Tag Archives: centinel2012

Aug 1 2020

GDP & Consumer Confidence in Crash Mode


Armstrong Economics Blog/Economics

Re-Posted Jul 31, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

The impact of Coronavirus is far worse than most can imagine. GDP dropped 32% during the 2nd-quarter which is a new historical record surpassing every recession and the Great Depression of both the 19th and 20th centuries. The epidemiologists cannot be this stupid. The people who have died because of a lack of healthcare during this trumped-up pandemic is serious. Many have been denied healthcare and others have been afraid to even go to the hospital. I myself went to the ER and ended up in a COVID wing for two days and it took two negative tests to get out. Everything has become COVID. In Florida, a young man killed in a motorcycle accident ended up on the death list of COVID. The numbers are being manipulated and the fraud is massive.

As wave two appears with the next flu season, the media has beaten this into such an insane pandemic you would think it was the Black Plague with a 50% mortality rate. The last half of 2020 will get worse. They are using this for political objectives. Any doctor who stands up against this manipulation is attacked and then they roll out a fake study to claim they are wrong. When I was called in as an “expert” to be exploited to create the G5 back in 1985, I saw this was all a joke and so I wrote to President Regan. I was told that I would never be called again because I went out of the committee. I was told to be a good boy, produce studies they tell you the conclusion, and I would make a few million a year. Studies are worthless! Try to find a real one is next to impossible. They all have been paid for to achieve a political objective.

We have consumer confidence in crash mode, GDP in crash mode, and these people think they will be able to put it all back together by just defeating Trump. There is no going back. The country has been irrevocably divided and the ultimate end result will be the break-up of the United States. The left seeks to impose their will and subjugate everyone to their demands. They do not believe in individual freedom, the pursuit of happiness, and certainly not any democratic process. It is their way or no way!

 

Aug 1 2020

The Briefings Continue….


Posted originally on the conservative Tree house on July 31, 2020 by 

Never attribute malice to that which can be explained by the bureaucracy of the system; perhaps that is the biggest lesson learned from my recent travels and briefings.

As incredible as it might sound, those who run government investigations do not necessarily have their arms around the specifics, or the bigger picture.   It is quite amazing to talk to people who have been in the proverbial weeds for years only to realize the rag-tag-misfits have more comprehensive information systems than multi-million government enterprises.

So too should this message serve as a warning. Again, as incredulous as it sounds, do not ever believe those who control the levers of power have more information than you.  This is a jaw-dropping experience on the level of disconnect.

Perhaps it would be apropos to think of information as a kiosk map in a large mall.  Lots of data, but if the “you are here” dot is missing; it is not much benefit.  The briefing material starts from the ‘you are here‘ and explains the events.  Everything reconciles.  Everything is documented, attested and sworn.  Unfortunately, I have yet to encounter anyone who put it all together….. until now.

Perhaps when/if a book is ever written about this time, the most compelling story-line will come from how a dedicated small team with a few thousand dollars were able to go up against tens of millions of corrupt interests.  Oh, and we have TRUTH, so we are indeed winning despite the scale.

On some details, thank you to those who have supported this effort.  When it is all over you will likely be surprised just how far and comprehensively we have traveled to ensure failure did not become an option.

There is still a possibility, albeit much smaller than a few weeks ago, that Durham/Barr may not generate the outcome desired.  Therefore the Phase-1 (briefing) effort will continue and the preparation for engaging in Phase-2 (large scale) will continue.

Indications from recent DOJ comments certainly imply a shift in the narrative.  There is a lot more confidence and you are likely seeing the downstream effect in various appearances and broadcasts.   The shift is very real.  The activity in the background is very real; and while the details are very sensitive – we are directly in line-of-sight to the activity.

Many people are now referencing the possibilities of ongoing ‘grand juries’, I would say nothing to diminish that outlook.  The signs are all in the exactly correct place; and the most important name remains invisible.  That’s a good indicator because it shows how tight the process is; and how no leaks have surfaced.  We continue to monitor that aspect.

REMINDER – […] We are a nation of liberty loving independent and free-thinking people; born under a compact to allow each to live their lives according to their own purpose.  Do not abdicate the duty to protect individual liberty to anyone except yourself.

Your dreams are unique to you.

In the coming weeks you will see more about what CTH can do to support you.  There is a network of allied interests working diligently; and we will succeed.  I can feel it.

The challenge with the briefing material, developed over several years, is that it cannot be absorbed by reading it.  There has to be a guide to walk through it as the person is absorbing the content.  That originating guide has been me.

Once briefed, and with the documents in hand, each person then has the skills to see the story; and the next step in completely understanding any story is to teach it.  That’s going to eventually be your task.  You only need to reach 10 people.  One becomes 10, becomes 100, becomes 1,000, becomes 10,000 etc…

Having completed a series of murder-board sessions, test sessions on the briefing material itself, by putting it up against all comers including critics and naysayers; the next phase of sharing the information with those in a position to take action is well underway.  The secondary goal of this phase-1 was to ensure that powerful interests, including John Durham, are aware that we know what this story is about and that we will not allow this evidence to be hidden.  This tripwire has been crossed.

I am confident because the content of the brief is demonstrably true.  However, the most important part to remember is that the truth is not dependent on any person; it just exists.

Once through this phase; and if everything goes according to a plan; you will have an opportunity to have someone, perhaps me, visit YOU and brief you and your friends.  Then, you and your friends receive copies of the brief and go forward.

[more details will be coming; it is dynamic, cost effective and no-one makes a dime]

However, it is now possible that aspect will not be needed as forcefully.  Again, it depends on what those who are in power do with the information.  If they respond weakly, or if they do not respond at all (very unlikely) then we activate.  I am increasingly optimistic this material is being directly addressed.

However, the stakes are too high to leave anything to chance.   Wherever they are, I go…. on any moment’s notice I drop everything to conduct briefings requested by anyone who can influence action.  Information without action is antithetical to its purpose.

People have referenced Paul Revere in many posts recently; but that’s not really an appropriate view….. I consider myself the “friend” who hung the lantern in the loft of the North Church Tower; the lantern is the briefing material; you are Paul Revere.

Prepare to ride.

Every second that you live your life with thankfulness for the abundance within it; every moment that we CHOOSE to engage with fellowship; every day that we accept guidance from God – however you define him to be; and every moment we cherish this time to be a beacon of optimism; is a moment that we withstand that barrage and hold the flag in place.   It is a genuinely patriotic position not to succumb to the attack.

If you allow yourself to be drawn into crisis and despair, you allow them to win.  If your center of normal is based around this overwhelming onslaught, you will eventually concede liberty in favor of peace.  Once we stop living in liberty, we no longer have peace.

It took me a while to fully understand just how damaging empty streets, soulless eyes, the lack of smiles, shuttered businesses and the absence of joy would become.  But as I travel around trying to deliver a very specific message to a very specific audience, I now recognize just how much damage is being done; not just to our nation as a whole, but also to every individual within it – personally.

We must shake this mindset.  We must withstand this onslaught and rally to the origin of our true national spirit.  We must rally to a standard of Americanism and accept this is not that. In essence, we must individually take a stand.  Purposefully, deliberately and with forethought, we must engage those around us to get rid of this sense of foreboding.

This approach is how we win the larger battle.

Our nation needs more people like you, right now.  Don’t wait… engage life, get optimistic however you need to do it. Then let that part of you shine right now… This is how we fight.  Hold up that flag; give the starter smile… rally to the standard you create and spread fellowship again.

God knows we need it.

Jul 30 2020

Wheat & the Fourth Quarter of 2020


Armstrong Economics Blog/Agriculture

Re-Posted Jul 30, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Hope all is well

We as farmers are paying a price as our pm is bad-mouthing the Chinese. We, Australian farmers, have had a rough deal over the last 30 years because we lost $12 /ton on the Iraq debt, the UN destroyed our AUST WHEAT BOARD SHARE PRICE OVER WHAT SALES TO SADDAM HUSSEIN  so the SHARE  went FROM $6.5 TO $1 PER SHARE and then it was taken over by a Canadian company for $1.5/share.

Cheers P

REPLY: This coronavirus has been a political coup, and we are heading into a confusing time for markets as well as politics. We have the CEO of Facebook, Mark Zuckerberg, who is now calling for the breakup of the US government and boldly saying that no one government can stand up against Facebook. This political turmoil has reached an absolute toxic level, and the impact of that is the destabilization of confidence in the future. That undermines the markets going forward.

As it now stands, we should see a retest of support in wheat produce going into the fourth quarter of 2020. We still see 2020 as a Directional Change, but the market will routinely create the false move to get everyone on the wrong side in order to create the necessary powerful slingshot. So just understand that it will get worse BEFORE it turns around. This virus has undercut the supply chain, and the rising tensions with China will only add to the confusion. We seem to have the worst possible politicians in key places at the exact wrong time.

Jul 30 2020

Recession Part II


Armstrong Economics Blog/Economics

Re-Posted Jul 30, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

As we head into the fall of 2020, the damage from this coronavirus lockdown will begin to make its full impact felt. While about 25 million unemployed receive $600 a week, there remain arguments to reduce that to $200. Meanwhile, the real impact will be witnessed as the eviction moratorium, which lasted for nearly four months, ends as it will raise the risk of many being put out on the street. Over 12 million renters are already behind on rent payments thanks to these lockdowns. The small businesses that are in trouble cast a very dark cloud over commercial real estate. Virtually every small shopping strip even in Florida has signs out for rent.

The total official unemployment figure for the US stands at more than 31 million who have collected unemployment benefits of some form. However, our model shows the real number is closer to 40 million given all the part-time people who were not entitled to unemployment. At the start of the year, the total civil workforce was about 164,606,000. The official unemployment rate is about 19%, but counting the full scope we have reached the same levels of the Great Depression. Small business always suffers the most during such declines disproportionately. This will impact future economic growth.

Jul 29 2020

Socrates Under Attack!


Armstrong Economics Blog/Tyranny

Posted Jul 29, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

 

The site has been slow at times over the past two days. This is because there has been a major effort to try to take this site down no doubt to try to stop the content we produce. We have servers around the world that spin up as needed. We are adding even more high-level security and we are tracing to expose the sinister parties behind this effort. We have set up what we call a Trojan Horse where they think they have gotten in while we can watch what they do and it pings back. We used that unique method before which traced ultimately right back to Langly, Va.

This is the world we live in where there is a major assault against any opposition to the leftist agenda. I really feel sorry for the fools who are brainwashed by these people. For if they were to win control, they will impose draconian restrictions which will take the freedoms of even those who think they were supporting some New Green Socialist Utopia. There will not be oppression of just conservatives or Republicans for they could pretend to be a Democrat.

They will impose restrictions upon everyone. This becomes – Paper Please to simply travel between two places. Everyone will need to be monitored and controlled in order for them to maintain absolute power.

Jul 28 2020

Today’s Riots are the Spawn of the Rioters from the 1960’s


Starting in the mid 60’s and running though most of the 70’s a large contingent of the babies born between 1944 and 1964 known as the “me generation” or the “boomer generation” started to rebel against the existing political system and society in general.  The trigger for the rebellion was the Vietnam war and the draft of young men to be sent to war. However,  it quickly spread to encompass many other issues like race, gender and sexuality, leading to the culture wars in the 80’s. It was a very turbulent time as society was totally changed by the boomers. If you care to read about it I recommend the book The Fourth Turning An American Prophecy  by Strauss and Howe. The amassing thing about this book is that they predicted what we are going though right now.

Back then 1970’s

 

That was the background that we grew up in and most of us turned out just fine; however there was another groups of mostly rich kids that turned out to be very bad. Their parents were the first of the Progressives who believed in the principles of Marxism; not so much in the open as the cloaked themselves in terms like socialism. and social justice and well today we have BLM and Antifa to name just a few, which are direct extensions of the movements in the late 60’s and early 70’s. To many today, who were not alive back then, they wonder where these movements came from.

Today 2020

The answer is found in their writing and more specifically in a book they published om May 9, 1974.  The authors are: Bernadine Dohrn, Billy Ayers, Jeff Jones and Celia Sojourn. These were hard core radicals following the teaching of Saul D. Alinsky in his Book Rules for Radicals in which he taught how to make social change meaning a way to get to Marxism. This group and others goal was to fundamentally change America into a Communist country. The bock they published in 1974 outside what they wanted and do be honest the movement today will give them what they desired when they published Prairie Fire, The Politics of Revolutionary Anti-Americanism. Rather than write about it just download it and read it yourself. The copy I have a a copy of the pages in that book and so of the quality is poor but it is readable. In private the discussed the cost to make the change they wanted and it was that 25% of the US population would need to die. Before you dismiss  that the Russian and Chinese conversion to Marxism cost each of those countries a much high percentage of their population.

PrairieFire-reprint

The movement today is a combination of Marxism and Environmentalism and is a very dangerous combination, the code word for it is The Great Rest. There are other posts on my blog that explain what that is.

 

Jul 28 2020

PART FIVE: What is Bill Gates Up too with His Vaccines and Dominance in the Medical Issue if You are Curious then you Must Watch this Four Videos!


A dozen years ago or there about, Bill Gates became worried about Climate Change and gave a TED talk on what the world had to do to save us from extinction. In that presentation Gates stated that one of the variables in his equation had to go to zero to stop Carbon Dioxide from killing all of us.  Now keep in mind that Gates does not have any degrees and knows little about anything but making money with software. We do however recognize that he was very good at that but we must also understand that he had no formal training or studies in anything else.

Gates’ vision is a world with less than a billion people and probably closer to 500 million. This world will be very clean and use only solar PV or Wind to power this Utopian Dream. Everything will be perfect and safe for those that reside in that world. Dreams of that kind are neither practical nor doable but that never stops those that have these visions: like Karl Marx who also had a vision of a perfect world Marxism. Unfortunately that vision brought us WW I,  WW II and the cold war and hundreds of millions of dead people, and Marxism has still not been eliminate as an evil system.

Gates has managed to merge Marxism, Environmentalism, Climate change and World health into one Political system using technology, which he is very good at, that makes George Orwell’s “1984” look like it was done by a rank amateur. If Gates even comes close to achieving his objectives we will be living in Hell!

The story of Bill gates from James Corbett

Part One

Part Two

Part Three

Part Four

Jul 28 2020

Is the Dollar Overvalued or Undervalued?


Armstrong Economics Blog/USD $

Re-Posted Jul 28, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

The latest claim running around is that the dollar is overvalued relevant to its trading partners, and it will decline as the economy recovers due to imports. You really have to wonder if these analysts are just working from home and have lost all sense of the world because they are locked down. In that forecast, they are ASSUMING that the world economy will recover as if nothing has taken place.

 

This is the typical analysis that simply focuses on domestic numbers and assumes that if you import more goods, then the dollar must decline. This theory is up there with thinking raising interest rates will be bearish for the economy and the stock market. Interestingly, both the economy and the stock market rallied as long as interest rates were RISING!

 

This is not a world that you can judge simply by looking at trade statistics. It is pure sophistry. In 2018, exports of goods and services from the United States made up about 12.22% of its gross domestic product (GDP), while US imports amounted to 15.33%. We have allocated trade according to the flag the company flies, and then you will see that the US has a trade surplus. Moreover, I assisted the Japanese on how to reduce their trade surplus buying gold in New York, taking delivery, and exporting it to London and selling it there. It does not matter what is exported; the statistics only look at dollars — not goods. This theory about trade to claim the dollar will decline is laughable.

All you have to do is real correlation analysis. Here is the US dollar Index, which was wrongly constructed based upon trade rather than capital flows, and the low in the trade deficit took place in 2006. It began to IMPROVE as the world economy turned down, and in 2008, we see an outside reversal with the dollar rising. The dollar peaked in 2001 on this index and that was the crash in the market from the 2000 peak in the Dot.com Bubble.

 

The true trends that reveal the future are based upon capital flows. The dollar rallied and peaked in 1985 during that recession, but on the US stock market, the Dow performed a rare outside reversal to the upside in 1982, which began the explosion from 1,000 to 6,000. That also attracted capital flows for investment. The dollar peaked in 2001 during that recession as capital contracted.

Jul 27 2020

Where did this Craziness Start?


Starting in the mid 60’s and running though most of the 70’s a large contingent of the babies born between 1944 and 1964 known as the “me generation” or the “boomer generation” started to rebel against the existing political system and society in general.  The trigger for the rebellion was the Vietnam war and the draft of young men to be sent to war. However,  it quickly spread to encompass many other issues like race, gender and sexuality, leading to the culture wars in the 80’s. It was a very turbulent time as society was totally changed by the boomers. If you care to read about it I recommend the book The Fourth Turning An American Prophecy  by Strauss and Howe. The amassing thing about this book is that they predicted what we are going though right now.

Back then 1970’s

 

That was the background that we grew up in and most of us turned out just fine; however there was another groups of mostly rich kids that turned out to be very bad. Their parents were the first of the Progressives who believed in the principles of Marxism; not so much in the open as the cloaked themselves in terms like socialism. and social justice and well today we have BLM and Antifa to name just a few, which are direct extensions of the movements in the late 60’s and early 70’s. To many today, who were not alive back then, they wonder where these movements came from.

Today 2020

The answer is found in their writing and more specifically in a book they published om May 9, 1974.  The authors are: Bernadine Dohrn, Billy Ayers, Jeff Jones and Celia Sojourn. These were hard core radicals following the teaching of Saul D. Alinsky in his Book Rules for Radicals in which he taught how to make social change meaning a way to get to Marxism. This group and others goal was to fundamentally change America into a Communist country. The bock they published in 1974 outside what they wanted and do be honest the movement today will give them what they desired when they published Prairie Fire, The Politics of Revolutionary Anti-Americanism. Rather than write about it just download it and read it yourself. The copy I have a a copy of the pages in that book and so of the quality is poor but it is readable. In private the discussed the cost to make the change they wanted and it was that 25% of the US population would need to die. Before you dismiss  that the Russian and Chinese conversion to Marxism cost each of those countries a much high percentage of their population.

PrairieFire-reprint

The movement today is a combination of Marxism and Environmentalism and is a very dangerous combination, the code word for it is The Great Rest. There are other posts on my blog that explain what that is.

 

Jul 27 2020

Oregon Separatist Movement to be On the Ballot


Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest

Re-Posted Jul 27, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

The riots in Portland have only inspired a new separation movement. The suburbs in Oregon are moving to separate and join Idaho after nearly two months of daily protests and rioting in Portland. Personally, my advice to Trump was straight forward. He should not send in troops to any city. Let the left throw out the police and allow the city to collapse into its own quagmire for only then will rational people rise up against the leftist agenda. There should be NO federal intervention. They have brought this upon themselves.

One of our staff members was sitting at an outside restaurant when a Black Lives Matter protest can marching down the street. In all the commotion, someone stole her purse. In California, a friend said he is leaving the state for the police were told to stand-down because they did not want any blacks shot by police. They allowed the stores to be looting and trashed, yet when others protest against the lockdowns, they are fined, beaten, and even arrested.

The Black Lives Matter movement has been used as cover by criminals because they have figured it out that the police will let them do whatever want on the orders of the politicians. This has encouraged total anarchy. The entire abuse of police is the fault of the Supreme Court and any legitimate protest should be standing in front of that court. Protesting around the country will NEVER remove the abuse of immunity which was created out of thin air by the Supreme Court. They are responsible for all the deaths. Protest against the source, not the local police which will never change anything long-term. Meanwhile, the Black Lives Matter movement is in danger of becoming just a band of criminals if they allow their own movement to be used as a cover for this sort of behavior.

This new separatist movement will spread even more to Washington and California. The Oregan separatist movement collected enough signatures to place the initiative on the November ballot in Wallowa County. The governor has encouraged this movement with draconian lockdowns and support for the protestors at the beginning. This coming election will be the 9th for the leftist Democratic movement and our models are showing an extremely high probability of rising civil unrest in these three states as well as rising separatist movements. There is a change in the air politically coming for the West. The extreme left has simply gone too far. They champion illegal aliens who cannot vote and do not pay taxes. Why would a politician champion this element which is against their own people?