Posted originally on Jul 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
For hundreds of years, the two Southeast Asian neighbors, Cambodia and Thailand, have engaged in occasional military conflicts and nationalist rivalry centered on a disputed border. We’re getting reports from Thailand that an F16 bombed a Cambodian military target.
This border conflict actually dates back to a map made in 1907, when Cambodia was a French colony. The map serves as the foundation for Cambodia’s claims to certain regions of the border. Thailand disputed this French colonial map due to its ambiguity. Like Ukraine, this is over territory, and we are not even talking about a significant amount of land.
According to Thai officials, Cambodia has recently planted land mines that wounded their soldiers in the province of Ubon Ratchathani. Cambodia claims that the explosion took place within its Preah Vihear region and calls Thailand’s assertions “baseless.”
The border dispute concerns a 508-mile border that has been contested since the borders were established following French occupancy of Cambodia more than a century ago. As a result, numerous conflicts have arisen over resources and territory. In 2008, tensions escalated when Cambodia attempted to register the 11th-century Hindu temple, Preah Vihear Temple, which was in dispute between Cambodia and Thailand. This ancient Hindu temple has been the center of territorial disputes for many years.in the disputed region as a UNESCO World Heritage Site, a move that Thailand strongly objected to. There have been intermittent conflicts over the years in which both sides have lost soldiers and civilians.
Cambodia has imposed a full embargo on importing anything from Thailand, ranging from fruits and vegetables to electricity and the internet, as well as any cultural content whatsoever. In return, Thailand has blocked all internet services used by the Cambodian authorities. They have also significantly restricted land crossings into Cambodia and prohibited gambling-related travel by tourists.
Thai and Cambodian troops in a disputed area are now engaging in direct conflict. Thailand’s military said Cambodian troops opened fire first, while Cambodia’s Ministry of National Defence said its troops acted in self-defence after coming under attack. As Churchill said, the TRUTH needs a bodyguard of lies during war to protect it. Our sources indicate that fighting is ongoing in several locations along the border. Thailand has recalled its ambassador to Cambodia, and Cambodia has withdrawn its diplomats from Thailand, ordering all Thai diplomats to leave the country.
Our War Model for the region turned up in July, which correlated with the timing array on the Baht, starting with the rise in volatility in July. This even came down to the week on the Thai SET share market as well.
Posted originally on Jul 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Neoconservatives (neocons) are a faction within U.S. foreign policy circles who advocate for an aggressive, interventionist approach to promoting American interests and values abroad, which is the cover story, along with spreading democracy, which we do not even experience. Their hostility toward Russia stems from several key ideological and strategic motivations that date back to when Khrushchev said, “We will bury you,” a philosophical boast that he believed communism would defeat capitalism, much like Sparta defeated Athens.
Neoconservatives view Russia under Putin as an authoritarian, revisionist power that suppresses democracy, violates human rights, and threatens liberal democratic values, including the WOKE agenda. They see regime change or containment as necessary to weaken Russia’s influence. Russia was communist, but that fell. They are now capitalists, but they have shifted their focus from communism to authoritarianism, which is indistinguishable from that of any Western country. We may elect a president as Russia does, but we have unelected moles within the Deep State that act in their own self-interest. In Europe, the head of the EU does not stand for an election, nor does anyone in the Commission. Ursula was appointed on December 1st, 2019. She has NEVER stood for any democratic position in history, yet she calls Putin a dictator who has stood for election.
Many neocons (especially older figures) retain a Cold War mindset, seeing Russia as the successor to the Soviet Union—an existential adversary that must be confronted rather than accommodated. They distrust diplomacy with Moscow, believing it only emboldens aggression. They act with their disdain and aggression, insisting it is self-defense because that is what Russia intends.
While the AFD in Germany opposes supplying Ukraine with endless weapons, Merz is a diehard Neocon and is doing everything in his power to ensure that Germany is attacked to justify World War III. He has insisted on an exception for deficit spending, ending Germany’s austerity, all for defense. He says there is no diplomatic solution, and this is right out of the Neocon Playbook – never talk to the enemy, for they may lead to peace.
Neoconservatives push for NATO expansion (e.g., advocating for Ukraine’s membership) and support arming proxy forces (like in Syria or Ukraine) to roll back Russian influence. They view this as a means to solidify U.S. global hegemony. They have promoted NATO expansion to Asia and have wanted to open NATO headquarters in Japan.
Neocons often argue that showing restraint (e.g., not responding forcefully to Russian actions in Crimea or Syria) encourages further aggression. They favor military buildups, sanctions, and regime-change strategies to pressure Moscow. Yet, they have never won a single aggressive war since World War II. Robert S. McNamara even apologized for taking the USA into Vietnam, admitting that they believed Russia was involved, “We were wrong. It was just a civil war.”
Critics argue that neoconservatives are influenced by defense contractors and lobbyists who benefit from prolonged conflict. While not all neocons are directly tied to these interests, most are closely tied to them. Their policies align with a permanent war economy. Lindsey Graham, a U.S. Senator, and his most significant political contributors include industries such as defense, healthcare, and finance. For example, his top defense donors are Defense contractors Boeing and Lockheed Martin.
Senators John McCain and Lindsey Graham have supported the idea of Georgia joining NATO, emphasizing the importance of strengthening ties and security in the region. They have advocated for NATO enlargement to include Georgia as part of a broader strategy to counter Russian influence. Then with a straight face, the Neocons claim Putin’s Russia as an imperialist power seeking to dominate Eastern Europe (e.g., Ukraine, Georgia) and the Middle East, which are their exact goals. They believe that only forceful U.S. action can prevent Russian hegemony in these regions, necessitating confrontation.
Yet, when General Wesley Clark went to the Pentagon after 911, he was told they were invading IRAQ and intended to take seven countries simply because they claimed they used to be leaning toward Russia. Yet they insist that Russia is imperialistic when it does the same thing.
Some neocons prioritize Russia because they grew up hating Russians. This is their historical baggage (Cold War-era policymakers dominate their ranks). They instigated the Ukraine War to draw Russia into a direct confrontation and have no problem sacrificing Eastern Europeans to kill Russians. Bill Kristol even argued that invading Iraq would somehow bring peace to the Middle East, when this was supposed to be step one for the invasion of the Middle East.
The Neocons who now control Germany, France, the Netherlands, Britain, Poland, all the Baltics, and Scandinavia have succeeded in usurping power to create WWIII. Sweden was neutral in WWII – today they joined NATO and have placed a target on the back of every citizen. They do not care about any Eastern European. They are merely pawns on their chessboard to conquer Russia.
They told the Ukrainian people in 2014 to overthrow their government, for this was their moment for peace. Then they instructed the UNELECTED government to attack the Donbas and start this civil war to draw in Russia.
China is harder to confront militarily without incurring catastrophic economic consequences, as it is becoming the largest economy in the world. China is the largest economy in the world, when calculated using Purchasing Power Parity data from the World Bank (with growth estimates from the IMF), and including estimates of the undervaluation of GDP, adding the grey market of China, which is extensive. The underground economy in China is much larger than in the USA or Europe.
Criticism of Neocon Policies
Opponents argue that neoconservatives always overestimate U.S. power (e.g., Iraq War blowback. Neocons like Kinzinger have actually claimed the US can defeat Russia in 3 days.
The Neocons have escalated risks of nuclear war, pushing NATO to Russia’s borders, begging for a fight. They lied to Gorbachev, telling the press they never “promised” that they would not move nukes right to Russia’s border. Our Neocon did the very same thing that Khruschev did in 1962. The Russians at least staged a coup and removed Khrushchev, who was replaced by Brezhnev. There is a movie, The Courier, about how a Russian was tipping off the US about the missiles heading to Cuba. These Neocons have sought to surround Russia with nukes right up to their borders. They deny their actions and claim this is self-defense, when in fact it is offensive, trying to provoke war.
The Cuban Missile Crisis occurred in October 1962 and was a 13-day confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union over the deployment of Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba.
October 22: Kennedy announces the discovery of the missiles in a televised address and imposes a naval blockade (quarantine) around Cuba to prevent further Soviet shipments.
October 24-25: Soviet ships approach the blockade but stop or turn back, avoiding direct conflict.
October 26-27: Tense negotiations between the U.S. and USSR. Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev sends two conflicting messages—first offering to remove missiles if the U.S. promises not to invade Cuba, then demanding the U.S. also remove missiles from Turkey.
October 27 (“Black Saturday”): A U.S. U-2 plane is shot down over Cuba, killing pilot Rudolf Anderson. The U.S. prepares for possible military action.
October 28: Khrushchev announces the withdrawal of Soviet missiles from Cuba in exchange for a U.S. promise not to invade Cuba and a secret agreement to remove U.S. missiles from Turkey, which was withheld from the public to make it sound as if only Russia backed down.
The Neocons constantly undermine diplomacy (rejecting détente in favor of perpetual confrontation). They cannot accept the fact that the Soviet Union collapsed with communism, which was the archenemy. They transformed their hatred of communism into racism against all Russians. Friends from Germany report that they can “feel” war is in the air.
One document that the CIA has been hiding is the Gary Underwood document that states plainly that the CIA ASSASSINATED Kennedy. The reason this is important is that the Neocons are still running the show, lie about everything, and are in complete control of Europe, and are moving to achieve their ultimate goal – the total destruction of Russia, which is not fulfilling Ukraine’s ethnic cleansing of all Russians.
Conclusion
Neoconservatives see Russia as an ideological and strategic enemy that must be defeated rather than negotiated with. Their influence ensures hardline policies persist, even when they risk unintended consequences. They never consider the people they send into battle. They never consider the national debt or that no nation has ever benefited from prolonged war. They lie about absolutely everything and always claim that their enemy will attack, so they need to attack first using proxies like Ukraine or Vietnam.
They started Ukraine right on schedule – 51.6 years from the Cuban Missile Crisis. The next 8.6-year wave targeted 2022, which peaks in 2027. Russia came to the rescue of the Donbas in 2022.
Posted originally on CTH on July 22, 2025 | Sundance
I’ll repeat it as much as needed, until it sinks in.
The U.S-Canada trade deal status is simply a no-brainer. President Trump will answer questions about Canada and tariffs, he’ll put people into seats to discuss trade with the Canadian delegation, and he’ll give every outward appearance of being favorable to Prime Minister Mark Carney…. BUT…
In the background, Trump is simply waiting for the USMCA timeline to trigger a renegotiation. President Donald Trump is ambivalent to the trade partnership with Canada. This moot-status reality is why there’s no substantive engagement.
‘No deal’ -until USMCA redo- is a win for President Trump.
For some bizarre reason that I simply cannot fathom, almost every Canadian politician seems entirely oblivious to this reality. Instead, Canadian Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc and Mark Carney’s chief-of-staff, Marc-André Blanchard are once again coming to DC to ride their bicycles in slow circles at the bottom of the White House driveway while staring in the windows.
An article in Politico notes the Canadian premiers are now accepting the August 1st deadline will pass without any agreement, and the 35% reciprocal tariffs on non-USMCA products (meaning a lot of stuff) is going to trigger.
Literally, everything from Canada that has a non-USMCA component is going to be tariffed. Think about all the stuff from China, Asia (writ large) and Europe that Canada assembles for finished goods. All of that stuff will be subject to the tariffs.
That said, there’s good news coming from the recent meeting between Prime Minister Carney and the Premiers. Within their statement they use the term “developing large infrastructure projects.” That’s Canadian political codespeak for them realizing they are going to have to get back to regular energy development, raw material use/refinement and ACTUAL MANUFACTURING.
Canada is going to have to bring back their ‘dirty’ industrial jobs.
For our Treehouse friends in Canada, this is very good news. The Canadian assembly economic model has to change in order to get compliant with U.S. trade rules. THAT’S TRUMP’S ENTIRE POINT!
The environmentalists within Canada will not like this, but economically they will have no choice; it’s the only way to avoid a complete economic depression.
HUNTSVILLE, Ontario — Prime Minister Mark Carney and Canada’s premiers are tempering expectations that they’ll strike a new economic and security deal with Donald Trump by the end of the month.
“We would like to have the ideal deal, as fast as possible. But what can we get?” Quebec Premier François Legault said Tuesday. “You almost need to ask Donald Trump, and I’m not even sure he knows himself what he wants.”
It’s a shift in tone from the premiers and Carney, who ran for election on his economic record, arguing he’d be the best person to negotiate with the president. But Canada is finding it harder than it looks.
Carney met the premiers in Muskoka, cottage country north of Toronto, to update them on Canada-U.S. negotiations.
As the leaders emerged from a three-hour meeting, they downplayed hopes of an Aug. 1 deal, arguing that achieving a “good deal” is more important than hitting a deadline.
[…] As the negotiations continue, the premiers spent Tuesday carving out a strategy to offset the economic impact of Trump’s tariffs on the aluminum, steel, auto and lumber sector. They spoke about developing large infrastructure projects, breaking down trade barriers between provinces and encouraging a “buy Canadian” approach. (READ MORE)
Canada is going to go into a deep economic recession; there’s no way to avoid it. However, if they restart their industrial base, drop the ridiculous ‘green’ energy stuff, start exploiting their own natural resources and train an apprentice generation -just like we are trying to do- then Canada can bounce back stronger than ever.
We know there are Canadian wolverines who understand this concept; we saw thousands of them in the Truckers’ vaccine strike. Make Canada Great Again, by Making Dirty Jobs Great Again, eh?
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