National Economic Council Chairman Larry Kudlow appears on Fox Business to discuss the latest excellent jobs report and the overall strength of the U.S. economy.
Additional points of interest discussed are the U.S-China trade negotiations, the status of the internal Beijing communist control over their economy and the ongoing issues with the EU. Lots of good MAGAnomic news.
Jumpin’ ju-ju bones, the October jobs report has blown away all expectations in every possible metric. It’s not just the top-line job gains, the two month revisions are huge.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for October shows 128,000 job gains; and that number includes absorption for negative impacts due to -20,000 census workers coming off federal payrolls, and -42,000 striking auto-workers. Far better employment numbers than all projections and estimations.
Additionally, the prior two months had massive upward revisions. August was revised up by 51,000 (from +168,000 to +219,000), and the change for September was revised up by 44,000 (from +136,000 to +180,000). With these revisions, employment gains in August and September combined were 95,000 more than previously reported (BLS Link).
“The October jobs report is unambiguously positive for the US economic outlook,” said Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst. “Above-consensus hiring in October, together with upward revisions to prior months, is consistent with our view that job growth will maintain a pace of 130-150K per month. Wage growth remaining at 3.0% should further support incomes and consumption-led growth.” (link)
The strong employment results are so strong the results now have all of the financial pundits reassessing their prior perspectives on the state of the U.S. economy.
Within the household survey data the civilian labor force grew by 325,000 in October; as the total civilian population grew by 207,000. Additionally the household data shows the number of people employed grew last month by 241,000.
[Household Survey – Table A – BLS link]
The overall unemployment rate remained relatively unchanged at 3.6 percent, and almost every category of worker is at record low unemployment rates.
Everyone that wants to work is able to find a job easily. Additionally, the year-over-year wage growth remains +3.0 percent, which is much higher than inflation.
The financial pundits are quite shocked at the strength of Main Street and reevaluating their perspectives on the U.S. economy. Here’s a few examples:
.
Steve Guest✔@SteveGuest
America’s Newsroom✔@AmericaNewsroom
LISTEN: @cvpayne weighs in after the October jobs report says the US economy added 128,000 jobs #nine2noon
Trump War Room (Text TRUMP to 88022)✔@TrumpWarRoom
“Black unemployment rate another historic low at 5.4% that’s the lowest since they’ve been keeping records.”
Reuters Business✔@ReutersBiz
U.S. construction spending beats expectations on homebuilding https://reut.rs/322ZYLL
QUESTION:
Hi Marty.
I am confused about the nature of the private wave we are currently in versus the public wave beginning in 1932. Does that mean governments will be more predominant in starting in 1932? This seems contrary to your many statements that the governments today are fighting to maintain control.
Thanks,
GP
ANSWER: During the Public Wave that began in 1934 and ended in 1985, the bond market performed at its best and stocks became extremely undervalued. This started to readjust only after the Public Wave ended in 1985. Only during the final wave does the government start to unravel in a Public Wave. In a Private Wave, stock markets outperform bond markets. Here, people lose their faith in government rapidly. By the half-way mark in a Private Wave, the government becomes aggressive because it sees it is losing control of society. This is why governments will become much more aggressive during the last part of this wave into 2032.
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I want to thank you and your staff for a great conference. It was the best ever. Your detailed review of the Repo Crisis demonstrates why mainstream media tries so hard to ignore you while there were more institutions there than at any conference I have ever attended. When the Fed announced its rate cut, not a single journalist asked any question that addressed the liquidity crisis. It is like it did not exist but they seem desperate to cover it up. Do you think the mainstream press is just stupid or are they part of the cover-up to try to hide the liquidity crisis you had forecast at Rome would unfold in September?
JV
ANSWER: It is hard to say how 7 business journalists that cover Wall Street asked questions during the first half-hour yet not a single one asked about the liquidity crisis. It is as if the Fed’s injection into 23 Wall Street securities firms plus one foreign bank in addition to buying up $60 billion a month in Treasury bills from Wall Street dealers has never taken place. It does beg the question are they stupid or deliberately not asking key questions?
The Fed began its Repo loan interventions on September 17th BECAUSE banks no longer trust banks. This liquidity crisis is where the economic stresses will always take place when there is a question as to the security of the players in the market. There have been frightening similarities to the liquidity crisis of 1998 and 2007-2009. Not a single reporter seems to understand what is taking place BECAUSE their domestic sources are also in the dark so they prefer to do Repo with the Fed rather than any other banks.
I am not certain if this is a cover-up. It appears to be more of a complete lack of understanding of what is going on because nobody is talking. We just stand in the middle and have many clients calling in asking questions simply because banks and not talking to banks. Everyone is afraid to talk and thus the press is in the dark.
Tonight President Trump has announced via twitter that he and Melania Trump have moved their official legal residence from New York, NY, to Palm Beach, Florida:
QUESTION: Marty; You are more connected to BREXIT than any of these analysts. What is your view of this mess?
PH, London
ANSWER: What we are witnessing is the collapse of Democracy. The people voted for BREXIT and the losers do whatever they can to remain. Unfortunately, many of those in Parliament are in the REMAIN camp and have absolutely no rational evidence whatsoever why Britain is better in the EU than out. It is just political propaganda that remaining in the EU is somehow better than leaving. The Euro is a sinking ship and the REMAIN camp is honestly too stupid to even understand or objective enough to look at the trend.
Welcome to BREXIT, where the REMAIN camp has worked very hard to paralyze Westminster to crush the democratic process. Boris Johnson calls this the “zombie” parliament for it has accomplished nothing in three and a half years. Theresa May was in favor of the REMAIN Camp and this is what you get as a result.
The Britons will go on December 12th to a general election that will be dominated by the BREXIT issue and whether the country will go ahead and join the world economy of the sinking Eurozone. Less than 50% of Britain’s trade is with the Eurozone. Britain CANNOT cut a trade deal outside the EU because any of the members can veto any deal. Europe is pretending to be one nation, but it is a complete joke. Can you imagine if the president in the USA had to get the approval of all 50 states before he signed any trade deal? Nothing would ever get done. That is the structure of Europe.
The BREXIT Party of Nigel Farage is hoping to secure its first MPs in this December election. However, there is a split emerging between those who want to run in all 650 seats and others who would prefer to focus on a smaller, targeted list. The concern is that the BREXIT party could in some places hand a victory to a REMAIN candidate by splitting the vote. This is the concern about running in some areas. The fascinating aspect is that the computer pinpointed the week of December 9th as a Panic Cycle before the election was even announced. The question I have is the subtle movements of the markets apparently were indicating that there would be an election and they even targeted the week. This is just why Socrates is so much better than personal opinions that always begin with “I think” in some version or another. There is just so much more to how markets move than most people would ever imagine.
The Sovereign Debt Crises is almost here
QUESTION:
Hi Martin,
I am originally from Saskatchewan and I still own farmland there. (Sask will separate along with Alberta). I currently live in British Columbia.
Given global cooling, earthquakes, the commodity boom, civil unrest, global war, Alberta Separation, the rise of China…..Where do I take my family and young son?
Thanks for all of this invaluable work,
NH
ANSWER: That is a difficult question to answer at this point in time. Normally, if there is a crisis in one part of the world there is always an alternative. This time, every place you look there is political uncertainty. There will be pockets of safe harbors. Alberta may be one if it separates from Canada. The issue stems from oppressive control coming from centralized governments that are not ready to reform. They will crackdown on society in a desperate attempt to retain power. There are some pockets in the United States, but we may be looking more outside the continent. So far, the best spot in Asia has been Thailand.
The Federal Reserve, as expected, cut rates a quarter-point. The Fed also warned that further moves to ease interest rate policy may be coming to an end. The rate cut of 25 basis points to a range of 1.5% to 1.75% has been the third cut this year, which Fed Chairman Powell characterized as a “mid-cycle adjustment” in a maturing economic expansion. The Liquidity Crisis that has emerged in the REPO Market has been deeply concerning behind the curtain as many remained clueless as to why it was even unfolding. Many analysts claimed the Fed was hiding something and US shares of banks tumbled when they were traceable to Deutsche Bank exposure.
Earlier today President Trump tweeted a funny meme of the Hero canine from the Baghdadi raid getting a medal featuring a dog paw:
Cute and funny right?
Not so fast…
Unfortunately, highlighting the absolute jaw-dropping level of media nuttery, the White House reporters actually lost their minds about it; called the White House, demanded explanations, wrote articles about it not being real; and generally went bananas.
No, seriously; they did. Look:
Steve Herman✔@W7VOA
I’ve requested details from the @WhiteHouse on this photo.
There was no such canine event on today’s @POTUS schedule but there is a Medal of Honor ceremony set here for later today for an active duty Green Beret. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1189601417469841409 …Donald J. Trump✔@realDonaldTrump
AMERICAN HERO!
Mieke Eoyang✔@MiekeEoyang
The President is disseminating fake news.
The President is sharing fake news about the nation’s highest valor award.
The President is sharing fake news replacing the photo of a Medal of Honor recipient with a dog. https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1189638121186562049 …
The New York Times✔@nytimes
President Trump on Wednesday shared a photograph from 2017 altered to show him placing a medal around the neck of the dog injured in the raid that led to the death of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the Islamic State’s leader.https://nyti.ms/2JB49be
The New York Times✔@nytimes
President Trump on Wednesday shared a photograph from 2017 altered to show him placing a medal around the neck of the dog injured in the raid that led to the death of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the Islamic State’s leader.https://nyti.ms/2JB49be
Trump Tweets Faked Photo of Hero Dog Getting a Medal
The joke photo appeared to use an image from a 2017 Medal of Honor ceremony. The medal recipient was amused.
nytimes.com
Jim Acosta✔@Acosta
A WH official said “the dog is not at the WH.” https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1189601417469841409 …
Donald J. Trump✔@realDonaldTrump
AMERICAN HERO!
These journalists are nuts.
Moonbats.
All of them.
Good grief, everyone knew it was just a silly and cute picture about a hero canine who was wounded in the successful raid on Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Everyone with a normal and stable-minded constitution that is.
Bizarre.
Doggo-gate or something similarly impeachable…. gottabe.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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