European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen Blames Russia for EU Immigration Crisis


Posted originally on CTH on August 29, 2025 | Sundance

During a meeting in Latvia to organize EU defenses, European Commision President Ursula von der Leyen outlines how Russian President Vladimir Putin is to blame for the EU importing millions of Mideast and African immigrants.

It’s not the fault of the European nations their states are riddled with criminal conduct at the hands of migrants. No, it is Vladimir Putin who is to blame.  This is the mindset of the European leadership.  WATCH:

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Security Guarantees for Ukraine – EU Prepares to Enter War


Posted originally on Aug 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Zelensky with EU leaders

Peace talks are a moot point between Russia and Ukraine. Security guarantees for Ukraine have been at the forefront of Ukraine’s discussions but they are actually a premise to determine how other nations will officially enter the war. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni proposed an ambitious security guarantee that would require allies to decide within 24 hours whether to deploy troops to Ukraine if Russia attacks.

“Allies” could use any excuse to send their men and women to the battlefield under this premise. Zelensky has been urging for Article 5 protection—an attack on one is an attack on all—despite Ukraine not being a member of NATO. Entering the conflict under Article 5 is voluntary, but the situation can only remain voluntary for so long when other members become further embedded in the conflict. Ten European nations have already offered to send troops to Ukraine. Zelensky insists that long-term restrictions on its military should be eliminated.

Ukraine would ideally like to join NATO, but NATO has never been willing to accept Ukraine as a member of its alliance. Instead, paying NATO members will offer Ukraine the very same protections they enjoy as the globalist powers abandon domestic sovereignty for a needless war. Europe knows it is crumbling under its own foot due the surmounting sovereign debt crisis, and rather than accept fault, the plan is to conquer Russia to bypass defaults. The computer indicates that this plan will fail.

I am preparing a report on the sovereign debt crisis for the 2025 World Economic Conference that will discuss this plan in further depth.

New_York_Post_Mr._President_Putin_is_THE_dictator_and_9_o

The European Union cannot admit its socialist experiment has failed, so it needs a distraction. Historically, when governments are bankrupt, they turn to war, and this is not a new strategy but human nature coming into play. The neocons in Washington are eager to play along and drag the US into Europe’s proxy war. The cost of living is skyrocketing among all developed nations, and rather than acknowledging failed policies or changing course, the West has decided to create a common enemy–Russia. Russia is the reason that the people are voting against their failed policies, according to the West and mainstream media. Russia is the reason that energy prices are rising, as they certainly cannot blame climate policies that have murdered the energy sector. Taxes are rising because of Russia. The forces that be would like the people to redirect their anger to the common enemy rather than revolting as they see the rising civil unrest and growing private debt burden.

Meloni said “there are clearly no easy solutions when it comes to stopping a war and building peace,” but she now realizes that peace is not an option. She showed potential at the beginning of her term, but has fallen under the thumb of Brussels. All of Europe, aside from Hungary’s Orban, has bowed to Brussels. The war will not be enough for the continent to hold on to its decaying union.

The Sovereign Debt Crisis Unfolding in Europe


Posted originally on Aug 29, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Sovereign Debt Crisis Begins

COMMENT: Thank you for the private blog on the sovereign debt crisis. With both the UK and France in trouble and the possibility of the IMF bailing out these two major countries, everything you have been warning about is coming to a head. I was impressed. There was over $20 trillion in the room at the last WEC. This year’s WEC will be more than just an ‘I told you so’ event. Can’t wait. You certainly have a lot to cover.

WL

Zelensky WWIII

REPLY: Well, between War, Sovereign Debt Crisis, shift in capital flows, risk of cancelling paper currencies, and even the rise in volcanic activity on target with Socrates’ forecast, we are looking at a profound shift with wildcards coming in from many directions. This year is our 40th anniversary since the first World Economic Conference was held in Princeton in 1985. Thank God for Socrates. It monitors everything and performs the work of over 1,000 analysts to provide us with a clear picture of what lies ahead.

Conf 1985

I still had some hair back then and was probably 20 pounds lighter. We have the videos of that one, and there I was forecasting, look at the volatility we will experience in the decades ahead. That was undoubtedly an eye-opener at the time.

Velocity 1985 WEC

We did every country, and the charts were all hand-drawn for that conference back in 1985.

Here are some of the Reports for this Year’s WEC


American Civil War WEC 2025
Economic_Warfare_Word WEC 2025
Why_The_Majorityy_Must_Be_Wrong WEC 2025
Silver Report WEC 2025
Sovereign_Debt_Crisis WEC 2025
Europe_s_Migrant_Crisis_2025 WEC
Real Climate_Change_2025 WEC
When_is_War_Bearish WEC 2025
World_Share_Markets_WEC_2025

Leaders of France, Germany and Poland Converge on Moldova to Support EU Against Russia


Posted originally on CTH on August 28, 2025 | Sundance

Moldova was always important for the goals of the EU elites against the influence of Russia. However, after Georgia rejected the EU manipulation, Moldova became even more important; very, very important.

Moldova is now the frontline battle of the EU Central Bank against pesky Russian ideological intransigence.  All your democracies are belong to us, comrade.  In the background the EU economies are beginning to quiver, led by Germany.

Meanwhile, Volodymyr Zelenskyy is worried that if Moldova gains EU membership before Ukraine, his battleground position could be compromised. ‘Hey, wait a minute, we’re no more corrupt than they are.’ Ukraine wants simultaneous attention, priority and ascension.

Moldovan President Saia Sandu squeaked a win in her election with the use of overseas ballots. The highly divided Moldovans living in Moldova didn’t support Sandu, but the mysterious Moldovans who do not live in Moldova supported her. The EU leadership doesn’t want too many people to notice that.

BRUSSELS ― The leaders of France, Germany and Poland are converging Wednesday on tiny Moldova to urge voters to keep turning away from Russia and support their country’s pro-EU government.

The Moldovan president, Maia Sandu, and her governing Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) face a critical Sept. 28 parliamentary election amid warnings that the Kremlin is working to influence the result and derail the country’s efforts to join the EU.

“There are those who will try to lead us astray. They have tried before … But the Moldovan people know what is best for them,” Sandu is expected to say Wednesday at a rally marking the country’s Independence Day.

A country of 2.4 million people sandwiched between Romania and Ukraine, Moldova has become a target for Russian President Vladimir Putin. While Moscow fights a physical war to subjugate Ukraine, it is using using hybrid tactics to try to control Moldova, including large-scale election manipulation of voters.

This week’s visit by French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk is designed to help keep Moldova on a path toward EU membership, and to remind voters there’s an alternative to Russia.

[…] Last year, Sandu secured a second term in office in a nail-biting election marred by vote-rigging, including a scheme that saw voters paid to back her Kremlin-friendly opponents. A simultaneous referendum on EU membership passed by a margin of 50.4 percent to 49.6 percent.

In both cases, the votes of the 250,000 Moldovans who live abroad, many in EU countries, formed a key pillar of the liberal government’s support. Earlier this month, Moldova’s National Security Adviser Stanislav Secrieru warned fears were growing over disinformation aimed at the diaspora and even of possible disruptions at polling stations abroad. (read more)

USAID (Samantha Power) under the Joe Biden regime was a key player in the organization of the mail-in ballots for Moldova. Imagine that.  Now there’s a little problem….

…. USAID and Samantha Power are no longer around to assist with the mid-term parliamentarian elections.  I mean, what would it look like if the President was elected, albeit barely, as the Moldovan citizens looked with suspicious cat glances, and then suddenly, the next election didn’t highlight the same result for Parliament?   Almost as if something was afoot before.

Hence, Emmanuel Macron, Fredrich Merz and Donald Tusk, three of the consequential USAID beneficiaries, are heading to Moldova to support Saia Sandu.   We’ll keep watching.

HARNWELL: POTUS should name a special envoy to monitor NATO “allies” 5% GDP on defence expenditure


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: August 26, 2025

Merkel Shows NO Remorse for Refugee Crisis


Posted originally on Aug 27, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Merkel Welcome

Ten years ago, former German Chancellor Angela Merkel began the migrant crisis after uttering, “Wir schaffen das” (“We can do this”) and declaring that Germany was a safe haven for all refugees. In a recent interview with ARD, Merkel was asked to reflect on her 2015 decision that permanently altered the European landscape. To the surprise of no one, she feels no remorse.

“It was clear to me that this would be something truly challenging,” Merkel said. She congratulated herself for not using force to prevent refugees from entering. Over 800,000 Syrian refugees entered Germany in 2015 alone. The cultural landscape of Europe is unrecognizable today and budgets have imploded in an effort to maintain the migrant population.

Merkel does have one regret—strengthening the Alternative for Germany (AfD) Party. The AfD campaigns on the promise of securing domestic interests first and foremost, which no other political party is willing to do. The people of Germany have turned to the AfD Party at a record pace because they have witnessed the failed policies of recent history, with the migrant crisis being only one of countless variables ailing Deutschland.

Mother Merkel

Merkel only received 16,233,642 votes during the 2013 election, which was 37.2% of the popular vote of Germany. So the majority of Germans never wanted these policies to start. She assumed she could revitalize the German economy to shift from export-dominated to domestic consumption. That was another failed fantasy, similar to the EU’s attempt to end wars by creating a single unified government. The immigrants, whom she thought would boost the German economy, added to the deficit. She declared that there would be no limit to the number of Syrian refugees accepted, and expected to be honored like a pious deity for her actions. She had no plan or budget for how to accommodate such a large influx of newcomers.

People, mostly unaccompanied males, from throughout the undeveloped world flocked to Germany and spread out around Europe. The majority have never left. Brussels, at the guidance of globalist entities, later forced all of Europe to open their borders. This is a crisis that the continent will be grappling with for years to come, but make no mistake about it—Angela Merkel alone is directly responsible for starting the migrant crisis and permanently altering European civilization.

Polish President Vetoes Extended Ukrainian Refugee Aid Package


Posted originally on Aug 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Nawrocki.Poland

Poland’s president has vetoed a bill that would extend aid to Ukrainian refugees. Karol Nawrocki, a nationalist conservative, commented that Ukrainians “make the effort to work in Poland” and pay taxes in the country in order to be eligible for support. Nawrocki, whose own party approved of the initial aid to Ukrainians, stated that the current financial package “places us in a situation where citizens of Poland are treated worse in their own country than our guests.”

Over 1.5 million Ukrainians have fled to Poland since the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war. Poland has offered every single refugee a taxpayer-subsidized life. Ukrainians living in Poland are eligible for free housing, food benefits, health care, education, child allowances, and more.  Ukrainian refugees were often favored for subsidized housing over nationals who may have been waiting years for council housing. Nawrocki stated he was concerned with the 800+ program that provided families with children an 800 zloty monthly payment per child, regardless of income. The president felt that only those working should receive this benefit, but why should the public be paying out this fund at all?

The head of the president’s chancellery, Zbigniew Bogucki, commented that “for Ukrainians who legally work in Poland, reside, run their own business, and pay taxes, there is nothing to worry about.” Despite the similarities in culture, there is a growing discontent for Ukrainian refugees in Poland due to the government prioritizing newcomers. That is how xenophobia traditionally comes about—the last one “off the boat” is seen as the outsider.

Poland created an Aid Fund operated by Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego (BGK) funded partially by the European Investment Bank and the EU, which finances local governments and organizations to support Ukrainian refugees. A  €2 billion loan was approved for 2025 through the Aid Fund, including €600 million disbursed by the European Investment Bank (EIB). Assistance for Ukrainian refugees in Poland is estimated to have reached around 15.9 billion zlotys (roughly €3.5 billion) this year.

Perhaps Polish leaders underestimated the duration of the war. The Polish government spent 1% of GDP on Ukraine during the first three months of the war in 2022. Poland has continued to raise military spending and direct aid for Ukraine year after year. Yet, the president has been condemned for taking a “Poles first” stance and tightening its social program. The true nationalists do not believe he is doing enough for his nation, while the others see him as cruel. In the EU, anything aside from unconditional blind support from Ukraine is seen as a selfish act. There is no room for nationalism in Brussels.

Categories:Europe

Polish President Vetoes Extended Ukrainian Refugee Aid Package


Posted originally on Aug 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Nawrocki.Poland

Poland’s president has vetoed a bill that would extend aid to Ukrainian refugees. Karol Nawrocki, a nationalist conservative, commented that Ukrainians “make the effort to work in Poland” and pay taxes in the country in order to be eligible for support. Nawrocki, whose own party approved of the initial aid to Ukrainians, stated that the current financial package “places us in a situation where citizens of Poland are treated worse in their own country than our guests.”

Over 1.5 million Ukrainians have fled to Poland since the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war. Poland has offered every single refugee a taxpayer-subsidized life. Ukrainians living in Poland are eligible for free housing, food benefits, health care, education, child allowances, and more.  Ukrainian refugees were often favored for subsidized housing over nationals who may have been waiting years for council housing. Nawrocki stated he was concerned with the 800+ program that provided families with children an 800 zloty monthly payment per child, regardless of income. The president felt that only those working should receive this benefit, but why should the public be paying out this fund at all?

The head of the president’s chancellery, Zbigniew Bogucki, commented that “for Ukrainians who legally work in Poland, reside, run their own business, and pay taxes, there is nothing to worry about.” Despite the similarities in culture, there is a growing discontent for Ukrainian refugees in Poland due to the government prioritizing newcomers. That is how xenophobia traditionally comes about—the last one “off the boat” is seen as the outsider.

Poland created an Aid Fund operated by Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego (BGK) funded partially by the European Investment Bank and the EU, which finances local governments and organizations to support Ukrainian refugees. A  €2 billion loan was approved for 2025 through the Aid Fund, including €600 million disbursed by the European Investment Bank (EIB). Assistance for Ukrainian refugees in Poland is estimated to have reached around 15.9 billion zlotys (roughly €3.5 billion) this year.

Perhaps Polish leaders underestimated the duration of the war. The Polish government spent 1% of GDP on Ukraine during the first three months of the war in 2022. Poland has continued to raise military spending and direct aid for Ukraine year after year. Yet, the president has been condemned for taking a “Poles first” stance and tightening its social program. The true nationalists do not believe he is doing enough for his nation, while the others see him as cruel. In the EU, anything aside from unconditional blind support from Ukraine is seen as a selfish act. There is no room for nationalism in Brussels.

Germany Reconsiders Welfare State to Fund Ukraine


Posted originally on Aug 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Germany_to_fund_long_range_weapons_in_Ukraine_says_Merz 5 31 25

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz does not have the ability to manage Europe’s top economy. “The welfare state that we have today can no longer be financed with what we produce in the economy,” Merz said in a recent meeting. At the same time, Merz agreed to begin sending Ukraine 9 billion euros annually in addition to all other aid.

Merz tried to claim there would “not be any increase in income tax on medium-sized companies in Germany with this federal government under my leadership.” SPD Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil disagrees, and said that middle and high-income citizens could race an increased tax burden. “I’m not satisfied with what we have achieved thus far,” the chancellor said. “It has to be more.”

Merz campaigned on a platform of fiscal responsibility. Then he left Germany’s borders open and worked to find a loophole in the Constitution to fund Ukraine endlessly without any caps. The German welfare state cost taxpayers €20.2 billion ($23.6 billion) in 2024. Public spending accounted for 49.5% of all economic output in 2024.

Lars Klingbeil stated that Germany’s federal budget will face a €30 billion shortfall by 2027. His solution is clearly to increase taxes. “Especially people with high income and high net worth have to ask themselves: What am I contributing to make this country fairer?” He added: “Most of the time, I see people with very high incomes and very large fortunes making a strong appeal to the whole country that everyone should work harder and longer. But I don’t think that does justice to the pension debate that we really need to be having in Germany.”

Diplomacy Merz_on_Ukraine_No_hope_left_for_a_diplomatic_solution_t

Germans have one of the highest tax burdens in Europe. Yet, by 2029, Germany is expecting to take on €851 billion worth of new debt. The war on the energy sector, perpetual spending on Ukraine, and open borders are crippling the German economy. German lawmakers would like to cut back on payments for citizens who spend a lifetime paying into the system. Germany spent 14.8% more in 2024 on an annualized basis on basic income support and nursing health care to the tune of €20.2 billion. Around €11.4 billion of those funds were spent on pensioners and those unwilling to work. In 2025, the nation will spend €43 billion on the citizens’ stipend or Bürgergeld scheme that provides basic income for the unemployed (not including pensioners or those with disabilities).

Merz plans to cut spending for the Bürgergeld scheme. He plans to increase taxation on pensions, although over half of German pensioners currently receive payouts below the poverty line. Merz will place a cap on the amount welfare recipients can use toward housing. While some of these cuts are necessary, Merz fails to acknowledge the elephant in the room—YOU’RE SENDING BILLIONS PER YEAR TO A FOREIGN GOVERNMENT!

Why should the German people be forced to send 9 billion euros to a foreign government annually? The people have been forced to send public funds and soon the people will be forced to send their sons and daughters to fight a unwinnable war. Germany’s leaders have put domestic policies last in favor of globalist neocon ambitions. The nation is already in a recession and the government continues to implement policies that are pushing the nation further into ruin.

EU Trying for Regime Change in Hungary Using Zelensky


Posted originally on Aug 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Zelensky vs Orban

Viktor Orbán has been a thorn in the paw of the European dictatorship masquerading as a democracy when the people have no right to vote for any leader, and the Parliament, which they do vote for, has no complete democratic control over other EU institutions, especially the European Commission. It can hold hearings, ask questions, and set up committees of inquiry. Most dramatically, it has the power to pass a motion of censure and force the entire European Commission to resign.  It cannot pass laws alone. It can reject proposed legislation entirely, killing the bill. It has done this on numerous occasions, forcing the Commission to go back to the drawing board. However, it has the power to reject the entire annual EU budget. It has no power to alter laws or the budget. It is always an all-or-nothing role.

The European Union has not stripped Hungary of its voting rights over issues related to migrants or Ukraine, but is dying to do so and is now behind closed doors telling Zelensky to create a confrontation with Orban to force Hungary to exit the EU and enter war with Ukraine. On Ukraine’s Independence Day, Zelensky gave Hungary an ultimatum: “You must make a choice.” 
Hungary’s Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó fired back with sharp words:

“We firmly reject the Ukrainian President’s intimidation. In recent days Ukraine has carried out serious attacks against our energy supply. An attack on energy security is an attack on sovereignty.”

Ukraine’s Deputy Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha then mocked Hungary, stating:

“Hungary’s energy security is in your own hands. Diversify and become independent from Russia, like the rest of Europe.”

Zelensky is deliberately attacking the national security of Hungary, I believe, at orders from London, the EU, and NATO, who want Hungary out of the EU. The EU has debated stripping Hungary’s voting rights, but no such action has been finalized due to the complex and politically sensitive nature of the Article 7 process. Hungary’s positions on migration and Ukraine remain significant points of tension. For now, Hungary retains its full voting rights. The EU is desperate to get it to leave to the point of instructing Zelensky to cut off Hungary’s energy supply from Russia to cripple the economy, and they hope that will overthrow Orbán.

This dangerous new phase of the war, targeting highly sensitive infrastructure, comes amid defiant speeches in Kiev. There will NEVER be any peace until Zelensky is dragged out of Ukraine in chains. He takes his order against his own people, who want peace.

There have been ongoing discussions and proposals to deal with Hungary under Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union, which allows for the suspension of a member state’s voting rights in cases of severe and persistent breaches of EU values, such as the rule of law, democracy, and human rights. These discussions have been fueled by Hungary’s actions under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, particularly its vetoes or obstructions of EU decisions on Ukraine aid, sanctions against Russia, and migration policies.

Hungary has repeatedly blocked or delayed EU funding for Ukraine, such as the €50 billion Ukraine Facility package, and opposed Ukraine’s EU accession talks, often citing issues like minority rights or corruption in Ukraine. For instance, Orbán left the room during a key vote in December 2023 to allow EU leaders to reach a consensus on starting accession talks with Ukraine, avoiding a direct veto but still signaling resistance.

Hungary’s vetoes on Ukraine aid and its perceived alignment with Moscow have led to growing frustration. The EU has considered workarounds, like alternative plans to bypass Hungary’s veto on Ukraine’s accession, and some MEPs have pushed for legal action against the European Commission for unfreezing €10 billion in funds for Hungary, seen by critics as a concession to Orbán’s tactics. This is why, covertly, Ukraine has been given the green light to undermine Hungary in hopes of forcing regime change.

2024 EU Sanctions on _The_Hungarian_government

Article 7 Proceedings:

The European Parliament triggered Article 7 procedures against Hungary in 2018 due to hyped-up allegations of judicial independence, media freedom, and civil society restrictions. Multiple hearings have been held to discuss potential sanctions, including suspending Hungary’s voting rights. However, no final decision has been made, as Article 7 requires unanimous consent from all other member states, which has been challenging to achieve.

Hungary’s strict anti-migration stance, including the “Stop Soros” law criminalizing assistance to illegal migrants and its 2016 referendum rejecting EU migration quotas, has been a point of contention. Some EU members see these policies as violating EU principles on human rights and solidarity.

The EU has instructed Romania to take in 100,000 migrants from Africa and the Middle East. They really do believe that they can draft all of these migrants to wage war against Russia. That is the backdrop to this crisis, they will NEVER tell the media about because it makes them the aggressor for war.

ECM Euro Waves 1 2

Our model on the EU, taken from the 1957 Treay of Rome, shows a major crash by 2030. This is where we should expect that the odds of the EU remaining intact post-2030 come into serious question. The EU has been drunk with power and has done precisely the opposite of its promises, from Climate Change to the migrant crisis, all culminating in war.

1999 ECM Euro Begins

The shift in trend that the computer was forecasting lined up with the ECM from the start of the Euro, which began on October 20th, 2024 (2024.802). Maia Sandu, the Prime Minister of Moldavia, had the first round of election on October 20th, 2024.

Kallas Zelensky

This is also when Kaja Kallas was selected to be the Vice-President of the European Commission as well as High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy. She is about as unbiased as Zelensky, and the two of them belong in the same cell. It was the first time I ever saw him put on a shirt and tie to impress her. I guess he didn’t need to wear his army getup to show he is at war while sending off $50 million per month to a secret account in the UAE.

Kallas No Land Concessions

As I have warned, even Washington, the EU has ZERO intention of allowing any peace deal whatsoever. There was war, and it is either war to destroy Russia and seize its $75 trillion of natural resources to keep the EU alive, or else, it is going to collapse by 2030, and they know that. They will NOT reform the EU even economically. They are married to the goals of Karl Marx – equality and suppressing individualism, just as the USSR did. The right to freedom of speech does not exist in Europe, unlike in the USSR. They are as paranoid as Stalin was who lived in fear of a revolution to overthrow him.

Hunary Joins the EU
Hungary_Forint M Array 8 25 25

We see October as a turning point for Hungary. Perhaps all the back-stabbing from the EU will come to a head. With Zelensky’s ultimatum, choose sides or else it will come from Kallas and the rest of the Neocons.