Medical Professionals’ View of Brexit


Physicians were unable to reach a consensus on whether or not Brexit should take place. The Allergists were in favor of scratching it, but the Dermatologists advised not to make any rash moves. The Gastroenterologists had sort of a gut feeling about it, but the Neurologists thought the Brexiters had a lot of nerve.  Meanwhile, the Obstetricians felt certain everyone was laboring under a misconception, while the Ophthalmologists considered the idea shortsighted. The Pathologists yelled, “Over my dead body!” while the Pediatricians said, “Oh, grow up!” The Psychiatrists thought the whole idea was madness, while the Radiologists could see right through it. The Surgeons decided to wash their hands of the whole thing and the Internists claimed it will be a bitter pill to swallow. The Plastic Surgeons said that May’s proposal would “put a whole new face on the matter.”  The Podiatrists thought it was a step forward, but the Urologists were totally peed off at the whole idea. The Anesthesiologists thought it was all a gas, while the Cardiologists didn’t have the heart to say no.  In the end, the Proctologists won out, leaving the entire decision up to the latest poll takers in the Parliament.


The ignorance of the people, press, and the politicians regarding trade with Europe is fascinating. Ever since Britain joined the EU, it has been in a broader declining trend with respect to trade. Post-2007, the growth rate has declined progressively. This entire focus on trade is really braindead. Germany’s entire economic model is export-driven. The USA has the biggest economy, which is created by having a lower-taxed consumer base. That is why everyone from China to Germany stands in line to try to sell to American consumers. China realizes this is a no-win situation and they have turned-inward by trying to develop its own consumer-based economy with less reliance on selling to Americans. The British economy is the #1 market in Europe for German cars. A hard BREXIT will hurt Europe — not Britain!

Britain certainly does not need Europe to keep its economy going. It is the opposite way around and nobody wants to bother to even look at the data. All we get is a bunch of nonsense that trade is so critical and Britain will die without the EU. Not a single newspaper is willing to ever tell the truth. People ask me all the time why I have not done an interview to The Guardian. Quite frankly, they

Student Loans – The Economic Time Bomb


Trump should reverse what the Clintons did to student loans. He should RESTORE the right to go bankrupt. This huge problem was created by the Democrats who exempted student loans from normal protection for consumers. In addition, the bankers then exploited the entire issue by getting parents to co-sign. The entire argument for eliminating the right to go bankrupt was that they had no collateral. The FRAUD here is the bankers managed to get the Democrats to hand students to them on a silver platter. Then they then pulled a fast one by demanding parents co-sign. That way, they can take their parents’ house.

The scary thing is that the generation of Americans over 60 years of age is on the hook for worthless degrees, owing $86 billion in student loan debt. True, some of these people owe for degrees they themselves obtained in hope of getting a better job. They have discovered that the degrees mean nothing and their age tends to scare companies because of pensions. The bulk of these people in the 60+ group had their kids late in life and co-signed for their children of which 40% are still living at home. Interest rates are not cheap and run from 5.05% to 7% annually. Compound that out and you will nearly double the cost of a degree by interest in 10 years.

A number of major companies NO LONGER require a degree. Here are just a few. BTW – neither do we.

  • Google
  • Ernst and Young (EY)
  • Penguin Random House
  • Costco Wholesale
  • Whole Foods
  • Hilton
  • Publix
  • Apple

 

LIBOR v SOFR Interest Rates


QUESTION:Dear Martin:

Do you have any concerns for the equity markets from the upcoming conversion from Libor to SOFR (the secured overnight financing rate). A recent article from Business Insider highlighted the following:

“Libor, linked to about $350 trillion worth of financial products, will be replaced by an alternate pricing benchmark for everything from mortgages to credit cards.”
“Replacing Libor will be lengthy and problematic, and is one of the key themes to look out for in 2019 as financial services and asset managers start transferring to new systems.”
“Thousands of existing contracts will need to be renegotiated causing a huge operational and financial burden that will consume legal teams for months.”
“Market structure experts cite the need to amend existing contracts to include “fallback” clauses which which specify what happens when Libor disappears. This is comparatively easy for loans, but for derivatives, swaps, and options, amending existing contracts could potentially lead to legal battles.”
This conversion seems like it could get awful messy.

Regards,

ML

ANSWER: Ever since the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) scandal, there has been one faction that has sought to eliminate the powers of banks to manipulate the LIBOR rate. This is similar to ending floor tradings in financial markets. Yes, LIBOR has been used to price trillions of dollars’ worth of loans, derivatives, and a lot more. The Federal Reserve moved to actually intervene and prevent a handful of banks to fix the interest rates. The Fed created a group in response, known as the Alternative Rate Reference Committee (ARRC), which has created a new benchmark dollar interest rate. This new rate is known as the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR). Actually, since April 2018, SOFR has been used for a growing number of bond offerings by large institutions including the World Bank, MetLife, and Fannie Mae. Europe is also moving to create a new benchmark rate that includes the Bank of England, Central banks in Europe with the ECB, Japan, and even Switzerland. This new group is also constructing new benchmark rates. However, there is another reason the Eurozone is taking this giant step. This is a major effort to take the dominance of trading away from Britain in light of BREXIT.

Now as for a crisis, no, that is about as likely as Y2K Millennium bug. Borrowing will take place under SOFR without a problem. The issue will be more with past contracts. That will tend to be a court issue if rates rise under SOFR or old contracts are converted involuntarily. The real issue will be concerning the manipulation of SOFR by governments as they have done with Quantitative Easing. The banks were never able to manipulate LIBOR to the extent of changing the trend. Front-running to elect stops etc. were the “manipulation” tactics. With governments involved, then we can see false trends and real manipulation. The banks could never manipulate LIBOR, suppress the rate, or increase it out of competition.