expected to grow by a mere 0.2%. Cutting off Europe from Russian energy backfired in a major way. Foreign investments have been pouring into Russia from the rest of the world, which is eager to join the rank of “advanced nation.”
Trade between China and Russia has spiked to $240 billion in the last year alone. World leaders have learned absolutely nothing from the previous three years. US President Joe Biden just announced new tariffs against China on steel, aluminum, and shipbuilding supplies that will be potentially raised to 7.5%, triple the current rate for steel and aluminum. “The president understands we must invest in American manufacturing, but we also have to protect those investments and those workers from unfair exports associated with China’s industrial overcapacity,” Lael Brainerd, director of the White House’s National Economic Council. The president of the US and other world leaders simply do not understand how the economy operates. Brainerd believes China is simply overproducing, and these tariffs will cause China to change its policy as it wishes to continue trade with the US, its previous top trading partner.
China does not need the US to excel at trade. China’s adopted capitalistic style of business is causing nations to line up to sell to China in the same manner that they once did to the US. Now, Americans are strapped for cash, and its consumer population is declining. Biden just made it less appealed for nations like China to sell to the US. Germany is failing to grow because it continued its mercantile system of business where it feels it must increase manufacturing. German manufacturing may be of higher quality than that of China but China’s middle class is growing, and with it, so are the number of consumers amid a population of nearly 1.4 billion people.
Russia does not need the US, Canada, or Europe for trade either, as they have a precious natural resource that is in higher demand than supply. The world needs energy and fossil fuels and cannot operate without them. As hard as the climate change zealots try, they cannot eliminate the world’s dependence on fossil fuels. Instead, the West is imposing regulations and taxing its people in an effort to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels, but the demand is not there, and the infrastructure does not exist. There is no reliable alternative to fossil fuels on a wide scale.
Russia does not need to adhere to the G7 nation’s price capping regulations. Russia has effectively been selling oil to nations like India who then turn around and sell it to the West at a premium. Pettiness is poor business, and simply attempting to ostracize a necessary trade partner from the global market has backfired in a major way. Now nations like those under BRICS are trading freely without Western interference and it is becoming overtly apparent that sanctions do not work.
Posted originally on Apr 18, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
The federal US government insists 60% of all new car production must be electric by 2030 – six years away. I have explained numerous times how this is unsustainable for US infrastructure, the private sector, and the average American consumer. Now, 13 Republican-led states are taking the federal government to the US Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit to ask that this mandate be repealed.
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and Department of Energy (DOE) are violating standing laws by ushering in this new wave of electric auto manufacturing, according to the 13 attorneys generals who are standing up for the people. The AGs believe that these agencies do not have the authority to issue fuel regulations that “multiplies the nominal fuel-efficiency of electric automobiles by 6.67.”
The DOE is mandated by law to conduct an annual review before implementing policies, so how could they issue mandates that begin as soon as 2027? “We’re pulling the plug on Biden’s electric vehicle handout,” Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird said. “Biden has made it clear thmat he will take every avenue possible to wage war on gas-powered vehicles. And Iowa ethanol is getting caught in the crossfire.” Along with Iowa, Nebraska, Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas, Utah, and the American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce are filing this appeal.
Furthermore, the lawsuit argues that the federal government is overestimating the efficiency of electric autos by at least 6 times. “Biden’s illegal boost to electric vehicles hurts car owners, car manufacturers, liquid-fuel producers and the electric grid. The rule manipulates a more than 30-year-old incentive for car manufacturers that design cars that run on gasoline, ethanol, biodiesel, or compressed natural gas. The benefit that was intended to support farmers and ethanol producers is now being exploited to harm them by giving handouts to electric vehicles. This rule favoring electric vehicles hurts car-owners, roads, and carbon emissions across the country.”
The push for EVs has nothing to do with the environment and everything to do with government control in allegiance with Agenda 2030 put forth by the World Economic Forum. The infrastructure for EVs is simply non-existent. I reported that the government has only opened seven charging stations since funneling billions into arranging a nation network of stations. Auto manufacturers have protested the initiative, and the average consumer simply cannot afford to make the switch. If the government receives no pushback, driving in itself will become a luxury that is out of reach for the average American. That will be by design. Say goodbye to the freedom of movement as you rely on your QR-coded public transportation within your 15-minute city.
Posted originally on Apr 17, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
I explained how the private sector does not wish to switch to EVs amid high production costs and low demand. A recent Gallup Poll found that Americans do not want to own an EV, and the plans to eliminate fossil fuels do not align with the wishes of the people.
Around 7% of respondents, up 4% from last year, do own an EV. In 2023, 43% of respondents said they’d consider switching to electric, but that figure has declined to 35%. Fewer than half of adults, 44%, said they’d “seriously consider” or “might consider” buying electric in the future, down from 55% in 2023, while the number of people stating they have zero intention of switching rose to 48% from 41% on an annual basis.
We know that is cost more to purchase an EV, hence upper-income respondents are more likely to own or consider owning an EV and that figure declines when we look at middle America, and further declines when we look at the working class. In fact, 61% of lower-income Americans said they would never switch to electric, an 18 percentage point rise from 2023.
Liberals are also more likely to own or consider owning an EV. Only 27% of Democrats said they would not consider switching compared to 69% of Republicans and 47% of Independents. The study found that lower-income and young Americans are most concerned about climate change, but only 8% of people overall who worry “a great deal” about fossil fuel cars impact on the environment actually own one.
Still, the government is pushing full speed ahead to ensure 60% of new vehicle production is electric by 2030 – six years from now. I explained how manufacturing is not expanding under these climate change initiatives. The private sector does not want to produce these vehicles and the people do not want to buy them. Yet, the Biden Administration will stick to these arbitrary targets if re-elected this November.
Posted originally on Apr 12, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Can central banks not even manipulate the markets?
FS
ANSWER: No. Here is the track record of the central banks when they created the Group of 5 (now G20) in 1985. I warned them they would create a crash within two years. But look at what happened. The fools assumed the central banks could manipulate the dollar. When the Plaza Accord took place, the dollar had already peaked. Because the fools thought the decline was all because of the central banks, when the dollar had fallen too far, they held the Louvre Accord and came out saying the dollar had fallen far enough. When the dollar moved low again, the 1987 Crash too place BECAUSE the central banks were perceived to have no control.
I was named FOREX Person of the year for calling the collapse of the Swiss/Euro Peg. I even met with the Swiss central bank and warned them, They said they would be able to hold the peg and and said now way. I have met with more central banks than probably anyone – ever. I have been in the room when the red phone was ringing between the G5 on manipulating currencies. I need not engage in conspiracy theories. We have first-hand experience.
Even go back to the US Civil War. The dollar was collapsing, and the price of gold soared regarding greenbacks. Lincoln did everything. He shut down gold trading on the New York Stock Exchange. They then traded on the curb and created the Gold Room. Nothing worked.
Here is the New York Times from November 18th, 1864. They observed the “folly of attempting to regulate the price [of gold] or any other article of traffic by forcible interference.” Anyone who claims that gold was suppressed because of manipulation made that up because they do not understand that gold DOES NOT rise linked to inflation. Gold soars when there is a collapse in confidence in government and in times of war, just as it did during the Civil War.
Gold declined for 19 years while inflation rose and the National Debt exploded. Gold has rallied only when the CONFIDENCE in government has declined as we are seeing today. People are getting very tense. In Texas, a guy drove his 18-wheeler into a Texas Public Safety office after being denied a Commercial Drivers License.
CONFIDENCE has collapsed by about 50% since 1980. The movie coming out tomorrow on April 12th is the Civil War. Such a movie 20 years ago would have been unheard of.
Posted originally on Apr 12, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: I just had to say thank you. I kept a copy of your private post What Are the Markets Telling Us? from FEBRUARY 24, 2024. Your model called for a high in January, the false move to retest support in February, and a resumption of the trend into April. You have taught me so much about how markets move. Only a fool buys and holds, expecting every month to be higher.
Keep up the great reports. This is when many say we need you the most.
Jeb
That Post 2/24/24 Was:
The UK has a slightly different pattern from continental Europe. Germany shows a Panic Cycle in June. But the targets are shaping up as May and July. Blending in gold, January was high, and Feb has retested support, yet softly. Volatility should rise now going into March, and April 19/20th is the ECM turning point of the Ukraine/Russia War, followed by the main ECM target of May 7th. Here, too, we see rising volatility in gold from May into August, with a Panic Cycle in September and the peak in volatility in November probably related to the 2024 election.
ANSWER: Thank you. Everything moves in a cycle. Many of the great discoveries come only from observing how markets trade. John Law traded on the exchange in Amsterdam and came up with the theory of Supply and demand.
Sir Thomas Gresham also traded on the floor in Amsterdam, representing the English Crown. He saw how Henry VIII’s debasement of money caused people to hoard the older money, which actually shrank the money supply, forcing the state to debase even more. He came up with the idea that bad money drives good money out of circulation.
I invented capital flow analysis because, in the ’80s, I, too, observed how capital was rushing around the world, driving markets up and down. If you do not open your eyes, you will remain nothing more than the fool on the hill.
Only a fool refuses to learn about the markets. If you cannot grasp this basic fundamental principle, forget investment; you are just a fool who will lose everything. There are always false moves. That is how the market is propelled by moving in the opposite direction, creating bull and bear traps. Every rally in gold for 19 years was touted as this time will be different. When they failed, they blamed the bankers. NOBODY but NOBODY can manipulate any market, altering its trend. They can push the market around within the scope of support and resistance. But they cannot change the trend no matter what.
All the bankers and hedge funds were on the same trade with Russia. I was invited down to the dinner they put on to buy influence in the IMF at the National Gallery. I told them the market would crash and refused to join. When it crashed, they blamed me rather than admit they were all wrong. If they were so powerful, why do they always blow themselves up with Russia, mortgage-backed securities, you name it?
No market can be manipulated against its inherent trend. Anyone who claims gold was suppressed because it was manipulated simply was an excuse because their analysis was wrong. That is total BS to claim any market can be manipulated, converting a bull to a bear market. Everything is arbitraged on a global scale.
The majority is ALWAYS wrong, and that is what creates the crash. They are all long, try to get out, and there is no bid. Look at the Slinky moving down the steps. The opposite side gains the majority of power and then pulls the other side down, and so on. This is how the markets move. It is always a battle between bulls and bears, which is why the markets can never go in one direction. The same is true about everything, including climate change. The climate has always changed the same as markets have always risen and fallen, only to rise again. Marxism did not understand this fundamental, and it, like some gold bugs, tried to make the economy rise and never fall back into recession.
The French physicist Jean Foucault discovered what is known as the Foucault Pendulum. He proved that the earth rotated on its axis. The pendulum was constantly moving back and forth like markets by its own inertia. In the course of 24 hours, the floor moved in a circle. Since you are standing next to this pendulum at the Houston Museum of Natural Science, the illusion is that it moves in a circle when you and the floor are fixed on Earth.
NOT EVERYTHING IS WHAT IT SEEMS – ONLY A FOOL REFUSES TO SEE
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